The Parameter Sensitivities of a Jump-diffusion Process in Basic Credit Risk Analysis
Abstract
We detect the parameter sensitivities of bond pricing which is driven by a Brownian motion and a compound Poisson process as the discontinuous case in credit risk research. The strict mathematical deductions are given theoretically due to the explicit call price formula. Furthermore, we illustrate Matlab simulation to verify these conclusions.
Key words: jump-diffusion process, compound Poisson process, credit risk, parameter sensitivity.
I Introduction
The continuous model of option pricing was rising up in Black and Scholes BS on 1973 and the discontinuous one with Compound Poisson Process was studied by Merton Merton on 1976. Zhou Zhou disclosed the credit risk approach base on this jump-diffusion process on 1997.
With the explicit Black-Scholes option formulas, the strict derivation of parameters sensitivities were disclosed and named with Greeks. The Greeks are very useful in the stock market due to hedging practices. We also explore the parameter sensitivities for bond price through the complicated jump-diffusion formula according to the log-normal distributed compound Poisson processes strictly in this paper. Beyond the proofs, the analytic illustrations are provided by Matlab simulation.
The rest of the paper is organized as follows. Sections 2 is model framework about the bond price formula of jump-diffusion model with compound Poisson processes. Section 3 is the proportions of parameter sensitivities with strict proofs. Section 4 concludes.
II Model Framework
The financial market has a big part which is called credit market or bond market. The participants can issue new debts or securities on the credit market. Credit risk is the crucial problem for the loss risk of borrower’s failure to meet the obligations.
II.1 Basic Credit Risk Concepts
Assume that we are in the setting of the standard Black-Scholes model, i.e. we analyze a market with continuous trading which is frictionless and competitive with assumptions Lando .
1. agents are price takers.
2. there are no transaction costs.
3. there is unlimited access to short selling and no indivisibilities of assets.
4. borrowing and lending through a money-market account can be done at some riskless, continuously compounded rate .
We want to price bonds issued by a firm whose assets are assumed to follow a geometric Brownian motion:
Here, is a standard Brownian motion under the probability measure P.
Let the starting value of assets is . Then by Ito-Doeblin formula:
We take it to be well known that in an economy consisting of these two assets, the price at time of a contingent claim paying at time is equal to
where Q is the equivalent martingale measure under which the dynamics of are given as
Here, is a Brownian motion and we can see that the drift term has been replaced by .Lando
Now, assume that the firm at time has issued two types of claims: debt and equity. In the simple model, debt is a zero-coupon bond with a face value of and maturity date . We think of the firm run by the equity owners. At maturity of bond, equity holder pay the face value of debt precisely when the assets value is higher than the face value of the bond. On the other hand, if assets are worth less than , equity owners do not want to pay . And since they have limited liability they don’t have to do that. Bond holders then take over the remaining assets of instead of the promised payment . With this assumption, the payoffs to debt, , and equity, , at date are given as:
From the structure, debt can be viewed as the difference between a riskless bond and a put option, and equity can be viewed as a call option on the firm’s assets. Lando
We assumed there are no transaction costs, bankruptcy costs, taxes and so on for simpleness. We then get . Given the current level and volatility of assets, and the riskless rate , we denote the Black-Scholes model of European call as with strike price and maturity time , Lando i.e.
Where is the standard normal distribution function and
Applying the Black-Scholes formula to price these options, we obtain the Merton model for values of debt and equity at time t as:
From the put-call parity for European options on non-dividend paying stocks
We get
II.2 Basic Credit Risk Analysis with Compound Poisson Jumps
For the discontinuous Black-Scholes model, we may consider the case of compound Poisson jumps which has the explicit formula for the the call price. Therefore, the bond price is obvious from the call-put parity and equality at maturity time .
Suppose asset value has dynamics of jumps, then the equity value is priced as a call option with jumps. First, we focus the compound Poisson jumps with i.i.d. log-normal distributed (i.e., ) which has the explicit formula, the price of call option is as following Merton :
(1) |
where is the intensity of Poisson process, is the standard Black-Scholes formula for a call and
In advance, some facts of general Black-Scholes call price are listed JH :
III Sensitivities of Bond Pricing for Log-normal Jumps Process
Due to the explicit formula, the derivatives with respect to all parameters are examined as the sensitivities of bond price.
Proposition III.1
(i) The bond price is increasing in for log-normal jumps process.
(ii)
Proof.
Let , Then we check the partial derivative of with respect to . Hence,
Where is convergent. ∎
It is clear that the bond price goes up as increases. We can check this trend by Matlab numerically in using formula 1 (See Figure 1).

Proposition III.2
(i) The bond price is increasing in face value for log-normal jumps process.
(ii).
Proof.
In fact,
Then,.
∎
Definitely, increasing the face value typically will produce a larger payoff. (See Figure 2).

Proposition III.3
The bond price is decreasing in volatility, , for log-normal jumps process.
Proof.
Mathematically,
Then, .
∎
When the volatility goes up, must decrease because the sum of and remains unchanged, call price increases as is more fluctuable. (See Figure 3).

Proposition III.4
(i) The bond price is decreasing in risk-free interest rate for log-normal jumps process.
(ii) .
Proof.
Actually,
Then, .
∎
Since the call option increases as goes up, must decrease the money market looks more attractive.(See Figure 4).

Proposition III.5
(i) The call price is increasing in time-to-maturity, , for the log-normal jumps process if .
(ii) The bond price is decreasing in time-to-maturity, , for the log-normal jumps process .
Proof.
See details at Appendix part 1.
We have . is decreasing due to the value of call increases when time-to-maturity is bigger.
In some extreme case, when is very small as a negative number, the sum of and can be negative which causes the tendency of w.r.t. is not decreasing.
∎


Proposition III.6
The bond price is decreasing in for the log-normal jumps process.
Proof.
We have
Then,.
∎
See Figure 7 for the simulation.

Proposition III.7
The bond price is decreasing in for the log-normal jumps process.
Proof.
See details at Appendix part 2. Finally,
holds.
∎
In fact, since is the intensity of Poisson process, increasing means the jump rate is bigger, the fluctuation will make the call price go up, so the bond price is decreasing accordingly. (See Figure 8)

Proposition III.8
The bond price is decreasing in for the log-normal jumps process.
Proof.
See details at Appendix part 3.
The result is .
∎

IV Conclusion
In this paper, we analytically explored the parameter sensitivities of bond price driven by compound Poisson process with log-normal distributed jumps. Meanwhile, we disclosed the corresponding interval of the sensitivities if available. Generally, the bond price in this case is increasing with respect to asset value and face value , decreasing with respect to volatility , risk-free interest rate , log-normal standard deviation , Poisson intensity and jumps’ mean . For the time-to-maturity , it is decreasing when and undetermined for other cases.
Appendix
1. Proof of Proposition III.5
(i) The call price is increasing in time-to-maturity, , for the log-normal jumps process if .
(ii) The bond price is decreasing in time-to-maturity, , for the log-normal jumps process .
Proof.
Separately, we consider the 1st part and 2nd part .
For , since
Where we used the facts:
That means the function is increasing w.r.t. , such that part is positive.
For , we taking partial derivative of w.r.t. ,
here is non-negative as the condition, then is also positive, such that the initial is positive.
Hence . is decreasing due to the value of call increases when time-to-maturity is bigger.
In some extreme case, when is very small as a negative number, the sum of and can be negative which causes the tendency of w.r.t. is not decreasing.
∎
2. Proof of Proposition III.7
The bond price is decreasing in for the log-normal jumps process.
Proof.
Firstly, we can get that the call price is increasing in .
Take partial derivative with respect to in formula Merton ,
where we used the fact that
Since can be a very large number in the sum, then the term is positive for most cases. That means the partial derivative w.r.t. is positive. So the call price is increasing against .
We know Therefore, holds.
∎
3. Proof of Proposition III.8
The bond price is decreasing in for the log-normal jumps process.
Proof.
Since
where we used the fact that
Since goes to larger and large in the sum, then the term is positive for most cases. That means the partial derivative w.r.t. is positive. Then,.
∎
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