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The Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function: A review from practical perspectives00footnotetext: This work was partially supported by JSPS Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research 19H01791, 20K03758, 20K22301, 21K03347 and 21K03358.

Yue He111Email address: [email protected]. Postal Address: School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Sydney, Australia.      Reiichiro Kawai222Corresponding author. Email address: [email protected]. Postal address: Graduate School of Arts and Sciences / Mathematics and Informatics Center, The University of Tokyo, Japan, and School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Sydney, Australia.      Yasutaka Shimizu333Email address: [email protected]. Postal address: Department of Applied Mathematics, Waseda University, Japan.   and Kazutoshi Yamazaki444Email address: [email protected]. Postal address: School of Mathematics and Physics, The University of Queensland, Australia.
Abstract

The Gerber-Shiu function provides a unified framework for the evaluation of a variety of risk quantities. Ever since its establishment, it has attracted constantly increasing interests in actuarial science, whereas the conventional research has been focused on finding analytical or semi-analytical solutions, either of which is rarely available, except for limited classes of penalty functions on rather simple risk models. In contrast to its great generality, the Gerber-Shiu function does not seem sufficiently prevalent in practice, largely due to a variety of difficulties in numerical approximation and statistical inference. To enhance research activities on such implementation aspects, we provide a comprehensive review of existing formulations and underlying surplus processes, as well as an extensive survey of analytical, semi-analytical and asymptotic methods for the Gerber-Shiu function, which altogether shed fresh light on its numerical methods and statistical inference for further developments. On the basis of an ambitious collection of 235 references, the present survey can serve as an insightful guidebook to model and method selection from practical perspectives as well.

Keywords: Gerber-Shiu function; Laplace transform; integro-differential equations; series expansions; scale function.

JEL classification: C14, C63, G22.

2020 Mathematics Subject Classification: 91G05, 60G40, 91G60, 91G70.

1 Introduction

The Gerber-Shiu function, also referred to as the expected discounted penalty function, was first constructed back in 1998 by Gerber and Shiu [78]. It is a functional of the time of ruin, that is, the first time when the surplus of the insurance company reach below a threshold level, as well as the surplus prior to ruin, and the deficit at ruin. Ever since its establishment, the Gerber-Shiu function has attracted constantly increasing interests in actuarial science due to its generality in representing numerous ruin-related quantities, including the ultimate ruin probability, the Laplace transform of the time of ruin and the joint tail distribution of surplus and deficit (Section 2.1). In addition, a wide variety of its variants have been developed (Section 2.2), for instance, via generalizations on the penalty function (Section 2.2.1) and the discount factor (Section 2.2.2), as well as with a finite-time horizon (Section 2.2.3).

In the literature, a variety of stochastic processes have been employed in the context of the Gerber-Shiu function in modeling the temporal evolution of the surplus of an insurance company (Section 2.3). Among those, the first model is built on compound Poisson processes, also known as the Cramér-Lundberg model or classical risk model (Section 2.3.1). The Cramér-Lundberg model has then been generalized in many different directions ever since, so as to better capture stylized features of the surplus process in the real world, such as Lévy risk models (Section 2.3.2) often with diffusion perturbations (Section 2.3.3), the renewal risk model, also known as the Sparre-Andersen model (Section 2.3.4), whose number of claims is modeled by a renewal process with independent and identically distributed interclaim times, and Markov additive processes (Section 2.3.5) that offer better tractability of renewal risk models with phase-type interarrival times, along with suitable additional components (Section 2.3.6). Moreover, with a view towards real-world applications, more advanced structural features have also been proposed in specialized manners (Section 2.4), for instance, in terms of the drift component, such as interest earnings, debit or tax payments, and level dependence structure due to dividend payments (Section 2.4.1), and for modeling credit default swaps (Section 2.4.2), capital injection (Section 2.4.3) and risk measures (Section 2.4.4).

As such, there exist quite a wide variety of developments in the literature on the Gerber-Shiu function, yet with a rather restricted focus on finding its analytical or semi-analytical expressions. Under somewhat strict assumptions on each component of the problem formulation, its analytical or semi-analytical expression may be available, for instance, by inverting its Laplace transform (Section 3.1), or by solving defective renewal equations (Section 3.2) and the integro-differential equation with suitable boundary conditions (Section 3.3). Alternatively, the Gerber-Shiu function can be expressed in terms of the scale function of certain risk surplus processes (Section 3.4), recursive representations (Section 3.5), and integral representations with respect to suitable probability measures (Section 3.6). Furthermore, its asymptotic expressions have been derived for a wide range of claim size distributions when analytic expressions are not easily available (Section 3.7).

It is however a long-standing consensus that analytical representations are rarely available for the Gerber-Shiu function at convenience, unless risk models and claim size distributions are selected from limited classes. Even with semi-analytical expressions, for instance, in terms of integrals or infinite series, suitable numerical approximation is required for the evaluation at an implementation stage. Nevertheless, numerical methods on the Gerber-Shiu function do not seem to have been adequately explored in the literature. To the best of our knowledge, there exist only a handful of developments in the context of the Gerber-Shiu function: the numerical inversion of the Laplace transform [73, 100] (Section 4.1), finite truncation of the Fourier expansion [34, 124, 202, 203] (Section 4.2), the numerical solution to the integro-differential equation with suitable boundary conditions [62, 63, 84, 172, 231, 233] (Section 4.3), and simulation via random number generation [54, 69] (Section 4.4). As is always the case, the method needs to be carefully chosen for each problem setting, because each of those methods above has both advantages and disadvantages with different technical prerequisites for implementation and convergence (Section 4.5). In contrast to other physical and mathematical sciences with an abundance of numerical methods, this very short list acts as a clear evidence that further improvements and developments of relevant numerical methods would undoubtedly open up the potential of the Gerber-Shiu function widely for its practical use.

Statistical inference is an important step prior to the computation in practice [166]. When the surplus model is fully parameterized in advance, inference can be made relatively easily via standard estimating methodologies. If non-trivial models, even Lévy risk models, are chosen, one may need to employ sophisticated statistical procedures in the non/semi-parametric framework to address claims and other dispersion structures. To this end, the first semi-parametric framework is developed in [164, 165] via the regularized inversion of the Laplace transform (Section 5.3), whereas this approach is not satisfactory all the time due to the logarithmic convergence rate of the estimator [143]. Since then, a variety of statistical methods have been proposed based on the Fourier inversion [168] (Section 5.4), and series expansions using the Fourier-sinc/cosine series [187, 188, 210, 219] and, more intensively, the Laguerre series [64, 87, 169, 173, 175, 176, 221, 222] (Section 5.5), with which the rates of convergence are improved to polynomial orders. In addition, statistical methods based on series expansion are of particular interest as they have the potential to reveal the asymptotic law of the estimated Gerber-Shiu function.

The ultimate goal of the present survey is to enhance research activities on not fully explored implementation aspects of the Gerber-Shiu function by casting fresh light on its numerical and statistical methods, which seem to have been acting as a serious bottleneck in its practical use. To this end, we begin with a comprehensive review on the formulation of the Gerber-Shiu function and its variants, the risk surplus models and additional structural features (Section 2), as well as a systematic summary of analytical, semi-analytical and asymptotic methods (Section 3). In light of all those essential background materials, we then aim to discuss implementation aspects of the Gerber-Shiu function in two separate categories, namely, numerical methods (Section 4) and statistical inference (Section 5), along with further classifications and representative concepts and formulas without going into too much nonessential technical details to avoid digressing from the main objective as a comprehensive survey. We close the present work with concluding remarks and the future outlook on research directions and dissemination (Section 6) with the hope that this survey can serve as an insightful guidebook to model and method selection from practical perspectives.

2 The Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function

Before exploring implementation aspects of the Gerber-Shiu function (Sections 4 and 5), we devote the present and next sections to equip ourselves with essential background materials in a systematic summary, such as its formulation, variants, the risk surplus models and additional structural features (Sections 2) as well as analytical, semi-analytical and asymptotic methods (Section 3). Throughout the paper, we denote by \mathbb{N} the set of natural numbers with 0:={0}\mathbb{N}_{0}:=\mathbb{N}\cup\{0\}, and denote the Laplace transform operator associated with every f:[0,)f:[0,\infty)\to\mathbb{R} by

f(s):=0+esuf(u)𝑑u,\mathcal{L}f(s):=\int_{0}^{+\infty}e^{-su}f(u)du,

for all ss such that the integral is finite valued.

2.1 Standard formulation

We reserve the notation

U={Ut:t0}U=\{U_{t}:\,t\geq 0\}

for the surplus process, which is a one-dimensional stochastic process with càdlàg paths almost surely (a.s.) that starts at U0=uU_{0}=u under the probability measure u\mathbb{P}_{u}, indexed by the initial state uu. As usual, we denote by 𝔼u\mathbb{E}_{u} the expectation taken under u\mathbb{P}_{u}. Unless stated otherwise, we assume the jumps of UU are always downward. In particular, if UU has a finite number of jumps on any non-empty interval (that is, jumps of finite activity), then it can be decomposed uniquely as

Ut=VtLt\displaystyle U_{t}=V_{t}-L_{t} (2.1)

for a continuous process V={Vt:t0}V=\{V_{t}:\,t\geq 0\} and a pure jump process L={Lt:t0}L=\{L_{t}:\,t\geq 0\} of the form

Lt:=k=1NtYk,t0,\displaystyle L_{t}:=\sum_{k=1}^{N_{t}}Y_{k},\quad t\geq 0, (2.2)

with a counting process of jumps (claims) N={Nt:t0}N=\{N_{t}:\,t\geq 0\} defined by Nt:=#{s(0,t]:LsLs}N_{t}:=\#\{s\in(0,t]:L_{s}\neq L_{s-}\} and the corresponding jump sizes {Yk}k\{Y_{k}\}_{k\in\mathbb{N}}. For the subsequent discussions whenever UU admits the form (2.2), we write {Tk}k\{T_{k}\}_{k\in\mathbb{N}} for a sequence of claim occurring times (so that Nt=max{k0:Tkt}N_{t}=\max\{k\in\mathbb{N}_{0}:T_{k}\leq t\}) and let {Sk}k\{S_{k}\}_{k\in\mathbb{N}} be a sequence of interclaim times, that is, Sk:=TkTk1S_{k}:=T_{k}-T_{k-1} for kk\in\mathbb{N} with T0:=0T_{0}:=0. The majority of surplus processes considered in the context of the Gerber-Shiu function is of the form (2.1), although some risk processes to be reviewed in what follows have infinite number of jumps on any finite interval (that is, jumps of infinite activity) and cannot be written in terms of jump processes of the form (2.2).

The time of ruin is commonly modeled as the first down-crossing time below a certain level, most often, zero:

τ:=inf{s0:Us<0},\displaystyle\tau:=\inf\left\{s\geq 0:\,U_{s}<0\right\}, (2.3)

where it is understood that inf=+\inf\varnothing=+\infty. The Gerber-Shiu function ϕ\phi, introduced in [78], is then defined as

ϕ(u):=𝔼u[eδτw(Uτ,|Uτ|)𝟙(τ<+)],u0,\phi(u):=\mathbb{E}_{u}\left[e^{-\delta\tau}w\left(U_{\tau-},\left|U_{\tau}\right|\right)\mathbbm{1}\left(\tau<+\infty\right)\right],\quad u\geq 0, (2.4)

where δ0\delta\geq 0 represents the constant discount rate and the so-called penalty function

w:[0,+)2[0,+)w:[0,+\infty)^{2}\to[0,+\infty)

models the risk of the event that the surplus prior to ruin is Uτ:=limtτUtU_{\tau-}:=\lim_{t\uparrow\tau}U_{t} and the deficit at ruin is |Uτ||U_{\tau}|. The indicator 𝟙(τ<+)\mathbbm{1}(\tau<+\infty) assures that the random variables UτU_{\tau-} and UτU_{\tau} are well-defined on this event and also emphasizes that there is no penalization if ruin does not occur, that is, {τ=+}\{\tau=+\infty\}.

The penalty function ww in (2.4) is defined as a function of UτU_{\tau-} and |Uτ||U_{\tau}|, while an earlier version [75] considers only the latter: with w:[0,+)[0,+)w:[0,+\infty)\to[0,+\infty),

𝔼u[eδτw(|Uτ|)𝟙(τ<+)]=w(0)𝔼u[eδτ𝟙(τ<+,Uτ=0)]+𝔼u[eδτw(|Uτ|)𝟙(τ<+,Uτ<0)],\mathbb{E}_{u}\left[e^{-\delta\tau}w\left(|U_{\tau}|\right)\mathbbm{1}\left(\tau<+\infty\right)\right]=w(0)\mathbb{E}_{u}\left[e^{-\delta\tau}\mathbbm{1}\left(\tau<+\infty,U_{\tau}=0\right)\right]+\mathbb{E}_{u}\left[e^{-\delta\tau}w\left(|U_{\tau}|\right)\mathbbm{1}\left(\tau<+\infty,U_{\tau}<0\right)\right], (2.5)

where the event {Uτ=0}\{U_{\tau}=0\} is called creeping in the literature. Conversely, there exist a variety of generalized versions of the penalty function taking additional variables, which we summarize shortly in Section 2.2.1. For the rest of the present survey, unless stated otherwise, the penalty function is understood to be of two variables as in (2.4).

By appropriately choosing the penalty function, various risk quantities can be modeled. Below, we list several examples of the penalty function (see, among others, [2, 16, 50, 100, 110, 155, 193, 219, 222]):

(1) Probability of ultimate ruin (δ=0\delta=0 and w(x,y)=1w(x,y)=1):

u(τ<+).\mathbb{P}_{u}(\tau<+\infty).

(2) Laplace transform of the time of ruin (δ0\delta\neq 0 and w(x,y)=1w(x,y)=1):

𝔼u[eδτ𝟙(τ<+)].\mathbb{E}_{u}\left[e^{-\delta\tau}\mathbbm{1}(\tau<+\infty)\right]. (2.6)

(3) Joint distribution of surplus and deficit (δ=0\delta=0 and w(x,y)=𝟙(xa,yb)w(x,y)=\mathbbm{1}(x\leq a,\,y\leq b)):

u(Uτa,|Uτ|b,τ<+).\mathbb{P}_{u}\left(U_{\tau-}\leq a,\,|U_{\tau}|\leq b,\,\tau<+\infty\right).

(4) Expected discounted deficit at ruin (w(x,y)=yw(x,y)=y):

𝔼u[eδτ|Uτ|𝟙(τ<+)].\mathbb{E}_{u}\left[e^{-\delta\tau}|U_{\tau}|\mathbbm{1}(\tau<+\infty)\right]. (2.7)

(5) Expected claim size causing ruin (δ=0\delta=0 and w(x,y)=x+yw(x,y)=x+y):

𝔼u[|UτUτ|𝟙(τ<+)].\mathbb{E}_{u}\left[|U_{\tau}-U_{\tau-}|\mathbbm{1}(\tau<+\infty)\right].

(6) Joint moments of surplus and deficit (δ=0\delta=0 and w(x,y)=xaybw(x,y)=x^{a}y^{b}):

𝔼u[Uτa|Uτ|b𝟙(τ<+)].\mathbb{E}_{u}\left[U_{\tau-}^{a}|U_{\tau}|^{b}\mathbbm{1}(\tau<+\infty)\right].

(7) An extension involving the discounted nnth moment of the time of ruin:

𝔼u[τneδτw(Uτ,|Uτ|)𝟙(τ<+)].\mathbb{E}_{u}\left[\tau^{n}e^{-\delta\tau}w\left(U_{\tau-},\left|U_{\tau}\right|\right)\mathbbm{1}\left(\tau<+\infty\right)\right]. (2.8)

(8) Trivariate Laplace transform of the time to ruin, the surplus prior to ruin, and the deficit at ruin (w(x,y)=exp(sxzy)w(x,y)=\exp(-sx-zy)):

𝔼u[eδτsUτz|Uτ|𝟙(τ<+)].\mathbb{E}_{u}\left[e^{-\delta\tau-sU_{\tau-}-z|U_{\tau}|}\mathbbm{1}(\tau<+\infty)\right]. (2.9)

We note that the joint Laplace transform (2.9) is deemed the most versatile for the reason that the relevant law can be fully characterized via its inversion with respect to (some of) the variables (δ,s,z)(\delta,s,z). In addition, some of the other quantities listed above can even be recovered solely through a lot more elementary operations on the Laplace transform (2.9), such as differentiation and substitution.

2.2 Generalization

While the formulation (2.4) covers a variety of quantities of interest, even further generalizations have often been considered, typically, in the following aspects: generalization of the penalty function (Section 2.2.1), non-constant/random discounting (Section 2.2.2), and finite time horizon (Section 2.2.3).

2.2.1 Penalty function

In the formulation (2.4), the penalty function is a function of the surplus prior to ruin UτU_{\tau-} and the deficit at ruin |Uτ||U_{\tau}|. Here, we review other random elements that sometimes appear as part of the generalization of the Gerber-Shiu function. Below, we consider UU with downward jumps of finite activities as in the surplus process (2.1).

(1)

Define the total discounted claim costs until ruin:

k=1NτeδTkκ(Yk)\sum_{k=1}^{N_{\tau}}e^{-\delta T_{k}}\kappa(Y_{k})

where κ:(0,+)(0,+)\kappa:(0,+\infty)\to(0,+\infty) quantifies the cost of each claim. With this random variable, a variant of the Gerber-Shiu function is investigated:

ϕ(u)=𝔼u[en1δ0τ(k=1NτeδTkκ(Yk))n2w(|Uτ|)𝟙(τ<+)],\phi(u)=\mathbb{E}_{u}\left[e^{-n_{1}\delta_{0}\tau}\left(\sum_{k=1}^{N_{\tau}}e^{-\delta T_{k}}\kappa(Y_{k})\right)^{n_{2}}w\left(\left|U_{\tau}\right|\right)\mathbbm{1}\left(\tau<+\infty\right)\right], (2.10)

where δ00\delta_{0}\geq 0 is a constant force of interest and n1n_{1} and n2n_{2} are non-negative integers, with δ0=δ\delta_{0}=\delta in [43], and n1=1n_{1}=1 in [130].

(2)

On the event {Uτ<0,τ<+}\{U_{\tau}<0,\tau<+\infty\} where UU downcrosses zero by a jump, it necessarily holds that τ=TNτ\tau=T_{N_{\tau}} and thus Uτ=UTNτU_{\tau}=U_{T_{N_{\tau}}}. The surplus immediately after the second to last claim before ruin UTNτ1U_{T_{N_{\tau}-1}} is often of interest [21, 44, 47, 192]. With this as the third argument, the resulting Gerber-Shiu function is given by

ϕ(u)=𝔼u[eδτw(Uτ,|Uτ|,UTNτ1)𝟙(τ<+)].\phi(u)=\mathbb{E}_{u}\left[e^{-\delta\tau}w\left(U_{\tau-},\left|U_{\tau}\right|,U_{T_{N_{\tau}-1}}\right)\mathbbm{1}\left(\tau<+\infty\right)\right]. (2.11)
(3)

Another variable that sometimes appears in the context of the Gerber-Shiu function is the last minimum of the surplus before ruin

U¯τ:=inft[0,τ)Ut,\underline{U}_{\tau-}:=\inf_{t\in[0,\tau)}U_{t}, (2.12)

as in [25, 100]. The corresponding Gerber-Shiu function is given by ϕ(u)=𝔼u[eδτw(Uτ,|Uτ|,U¯τ)𝟙(τ<+)]\phi(u)=\mathbb{E}_{u}[e^{-\delta\tau}w(U_{\tau-},|U_{\tau}|,\underline{U}_{\tau-})\mathbbm{1}(\tau<+\infty)]. Moreover, with this further introduced in (2.11), a generalized Gerber-Shiu function

ϕ(u)=𝔼u[eδτw(Uτ,|Uτ|,UTNτ1,U¯τ)𝟙(τ<+)],\phi(u)=\mathbb{E}_{u}\left[e^{-\delta\tau}w\left(U_{\tau-},\left|U_{\tau}\right|,U_{T_{N_{\tau}-1}},\underline{U}_{\tau-}\right)\mathbbm{1}\left(\tau<+\infty\right)\right], (2.13)

is investigated in [48]. In a similar manner, the maximum surplus level prior to ruin U¯τ:=supt[0,τ)Ut\overline{U}_{\tau-}:=\sup_{t\in[0,\tau)}U_{t} is also incorporated in [46], instead of the running minimum U¯τ\underline{U}_{\tau-}, while a two-sided truncated Gerber–Shiu function is investigated in [196] in the form of

ϕ(u)=𝔼u[eδτw(Uτ,|Uτ|,UTNτ1)𝟙(U¯τ<b,U¯τa,τ<+)],u(a,b],\phi(u)=\mathbb{E}_{u}\left[e^{-\delta\tau}w\left(U_{\tau-},\left|U_{\tau}\right|,U_{T_{N_{\tau}-1}}\right)\mathbbm{1}\left(\overline{U}_{\tau-}<b,\,\underline{U}_{\tau-}\geq a,\,\tau<+\infty\right)\right],\quad u\in(a,b],

for some 0a<b<+0\leq a<b<+\infty.

(4)

The number of claims arriving until ruin NτN_{\tau} is incorporated into the Gerber-Shiu function in [70], as follows:

ϕ(u)=𝔼u[eδτzNτw(|Uτ|)𝟙(τ<+)],\phi(u)=\mathbb{E}_{u}\left[e^{-\delta\tau}z^{N_{\tau}}w\left(\left|U_{\tau}\right|\right)\mathbbm{1}\left(\tau<+\infty\right)\right],

for some |z|<1|z|<1. By setting δ=0\delta=0 and w(x)=1w(x)=1, it reduces to 𝔼u[zNτ𝟙(τ<+)]\mathbb{E}_{u}[z^{N_{\tau}}\mathbbm{1}(\tau<+\infty)], that is, the probability generating function of the number of claims until ruin.

(5)

Further to the formulation (2.10), the joint moment of the total discounted dividends until ruin Dδ(τ):=0τeδt𝑑DtD_{\delta}(\tau):=\int_{0}^{\tau}e^{-\delta t}dD_{t} and aggregate discounted claim costs until ruin Zδ(τ):=k=1NτeδTkf(Yk)Z_{\delta}(\tau):=\sum_{k=1}^{N_{\tau}}e^{-\delta T_{k}}f(Y_{k}) is incorporated in [42], in the form of

ϕ(u)=𝔼u[eδ1τDδ2n(τ)Zδ3m(τ)w(Uτ,|Uτ|)𝟙(τ<+)],u[0,b],\phi(u)=\mathbb{E}_{u}\left[e^{-\delta_{1}\tau}D_{\delta_{2}}^{n}(\tau)Z_{\delta_{3}}^{m}(\tau)w\left(U_{\tau-},\left|U_{\tau}\right|\right)\mathbbm{1}\left(\tau<+\infty\right)\right],\quad u\in[0,b],

for m,n0m,n\in\mathbb{N}_{0}, some discount rates δ1,δ2,δ3\delta_{1},\delta_{2},\delta_{3} and dividend barrier bb. Moreover, we refer the reader to [41] for the Gerber-Shiu function with the joing moment of the total discounted gains and losses in the renewal risk model with two-sided jumps.

2.2.2 Discount factor

Another line of the generalization is formulated by replacing the constant discounting δt\delta t in (2.4) (that is, linear in time) by a stochastic process (say, {δt:t0}\{\delta_{t}:\,t\geq 0\}). One such example is given in [182] with δt=δt+αMt(1)+βMt(2)\delta_{t}=\delta t+\alpha M^{(1)}_{t}+\beta M^{(2)}_{t} for non-negative constants δ\delta, α\alpha and β\beta, a Poisson process {Mt(1):t0}\{M^{(1)}_{t}:\,t\geq 0\} and a Gaussian process {Mt(2):t0}\{M^{(2)}_{t}:\,t\geq 0\}, independent of the surplus process UU. In a different direction, the cases where δ\delta is dependent on the surplus UU have also been of interest. For example, the so-called omega-killing model [108, 115] considers the stochastic discounting δt=0tω(Us)𝑑s\delta_{t}=\int_{0}^{t}\omega(U_{s})ds for a non-negative measurable function ω\omega, in relation to the omega-model [82]. In the Markov additive model (Section 2.3.4), the discount factor is allowed to be dependent on the state of the background Markov chain [88]. As an alternative to the classical exponential discounting as in (2.4), a version of discounting δ1Nt\delta_{1}^{N_{t}} is considered in [189] with respect to the number of claims NtN_{t} for δ1(0,1]\delta_{1}\in(0,1].

2.2.3 Finite time horizon

The computation of the Gerber-Shiu function in a finite time horizon setting is often of realistic interest, as the risk management is usually planned for a short term [73]. As an extension of the early version (2.5), a Gerber-Shiu type function is given by

ϕ(u,T)=𝔼u[w(Uτ)𝟙(τT)+P(Uτ)𝟙(τ>T)],\phi(u,T)=\mathbb{E}_{u}\left[w\left(U_{\tau}\right)\mathbbm{1}\left(\tau\leq T\right)+P\left(U_{\tau}\right)\mathbbm{1}\left(\tau>T\right)\right], (2.14)

for a finite time period T>0T>0 [20, 62], where w()w(\cdot) models the penalty in the case of ruin whereas P()P(\cdot) models the reward for survival. This is further generalized with two variables [107, 121, 122], as in

ϕ(u,T)=𝔼u[eδτw(Uτ,|Uτ|)𝟙(τT)],ϕ¯(u,T)=𝔼u[eδτw(Uτ,|Uτ|)𝟙(τ>T)].\phi(u,T)=\mathbb{E}_{u}\left[e^{-\delta\tau}w\left(U_{\tau-},\left|U_{\tau}\right|\right)\mathbbm{1}\left(\tau\leq T\right)\right],\quad\overline{\phi}(u,T)=\mathbb{E}_{u}\left[e^{-\delta\tau}w\left(U_{\tau-},\left|U_{\tau}\right|\right)\mathbbm{1}\left(\tau>T\right)\right]. (2.15)

The former of (2.15), but with only |Uτ||U_{\tau}| in the penalty function, is discussed in [202]. Its extension with the running minimum U¯τ\underline{U}_{\tau-} as defined in (2.12) as the third argument is considered in [100]. An alternative formulation of the finite-time Gerber-Shiu function

ϕ(u,T)=𝔼u[eδτTw(UτT,UτT)],τT:=τT,\phi(u,T)=\mathbb{E}_{u}\left[e^{-\delta\tau^{T}}w\left(U_{\tau^{T}-},U_{\tau^{T}}\right)\right],\quad\tau^{T}:=\tau\land T, (2.16)

is studied in [73].

The expected total discounted dividends up to ruin is, strictly speaking, not a finite-time problem but can be thought of as its approximation, first discussed in [31] in the form of 𝔼u[0τeδt𝑑Dt]\mathbb{E}_{u}[\int_{0}^{\tau}e^{-\delta t}dD_{t}], where DtD_{t} denotes the accumulated dividend paid up to time tt. Subsequently, the expected discounted total cost up to default is formulated [67], as:

𝔼u[0τeδtl(Ut)𝑑t]=1δ𝔼u[eeδl(Ueδ)𝟙(eδ<τ)],\mathbb{E}_{u}\left[\int_{0}^{\tau}e^{-\delta t}l(U_{t})dt\right]=\frac{1}{\delta}\mathbb{E}_{u}\left[e^{-e_{\delta}}l(U_{e_{\delta}})\mathbbm{1}\left(e_{\delta}<\tau\right)\right], (2.17)

where l:[0,)l:[0,\infty)\to\mathbb{R} and an independent exponential random variable eδe_{\delta} with rate δ=1/T\delta=1/T so that the mean of eδe_{\delta} is equal to TT.

2.3 Surplus processes

We next provide a comprehensive review on the surplus process along with a variety of relevant extensions. We also refer the reader to [16, 101] for details of various risk models.

2.3.1 Cramér-Lundberg models

The most classical risk process, known as the Cramér-Lundberg model introduced in [55, 137], is given by

Ut=u+ctLt,t0,U_{t}=u+ct-L_{t},\quad t\geq 0, (2.18)

which is within the framework (2.1) with LL being a compound Poisson process. More precisely, the process LL is a special case of (2.2) where NN is a Poisson process with rate λ>0\lambda>0 (so that the interclaim times {Sk}k\{S_{k}\}_{k\in\mathbb{N}} are exponentially distributed with mean λ1\lambda^{-1}) and individual claim sizes {Yk}k\{Y_{k}\}_{k\in\mathbb{N}} are independent and identically distributed positive random variables, independent of the interclaim times {Sk}k\{S_{k}\}_{k\in\mathbb{N}}. We note that the two sequences {Sk}k\{S_{k}\}_{k\in\mathbb{N}} and {Yk}k\{Y_{k}\}_{k\in\mathbb{N}} are sometimes assumed dependent [27, 205].

Regarding the claim size YY, the most common choices (because they often lead to analytical expressions) are exponential [9, 104, 116, 130, 205], hyper-exponential [36, 127, 181] and Erlang distributions [7, 192], which are in the class of phase-type distributions (Section 2.3.4). Note that analytical expressions are not available for general claim size YY, whereas renewal theoretic arguments often provide asymptotic results (Section 3.7) that differ depending on whether the claim size distribution is light- or heavy-tailed [16].

2.3.2 Lévy risk model

The Lévy process is a continuous-time stochastic process with independent and stationary increments with càdlàg paths. The class of Lévy processes is a lot richer than the Cramér-Lundberg model (2.18) in the sense that it can accommodate jumps of infinite activity and/or paths of unbounded variation.

In our context, a convenient and concise characterization of the Lévy process can be given in terms of the Laplace exponent. For any Lévy process X={Xt:t0}X=\{X_{t}:\,t\geq 0\}, we denote its Laplace exponent by

ΨX(θ):=log𝔼[eθX1],\displaystyle\Psi_{X}(\theta):=\log\mathbb{E}[e^{\theta X_{1}}], (2.19)

for all θ\theta such that the expression is finite valued. The characteristic exponent (with θ\theta replaced with iθi\theta) always exists and is thus often preferred for the study of general Lévy processes. However, for the study of the Gerber-Shiu function, which usually considers the surplus process with only downward jumps (spectrally negative Lévy processes), it is sufficient in many instances to use the Laplace exponent since then it is well defined for every θ0\theta\geq 0 and uniquely characterizes the marginal law just as the characteristic exponent does. As discussed later in Section 3.4, the so-called scale function plays an important role in the recent study of the Gerber-Shiu function on spectrally negative Lévy processes.

When the surplus process UU is a spectrally negative Lévy process with a finite first moment, it follows from the Lévy-Khintchine formula that

ΨU(θ)=log𝔼[eθU1]=θa+12σ2θ2+0++(eθx1+θx)Π(dx),θ0,\Psi_{U}(\theta)=\log\mathbb{E}[e^{\theta U_{1}}]=\theta a+\frac{1}{2}\sigma^{2}\theta^{2}+\int_{0+}^{+\infty}\left(e^{-\theta x}-1+\theta x\right)\Pi(dx),\quad\theta\geq 0, (2.20)

where aa\in\mathbb{R}, σ0\sigma\geq 0, and the Lévy measure Π\Pi (of the dual process U-U) satisfies the integrability condition (0,+)(1x2)Π(dx)<+\int_{(0,+\infty)}(1\wedge x^{2})\Pi(dx)<+\infty. We note that the term “θx\theta x” in the integrand is usually cut off, like “θx𝟙(x<1)\theta x\mathbbm{1}(x<1),” when the marginal U1U_{1} does not have a finite first moment (that is, 𝔼[U1]=\mathbb{E}[U_{1}]=-\infty). Also, the first moment 𝔼[U1]\mathbb{E}[U_{1}] is often assumed to be strictly positive in the relevant literature, since then the surplus diverges (limt+Ut=+\lim_{t\to+\infty}U_{t}=+\infty, a.s.a.s.) and thus ruin does not always occur ((τ<+)<1\mathbb{P}(\tau<+\infty)<1).

A spectrally negative Lévy process UU is of bounded variation if and only if σ=0\sigma=0 and 0+1xΠ(dx)<+\int_{0+}^{1}x\Pi(dx)<+\infty, with the exponent (2.20) reduces to

ΨU(θ)=cθ+0++(eθx1)Π(dx),θ0,\Psi_{U}(\theta)=c\theta+\int_{0+}^{+\infty}\left(e^{-\theta x}-1\right)\Pi(dx),\quad\theta\geq 0,

with c:=a+0++xΠ(dx)c:=a+\int_{0+}^{+\infty}x\Pi(dx). If, moreover, Π(0,+)<+\Pi(0,+\infty)<+\infty, then it is of finite activity and admits the form (2.1); otherwise (Π(0,+)=+\Pi(0,+\infty)=+\infty), it is said to be of infinite activity.

A Lévy process {Lt:t0}\{L_{t}:\,t\geq 0\} is called a subordinator if its paths are almost surely non-decreasing. With no drift term, its Laplace exponent is then given by

ΨL(θ)=log𝔼[eθL1]=0++(eθx1)Π(dx),\displaystyle\Psi_{L}(\theta)=\log\mathbb{E}[e^{\theta L_{1}}]=\int_{0+}^{+\infty}\left(e^{\theta x}-1\right)\Pi(dx), (2.21)

which is well defined at least for all θ0\theta\leq 0. In particular, if λ=Π(0,+)<+\lambda=\Pi(0,+\infty)<+\infty, a subordinator reduces to a compound Poisson process, like in the Cramér-Lundberg model (2.18). In this case, with FYF_{Y} the distribution of the claim size YY, one can write Π(dx)=λFY(dx)\Pi(dx)=\lambda F_{Y}(dx) on (0,+)(0,+\infty) and thus ΨL(θ)=λ0++(eθx1)FY(dx)=λ(𝔼[eθY1]1)\Psi_{L}(\theta)=\lambda\int_{0+}^{+\infty}(e^{\theta x}-1)F_{Y}(dx)=\lambda(\mathbb{E}[e^{\theta Y_{1}}]-1). Moreover, the Laplace exponent of the surplus process UU in the Cramér-Lundberg model (2.18) can then be written as

ΨU(θ)=log𝔼[eθU1]=cθ+ΨL(θ),\displaystyle\Psi_{U}(\theta)=\log\mathbb{E}\left[e^{\theta U_{1}}\right]=c\theta+\Psi_{L}(-\theta), (2.22)

which is well defined at least for all θ0\theta\geq 0. It is worth mentioning that the negative of a subordinator is usually not categorized in the class of spectrally negative Lévy processes.

2.3.3 Diffusion perturbation

As a generalization of the Cramér-Lundberg model (2.18), its diffusion perturbation has long attracted a great deal of interest in modeling small perturbations caused by measurement errors, deviation of the premiums and claims [16], given by

Ut=u+ctLt+σWt,t0,U_{t}=u+ct-L_{t}+\sigma W_{t},\quad t\geq 0,

with a standard Wiener process W={Wt:t0}W=\{W_{t}:\,t\geq 0\} (see, among others, [20, 50, 122, 123, 135, 180]). This generalization carries over the diffusion component of (2.20) on top of the expression (2.22), with its Laplace exponent given by ΨU(θ)=cθ+12σ2θ2+ΨL(θ)\Psi_{U}(\theta)=c\theta+\frac{1}{2}\sigma^{2}\theta^{2}+\Psi_{L}(-\theta) for θ0\theta\geq 0.

2.3.4 Sparre-Andersen models

The Cramér-Lundberg model (2.18) has also been generalized by employing a more general claim arrival process, rather than using an ordinary Poisson process. One important example in this direction is the Sparre-Andersen risk model [11], given by a modification of (2.18), with the Poisson process {Nt:t0}\{N_{t}:\,t\geq 0\} replaced by a suitable renewal process, whose interclaim times {Sk}k\{S_{k}\}_{k\in\mathbb{N}} form a sequence of iid positive random variables, rather than iid exponential random variables. Again, the inter-claim times {Sk}k\{S_{k}\}_{k\in\mathbb{N}} and claim sizes {Yk}k\{Y_{k}\}_{k\in\mathbb{N}} are usually assumed independent, with some exceptions [21, 141].

The Sparre-Andersen model is in general not analytically tractable, whereas if the interclaim times are of phase-type, then semi-analytical results are often available. A phase-type distribution is concerned with the first absorption time of a finite-state continuous-time Markov chain on a state space, consisting of a finite number of transient states E:={1,2,,n}E:=\{1,2,\cdots,n\} and a single absorbing state. Its initial distribution on the state space EE is given by an nn-dimensional row vector α=(α1,,αn){\bf\alpha}=(\alpha_{1},\cdots,\alpha_{n}), while the transition matrix is given by

(𝐓𝐭00),\left(\begin{array}[]{ll}{\bf T}&{\bf t}\\ 0^{\top}&0\end{array}\right),

where 𝐭:=𝐓𝟏{\bf t}:=-{\bf T}{\bf 1} with the column vector of ones 𝟏\bf 1. The exponential distribution with rate λ>0\lambda>0 is its special case with E={1}E=\{1\}, 𝐓=λ{\bf T}=-\lambda and 𝐭=λ{\bf t}=\lambda. The Erlang distribution with shape parameter nn can be written as a phase-type distribution with E={1,,n}E=\{1,\cdots,n\} with

𝐓ij={λ,if i=j,λ,if j=i+1,0,otherwise,and𝐭i={0,if in,λ,otherwise.{\bf T}_{ij}=\left\{\begin{array}[]{ll}-\lambda,&\text{if }i=j,\\ \lambda,&\text{if }j=i+1,\\ 0,&\textrm{otherwise,}\end{array}\right.\quad\textrm{and}\quad{\bf t}_{i}=\left\{\begin{array}[]{ll}0,&\text{if }i\neq n,\\ \lambda,&\textrm{otherwise.}\end{array}\right.

The hyper-exponential distribution, or a mixture of exponential distributions with rate λi\lambda_{i} for i{1,,n}i\in\{1,\cdots,n\}, is also of phase-type with

𝐓ij={λiif i=j0otherwiseand𝐭i=λi.{\bf T}_{ij}=\left\{\begin{array}[]{ll}-\lambda_{i}&\text{if }i=j\\ 0&\textrm{otherwise}\end{array}\right.\quad\textrm{and}\quad{\bf t}_{i}=\lambda_{i}.

The Coxian distribution is another important class of the phase-type distribution, modeled by a Markov chain with transition matrix of the form

𝐓ij={λi,if i=j,piλi,if j=i+1,0,otherwise,and𝐭i={(1pi)λi,if in,λi,otherwise.{\bf T}_{ij}=\left\{\begin{array}[]{ll}-\lambda_{i},&\text{if }i=j,\\ p_{i}\lambda_{i},&\text{if }j=i+1,\\ 0,&\textrm{otherwise,}\end{array}\right.\quad\textrm{and}\quad{\bf t}_{i}=\left\{\begin{array}[]{ll}(1-p_{i})\lambda_{i},&\text{if }i\neq n,\\ \lambda_{i},&\textrm{otherwise.}\end{array}\right.

It reduces to the (generalized) Erlang and hyperexponential distribution when pi1p_{i}\equiv 1 and pi0p_{i}\equiv 0, respectively. It is known to be almost as general as the phase-type distribution itself, in the sense that every phase-type distribution that can be represented with acyclic Markov chains has an equivalent Coxian representation. A variety of the Sparre-Andersen models in the literature are built with phase-type distributed interclaim times. For example, the Erlang(n) case has been studied in [79, 117, 220].

As an extension, in the stationary Sparre-Andersen model, claims arrive according to a stationary renewal process NN, so that the law of the process {Nt+sNt:s0}\{N_{t+s}-N_{t}:\,s\geq 0\} is invariant in tt [15, Section V.3]. The Gerber-Shiu function on the stationary Sparre-Andersen model can often be written in terms of that on the ordinary Sparre-Andersen model [191]. Another stationary Sparre-Andersen model can be found in [148] in the discrete setting. Other variants of the Sparre-Andersen model include a delayed Sparre-Andersen model [190] and its extensions where the premium ctct in (2.18) is replaced by an independent Poisson process [22] and with a multi-layer dividend strategy [57]. We refer the reader to the monograph [193] for more detail on the Sparre-Andersen model in the context of the Gerber-Shiu function.

2.3.5 Markov additive processes

Renewal processes with phase-type interclaim times are often mathematically tractable owing to its equivalent representation as a Markov-modulated Poisson process [15]. To be more precise, a renewal process can be represented as a Markovian arrival process whose background continuous-time Markov chain is a variant of the one appeared in Section 2.3.4, here with transition matrix 𝐓+𝐭α{\bf T}+{\bf t\bf\alpha} where 𝐓{\bf T} describes the state transition without arrivals and 𝐭α{\bf t\bf\alpha} with arrivals. By generalizing Markov-modulated Poisson processes, the Sparre-Andersen process can be written as a Markov additive process (MAP), which is a bivariate Markov process (U,J)(U,J) where the increments of the surplus process UU are governed by the continuous-time Markov chain JJ in a sense. Conditionally on the state of the Markov chain (say, J=iJ=i\in\mathcal{E}), the surplus process UU evolves as a Lévy process (say, U(i)U^{(i)}), until the Markov chain makes a transition to another state (jj\in\mathcal{E}), at which instant an independent jump specified by the pair (i,j)(i,j) is introduced into the surplus process UU. In the case of the Sparre-Andersen process in the form (2.18) with phase-type interclaim times, the corresponding MAP (U,J)(U,J) can be characterized by the transform

𝔼[eθ(UtU0)𝟙(Jt=j)|J0=i]=(e𝐅(θ)t)i,j,𝐅(θ):=cθ𝕀n+𝐓+𝔼[eθY1]𝐭α,\mathbb{E}\left[e^{\theta(U_{t}-U_{0})}\mathbbm{1}(J_{t}=j)\Big{|}\,J_{0}=i\right]=\left(e^{{\bf F}(\theta)t}\right)_{i,j},\quad{\bf F}(\theta):=c\theta\mathbb{I}_{n}+{\bf T}+\mathbb{E}\left[e^{-\theta Y_{1}}\right]{\bf t\alpha},

for i,ji,j\in\mathcal{E}, t0t\geq 0 and θ0\theta\geq 0, where 𝕀n\mathbb{I}_{n} denotes the identity matrix of order nn. MAPs are first introduced in [13] to model surplus in risk theory. The MAP risk model is flexible enough to handle cases where the claim size as well as the discount factor depend on the state transition (that is, ii and jj) [88]. The Gerber-Shiu function on Markov-modulated Poisson processes has been studied in [16, 119, 135]. A variant of the Gerber-Shiu function incorporating the maximum surplus prior to ruin in a MAP risk model is investigated in [46]. A discrete-time counterpart, the so-called Markov additive chain, has recently been introduced in [146] for addressing the discrete-time Gerber-Shiu function.

We remark that the surplus process can also be analyzed by embedding a fluid queue process [14, 152], based on which the Gerber-Shiu function can be computed when the claims occur according to a Markovian arrival process and the claim size is phase-type distributed [2].

2.3.6 Surplus processes with additional components

The Cramér-Lundberg model (2.18) has been generalized by superimposing a stochastic process {Zt:t0}\{Z_{t}:\,t\geq 0\} onto the surplus process {Ut:t0}\{U_{t}:\,t\geq 0\}, like Ut=u+ctLt+ZtU_{t}=u+ct-L_{t}+Z_{t}, for instance, for modelling additional random income or claims. In fact, the diffusion perturbation (Section 2.3.3) can also be interpreted in this way with Z=σWZ=\sigma W. Other examples in the literature include Poisson [22, 23] and compound Poisson processes [33, 71, 105, 229]. In the presence of upward jumps in the additional component, the resulting surplus process is no longer spectrally negative, while it can still be written as a Markov additive process (Section 2.3.5) as long as the positive jump size distribution is of phase-type [17]. The risk model containing by-claims induced by main claims can be modeled by setting this additional component to the negative of the running sum of by-claims [71, 204, 235].

2.4 Specialized formulations for applications

We close the present section with several practical applications owing to specialized formulations of the surplus process, the penalty function and more generally the Gerber-Shiu function per se, such as tax, dividends and interests (Section 2.4.1), credit default swaps (Section 2.4.2), capital injection (Section 2.4.3) and risk measures (Section 2.4.4).

2.4.1 Tax, dividends and interests

In the Cramér-Lundberg framework, if the surplus earns interest at a constant rate rr, then the risk process can be described [30, 160, 181, 197] as

Ut=uert+c0ters𝑑s0ter(ts)𝑑Ls.U_{t}=ue^{rt}+c\int_{0}^{t}e^{rs}ds-\int_{0}^{t}e^{r(t-s)}dL_{s}. (2.23)

If the insurer is allowed to borrow at a constant force of debit interest r2r_{2} when the surplus becomes negative while interest is earned at a constant rate r1r_{1} otherwise, then the risk process can be written in the form of stochastic differential equation [120]:

dUt=(c+(r1𝟙(Ut0)+r2𝟙(Ut<0))Ut)dtdLt.dU_{t}=\left(c+\left(r_{1}\mathbbm{1}\left(U_{t}\geq 0\right)+r_{2}\mathbbm{1}\left(U_{t}<0\right)\right)U_{t}\right)dt-dL_{t}. (2.24)

The constant force of interest rr is replaced by a suitable stochastic rate in [20, 62, 213]. Tax payment at a fixed rate γ\gamma is incorporated [142] together with a constant debit interest, where the surplus process is modelled as

dUt=(ccγ𝟙(Ut=sups[0,t]Us,Ut0)+r2𝟙(Ut<0)Ut)dtdLt.dU_{t}=\left(c-c\gamma\mathbbm{1}\left(U_{t}=\sup\nolimits_{s\in[0,t]}U_{s},\,U_{t}\geq 0\right)+r_{2}\mathbbm{1}(U_{t}<0)U_{t}\right)dt-dL_{t}. (2.25)

A constant dividend strategy [33, 46, 81, 119, 123, 129, 214], which is only slightly outside the realm of the Cramér-Lundberg framework (2.18), is formulated via the surplus process

dUt=c𝟙(Ut<b)dtdLt,dU_{t}=c\mathbbm{1}\left(U_{t}<b\right)dt-dL_{t}, (2.26)

where any excess of the surplus above a certain level bb is to be paid as dividend. In such dividend strategies, the present value of the total dividends paid up to ruin can be expressed as (2.17), where l(Ut)l(U_{t}) here represents the dividend rate depending on the surplus UtU_{t} [32, 67, 80]. More generally, a reflected process Ut=Xtsups[0,t](Xsb)U_{t}=X_{t}-\sup_{s\in[0,t]}(X_{s}-b) with a general Lévy process XX has attracted attention in the context of de Finetti’s optimal dividend problem, which is concerned with the optimality of such barrier dividend strategies. As another generalization, reflected MAPs have also been investigated [88].

The surplus process (2.26) has been further generalized with layers by replacing the constant barrier bb with a linear barrier b(t)=b0+atb(t)=b_{0}+at [10], where the dynamics is given by dUt=(c𝟙(Ut<b0+at)+a𝟙(Utb0+at))dtdLtdU_{t}=(c\mathbbm{1}(U_{t}<b_{0}+at)+a\mathbbm{1}(U_{t}\geq b_{0}+at))dt-dL_{t}. Other dividend strategies include impulsive dividend strategies [132], resulting in a lower level of the surplus a<ba<b through a dividend payment when it reaches the constant barrier level bb, and the multi-threshold dividend strategy [9, 57, 126, 205, 207, 217], which models the premium rate by a step function of the risk surplus in order to justify the ratio of earnings retention and dividend payments. In the latter strategy, the surplus process is given by dUt=k=1Mck𝟙(Ut[bk1,bk))dtdLtdU_{t}=\sum_{k=1}^{M}c_{k}\mathbbm{1}(U_{t}\in[b_{k-1},b_{k}))dt-dL_{t}, with threshold layers 0=b0<b1<<bM1<bM=+0=b_{0}<b_{1}<\cdots<b_{M-1}<b_{M}=+\infty. A variant driven by a Lévy process is studied in [56] as a generalization of the refracted Lévy process [102]. A related three-barrier model is investigated recently in [216].

We add that in the Sparre-Andersen framework (Section 2.3.4), those formulations have been studied extensively in [39] along with a variety of examples for the generalized Gerber-Shiu function (2.11) where the premium rate depends on the surplus subject to threshold dividend strategy, credit or debit interests, and the absolute ruin problem.

2.4.2 Credit default swaps

The Gerber-Shiu function is closely related to the structural approach of credit risk analysis, which is a major subfield of mathematical and corporate finance, where the default of a firm is defined as the first down-crossing time of the asset price dynamics [161], in a similar manner to how the ruin time τ\tau is defined in (2.3). In particular, the fair premium of a credit default swap (CDS) contract can be expressed in terms of a combination of finite-time Gerber-Shiu functions [83] in a simple case where the recovery rate is a constant, and is further generalized as well when the recovery rate depends on the firm value at bankruptcy.

Consider a defaultable bond with maturity TT of a firm whose asset value dynamics is given by Vt=V0exp(Xt)V_{t}=V_{0}\exp(X_{t}). The driving process Xt(=log(Vt/V0))X_{t}(=\log(V_{t}/V_{0})) in the exponent is often set to a Brownian motion or a Lévy process in the relevant literature. We assume that the firm defaults at the moment when the asset value goes below a certain level, say d(<V0)d(<V_{0}). By setting Ut=u+XtU_{t}=u+X_{t} with u=log(V0/d)u=\log(V_{0}/d), we have that Vt<dV_{t}<d if and only if Ut<0U_{t}<0, and hence the time of default can be written exactly the same as the ruin time (2.3) in the context of the Gerber-Shiu function. That is, the structural model of credit risk has now been reformulated into the Gerber-Shiu framework by interpreting the log asset value as the surplus process.

The main objective of the credit risk research is to evaluate the fair premium, so that the expected cash flow between the protection buyer and seller is zero. This quantity of interest depends on the recovery rate, that is often assumed to be a function of the asset value upon bankruptcy, say R(Uτ)R(U_{\tau}). A protection buyer, aiming to hedge default risk, buys a CDS with constant premium rate P(0,1)P\in(0,1) to receive the 1R(Uτ)1-R(U_{\tau}) fraction of the face value (called default payment) upon default, if it occurs. The counterpart, a protection seller, on the other hand, pays the default payment when default occurs while receiving the premium up to maturity TT or default, whichever comes first. To be fair to both parties, the premium PP should be set in such a way that the net present values of the expected payoffs coincide, that is,

𝔼[0τTeδsP𝑑s]=𝔼[eδτ(1R(Uτ))𝟙(τT)],\mathbb{E}\left[\int_{0}^{\tau\land T}e^{-\delta s}P\,ds\right]=\mathbb{E}\left[e^{-\delta\tau}(1-R(U_{\tau}))\mathbbm{1}(\tau\leq T)\right],

with a constant interest rate δ>0\delta>0. By solving this equation for PP, one finds the fair premium rate PP^{*} in terms of two types of finite-time Gerber-Shiu functions (2.15) and (2.16):

P=𝔼[eδτ(1R(Uτ))𝟙(τT)]δ1𝔼[1eδ(τT)].P^{*}=\frac{\mathbb{E}[e^{-\delta\tau}(1-R(U_{\tau}))\mathbbm{1}(\tau\leq T)]}{\delta^{-1}\mathbb{E}[1-e^{-\delta(\tau\land T)}]}.

It is worth noting that the study of the Gerber-Shiu function has also been very close to other types of research in finance. For example, a risk measure is investigated in [167] in the framework of the Gerber-Shiu function for the evaluation of solvency and default risks in a variety of financial contexts.

2.4.3 Capital injection

Another practical application of the Gerber-Shiu function can be found in the study involving capital injections, which aims to maintain the solvency of the portfolio [65, 145, 159, 211]. Given a surplus process UU and τ\tau, the first time UU goes below zero (which corresponds to the time of ruin in the Gerber-Shiu framework), the capital injection model is designed to inject the capital |Uτ||U_{\tau}| (or more), taken out from an external source, to the company in order to avoid its bankruptcy. By repeatedly receiving capital injection, the company avoids ruin permanently.

Let Z={Zt:t0}Z=\{Z_{t}\,:\,t\geq 0\} be a process that aggregates capital injection in such a way that bankruptcy never occurs, that is, Ut+Zt0U_{t}+Z_{t}\geq 0, a.s.a.s. The primary objective here is to minimize the net present value of the total capital injection 𝔼u[0+eδt𝑑Zt]\mathbb{E}_{u}[\int_{0}^{+\infty}e^{-\delta t}dZ_{t}] over all injection strategy ZZ under the condition Ut+Zt0U_{t}+Z_{t}\geq 0, a.s.a.s., that is, f(u):=infZ𝔼u[0+eδt𝑑Zt]f^{*}(u):=\inf_{Z}\mathbb{E}_{u}[\int_{0}^{+\infty}e^{-\delta t}dZ_{t}]. The minimizer should first inject exactly |Uτ||U_{\tau}| to bring the surplus back up to zero, so that the jump size dZtdZ_{t} then can be kept as small as possible. If the surplus process is time-homogeneous and strongly Markovian, then it holds by the renewal argument that the minimum amount of injection after the first ruin is f(0)f^{*}(0), and thus moreover,

f(u)=𝔼u[eδτ(f(0)+|Uτ|)𝟙(τ<+)],f^{*}(u)=\mathbb{E}_{u}\left[e^{-\delta\tau}\left(f^{*}(0)+|U_{\tau}|\right)\mathbbm{1}(\tau<+\infty)\right],

which is nothing but a combination of the two formulations (2.6) and (2.7) of the Gerber-Shiu function [159].

Closely related to capital injection is reinsurance. For instance, in [145], a capital injection strategy with positive barrier kk is formulated as a minimization problem of the probability of ultimate ruin, modeled by the event that the deficit exceeds kk (and hence the pre-capital-injection surplus downcrosses zero). This formulation is considered as a type of reinsurance contract that restores the insurer’s surplus to a level kk. In a more standard reinsurance policy problem, the objective is set to select an optimal reinsurance contract, or a mapping from the claim size YkY_{k} to the portion the first insurer needs to cover. The drift term there is modified by the reinsurance premium which depends on the contract. Also, in [150], a problem of minimizing the Gerber-Shiu function is addressed over a set of reinsurance strategies in the Cramér-Lundberg model.

2.4.4 Risk measures

The Gerber-Shiu function has also attracted attention in the context of ruin-related risk measures, naturally because bankruptcy is the risk that insurance companies wish to avoid most. For instance, risk measures are developed based on ruin probabilities and applied to the construction of reinsurance strategies, such as a VaR-type risk measure [179] on the Cramér-Lundberg model (2.18): for ϵ(0,1)\epsilon\in(0,1),

ρϵ[Y]:=infu(0,+){u(τ<+)ϵ}=infu(0,+){(supt[0,+){Ltct}>u)>1ϵ},\rho_{\epsilon}[Y]:=\inf_{u\in(0,+\infty)}\left\{\mathbb{P}_{u}(\tau<+\infty)\leq\epsilon\right\}=\inf_{u\in(0,+\infty)}\left\{\mathbb{P}\left(\sup\nolimits_{t\in[0,+\infty)}\left\{L_{t}-ct\right\}>u\right)>1-\epsilon\right\}, (2.27)

with respect to the law of the claim size YY, which returns the minimum initial reserve that keeps the ruin probability less than ϵ\epsilon. It is known [179] that the map (2.27) satisfies the definition of a risk measure in the financial context [12]. This approach has been tailored to the Gerber-Shiu framework [65, 157, 159] for measuring the minimum initial reserve that controls “Gerber-Shiu type” risks, such as total capital injections (Section 2.4.3), whereas those developments do not meet all requirements to be a risk measure in the sense of [12], that is, it is not entirely clear what the “risk” measured (that is, the law of the claim size YY) represents. Most recently, now in line with the framework [12], a dynamic version is developed [167] based on the finite-time Gerber-Shiu function (Section 2.2.3) in the form of the so-called Gerber-Shiu process {ϕt(u,T):t[0,T]}\{\phi_{t}(u,T):\,t\in[0,T]\}, defined by

ϕt(u,T):={𝔼u[eδ(τT)w(X(τT),|XτT|)|t],on {τ>t},+,on {τt},\phi_{t}(u,T):=\begin{cases}\mathbb{E}_{u}[e^{-\delta(\tau\wedge T)}w(X_{(\tau\land T)-},|X_{\tau\wedge T}|)|\,\mathcal{F}_{t}],&\text{on }\{\tau>t\},\\ +\infty,&\text{on }\{\tau\leq t\},\end{cases} (2.28)

where {Xt:t[0,T]}\{X_{t}:\,t\in[0,T]\} denotes a general surplus process with initial state X0=uX_{0}=u and its natural filtration (t)t[0,T](\mathcal{F}_{t})_{t\in[0,T]}. The Gerber-Shiu risk measure is then proposed with respect to time, as follows:

GSt,Tϵ(X):=infz{ϕt(u+z,T)<ϵ},{\rm GS}_{t,T}^{\epsilon}(X):=\inf_{z\in\mathbb{R}}\left\{\phi_{t}(u+z,T)<\epsilon\right\},

which represents the minimum amount to be adjusted at time tt to keep the Gerber-Shiu process less than ϵ\epsilon all the way up to maturity TT. That is, this map measures a dynamic risk in time on the path space of the trajectory XX (for instance, the Skorokhod space 𝔻\mathbb{D} of càdlàg functions). Despite this dynamic risk measure is rich enough to accommodate various practical problems, the computation of the conditional expectation involved in the Gerber-Shiu process (2.28) is not a trivial task as of yet. On the whole, the risk measure in the Gerber-Shiu framework would be an important future line of research deserving of separate investigation.

3 Analytical, semi-analytical and asymptotic methods

In the literature, the evaluation of the Gerber-Shiu function has been tackled quite extensively via a wide variety of analytical, semi-analytical and asymptotic approaches under restrictive conditions imposed in terms of formulation and underlying surplus processes (Section 2), thus often without strict need for numerical approximation, yet at a great sacrifice of richness and versatility of the Gerber-Shiu function. The primary objective of the present section is to complete relevant knowledge ready on the table prior to the main sections on implementation aspects (Sections 4 and 5) by providing a comprehensive survey on the existing theoretical frameworks leading to analytical, semi-analytical and asymptotic expressions.

3.1 Laplace transform of the Gerber-Shiu function

The Laplace transform of the Gerber-Shiu function is often easier to find than the exact expression for the Gerber-Shiu function itself. We review the existing Laplace transform based approaches when the risk process UU is a Lévy process and other related stochastic processes. When UU is a Lévy process, the so-called (Cramér-)Lundberg equation is given by

ΨU(x)=δ,\Psi_{U}(x)=\delta, (3.1)

where δ0\delta\geq 0 and ΨU\Psi_{U} is the Laplace exponent defined in Section 2.3.2. The largest non-negative solution Φ(δ)\Phi(\delta) to the Lundberg equation (that is, ΨU(Φ(δ))=δ\Psi_{U}(\Phi(\delta))=\delta) is an important quantity, whose role will be made clear in what follows. We remark that (negative) solutions to the Lundberg equation (3.1) are often assumed to be all distinct, as opposed to the fact that there may exist a (negative) solution of multiplicity greater than one. This simple-root assumption is not restrictive in practice, that is, when the Laplace exponent ΨU\Psi_{U} is a rational function, since then there can exist only a finite number of non-negative constants δ\delta with which the Lundberg equation (3.1) has a solution of multiplicity greater than one [99, Proposition 5.4]. For more detail on such exceptions, we refer the reader to, for instance, [17, 104].

3.1.1 Cramér-Lundberg and Lévy models

The Laplace transform is closely related to the (integro-)differential equation, which can be derived in various manners. One approach is to use the fact that the discounted and killed process {eδ(tτ)ϕ(Utτ):t0}\{e^{-\delta(t\wedge\tau)}\phi(U_{t\wedge\tau}):\,t\geq 0\} is a local martingale. If the Gerber-Shiu function ϕ\phi is sufficiently smooth for the Ito formula, the Lundberg equation (3.1) yields the identity 𝒜ϕ(u)=δϕ(u)\mathcal{A}\phi(u)=\delta\phi(u), where 𝒜\mathcal{A} is the infinitesimal generator of the Lévy process UU. This approach relies on the differentiability of the Gerber-Shiu function ϕ\phi (typically depending on the path variation), which holds true in many instances [16, Chapter XII.2].

As for the Cramér-Lundberg model (2.18), a more intuitive derivation is available. By conditioning on the time and amount of the first claim before time h(>0)h(>0) (provided that there is such a claim), we obtain

ϕ(u)=e(δ+λ)hϕ(u+ch)+0hλe(λ+δ)t[0u+ctϕ(u+ctx)pY(x)𝑑x+u+ct+w(u+ct,xuct)pY(x)𝑑x]𝑑t,\displaystyle\phi(u)=e^{-(\delta+\lambda)h}\phi(u+ch)+\int_{0}^{h}\lambda e^{-(\lambda+\delta)t}\left[\int_{0}^{u+ct}\phi(u+ct-x)p_{Y}(x)dx+\int_{u+ct}^{+\infty}w(u+ct,x-u-ct)p_{Y}(x)dx\right]dt, (3.2)

where cc and λ\lambda denote the constant premium rate and the unit-time intensity of the homogeneous Poisson process in (2.18). Hereafter, we assume that the claim size YY admits a density pYp_{Y} so that FY(dx)=pY(x)dxF_{Y}(dx)=p_{Y}(x)dx on (0,+)(0,+\infty) for convenience. By differentiating (3.2) with respect to hh at 0+0+, we obtain

(λ+δ)ϕ(u)+cϕ(u)+λ0uϕ(ux)pY(x)𝑑x+λu+w(u,xu)pY(x)𝑑x=0.-(\lambda+\delta)\phi(u)+c\phi^{\prime}(u)+\lambda\int_{0}^{u}\phi(u-x)p_{Y}(x)dx+\lambda\int_{u}^{+\infty}w(u,x-u)p_{Y}(x)dx=0. (3.3)

Taking the Laplace transform on both sides of the integro-differential equation (3.3) yields the Laplace transform of the Gerber-Shiu function ϕ(s)=0+esuϕ(u)𝑑u\mathcal{L}\phi(s)=\int_{0}^{+\infty}e^{-su}\phi(u)du. In particular, we obtain, for s>Φ(δ)s>\Phi(\delta),

ϕ(s)=λ(ω(Φ(δ))ω(s))cs+λ(𝔼[esY1]1)δ,\mathcal{L}\phi(s)=\frac{\lambda\left(\mathcal{L}\omega(\Phi(\delta))-\mathcal{L}\omega(s)\right)}{cs+\lambda(\mathbb{E}[e^{-sY_{1}}]-1)-\delta},

where ω(s):=0+esuu+w(u,xu)pY(x)𝑑x𝑑u\omega(s):=\int_{0}^{+\infty}e^{-su}\int_{u}^{+\infty}w(u,x-u)p_{Y}(x)dxdu. Here, we recall that Φ(δ)\Phi(\delta) is the unique non-negative solution to the Lundberg equation (3.1), or more precisely in this case,

λ(𝔼[eΦ(δ)Y1]1)+cΦ(δ)δ=0.\lambda\left(\mathbb{E}\left[e^{-\Phi(\delta)Y_{1}}\right]-1\right)+c\Phi(\delta)-\delta=0. (3.4)

We note that the Dickson-Hipp operator [60, 116] has often been involved in the computation of the Laplace transform of the Gerber-Shiu function.

After its first development [78] for the Cramér-Lundberg model (2.18), the Laplace transform based method has been employed, extended and improved in a wide variety of problem settings. Some examples include dependence between interclaim arrivals and claim sizes [27, 141] together with perturbation [224], perturbation with two-sided jumps [226], perturbation and investment with penalty and reward in a finite time [20], delayed claims induced by main claims [204, 235], random income modeled by a compound Poisson process [8] and additionally with delayed-claims [71, 232], constant interests that can be positive or negative [160], capital injection restoring the surplus to a certain level [61], a finite-time problem with and without perturbation [121, 122], and a generalized stochastic income with additional discounting [189]. Those studies succeed to obtain the the Laplace transform of the Gerber-Shiu function, or even the Gerber-Shiu function itself in explicit form by the inverse Laplace transform.

3.1.2 Advanced models

The Laplace transform of the Gerber-Shiu function has also been investigated for the Sparre-Andersen model (Section 2.3.4). The interclaim time distributions in this context include Erlang(2) [38, 177], a mixture of exponential distributions [79], a mixture of an exponential distribution and an Erlang(n) distribution [86], KnK_{n} distribution [118], phase-type distributions [91], and two classes of claims whose counting processes are independent Poisson and generalized Erlang(n) processes [220]. A generalized Erlang(n) risk process with perturbation is investigated in [117]. As for the claim size, one finds models with arbitrary interclaim time distribution and a Coxian claim-size distribution [109], and phase-type interclaim times and claim-size distributions in the rational family [171] with an additional multi-layer dividend strategy [92]. Additional features have been introduced into the risk model, such as dependent interclaim times and claim amounts with perturbation [1, 227], stochastic premium income [229], stochastic interest force modeled by drifted Brownian model in combination with Poisson-Geometric process [85], and two classes of claims modelled by compound Poisson and Erlang(2) renewal risk processes with a two-step premium rate under a threshold dividend strategy [136], and a renewal risk model with delayed claim reporting time whose surplus earns a constant interest [66].

On the risk model with claim times given by Markov-modulated Poisson processes, the Laplace transform is investigated with perturbation [135], distributed claim amounts in the rational family [119], and delayed by-claims with random (exponentially distributed) premiums [162]. Finally, the Laplace transform of the Gerber-Shiu function has been derived in closed form for a Markov-dependent risk model [3] with a multi-layer dividend strategy and rational family claim-size distribution [231] and for a MAP risk model with a threshold dividend strategy [37], and for a Markov‐modulated Lévy risk model with two‐sided jumps [140].

3.2 Defective renewal equations

The integro-differential equation (3.3) can be rewritten as a (defective) renewal equation. In what follows, we review relevant results on a variety of risk models.

3.2.1 Cramér-Lundberg model

Along the line of Section 3.1, we review the derivation of defective renewal equations [78] with a focus on the Cramér-Lundberg model (2.18). First, we multiply the integro-differential equation (3.3) with eΦ(δ)ue^{-\Phi(\delta)u}, differentiate and rearrange terms to arrive at the exponentially-tilted Gerber-Shiu function ϕΦ(δ)(u):=eΦ(δ)uϕ(u)\phi_{\Phi(\delta)}(u):=e^{-\Phi(\delta)u}\phi(u), that solves the integro-differential equation:

cϕΦ(δ)(u)=λ𝔼[eΦ(δ)Y1]ϕΦ(δ)(u)λ0uϕΦ(δ)(x)eΦ(δ)(ux)pY(ux)𝑑xλeΦ(δ)u0+w(u,x)pY(u+x)𝑑x,c\phi_{\Phi(\delta)}^{\prime}(u)=\lambda\mathbb{E}\left[e^{-\Phi(\delta)Y_{1}}\right]\phi_{\Phi(\delta)}(u)-\lambda\int_{0}^{u}\phi_{\Phi(\delta)}(x)e^{-\Phi(\delta)(u-x)}p_{Y}(u-x)dx-\lambda e^{-\Phi(\delta)u}\int_{0}^{+\infty}w(u,x)p_{Y}(u+x)dx, (3.5)

where we have applied the definition of the solution Φ(δ)\Phi(\delta) to the Lundberg equation (3.4). We integrate the integro-differential equation (3.5) on the interval [0,z][0,z] for z0z\geq 0 and divide by λ\lambda to obtain

cλ(ϕΦ(δ)(z)ϕΦ(δ)(0))=0zϕΦ(δ)(x)zx+eΦ(δ)ypY(y)𝑑y𝑑x0zeΦ(δ)u0+w(u,x)pY(u+x)𝑑x𝑑u.\frac{c}{\lambda}\left(\phi_{\Phi(\delta)}(z)-\phi_{\Phi(\delta)}(0)\right)=\int_{0}^{z}\phi_{\Phi(\delta)}(x)\int_{z-x}^{+\infty}e^{-\Phi(\delta)y}p_{Y}(y)dydx-\int_{0}^{z}e^{-\Phi(\delta)u}\int_{0}^{+\infty}w(u,x)p_{Y}(u+x)dxdu. (3.6)

In the limit z+z\to+\infty, the first terms in both sides of (3.6) vanish, hence resulting in

ϕΦ(δ)(0)=λc0+eΦ(δ)u0+w(u,x)pY(u+x)𝑑x𝑑u.\phi_{\Phi(\delta)}(0)=\frac{\lambda}{c}\int_{0}^{+\infty}e^{-\Phi(\delta)u}\int_{0}^{+\infty}w(u,x)p_{Y}(u+x)dxdu. (3.7)

By substituting (3.7) into (3.6) and then multiplying by eΦ(δ)ze^{\Phi(\delta)z} to cancel out the exponential tilting in ϕΦ(δ)\phi_{\Phi(\delta)}, we get the defective renewal equation

ϕ(z)=λc0zϕ(x)zx+eΦ(δ)(zxy)pY(y)dydx+λcz+eΦ(δ)(zu)0+w(u,x)pY(u+x)dxdu=:(ϕg)(z)+h(z),\phi(z)=\frac{\lambda}{c}\int_{0}^{z}\phi(x)\int_{z-x}^{+\infty}e^{\Phi(\delta)(z-x-y)}p_{Y}(y)dydx+\frac{\lambda}{c}\int_{z}^{+\infty}e^{\Phi(\delta)(z-u)}\int_{0}^{+\infty}w(u,x)p_{Y}(u+x)dxdu=:(\phi\ast g)(z)+h(z), (3.8)

where g(z):=(λ/c)z+eΦ(δ)(yz)pY(y)𝑑yg(z):=(\lambda/c)\int_{z}^{+\infty}e^{-\Phi(\delta)(y-z)}p_{Y}(y)dy and h(z):=(λ/c)z+0+eΦ(δ)(uz)w(u,x)pY(u+x)𝑑x𝑑uh(z):=(\lambda/c)\int_{z}^{+\infty}\int_{0}^{+\infty}e^{-\Phi(\delta)(u-z)}w(u,x)p_{Y}(u+x)dxdu for z0z\geq 0. Its solution ϕ\phi can then be computed using renewal theoretic methods. For example, it can be written as Neumann series

ϕ(u)=k=0+hgk(u),u(0,+),\phi(u)=\sum_{k=0}^{+\infty}h\ast g^{\ast k}(u),\quad u\in(0,+\infty), (3.9)

where gkg^{\ast k} denotes the kkth order convolution for the function gg. By solving the defective renewal equation (3.8), the solution is found in terms of a compound geometric distribution in [127], as well as closed form expressions are derived in [128] for several ruin quantities, such as the joint and marginal moments of the time of ruin, the surplus before the time of ruin, and the deficit at the time of ruin.

3.2.2 Lévy risk models

Defective renewal equations have been derived for the Gerber-Shiu function on Lévy risk models (Section 2.3.2) and their perturbations (Section 2.3.3) as well, such as those involving perturbation [180], a threshold dividend strategy [125], a multi-threshold dividend strategy [126] with additional perturbation [50, 208], two-sided jumps [226], random premium modeled by a Poisson or compound Poisson process [23, 105], along with delayed claims [232], constant interest and liquid reserves [30], delayed claims induced by main claims [204, 235], impulsive dividends [132], and stochastic discount rates modeled by Poisson or Gaussian processes [182]. The dependence structure between interclaim times and claim amounts is investigated in [27] and also in [224] for the case of additional perturbation. Other examples include a constant dividend barrier and stochastic premium modeled by a compound Poisson process with exponentially distributed claim amounts [234] and a multi-layer dividend strategy [205]. Further variants can be found, such as (2.8) with the nn-th moment of ruin time [155] and (2.11) incorporating the surplus level immediately after the second last claim before ruin UTNτ1U_{T_{N_{\tau}-1}} [47]. For perturbed compound Poisson risk models, a defective renewal equation of the simpler version (2.5) is derived in [75]. Explicit expressions for several ruin quantities are derived in [154] by solving this defective renewal equation. An extension of the Gerber-Shiu type function (2.10) is found [130] to satisfy a suitable defective renewal equation.

For a perturbed risk process driven by a subordinator, the Gerber-Shiu function satisfies a defective renewal equation solved by a Laplace transform method [144]. For a risk process driven by a subordinator, the renewal equation of the Gerber-Shiu function is obtained and its solution is expressed as an infinite series in [74]. In addition, the case with both positive and negative jumps is studied in [228]. Those findings are further extended to more general Lévy risk models in [26]. A defective renewal equation for the expression (2.17) is obtained for a spectrally negative Lévy risk model [67].

3.2.3 Sparre-Andersen models

For the Sparre-Andersen model (Section 2.3.4), defective renewal equations have been derived when the interclaim times are Erlang(2) [38], Erlang(n) [116], and KnK_{n} distributed [118]. Defective renewal equations can be found for the compound binomial model [106] and for a general Sparre-Andersen model with both positive and negative claim values [104]. Renewal type equations are derived even when additional structural features are introduced, for example, a delayed renewal model [194], a discrete-time renewal process with time-dependent claim sizes [195], a Sparre-Andersen model involving a multi-layer dividend policy [207], random claims or income modeled by a compound Poisson process [33, 229] along with perturbation and dependence between interclaim times and claim amounts [1, 227], a two-step premium rate under a threshold dividend strategy [136], and a stochastic discount rate modeled by a Brownian motion and a Poisson-Geometric process [85]. Defective renewal equations are derived for variants of the Gerber-Shiu function driven by a Sparre-Andersen process, such as (2.10) with general interclaim times [43], the formulation (2.11) with Coxian-distributed interclaim times and mixed Erlang-distributed claim amounts [192] or with two-sided jumps [223], and the formulation (2.13) with dependent interclaim times and claim sizes [48].

3.2.4 MAP risk models

For MAP risk models (Section 2.3.5), defective renewal equations are obtained and solved for the ordinary Gerber-Shiu function with claim amounts of phase type that can be correlated with the interclaim times [2], for the variant (2.13) including the last minimum before ruin U¯τ\underline{U}_{\tau-} defined in (2.12) and the surplus level immediately after the second last claim before ruin UTNτ1U_{T_{N_{\tau}-1}} [44], for the quantity (2.17), which can be rewritten as the Gerber-Shiu function if the cost function is set appropriately [40, 68].

3.3 Boundary value problems

Integro-differential equations with suitable boundary conditions can be employed for studying dividend barriers (Section 2.4.1). Here, we review a representative example [129] of the Gerber-Shiu function, which we denote by ϕb(u)\phi_{b}(u), on the Cramér-Lundberg model (2.18) driven by the reflected process (2.26) with a constant dividend barrier b>0b>0. First, by conditioning on the time of the first claim, we obtain the integral equation

ϕb(u)=0(bu)/cλe(λ+δ)tγb(u+ct)𝑑t+(bu)/c+e(λ+δ)tγb(b)𝑑t,u[0,b],\phi_{b}(u)=\int_{0}^{(b-u)/c}\lambda e^{-(\lambda+\delta)t}\gamma_{b}(u+ct)dt+\int_{(b-u)/c}^{+\infty}e^{-(\lambda+\delta)t}\gamma_{b}(b)dt,\quad u\in[0,b], (3.10)

where γb(t):=0tϕb(ty)pY(y)𝑑y+ζ(t)\gamma_{b}(t):=\int_{0}^{t}\phi_{b}(t-y)p_{Y}(y)dy+\zeta(t) and ζ(t):=t+w(t,yt)pY(y)𝑑y\zeta(t):=\int_{t}^{+\infty}w(t,y-t)p_{Y}(y)dy. Differentiating (3.10) with respect to uu yields

ϕb(u)=λc0uϕb(uy)pY(y)𝑑y+λ+δcϕb(u)λcζ(u),u(0,b).\phi^{\prime}_{b}(u)=-\frac{\lambda}{c}\int_{0}^{u}\phi_{b}(u-y)p_{Y}(y)dy+\frac{\lambda+\delta}{c}\phi_{b}(u)-\frac{\lambda}{c}\zeta(u),\quad u\in(0,b). (3.11)

To complete this integro-differential equation properly, we impose the Neumann boundary condition ϕb(b)=0\phi^{\prime}_{b}(b)=0.

A variety of boundary conditions can be found in the literature embedded in the surplus process. In the Cramér-Lundberg model (2.18), relevant Gerber-Shiu functions can be represented as suitable boundary value problems in [129], [10, 138] and [9], respectively, with constant, linear and multi-layer dividend barriers in accordance with the formulations given in Section 2.4.1. In particular, solutions are available explicitly for exponential/hyper-exponential claim sizes with some penalty functions, for instance, w(x,y)=1w(x,y)=1. An extension to debit interest and tax payments (2.25) is investigated in [142], where the Gerber-Shiu function is expressed in closed form on some penalty functions and claim size distributions.

With a constant dividend barrier, the Gerber-Shiu function is investigated on the Cramér-Lundberg model [125, 129] via the dividends-penalty identity ϕb(u)=ϕ(u)ϕ(u)Vb(u)\phi_{b}(u)=\phi(u)-\phi^{\prime}(u)V_{b}(u), where Vb(u)V_{b}(u) denotes the expected present value of all dividends paid until ruin. The dividends-penalty identity is also valid for the Cramér-Lundberg model with constant interest [214], a two-step premium rate [217], a stationary Markov risk process with only downward jumps [76], and a MAP risk model [134] with additional perturbation [45] or a special claim amount distribution [131].

A combination of credit and debit interests (2.24) is studied in [120], where an analytic expression is derived for the Gerber-Shiu function of the simpler type (that is, w(x,y)=w(y)w(x,y)=w(y)) with exponential claim amounts. In the Cramér-Lundberg model with randomized observation periods [5], the Gerber-Shiu function solves a certain boundary value problem and is found in closed form for claims with rational Laplace transform, again when the penalty function w(x,y)w(x,y) is independent of xx. Various structural features have been investigated in this context, for example, additional perturbation and a constant dividend barrier with claim sizes of rational transform [123], with a two-step premium rate allowing business after ruin occurs [72], perturbation and a constant interest with a periodic barrier dividend strategy [209], claim amounts of phase type [36], and a constant interest when the penalty function is independent of xx [181]. Other features investigated include an additional stochastic premium modeled by a compound Poisson process with multiple layers [151], a hybrid dividend strategy [58], a stochastic interest modeled by a drifted Brownian motion and a compound Poisson process [183], and stochastic volatility driven by an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process [53]. Moreover, optimal reinsurance strategies are formulated as a minimization problem of the Gerber-Shiu function, which corresponds to a unique solution of the Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman equation with boundary conditions [150].

Finally, an algebraic operator approach is developed to solve the boundary value problem leading to an analytic expression for the Gerber-Shiu function on a Sparre-Andersen model [7], and has been extended to tackle the integro-differential equation with variable-coefficients for a Sparre-Andersen model with a surplus dependent premium rate when both claim and interclaim time distributions have rational Laplace transforms [6]. Yet other boundary value problems can be found in [218] for an Erlang(n) risk model with two-sided jumps and a constant dividend barrier and in [114] for a MAP risk model with a multi-layer dividend strategy and constant interest and debit rates.

3.4 Scale functions

The scale function has become an indispensable tool for spectrally negative Lévy risk models (Section 2.3.2). Recall that the Laplace exponent of a spectrally negative Lévy risk process {Ut:t0}\{U_{t}:\,t\geq 0\} is defined by ΨU(θ):=log𝔼[eθU1]\Psi_{U}(\theta):=\log\mathbb{E}[e^{\theta U_{1}}] and Φ(δ)\Phi(\delta) denotes the unique non-negative solution to the Lundberg equation (3.1), satisfying ΨU(Φ(δ))=δ\Psi_{U}(\Phi(\delta))=\delta. For every δ0\delta\geq 0, the δ\delta-scale function W(δ):[0,)W^{(\delta)}:\mathbb{R}\to[0,\infty) is defined as W(δ)(x)=0W^{(\delta)}(x)=0 if x<0x<0 and otherwise an increasing and continuous function on [0,+)[0,+\infty) satisfying

0+eθxW(δ)(x)𝑑x=1ΨU(θ)δ,θ>Φ(δ).\int_{0}^{+\infty}e^{-\theta x}W^{(\delta)}(x)dx=\frac{1}{\Psi_{U}(\theta)-\delta},\quad\theta>\Phi(\delta).

The Gerber-Shiu function can be interpreted as a generalization of the scale function. In contrast to the scale function W(δ)W^{(\delta)}, which is a δ\delta-harmonic function for the process UU (stopped at the first entrance into the negative half-line) and is zero valued on the negative half-line, the Gerber-Shiu function is an inhomogeneous version of the scale function with nonzero penalty on the negative half-line [18, 19]. We refer the reader to [99] for a comprehensive review of the scale function.

In the context of the Gerber-Shiu function, the scale function plays an important role, because the Gerber-Shiu function can be expressed in terms of the scale function for the spectrally negative Lévy risk model [25]. For instance, the scale function is rich enough to incorporate the last minimum of the surplus before ruin:

ϕ(u)=𝔼u[eδτw(Uτ,|Uτ|,U¯τ)𝟙(τ<+)]=(0,+)3𝟙(xz)w(x,y,z)Ku(δ)(dx,dy,dz),\phi(u)=\mathbb{E}_{u}\left[e^{-\delta\tau}w\left(U_{\tau-},|U_{\tau}|,\underline{U}_{\tau-}\right)\mathbbm{1}\left(\tau<+\infty\right)\right]=\int_{(0,+\infty)^{3}}\mathbbm{1}\left(x\geq z\right)w(x,y,z)K_{u}^{(\delta)}(dx,dy,dz), (3.12)

where the measure in (3.12) is defined by

Ku(δ)(dx,dy,dz):=eΦ(δ)(xz)[(/x)W(δ)(uz)Φ(δ)W(δ)(uz)]Π(dy+x)dxdz.K_{u}^{(\delta)}(dx,dy,dz):=e^{\Phi(\delta)(x-z)}\left[(\partial/\partial x)W^{(\delta)}(u-z)-\Phi(\delta)W^{(\delta)}(u-z)\right]\Pi(dy+x)dxdz.

Here, the derivative (/x)W(δ)(\partial/\partial x)W^{(\delta)} is understood to be the right derivative (which always exists) when the left derivative does not exist. Hence, the evaluation of the resulting Gerber-Shiu function may require numerical approximation, such as the computation of the scale function W(δ)(x)W^{(\delta)}(x) and then its numerical integration (3.12) [19, 25, 73].

The scale function can be obtained by the partial fraction decomposition when the Laplace exponent ΨU(θ)\Psi_{U}(\theta) is a rational function, such as the cases of finite activity with claim sizes of phase type [25, 99]. Moreover, the scale function can be represented as an infinite series for certain risk models, such as the Cramér-Lundberg model perturbed by an independent Brownian motion [111] and α\alpha-stable motion [98], and a meromorphic spectrally negative process [100]. Other surplus processes on which the scale function can be expressed in closed form are tempered stable process and spectrally negative Lévy processes without Gaussian components [25, 99].

The Gerber-Shiu function can be written in terms of the scale function for the reflected Cramér-Lundberg risk model with a constant dividend barrier [230], and the Cramér-Lundberg risk model perturbed by a spectrally negative α\alpha-stable motion [98]. For spectrally negative Lévy risk processes with completely monotone Lévy densities, the Gerber-Shiu function can be approximated by fitting hyper-exponential distributions [99, 206].

Special structures covered in the Lévy risk model include Parisian ruin [133], the finite time problem (2.16) in [73], those involving the running infimum U¯τ\underline{U}_{\tau-} in [100], and a total cost up to default (2.17) in [67], where the Gerber-Shiu function is expressed in terms of the scale function. Further extensions of the standard Gerber-Shiu function is investigated in [184] on spectrally negative Lévy processes, with the ordinary ruin time (2.3) replaced with a drawdown time, or the moment when the surplus process declines from the peak to the subsequent trough. In there, various quantities are expressed in terms of the scale function, such as the joint distribution of the drawdown time, the running maximum and last minimum before drawdown, and the surplus before and at drawdown. Both Parisian ruin and drawdown time are investigated in [215] for a spectrally negative Lévy risk model.

Finally, a matrix version of the scale function, called the scale matrix, has been employed for MAPs in an analogous manner to the scale function for Lévy processes [68, 88, 103]. The scale matrix can be evaluated analytically in some instances [89]. The (discrete-time) scale matrix for Markov additive chains is introduced in [146]. In addition, the scale matrix has been found useful for the computation of the Gerber-Shiu function [147] for the case with two-sided jumps using the technique known as fluid embedding.

3.5 Recursive representations

On the Cramér-Lundberg model with a stochastic interest, the Gerber-Shiu function can be represented as an infinite series ϕ(u)=nϕn(u)\phi(u)=\sum_{n\in\mathbb{N}}\phi_{n}(u), where the expected penalty function at the nn-th claim ϕn(u):=𝔼u[eδτw(Uτ,|Uτ|)𝟙(τ=Tn)]\phi_{n}(u):=\mathbb{E}_{u}[e^{-\delta\tau}w(U_{\tau-},|U_{\tau}|)\mathbbm{1}(\tau=T_{n})] can be obtained recursively [213] as

ϕn+1(u)=0+dx0xB(u,x)pY(xy)ϕn(y))dy,n,\phi_{n+1}(u)=\int_{0}^{+\infty}dx\int_{0}^{x}B(u,x)p_{Y}(x-y)\phi_{n}(y))dy,\quad n\in\mathbb{N},

starting with ϕ1(u):=0+𝑑x0B(u,x)pY(xy)w(x,y)𝑑y\phi_{1}(u):=\int_{0}^{+\infty}dx\int_{-\infty}^{0}B(u,x)p_{Y}(x-y)w(x,-y)dy, for a suitable function B(u,x)B(u,x). A similar approach is taken [197] for representing the Gerber-Shiu function on the Sparre-Andersen risk model with constant interest rr by recursion:

ϕn(u)={u+𝑑x0w(x,|y|)(ru+crx+c)δ/rk(1rlogru+crx+c)pY(xy)rx+c𝑑y,if n=1,u+𝑑x0x(ru+crx+c)δ/rk(1rlogru+crx+c)pY(xy)rx+cϕn1(y)𝑑y,if n{2,3,},\phi_{n}(u)=\begin{dcases}\int_{u}^{+\infty}dx\int_{-\infty}^{0}w(x,|y|)\left(\frac{ru+c}{rx+c}\right)^{\delta/r}k\left(\frac{1}{r}\log\frac{ru+c}{rx+c}\right)\frac{p_{Y}(x-y)}{rx+c}dy,&\text{if }n=1,\\ \int_{u}^{+\infty}dx\int_{0}^{x}\left(\frac{ru+c}{rx+c}\right)^{\delta/r}k\left(\frac{1}{r}\log\frac{ru+c}{rx+c}\right)\frac{p_{Y}(x-y)}{rx+c}\phi_{n-1}(y)dy,&\text{if }n\in\{2,3,\cdots\},\end{dcases}

for r>0r>0, where k(t)k(t) is the probability density function of iid interclaim times. We refer the reader to [96, 197] for further detail, also about the case r=0r=0, as well as to [112, 113] for dependent Sparre-Andersen models.

For the Cramér-Lundberg model, a recursive relation is derived in [128] on the nn-th moment of the time of ruin 𝔼u[τn|τ<+]=ψn(u)/ψ(u)\mathbb{E}_{u}[\tau^{n}|\tau<+\infty]=\psi_{n}(u)/\psi(u), where ψn(u)\psi_{n}(u) is given recursively by

ψn(u)=nλθ𝔼[Y][0uψ(ux)ψn1(x)𝑑x+u+ψn1(x)𝑑xψ(u)0+ψn1(x)𝑑x],n,\psi_{n}(u)=\frac{n}{\lambda\theta\mathbb{E}[Y]}\left[\int_{0}^{u}\psi(u-x)\psi_{n-1}(x)dx+\int_{u}^{+\infty}\psi_{n-1}(x)dx-\psi(u)\int_{0}^{+\infty}\psi_{n-1}(x)dx\right],\quad n\in\mathbb{N},

starting with ψ0(u)=ψ(u)=u(τ<+)\psi_{0}(u)=\psi(u)=\mathbb{P}_{u}(\tau<+\infty), where θ\theta here denotes the relative security loading. More generally, the Gerber-Shiu function involving the nn-th moment (2.8), say, ϕn(u):=𝔼u[τneδτw(Uτ,|Uτ|)𝟙(τ<+)]\phi_{n}(u):=\mathbb{E}_{u}[\tau^{n}e^{-\delta\tau}w(U_{\tau-},|U_{\tau}|)\mathbbm{1}(\tau<+\infty)], can also be represented recursively [155] as

ϕn(u)=ncTΦ(δ)ϕn1(u)+nc0uH(ux)TΦ(δ)ϕn1(x)𝑑x,n,\phi_{n}(u)=\frac{n}{c}T_{\Phi(\delta)}\phi_{n-1}(u)+\frac{n}{c}\int_{0}^{u}H(u-x)T_{\Phi(\delta)}\phi_{n-1}(x)dx,\quad n\in\mathbb{N},

where ϕ0(u)\phi_{0}(u) reduces to the standard Gerber-Shiu function (2.4), and Tsf(x):=x+es(yx)f(y)𝑑yT_{s}f(x):=\int_{x}^{+\infty}e^{-s(y-x)}f(y)dy, which is known as the Dickson-Hipp operator.

Finally, also for discrete models, the Gerber-Shiu function can be represented by recursion on discrete-time risk models whose surplus can be discrete as well, such as a discrete-time Sparre-Andersen model with a general interclaim time distribution [200] or with time-dependent claims [195], a discrete-time integer-valued time-homogeneous Markov chain risk model [81], a discrete-time compound binomial risk model whose claims are not identically distributed in finite time horizon [24], and a discrete-time compound beta-binomial model with delayed claims and randomized dividends [156].

3.6 Distributional methods

The Gerber-Shiu function can be expressed in terms of the joint distribution of random elements involved. For instance, with f(x,y,t|u)f(x,y,t|u) the joint probability density function of the random vector (Uτ,|Uτ|,τ)(U_{\tau-},|U_{\tau}|,\tau) given U0=uU_{0}=u, the Gerber-Shiu function (2.4) can be written as

ϕ(u)=𝔼u[eδτw(Uτ,|Uτ|)𝟙(τ<+)]=0+0+0+eδtw(x,y)f(x,y,t|u)𝑑x𝑑y𝑑t,\phi(u)=\mathbb{E}_{u}\left[e^{-\delta\tau}w(U_{\tau-},|U_{\tau}|)\mathbbm{1}(\tau<+\infty)\right]=\int_{0}^{+\infty}\int_{0}^{+\infty}\int_{0}^{+\infty}e^{-\delta t}w(x,y)f(x,y,t|u)dxdydt,

so that all further analyses can focus on the joint density function. This approach is introduced for the first time in [77] on the Cramér-Lundberg model, where its joint density function is shown to solve a certain renewal equation. The relevant joint density function is investigated [198] for extensions with the time of the surplus leaving zero ultimately provided that the surplus process still continues even after it falls below zero, and is further split into two density functions depending on whether ruin is caused by the very first claim or any subsequent ones [110]. Additional structural features investigated in the literature are a constant interest [199], dependent interclaim times and claim amounts on the formulation (2.5) [21], the finite time horizon [59], and a perturbation under a multi-layer dividend strategy [28]. The joint distribution containing the last minimum of the surplus before ruin U¯τ\underline{U}_{\tau-} is investigated in [29] for a MAP risk model with phase-type jumps and a two-sided Lévy risk model [139]. The discounted joint density on the last minimum of the surplus before ruin U¯τ\underline{U}_{\tau-} and the surplus immediately after the second last claim before ruin UTNτ1U_{T_{N_{\tau}-1}} is discussed for a delayed renewal risk model in [194].

As an approach based on the underlying probability measure, change of measure is applied in [158] to transform the Gerber Shiu function on Sparre-Andersen and Markov-modulated models in such a way that ruin occurs almost surely under the new probability measure. In this way, change of measure is useful for improving the computation of the Gerber-Shiu function via simulation (Section 4.4).

More distributional methods can be found in the literature for evaluating the Gerber-Shiu function. For instance, the Wiener-Hopf factorization is employed for deriving closed-form expressions of the formulation (2.5) on a perturbed Cramér-Lundberg risk model with compound Poisson stochastic premium [52]. The finite-time Gerber-Shiu function (2.15) and some ruin times of exotic nature are investigated on the Cramér-Lundberg model using the (defective) density of the surplus killed on exiting [107].

3.7 Asymptotic expressions

As the availability of an analytic or semi-analytic expression for the Gerber-Shiu function is limited to a few special cases as we have described so far from place to place, its asymptotic property may often be the only useful clue in effect. The asymptotic analysis has thus been appreciated as one of the major approaches in the context of the Gerber-Shiu function [16]. In particular, on the formulation (2.4) with w(x,y)=1w(x,y)=1, it is well known that

ϕ(u)CeΦ(δ)u,as u+,\displaystyle\phi(u)\sim Ce^{-\Phi(\delta)u},\quad\textrm{as }u\to+\infty, (3.13)

where Φ(δ)\Phi(\delta) is the unique non-negative solution to the Lundberg equation (3.1) and C>0C>0, for a wide class of Lévy risk models (Section 2.3.2) with light-tailed claim sizes. The asymptotic behavior of the Laplace transform of the ruin time is found in [170] on Cramér-Lundberg models with subexponentially distributed claim sizes.

On models with Erlang(2)-interclaim times, the asymptotic property of the moments of the deficit at ruin and of the surplus before ruin are investigated for light-tailed, subexponential, and other heavy-tailed claim size distributions that are convolution-equivalent [38]. In particular, the asymptotic behavior of the Gerber-Shiu function is derived in [97] for an Erlang(2) risk model with classical subexponential distributed claims. For general Sparre-Andersen models (Section 2.3.4), the asymptotics of the Gerber-Shiu function are studied on convolution-equivalent distributed claim amounts, allowing both light and heavy tails [178], and with both claim size and interclaim time distributions having rational Laplace transform, featured with the present surplus-dependent premium rate [6].

The asymptotic behavior of the Gerber-Shiu function on the Markov-modulated Poisson risk model is investigated in the presence of stochastic investment for light- and heavy-tailed claim size distributions [153]. For MAP risk models (Section 2.3.5), the asymptotics of the Gerber-Shiu function is studied in [3], with additional perturbation, a threshold dividend strategy and heavy-tail distributed claim amounts [37].

We close the present section by describing a functional expansion approach [149] based on the asymptotic expression (3.13). Despite no analytic expression is available for the Gerber-Shiu function in most cases, it can be approximated in some instances in terms of the Gerber-Shiu function on a simpler risk model for which the closed-form expression is available. There, the Gerber-Shiu function on the Cramér-Lundberg model (2.18) with a “nonstandard” claim distribution, say HH, is approximated in terms of the Gerber-Shiu function with exponential claim size, say H0H_{0}, where the constant multiple CC in the asymptotic expression (3.13) is to be made in common for both, that is, 0+xeΦ(δ)xH0(dx)=0+xeΦ(δ)xH(dx)<+\int_{0}^{+\infty}xe^{\Phi(\delta)x}H_{0}(dx)=\int_{0}^{+\infty}xe^{\Phi(\delta)x}H(dx)<+\infty, by adjusting the mean of the exponential distribution H0H_{0}. Introducing the mixture distribution Hϵ:=ϵH+(1ϵ)H0H_{\epsilon}:=\epsilon H+(1-\epsilon)H_{0} for ϵ(0,1]\epsilon\in(0,1], one can construct a first-order approximation of a certain functional φ\varphi that takes the distribution HH onto the corresponding Gerber-Shiu function ϕ(u)\phi(u) in the sense of ϵ1(φ(Hϵ)φ(H0))φH0(HH0)\epsilon^{-1}(\varphi(H_{\epsilon})-\varphi(H_{0}))\to\varphi^{\prime}_{H_{0}}(H-H_{0}) as ϵ0\epsilon\to 0, where the convergence holds in a Banach space which the distribution HH belongs to and φH0\varphi^{\prime}_{H_{0}} denotes the Fréchet derivative in that space. Based on this first-order approximation, the Gerber-Shiu function can be written as φ(H)φ(H0)+φH0(HH0)\varphi(H)\approx\varphi(H_{0})+\varphi^{\prime}_{H_{0}}(H-H_{0}), assuming HϵHH_{\epsilon}\approx H, that is, ϵ\epsilon is relatively close to 11. For more detail, we refer the reader to [149] and references therein.

4 Numerical methods

The majority of the existing developments around the Gerber-Shiu function are focused on finding its analytical, semi-analytical or asymptotic representation. Due to its complex structure, however, such analytical and semi-analytical expressions are rarely available, except for rather limited classes of penalty functions on simple risk models with elementary claim size distributions, such as exponential, Erlangs and their mixtures. Even if an analytical representation is available at all, it is quite often given in the form of infinite series or involving integrals, which undoubtedly require appropriate numerical techniques for the evaluation at the end in reality.

With a view towards further application of the Gerber-Shiu function in practice, we here survey the existing numerical methods, though only handful in the literature, on the basis of the Laplace inversion (Section 4.1), the Fourier-cosine expansion (Section 4.2), the numerical solution to the integro-differential equation with boundary conditions (Section 4.3), and simulation via random number generation (Section 4.4). In addition, from an implementation point of view, we collectively discuss extra assumptions imposed on the surveyed numerical methods (Section 4.5).

4.1 Laplace Transform

The inverse Laplace transform is unavailable in closed form but requires numerical approximation in many instances. Along this line, the work [73] derives the Laplace transform of the finite-time Gerber-Shiu function (2.16) with general penalty functions in terms of the scale function (Section 3.4), which makes numerical inversion easier. There, the Gaver-Stehfest algorithm is employed for numerically inverting the Laplace transform, as

ϕ(u,T)log2Tk=12nck0ϕ(u,klog2T),ck:=(1)k+nj=[(k+1)/2]knjn(2j)!(nj)!j!(j1)!(kj)!(2jk)!,\phi(u,T)\approx\frac{\log 2}{T}\sum_{k=1}^{2n}c_{k}\mathcal{L}_{0}\phi\left(u,\frac{k\log 2}{T}\right),\quad c_{k}:=(-1)^{k+n}\sum_{j=[(k+1)/2]}^{k\land n}\frac{j^{n}(2j)!}{(n-j)!j!(j-1)!(k-j)!(2j-k)!}, (4.1)

where 0ϕ(u,ξ):=0+eξtϕ(u,t)𝑑t\mathcal{L}_{0}\phi(u,\xi):=\int_{0}^{+\infty}e^{-\xi t}\phi(u,t)dt and [j][j] represents the greatest integer less than or equal to jj. At first glance, it seems as though the quality of approximation could improve simply by increasing the truncation nn, whereas it has been suggested on multiple occasions that the truncation nn is set at [1.1m][1.1m] for mm desired significant digits as well as k=12nck=0\sum_{k=1}^{2n}c_{k}=0, as well as the system precision is set at [2.2n][2.2n] when the truncation nn is fixed, so as to achieve the expected quality of approximation. To support the theoretical findings, numerical results are provided for various finite-time lengths in [73].

Another approach around the Laplace inversion is the cosine transform [100], by which the finite-time Gerber-Shiu function (2.15) can be evaluated via numerical integration up to desired accuracy in the form of

ϕ(u,T)=2πeδ0T0+𝔢[0ϕ(u,δ0+is)]cos(sT)𝑑s,\phi(u,T)=\frac{2}{\pi}e^{\delta_{0}T}\int_{0}^{+\infty}\mathfrak{Re}\left[\mathcal{L}_{0}\phi(u,\delta_{0}+is)\right]\cos(sT)ds,

with δ0>0\delta_{0}>0. We note, as already mentioned briefly in Section 2.2.3, that the penalty function here may contain the running infimum U¯τ\underline{U}_{\tau-} as well. The Gaver-Stehfest algorithm is also implemented here for comparison purposes. It is reported that both this cosine transform and the Gaver-Stehfest algorithm are accurate and fast, yet with some pros and cons for each. Namely, the former is robust only when the truncation is large enough and the grid is set sufficiently fine, whereas the latter can be controlled with the truncation parameter nn alone in (4.1) and does not require complex numbers but higher-precision arithmetic.

4.2 Fourier-cosine expansion

The Gerber-Shiu function can also be approximately evaluated by truncating an infinite Fourier-cosine series. One such method can be described as follows [34]. By interpreting the Gerber-Shiu function as the solution of a defective renewal equation (Section 3.2), it can be represented [74] as

ϕ(u)=hk=0+gk(u)=h(0)+0uV(x)𝑑x=h(0)+0a𝟙(xu)V(x)𝑑x,\phi(u)=h*\sum\limits_{k=0}^{+\infty}g^{*k}(u)=h(0)+\int_{0}^{u}V(x)dx=h(0)+\int_{0}^{a}\mathbbm{1}\left(x\leq u\right)V(x)dx, (4.2)

for suitable functions hh and gg, depending on the surplus process, where gkg^{*k} denotes the kk-th order convolutions for the function gg and aa is a positive constant greater than the initial capital uu. Then, by applying the Fourier-cosine expansion of the integrand V(x)=k=0+Akcos(kπx/a)V(x)=\sum\nolimits_{k=0}^{+\infty}{}^{{}^{\prime}}A_{k}\cos(k\pi x/a), the representation (4.2) can be rewritten as

ϕ(u)=h(0)+0a𝟙(xu)k=0+Akcos(kπxa)dx,\phi(u)=h(0)+\int_{0}^{a}\mathbbm{1}\left(x\leq u\right)\sum\limits_{k=0}^{+\infty}{}^{{}^{\prime}}A_{k}\cos\left(k\pi\frac{x}{a}\right)dx, (4.3)

where the notation \sum{}^{{}^{\prime}} denotes a summation with its first terms weighted by half, Ak:=(2/a)0aV(x)cos(kπx/a)𝑑xA_{k}:=(2/a)\int_{0}^{a}V(x)\cos(k\pi x/a)dx. Here, the integral term can be expressed explicitly as an infinite sum using sine functions, which provides a tractable approximation by truncation of the infinite terms. We note that a similar approach is investigated in [124] to deal with the finite-time Gerber-Shiu function (Section 2.2.3).

For Lévy risk models with constant dividend barrier bb (Section 2.4.1) and equidistant observation times 0=t0<t1<<tM=T0=t_{0}<t_{1}<\cdots<t_{M}=T with stepsize Δ:=tm+1tm\Delta:=t_{m+1}-t_{m}, the finite-time Gerber-Shiu function (2.15), whose penalty function only contains |Uτ||U_{\tau}|, can be represented recursively in terms of integral equations [202]: for m{0,1,,M1}m\in\{0,1,\cdots,M-1\},

ϕm(u)\displaystyle\phi_{m}(u) :=𝔼[eδ(τtm)w(|Uτ|)𝟙(τT)|Utm=u,tm<τ]\displaystyle:=\mathbb{E}\left[e^{-\delta(\tau-t_{m})}w\left(|U_{\tau}|\right)\mathbbm{1}\left(\tau\leq T\right)\Big{|}\,U_{t_{m}}=u,t_{m}<\tau\right]
eδΔϕ^m+1(b)n+ng^(ub+y)𝑑y+eδΔ0bϕ^m+1(y)g^(uy)𝑑y+eδΔ0+nw(y)g^(u+y)𝑑y,\displaystyle\approx e^{-\delta\Delta}\widehat{\phi}_{m+1}(b)\int_{-n}^{+n}\widehat{g}(u-b+y)dy+e^{-\delta\Delta}\int_{0}^{b}\widehat{\phi}_{m+1}(y)\widehat{g}(u-y)dy+e^{-\delta\Delta}\int_{0}^{+n}w(y)\widehat{g}(u+y)dy,

where nn truncates the domain and g^\widehat{g} denotes a suitable truncation of its Fourier-cosine expansion g^(x)k=0nckcos(kπ(xa1)/(a2a1))\widehat{g}(x)\approx\sum_{k=0}^{n}{}^{{}^{\prime}}c_{k}\cos(k\pi(x-a_{1})/(a_{2}-a_{1})) on some sufficiently large truncated domain [a1,a2][a_{1},a_{2}] for the probability density function gg of stationary and independent increments (Utm1Utm)\mathcal{L}(U_{t_{m}-1}-U_{t_{m}}). To justify its error analysis, an extensive collection of numerical results are presented on various distributions.

Yet another approach around the Fourier-cosine expansion is developed with the aid of the frame duality projection method [186], with which the Gerber-Shiu function for a Lévy risk model can be approximated as

ϕ(u)a1/2πk=1ab𝔢[02πbeixksϕm(s)φ~(s/a)𝑑s]φa,k(u)𝟙(u[0,U]),\phi(u)\approx\frac{a^{-1/2}}{\pi}\sum_{k=1}^{ab}\mathfrak{Re}\left[\int_{0}^{2\pi b}e^{-ix_{k}s}\mathcal{F}\phi_{m}(s)\mathcal{F}\widetilde{\varphi}(s/a)ds\right]\varphi_{a,k}(u)\mathbbm{1}\left(u\in[0,U]\right),

where aa and bb are sufficiently large powers of 2, xk=x1+(k1)/bx_{k}=x_{1}+(k-1)/b with negative x1x_{1} according to the application, ϕm\mathcal{F}\phi_{m} denotes the Fourier transform of ϕm\phi_{m} (a smooth extension of the Gerber-Shiu function ϕ\phi), φ~\mathcal{F}\widetilde{\varphi} is the Fourier transform of the dual φ~\widetilde{\varphi} of a real-valued symmetric Riesz generator φ\varphi with compact support, and {φa,k}k\{\varphi_{a,k}\}_{k\in\mathbb{Z}} denotes a suitable Riesz basis with scale aa and shift xkx_{k}. Error analysis is conducted in terms of the parameters aa and bb, supported by numerical results on the Cramér-Lundberg model with exponential and gamma claims. The finite-time Gerber-Shiu function for a Lévy risk models under periodic observation is also approximated recursively via the frame duality projection [203].

In relation to orthogonal expansions, the Laguerre polynomials starts receiving attention as an effective means for approximating (no longer only ruin probabilities, such as [4, 49, 51], but also) the Gerber-Shiu function [201], while the Laguerre series expansion has often been employed for obtaining the estimator of the Gerber-Shiu function. We refer the reader to Section 5.5 for such statistical use.

4.3 Numerical solution of integro-differential equations

As discussed in Section 3.3, the Gerber-Shiu function can often be formulated in the form of integro-differential equation, which certainly offers various approaches of numerically solving the equation for the Gerber-Shiu function [172]. Along this line, the Chebyshev polynomial approximation has attracted a great deal of attention in dealing with Markov-modulated jump-diffusion processes [62], where the Laplace-Carson transform in time of the penalty-reward Gerber-Shiu function (2.14) is expanded and truncated as 0+ξeξtϕ(u,t)𝑑tk=0nξkΓk(u)\int_{0}^{+\infty}\xi e^{-\xi t}\phi(u,t)dt\approx\sum_{k=0}^{n}\xi_{k}\Gamma_{k}(u) with shifted Chebyshev polynomials of the first kind {Γk}k0\{\Gamma_{k}\}_{k\in\mathbb{N}_{0}} and suitable coefficients {ξk}k0\{\xi_{k}\}_{k\in\mathbb{N}_{0}} for sufficiently large truncation nn, followed by numerical inversion of the Laplace transform. The Chebyshev polynomial approximation is also employed elsewhere, such as for a perturbed Markov-modulated risk model with two-sided jumps [63] and Markov-dependent risk models with multi-layer dividend strategy [231] (Section 2.4.1). Another approach, yet in a similar direction, is based on Stenger’s sinc method [233] for a phase-type risk model with stochastic investment return and random observation periods along with encouraging numerical illustrations.

Conceptually different approaches based on the integro-differential equation are proposed in [84, 93], where deterministic upper and lower bounding functions of, not an approximation of, its solution can be found numerically using semidefinite programming, or even by elementary operations alone [95], for a wide variety of ruin-related quantities, supported by various numerical results. It is worth mentioning that non-trivial boundary conditions, such as the Neumann, Robin and mixed boundary conditions are also within the scope.

4.4 Simulation

Simulation via random number generation is a direct approach in evaluating the Gerber-Shiu function. In the infinite-time situation where ruin may not occur for good, the time truncation is rather necessary than convenient for the simulation based evaluation. This issue can be addressed by forcing the underlying dynamics to ruin almost surely via a suitable exponential change of measure for the Sparre-Anderson, Markov-modulated, Björk-Grandell, and perturbed risk models [158], as well as compound renewal risk models with dependence (between interclaim times and claim amounts) [54], where the Gerber-Shiu function can be reformulated under a suitable probability measure, say, uδ\mathbb{P}_{u}^{\delta}, as in ϕ(u)=𝔼u[eδτw(Uτ,|Uτ|)𝟙(τ<+)]=eΦ(δ)u𝔼uδ[w(Uτ,|Uτ|)eΦ(δ)Uτ]\phi(u)=\mathbb{E}_{u}[e^{-\delta\tau}w(U_{\tau-},|U_{\tau}|)\mathbbm{1}(\tau<+\infty)]=e^{-\Phi(\delta)u}\mathbb{E}^{\delta}_{u}[w(U_{\tau-},|U_{\tau}|)e^{\Phi(\delta)U_{\tau}}], which is now free of the indicator 𝟙(τ<+)\mathbbm{1}(\tau<+\infty) inside the expectation, that is, the ruin time τ\tau is almost surely finite under the probability measure uδ\mathbb{P}_{u}^{\delta}. It is also worth noting that this exponential change of measure has the potential to reduce the estimator variance in the sense of importance sampling by shortening the length of sample paths until ruin.

Another approach through random number generation is the Wiener-Hopf Monte Carlo simulation technique [69], where not only the ruin time but also the overshoot, undershoot and last minimum can be sampled approximately yet jointly (such as for the formulation (2.13)) with the aid of stochastic exponential grid. Error analysis is conducted with respect to the increasing exponential rate for the grid, supported by numerical results on the β\beta-family of Lévy processes.

4.5 Practical aspects

A crucial step of numerical method selection is to understand what assumptions are required to verify for employing a certain numerical method. Some prerequisites are explicitly indicated by the method itself to be implemented, such as the closed form of the Laplace or Fourier transform, or some knowledge on the law of the surplus process, while there may often exist extra conditions so that the numerical method can achieve desirable accuracy. Here, we collect and briefly discuss such extra assumptions and requirements from a wider perspective.

To implement the frame duality projection [186], the Gerber-Shiu function is required to be mm-time differentiable for some m{0,1,2}m\in\{0,1,2\}. In addition, the right limit of its kk-th derivative ϕ(k)(0+)\phi^{(k)}(0+) at the origin must exist with further integrability condition ϕ(k)L1L2(0,+)\phi^{(k)}\in L^{1}\cap L^{2}(0,+\infty) for all k{0,,m}k\in\{0,\cdots,m\}. In fact, it might not be very realistic that all those conditions are verifiable ahead of implementation. Furthermore, for its error analysis to fully make sense, the Gerber-Shiu function is assumed to decay faster than exponential as 0+eruϕ(u)𝑑u<+\int_{0}^{+\infty}e^{ru}\phi(u)du<+\infty for some positive rr.

In the Fourier-cosine expansion method [34], the non-trivial function V(x)V(x) in the representation (4.2), which involves convolutions and infinite series, is assumed to be in L1L2(0,+)L^{1}\cap L^{2}(0,+\infty). In addition, for its error analysis to hold fully true, the real part of the Fourier transform of the integrand V(x)V(x) is assumed to have an algebraic index of convergence of some positive β\beta, that is, there exists a positive β\beta satisfying lim supk+|𝔢(0+eikπxV(x)𝑑x)|kβ<+,\limsup_{k\to+\infty}|\mathfrak{Re}(\int_{0}^{+\infty}e^{ik\pi x}V(x)dx)|k^{\beta}<+\infty, with which error bounds are written in terms of finite truncation of each of the infinite Fourier-cosine expansion and the semi-infinite region of the Fourier transform. The finite-time problem is investigated [124] on a similar set of conditions.

To apply numerical methods based on the integro-differential equation, its solution is assumed to satisfy suitable smoothness conditions on its own, such as twice differentiability [63, 233], continuous second derivatives [62] and continuity at every dividend barrier [231]. As usual in this context, moreover for the solution to be smooth, suitable regularity and integrability conditions are imposed on the problem elements, such as the claim size distribution, the reward, volatility and penalty functions [62], and the premium rate [231].

As for the simulation based methods [54, 69], it is indeed a major advantage that no extra regularity conditions are required,. In particular, unlike the other numerical methods, the evaluation of the expectation does not even require, for instance, continuity in the initial surplus. We note that the convergence of simulation based methods is generally guaranteed, provided that sample paths of the surplus process can be simulated exactly, or almost exactly even in the presence of jumps of infinite activity [212] by Monte Carlo methods. Moreover, the method via change of measure [54] may be thought of as a variance reduction technique of importance sampling, which may often accelerate the weak convergence in terms of estimator variance. For the Wiener-Hopf Monte Carlo simulation technique [69], two sources of error and convergence need to be addressed, not only from the strong law of large numbers, but also from a discretization of the time interval. The convergence on each source has been proved, whereas the latter error seems difficult to track in general for the Gerber-Shiu function.

Having discussed and contrasted a variety of advantages and disadvantages all the way through the present section, we stress that there is ultimately no such thing as a perfect numerical method that works best under least conditions in every single problem setting. For instance, on the one hand, infinite-time problems, or equivalently elliptic integro-differential equations, can be addressed often very efficiently by deterministic numerical methods (Sections 4.1, 4.2 and 4.3), whereas those stand on a variety of strict conditions. On the other hand, simulation based methods (Section 4.4) are at least implementable under few conditions in virtually all problem settings, whereas those are not a good choice for infinite-time problems because one needs to keep generating every sample path until its ruin. Indeed, one might be better off adopting methods under restrictive conditions, no matter how extremely restrictive, as long as all such requirements can be verified. As such, the numerical method needs to be very carefully selected on the basis of adequate understanding of the specific problem structure and its conditions, also taking implementation perspectives into account, such as a priori estimated cost for coding and available computing budget.

5 Statistical inference

The analytical, semi-analytical, asymptotic and numerical methods of Sections 3 and 4 address the forward problem where a risk model has been fixed with all its parameters specified in advance. In this section, we turn to the inverse problem, that is, statistical inference for those model parameters on the basis of observed data. For instance, in the classical Cramér-Lundberg model, if the claim size distribution is known in closed form with finite dimensional parameters, then the maximum likelihood estimation and method of moments can be applied based on the data of claim numbers and sizes. In the literature, however, there seem to exist only a handful of studies addressing statistical inference on advanced models, such as Sparre-Andersen and Markov additive models (Sections 2.3.4 and 2.3.5), but all focused on ruin probabilities. When it comes to the Gerber-Shiu function in general, to the best of our knowledge, all existing studies seem to base on the Lévy risk model (Section 2.3.2), to which we devote the present section. That is, we suppose throughout that the insurance surplus is modeled as

Ut=u+ct+σWtLt,U_{t}=u+ct+\sigma W_{t}-L_{t}, (5.1)

where u0u\geq 0, c(0,+)c\in(0,+\infty), {Wt:t0}\{W_{t}:\,t\geq 0\} is a Wiener process, and {Lt:t0}\{L_{t}:\,t\geq 0\} is a subordinator with Lévy measure Π\Pi satisfying the so-called net profit condition 𝔼[L1]=0++zΠ(dz)<c\mathbb{E}[L_{1}]=\int_{0+}^{+\infty}z\Pi(dz)<c. We note that the net profit condition implies that the Lévy process {Lt:t0}\{L_{t}:\,t\geq 0\} is of bounded variation, which is a convenient property in the context of the Gerber-Shiu function and its inference for technical reasons [67, 168].

5.1 Sampling scheme

From a statistical point of view, it is imperative to define the observation scheme for asymptotic analysis, with the chosen model (5.1) taken into account.

If the surplus model (5.1) contains the non-degenerate diffusion component of infinite variation (that is, σ>0\sigma>0), it is unnatural to assume that its trajectory is fully observable on any interval. Hence, one often assumes that the surplus {Ut:t0}\{U_{t}:\,t\geq 0\} is only observed at equidistant discrete time points tk=khnt_{k}=kh_{n} for k{0,1,,n}k\in\{0,1,\cdots,n\} with step size hn>0h_{n}>0, that is, (n+1)(n+1)-observations (Ut0,Ut1,,Utn)=:Un(U_{t_{0}},U_{t_{1}},\cdots,U_{t_{n}})=:U^{n} are available.

In the case of finite activity (λ<+\lambda<+\infty), every claim size {Yk}k\{Y_{k}\}_{k\in\mathbb{N}} is observable. We remark that each YkY_{k} may not be interpreted exactly as a claim size, particularly in the presence of the diffusion component of infinite variation [163]. If, moreover, the diffusion component is degenerate (σ=0\sigma=0), then the discrete time observations UnU^{n} are computable based on the claims data and the premium rate c>0c>0, both of which are available in the context of insurance. If, however, the jump component is of infinite activity (λ=+)\lambda=+\infty), it is impossible to observe and store all jumps, where one usually assumes the availability of “large” jumps alone (for instance, [164]), say, Jϵ:={ΔLt:ΔLt>ϵ for t[0,tn]}J^{\epsilon}:=\{\Delta L_{t}:\,\Delta L_{t}>\epsilon\mbox{ for }t\in[0,t_{n}]\} for a suitable threshold ϵ>0\epsilon>0, where we have denoted ΔLt:=LtLt\Delta L_{t}:=L_{t}-L_{t-}. In summary, the available data of the trajectory can be formulated as

UnJϵ,\displaystyle U^{n}\cup J^{\epsilon}, (5.2)

for some nn\in\mathbb{N} and ϵ>0\epsilon>0, with an exception of ϵ=0\epsilon=0 when the jump component is of finite activity (λ<+\lambda<+\infty).

With a view towards asymptotic analysis, on the one hand, one often imposes the so-called high-frequency condition hn0h_{n}\to 0 as n+n\to+\infty to describe the case where, for instance, daily (or even more frequent intraday) book data are available for the past years. Indeed, the advent of technology has increased the means of such high-frequency sampling. On the other hand, if the frequency is much lower (for instance, only weekly or monthly data are available), then it is more sensible to impose the low-frequency condition (for instance, [185, 225]) with a fixed step size hnh(>0)h_{n}\equiv h(>0), no matter how many observations are available. From a technical point of view, it is often impossible to construct a (statistically) efficient estimator for unknown parameters in low-frequency scenarios. Hence, along realistic trends towards more advanced data collection technology, high-frequency sampling tends to attract increasingly more attention than low-frequency counterpart in the context of statistical inference. We thus devote this section to high-frequency scenarios.

If the jump component is of infinite activity (λ=+\lambda=+\infty), it is often the case to take the limit ϵ0\epsilon\to 0 in the available data (5.2) along increasing observations n+n\to+\infty, representing that smaller jumps are observable as well. In every situation, one usually lets the observation time window expand (tn+t_{n}\to+\infty) so as to better identify the model parameter in the jump component.

5.2 Estimating Lévy characteristics

When estimating the Gerber-Shiu function, we preliminarily need to estimate the characteristics of the underlying Lévy process and its relevant quantities. Hereafter, we suppose that data set is available in the form (5.2) with the conditions hn0h_{n}\to 0, ϵn0\epsilon_{n}\to 0 and tn+t_{n}\to+\infty, as n+n\to+\infty.

The parameters of interest are (1) the diffusion coefficient σ\sigma and (2) functionals of the Lévy measure Π(V):=0++V(z)Π(dz)\Pi(V):=\int_{0+}^{+\infty}V(z)\Pi(dz) for a Π\Pi-integrable function V:(0,)V:(0,\infty)\to\mathbb{R}. As for (1), the following estimator is convenient [90, Theorem 2.6 (c) and Remark 5]: for given t>0t>0,

σ^n2:=1t[k=1[t/hn]|ΔkUn|ΔLtJϵn|ΔLt|2],\widehat{\sigma}^{2}_{n}:=\frac{1}{t}\left[\sum_{k=1}^{[t/h_{n}]}|\Delta_{k}U^{n}|-\sum_{\Delta L_{t}\in J^{\epsilon_{n}}}|\Delta L_{t}|^{2}\right], (5.3)

where ΔkU:=UtkUtk1\Delta_{k}U:=U_{t_{k}}-U_{t_{k-1}}, in the sense of tn(σ^n2σ2)0\sqrt{t_{n}}(\widehat{\sigma}^{2}_{n}-\sigma^{2})\stackrel{{\scriptstyle\mathbb{P}}}{{\to}}0, as n+n\to+\infty, provided that nhn20nh_{n}^{2}\to 0 and tn0ϵnz2Π(dz)0\sqrt{t_{n}}\int_{0}^{\epsilon_{n}}z^{2}\Pi(dz)\to 0. As for (2), with the functional

Π^n(V):=1tnΔLtJϵnV(ΔLt),\widehat{\Pi}_{n}(V):=\frac{1}{t_{n}}\sum_{\Delta L_{t}\in J^{\epsilon_{n}}}V(\Delta L_{t}), (5.4)

it is known [164] that

tn(Π^n(V)Π(V))d𝒩(0,Π(V2)),\sqrt{t_{n}}(\widehat{\Pi}_{n}(V)-\Pi(V))\stackrel{{\scriptstyle d}}{{\to}}\mathcal{N}(0,\Pi(V^{2})), (5.5)

as n+n\to+\infty, if tn0+ϵnV2(z)Π(dz)0\sqrt{t_{n}}\int_{0+}^{\epsilon_{n}}V^{2}(z)\Pi(dz)\to 0 in addition to suitable moment conditions of the Lévy measure Π\Pi. We note that the condition tn0+ϵnV2(z)Π(dz)0\sqrt{t_{n}}\int_{0+}^{\epsilon_{n}}V^{2}(z)\Pi(dz)\to 0 requires that the threshold ϵn\epsilon_{n} decrease in nn, due to the expanding observation window tn+t_{n}\to+\infty. We note that high-frequency sampling may cause some technical issues, such as limiting singularity of the Fisher information matrix, in estimating characterizing parameters of the relevant Lévy measure Π\Pi [94].

With the aid of the estimators (5.3) and (5.4), one can estimate the Lundberg exponent ρ\rho as the absolute value of the smallest non-positive solution to the Lundberg equation (3.1) in the case of finite activity (λ<+\lambda<+\infty), or as the largest non-negative solution to the generalized Lundberg equation:

(x;σ,Π):=cx+σ22x2+0++(exz1)Π(dz)δ=0,\ell(x;\sigma,\Pi):=cx+\frac{\sigma^{2}}{2}x^{2}+\int_{0+}^{+\infty}(e^{-xz}-1)\Pi(dz)-\delta=0,

in the case of infinite activity (λ=+\lambda=+\infty). Note that the premium rate cc is a given constant in the context of insurance. One can then construct an MM-estimator for the Lundberg exponent ρ\rho:

ρ^n:=argminx[0,+)2(x;σ^n,Π^n(ex1)),\widehat{\rho}_{n}:=\mathop{\rm argmin}_{x\in[0,+\infty)}\ell^{2}\left(x;\widehat{\sigma}_{n},\widehat{\Pi}_{n}(e^{-x\cdot}-1)\right), (5.6)

which is asymptotically normal around the true exponent ρ\rho, such that

tn(ρ^nρ)d𝒩(0,0++(1eρz)Π(dz)c+σρ+0++zeρzΠ(dz)),\sqrt{t_{n}}(\widehat{\rho}_{n}-\rho)\stackrel{{\scriptstyle d}}{{\to}}\mathcal{N}\left(0,\frac{\int_{0+}^{+\infty}(1-e^{-\rho z})\Pi(dz)}{c+\sigma\rho+\int_{0+}^{+\infty}ze^{-\rho z}\Pi(dz)}\right),

as n+n\to+\infty.

5.3 Laplace inversion

As was discussed in Section 3.1, it is straightforward to perform the Laplace transform of the Gerber-Shiu function as it satisfies the defective renewal equation (3.5). In addition, when the jump component is of infinite activity (λ=+\lambda=+\infty), explicit expressions are available for the Laplace transform [26]. To the best of our knowledge, the Laplace inversion is indeed the first approach that achieved consistent estimators in the history of statistical inference for Gerber-Shiu functions [164, 165].

In the sequel, we use the notation Π(x;w):=xw(x,zx)Π(dz)\Pi(x;w):=\int_{x}^{\infty}w(x,z-x)\Pi(dz), provided that the integral is finite valued. By applying the expression [164, Section 3.3]:

ϕ(s)=Π(ρ;w)Π(s;w)+w(0,0)σ2(sρ)/2(sρ)(σ2(s+ρ)/2+c)+ΨL(s)ΨL(ρ),\displaystyle{\cal L}\phi(s)=\frac{{\cal L}\Pi(\rho;w)-{\cal L}\Pi(s;w)+w(0,0)\sigma^{2}(s-\rho)/2}{(s-\rho)(\sigma^{2}(s+\rho)/2+c)+\Psi_{L}(-s)-\Psi_{L}(-\rho)}, (5.7)

one may estimate the Gerber-Shiu function ϕ\phi by (numerically) inverting the following estimator for the Laplace transform (5.7):

ϕ^n(s)=Π^n(ρ^n;w)Π^n(s;w)+w(0,0)σ^n2(sρ^n)/2(sρ^n)(σ^n2(s+ρ^n)/2+c)+Ψ^n(s)Ψ^n(ρ^n),\widehat{{\cal L}\phi}_{n}(s)=\frac{\widehat{{\cal L}\Pi}_{n}(\widehat{\rho}_{n};w)-\widehat{{\cal L}\Pi}_{n}(s;w)+w(0,0)\widehat{\sigma}^{2}_{n}(s-\widehat{\rho}_{n})/2}{(s-\widehat{\rho}_{n})(\widehat{\sigma}^{2}_{n}(s+\widehat{\rho}_{n})/2+c)+\widehat{\Psi}_{n}(-s)-\widehat{\Psi}_{n}(-\widehat{\rho}_{n})},

where we have employed (5.3), (5.4) and (5.6), and Π^n(x;w):=Π^n(w(x,x)𝟙[x,+)())\widehat{{\cal L}\Pi}_{n}(x;w):={\cal L}\widehat{\Pi}_{n}(w(x,x-\cdot)\mathbbm{1}_{[x,+\infty)}(\cdot)) and Ψ^n(s):=Π^n(es1)\widehat{\Psi}_{n}(s):=\widehat{\Pi}_{n}(e^{s\cdot}-1). The Laplace inversion 1{\cal L}^{-1} does not have a “continuity”, that is, even if the estimator ϕ^\widehat{{\cal L}\phi} satisfies consistency ϕ^nϕ\widehat{{\cal L}\phi}_{n}\stackrel{{\scriptstyle\mathbb{P}}}{{\to}}{\cal L}\phi, the Laplace inversion might not be consistent 1ϕ^n↛ϕ{\cal L}^{-1}\widehat{{\cal L}\phi}_{n}\stackrel{{\scriptstyle\mathbb{P}}}{{\not\to}}\phi. One may then employ the regularized Laplace inversion [35], defined by m1g(t):=1π20++Γm(y)y1/2g(ty)𝑑y{\cal L}_{m}^{-1}g(t):=\frac{1}{\pi^{2}}\int_{0+}^{+\infty}\Gamma_{m}(y)y^{-1/2}{\cal L}g(ty)\,dy for a square integrable function gg, where Γm(y):=0amcosh(πx)cos(xlog(y))𝑑x\Gamma_{m}(y):=\int_{0}^{a_{m}}\cosh(\pi x)\cos(x\log(y))\,dx and am:=π1cosh1(mπ)a_{m}:=\pi^{-1}\cosh^{-1}(m\pi).

Now, we give an estimator for the Gerber-Shiu function ϕ\phi: for every θ>0\theta>0 and a sequence {mn}n\{m_{n}\}_{n\in\mathbb{N}} satisfying limn+mn=+\lim_{n\to+\infty}m_{n}=+\infty, define

ϕ^nθ(u):=eθumn1(ϕ^n)θ(u)=eθuπ20++ψn(us)ϕ^n(s+θ)𝑑s,\displaystyle\widehat{\phi}^{\theta}_{n}(u):=e^{\theta u}{\cal L}_{m_{n}}^{-1}(\widehat{{\cal L}\phi}_{n})_{\theta}(u)=\frac{e^{\theta u}}{\pi^{2}}\int_{0+}^{+\infty}{\cal L}\psi_{n}(us)\widehat{{\cal L}\phi}_{n}(s+\theta)\,ds, (5.8)

where

ψn(x):=πsinh(πrn)cos(rnlog(x))+log(x)cosh(πrn)sin(rnlog(x))x(π2+(log(x))2),rn:=1π|cosh1(πmn)|.\psi_{n}(x):=\frac{\pi\sinh(\pi r_{n})\cos(r_{n}\log(x))+\log(x)\cosh(\pi r_{n})\sin(r_{n}\log(x))}{\sqrt{x}(\pi^{2}+(\log(x))^{2})},\quad r_{n}:=\frac{1}{\pi}|\cosh^{-1}(\pi m_{n})|.

Here, we have employed the θ\theta-shift ϕθ():=ϕ(+θ){\cal L}\phi_{\theta}(\cdot):={\cal L}\phi(\cdot+\theta) because the regularized Laplace inversion m1{\cal L}_{m}^{-1} may not be applied to the Laplace transform ϕ{\cal L}\phi if the Laplace transform ϕ{\cal L}\phi in (5.7) is not in L2(0,+)L^{2}(0,+\infty).

The rate of convergence of the estimator (5.8) is investigated in terms of the integrated squared error [143] with the norm fK:=(0K|f(x)|2𝑑x)1/2\|f\|_{K}:=(\int_{0}^{K}|f(x)|^{2}\,dx)^{1/2} for K>0K>0. Under suitable regularity conditions, take a constant θ\theta and a sequence {mn}n\{m_{n}\}_{n\in\mathbb{N}} such that θ>δ(c0++zΠ(dz))1\theta>\delta(c-\int_{0+}^{+\infty}z\Pi(dz))^{-1} and mn=𝒪(tnlog(tn))+m_{n}={\cal O}(\sqrt{t_{n}\log(t_{n})})\uparrow+\infty in (5.8). Then, if nhn20nh_{n}^{2}\to 0 as n+n\to+\infty, then it holds that for every θ>0\theta>0 and K>0K>0,

ϕ^nθϕK=𝒪(|log(tn)|1/2),\displaystyle\|\widehat{\phi}^{\theta}_{n}-\phi\|_{K}={\cal O}_{\mathbb{P}}(|\log(t_{n})|^{-1/2}), (5.9)

where 𝒪\mathcal{O}_{\mathbb{P}} denotes the usual stochastic boundedness. We note that the logarithmic rate of convergence is way too slow, relative to the standard rate 𝒪p(tn){\cal O}_{p}(\sqrt{t_{n}}) in the context of statistical inference. It is known [165] that this slow rate of convergence cannot be improved even when the Lévy measure is finite (λ<+)\lambda<+\infty). If one wishes to pursue faster rates, it is natural to adopt the Fourier inversion, which is a well-posed transform, unlike the Laplace inversion.

5.4 Fourier inversion

In this section, we summarize statistical methods based on the Fourier inversion on the surplus model (5.1) without diffusion component (σ=0\sigma=0) and with an absolutely continuous Lévy measure Π(dz)=ν(z)dz\Pi(dz)=\nu(z)\,dz. Here, we are concerned with statistical inference from the data set UnU^{n} without the jump one JϵnJ^{\epsilon_{n}}, following [168]. Note that ΔkL=LtkLtk1=chnΔkUn\Delta_{k}L=L_{t_{k}}-L_{t_{k-1}}=ch_{n}-\Delta_{k}U^{n} for all k{1,,n}k\in\{1,\cdots,n\} and is thus available only from UnU^{n}.

A formula of for the Gerber-Shiu function ϕ\phi via Fourier inversion is given by [168, Theorem 2.1]:

ϕ(u)=12πeisuN(s)cD(s)𝑑s,\displaystyle\phi(u)=\frac{1}{2\pi}\int_{\mathbb{R}}e^{-isu}\frac{N(s)}{c-D(s)}\,ds, (5.10)

where D(s):=(ΨL(is)ΨL(ρ))/(ρ+is)D(s):=(\Psi_{L}(is)-\Psi_{L}(-\rho))/(\rho+is), N(s):=0++a(s;z,ρ)ν(z)𝑑zN(s):=\int_{0+}^{+\infty}a(s;z,\rho)\nu(z)dz and a(s;z,ρ):=0++e(ρ+is)y(yzeisxw(x,zx)𝑑x)𝑑ya(s;z,\rho):=\int_{0+}^{+\infty}e^{-(\rho+is)y}(\int_{y}^{z}e^{isx}w(x,z-x)dx)dy with the Lundberg exponent ρ\rho. On the basis of this formula, an estimator for the Gerber-Shiu function ϕ\phi can be constructed as follows:

ϕ^m,n(u):=12πmπmπeisuN^n(s)cD^n(s)𝑑s𝟙(An),\widehat{\phi}_{m,n}(u):=\frac{1}{2\pi}\int_{-m\pi}^{m\pi}e^{-isu}\frac{\widehat{N}_{n}(s)}{c-\widehat{D}_{n}(s)}ds\mathbbm{1}(A_{n}), (5.11)

where m>0m>0, D^n(s):=(Ψ^n(is)Ψ^n(ρ^n))/(ρ^n+is)\widehat{D}_{n}(s):=(\widehat{\Psi}_{n}(is)-\widehat{\Psi}_{n}(-\widehat{\rho}_{n}))/(\widehat{\rho}_{n}+is), Ψ^n(s)\widehat{\Psi}_{n}(s) is as defined in Section 5.3, N^n(s):=(ntn)1k=1na(s;ΔkL,ρ^n)\widehat{N}_{n}(s):=(nt_{n})^{-1}\sum_{k=1}^{n}a(s;\Delta_{k}L,\widehat{\rho}_{n}), and An:={ωΩ:c(tn)1k=1nΔkLK(log(tn))1/2}A_{n}:=\{\omega\in\Omega:\,c-(t_{n})^{-1}\sum_{k=1}^{n}\Delta_{k}L\geq K(\log(t_{n}))^{-1/2}\} for a constant K>0K>0. The parameter mm is employed for truncation since the integrand N^n(s)/(cD^n(s))\widehat{N}_{n}(s)/(c-\widehat{D}_{n}(s)) is not integrable at infinity. This truncation parameter mm is then further parameterized to be an increasing sequence as mn+m_{n}\to+\infty for deriving consistency of the estimator (5.11). The indicate 𝟙(An)\mathbbm{1}(A_{n}) is essential since the estimator (5.11) might not be well defined sometimes without it. In fact, the net profit condition 0++zν(z)𝑑z<c\int_{0+}^{+\infty}z\nu(z)dz<c plays a crucial role here for ensuring (An)1\mathbb{P}(A_{n})\to 1 as n+n\to+\infty for all K>0K>0.

Consistency of the estimator ϕ^mn,n\widehat{\phi}_{m_{n},n} is then described in terms of the mean integrated squared error:

𝔼[ϕ^mn,nϕ2]=𝒪(|log(tn)|/tn)+𝒪(hnα|log(tn)|),n+,\mathbb{E}\left[\|\widehat{\phi}_{m_{n},n}-\phi\|^{2}\right]={\cal O}(|\log(t_{n})|/t_{n})+{\cal O}(h_{n}^{\alpha}|\log(t_{n})|),\quad n\to+\infty,

provided that mntn/|log(tn)|m_{n}\sim\sqrt{t_{n}/|\log(t_{n})|}, nhn3=𝒪(1)nh_{n}^{3}={\cal O}(1), and there exists α(0,2)\alpha\in(0,2) such that hn2αν(hn)0h_{n}^{2-\alpha}\nu(h_{n})\to 0. Note that α(0,2β)\alpha\in(0,2-\beta) with the Blumenthal-Getoor index β:=inf{p>0:0+1|x|pν(z)𝑑z<+}(0,2)\beta:=\inf\{p>0:\,\int_{0+}^{1}|x|^{p}\nu(z)dz<+\infty\}\in(0,2). As a result, for every γ>0\gamma>0 satisfying nhn1+γ+nh_{n}^{1+\gamma}\to+\infty, it holds that

nhn1+γ(ϕ^mn,n(u)ϕ(u))0,\sqrt{nh_{n}^{1+\gamma}}(\widehat{\phi}_{m_{n},n}(u)-\phi(u))\stackrel{{\scriptstyle\mathbb{P}}}{{\to}}0, (5.12)

for all u[0,+)u\in[0,+\infty), provided that nhn1+α0nh_{n}^{1+\alpha}\to 0. Indeed, this rate is a lot faster than the logarithmic rate (5.9) based on the Laplace transform. We refer the reader to [168] for relevant numerical comparisons between the two estimators (5.8) and (5.11). We close this section by noting that the exact rate (as opposed to the dominating rate (5.12)) and limiting distribution are still unknown.

5.5 Series expansions

Estimation of the Gerber-Shiu function can also be tackled via its series representation, which can often provide a means for revealing the exact rate of convergence and the limiting distribution, unlike the Laplace and Fourier inversions (Sections 5.3 and 5.4).

The Fourier-cosine series expansion is first employed [210] in estimating the discounted density of the deficit at ruin fδ(u,x)=0eδtf(u,x,t)𝑑tf_{\delta}(u,x)=\int_{0}^{\infty}e^{-\delta t}f(u,x,t)dt on the Cramér-Lundberg model (Section 2.3.1). The estimator of the Gerber-Shiu function on a risk model with compound Poisson random income is represented by Fourier-cosine series expansion [187, 188] (without constant premium in the latter), and on a Lévy risk model [174, 185] (Section 2.3.2). We note that the work [185] is focused on low-frequency scenarios (hnh(>0)h_{n}\equiv h(>0)), under which theoretical results, such as the rate of convergence, differ from ones under high-frequency scenarios that we present in what follows. The Fourier-sinc series expansion, equivalent to Fourier-cosine, is also investigated in [219].

Now, in light of the expansion (4.3), the Gerber-Shiu function ϕ(u)\phi(u) for uau\leq a can be written as

ϕ(u)=k=0+2a𝔢(0aeikπaxϕ(x)dx)cos(kπua)k=0K12a𝔢(N(kπ/a)cD(kπ/a))cos(kπua)=:ϕK,a(u),ua,\phi(u)=\sum_{k=0}^{+\infty}{}^{{}^{\prime}}\frac{2}{a}\mathfrak{Re}\left(\int_{0}^{a}e^{\frac{ik\pi}{a}x}\phi(x)\,dx\right)\cos\left(k\pi\frac{u}{a}\right)\approx\sum_{k=0}^{K-1}{}^{{}^{\prime}}\frac{2}{a}\mathfrak{Re}\left(\frac{N(k\pi/a)}{c-D(k\pi/a)}\right)\cos\left(k\pi\frac{u}{a}\right)=:\phi^{K,a}(u),\quad u\leq a,

where NN and DD are as appeared in (5.10). Therefore, with the aid of the estimators in (5.11), one can construct a truncated estimator for the Gerber-Shiu function ϕ\phi:

ϕ^nK,a(u):=k=0K12a𝔢(N^n(kπ/a)cD^n(kπ/a))cos(kπua),ua.\widehat{\phi}^{K,a}_{n}(u):=\sum_{k=0}^{K-1}{}^{{}^{\prime}}\frac{2}{a}\mathfrak{Re}\left(\frac{\widehat{N}_{n}(k\pi/a)}{c-\widehat{D}_{n}(k\pi/a)}\right)\cos\left(k\pi\frac{u}{a}\right),\quad u\leq a.

Its L2(0,+)L^{2}(0,+\infty)-error can be decomposed into the statistical and truncation terms, respectively, as:

ϕ^nK,aϕϕ^nK,aϕK,a+ϕK,aϕ=:Es+En,\|\widehat{\phi}^{K,a}_{n}-\phi\|\leq\|\widehat{\phi}^{K,a}_{n}-\phi^{K,a}\|+\|\phi^{K,a}-\phi\|=:E_{\text{s}}+E_{\text{n}},

which behave like

Es=𝒪(Kahn2α+(Ka)3hn2)+𝒪(Ka(|log(K/a)|+1tn+hn2)),En=𝒪(aK+Kaa+|ϕ(x)|2𝑑x),E_{\text{s}}={\cal O}\left(\frac{K}{a}h_{n}^{2\alpha}+\left(\frac{K}{a}\right)^{3}h_{n}^{2}\right)+{\cal O}\left(\frac{K}{a}\left(\frac{|\log(K/a)|+1}{t_{n}}+h_{n}^{2}\right)\right),\quad E_{\text{n}}={\cal O}\left(\frac{a}{K}+\frac{K}{a}\int_{a}^{+\infty}|\phi(x)|^{2}dx\right),

as K+K\to+\infty, where α\alpha is a constant taking values in (0,2)(0,2) as defined in Section 5.4.

The Laguerre series expansion is another valid candidate in estimating the Gerber-Shiu function with potential for a fast convergence rate along with the availability of the limiting law. To describe the approach, let LnL_{n} be the Laguerre polynomial of order nn, that is, Ln(x):=(ex/n!)(dn/dxn)(exxn)=(1/n!)(d/dx1)nxnL_{n}(x):=(e^{x}/n!)(d^{n}/dx^{n})(e^{-x}x^{n})=(1/n!)(d/dx-1)^{n}x^{n}, and define the sequence {φk}k0\{\varphi_{k}\}_{k\in\mathbb{N}_{0}} by φk(x):=2Lk(2x)ex\varphi_{k}(x):=\sqrt{2}L_{k}(2x)e^{-x} for x[0,+)x\in[0,+\infty), which forms a complete orthonormal L2([0,+))L^{2}([0,+\infty))-basis. Hence, every fL2([0,+))f\in L^{2}([0,+\infty)) can be expanded as f(x)=k0af,kφk(x)f(x)=\sum_{k\in\mathbb{N}_{0}}a_{f,k}\varphi_{k}(x), with af,k:=f,φk=0+f(x)φk(x)𝑑x.a_{f,k}:=\langle f,\varphi_{k}\rangle=\int_{0}^{+\infty}f(x)\varphi_{k}(x)dx. A possible advantage of employing the Laguerre series expansion is that the relevant estimator can be shown to be asymptotically normal, which is first discussed in [169] in the context of ruin probabilities under Lévy risk models. The Laguerre series expansion has found its application in obtaining the estimator of the Gerber-Shiu function under the Cramér-Lundberg model [221] with its asymptotic normality [176]. We note that the Laguerre series expansion can be applied to more advanced surplus processes, such as a Cramér-Lundberg model with random income [173], Wiener-Poisson models [175], pure-jump Lévy risk models [222], and spectrally negative Lévy risk process [87]. In light of series expansions (3.8), one can approximate ϕ\phi, gg and hh by Laguerre series expansion, as for mm\in\mathbb{N},

ϕm(x):=k=0m1akϕφk(x),gm(x):=k=0m1akgφk(x),hm(x):=k=0m1akhφk(x),\phi_{m}(x):=\sum_{k=0}^{m-1}a^{\phi}_{k}\varphi_{k}(x),\quad g_{m}(x):=\sum_{k=0}^{m-1}a^{g}_{k}\varphi_{k}(x),\quad h_{m}(x):=\sum_{k=0}^{m-1}a^{h}_{k}\varphi_{k}(x),

where, in the context of the Lévy risk model,

akg\displaystyle a^{g}_{k} :=0+1c[0zeρ(zx)φk(x)dx]Π(dz)=:0++Qk(z,ρ)Π(dz);\displaystyle:=\int_{0}^{+\infty}\frac{1}{c}\left[\int_{0}^{z}e^{-\rho(z-x)}\varphi_{k}(x)\,dx\right]\Pi(dz)=:\int_{0+}^{+\infty}Q_{k}(z,\rho)\Pi(dz);
akh\displaystyle a^{h}_{k} :=0+1c[0zuzeρ(xu)w(x,zx)φk(u)dxdu]dz=:0++Rk(z,ρ)Π(dz),\displaystyle:=\int_{0}^{+\infty}\frac{1}{c}\left[\int_{0}^{z}\int_{u}^{z}e^{-\rho(x-u)}w(x,z-x)\varphi_{k}(u)\,dxdu\right]dz=:\int_{0+}^{+\infty}R_{k}(z,\rho)\Pi(dz),

with akϕ:=j=0k1(akjgakj1g)ajϕ/2+akha^{\phi}_{k}:=\sum_{j=0}^{k-1}(a^{g}_{k-j}-a^{g}_{k-j-1})a^{\phi}_{j}/\sqrt{2}+a^{h}_{k}, and a0ϕ=a0ga0ϕ/2+a0ha^{\phi}_{0}=a^{g}_{0}a^{\phi}_{0}/\sqrt{2}+a^{h}_{0}. With the notation of Section 5.2, their consistent estimators can be constructed as

a^k,ng:=1nhnj=1nQk(ΔjL,ρ^n),a^k,nh:=1nhnj=1nRk(ΔjL,ρ^n),a^k,nϕ:=j=0k112(a^kj,nga^kj1,ng)a^j,nϕ+a^k,nh,\widehat{a}^{g}_{k,n}:=\frac{1}{nh_{n}}\sum_{j=1}^{n}Q_{k}(\Delta_{j}L,\widehat{\rho}_{n}),\quad\widehat{a}^{h}_{k,n}:=\frac{1}{nh_{n}}\sum_{j=1}^{n}R_{k}(\Delta_{j}L,\widehat{\rho}_{n}),\quad\widehat{a}^{\phi}_{k,n}:=\sum_{j=0}^{k-1}\frac{1}{\sqrt{2}}(\widehat{a}^{g}_{k-j,n}-\widehat{a}^{g}_{k-j-1,n})\widehat{a}^{\phi}_{j,n}+\widehat{a}^{h}_{k,n},

which yields a truncated estimator for the Gerber-Shiu function ϕ\phi in the form of ϕ^m,n(u):=k=0m1a^k,nϕφk(u)\widehat{\phi}_{m,n}(u):=\sum_{k=0}^{m-1}\widehat{a}^{\phi}_{k,n}\varphi_{k}(u) for u[0,+)u\in[0,+\infty). As before, its error can be decomposed into two components, that is to say, the statistical error EsE_{\text{s}} and the numerical error EnE_{\text{n}}, as follows

ϕ^m,nϕϕ^m,nϕm+ϕmϕ:=Es+En=[𝒪(m2(1nhn+hn2))+o(m2hn2α)]+𝒪(mr),m,n+,\|\widehat{\phi}_{m,n}-\phi\|\leq\|\widehat{\phi}_{m,n}-\phi_{m}\|+\|\phi_{m}-\phi\|:=E_{\text{s}}+E_{\text{n}}=\left[{\cal O}\left(m^{2}\left(\frac{1}{nh_{n}}+h_{n}^{2}\right)\right)+o(m^{2}h_{n}^{2\alpha})\right]+{\cal O}(m^{-r}),\quad m,n\to+\infty,

where r:=sup{q>0:kkq(akϕ)2<+}r:=\sup\{q>0:\sum_{k\in\mathbb{N}}k^{q}(a^{\phi}_{k})^{2}<+\infty\} and α\alpha is the same index in (0,2)(0,2) as before. By suppressing the second term of the statistical error EsE_{\text{s}} and minimizing the remaining two terms with respect to mm, one obtains the optimal order 𝒪(((nhn)1+hn2)1/(r+2)){\cal O}(((nh_{n})^{-1}+h_{n}^{2})^{-1/(r+2)}). Moreover, for each degree of the expansion mm, it has been shown that there exists a positive function Σm:(0,+)(0,+)\Sigma_{m}:(0,+\infty)\to(0,+\infty) such that

tn(ϕ^m,n(u)ϕm(u))d𝒩(0,Σm(u)),n+,\displaystyle\sqrt{t_{n}}(\widehat{\phi}_{m,n}(u)-\phi_{m}(u))\stackrel{{\scriptstyle d}}{{\to}}\mathcal{N}(0,\Sigma_{m}(u)),\quad n\to+\infty,

for all u[0,+)u\in[0,+\infty). As for the expression of the limiting variance Σm\Sigma_{m}, we refer the reader to [176] for the case where {Lt:t0}\{L_{t}:\,t\geq 0\} is a compound Poisson process, and to [169] for the ruin probability (that is, w1w\equiv 1 and δ=1\delta=1). We note that the other models, as well as the asymptotic results as m+m\to+\infty, are still open problems.

Yet another estimation method can be found in [64] based on the Laguerre expansion, where the coefficients {akϕ}k\{a^{\phi}_{k}\}_{k\in\mathbb{N}} for the expansion ϕm\phi_{m} are not obtained via the aforementioned recurrence formula, but directly via the Plancherel theorem. This approach eases the computation required for estimation, whereas it then seems difficult to explore the limiting distribution of the estimator, that is regarded as a benefit from employing the Laguerre series expansion in this context.

6 Concluding remarks

With a view towards further application of the Gerber-Shiu function in practice, the present survey aims to enhance research activities on not fully explored implementation aspects by casting fresh light on its numerical and statistical aspects for further developments. To this end, we have provided a systematic summary on the formulation of the Gerber-Shiu function and its variants, the risk surplus models and additional structural features (Section 2), as well as a comprehensive up-to-date survey on a wide variety of analytical, semi-analytical and asymptotic methods (Section 3). Built on those essential background materials, we have grouped implementation aspects of the Gerber-Shiu function into the aforementioned two categories, namely, numerical methods (Section 4) and statistical inference (Section 5), along with further classifications and representative concepts and formulas without going into too much technical detail to avoid digressing from the main objective as a comprehensive survey.

In contrast to its richness and great versatility, the Gerber-Shiu function does not seem sufficiently prevalent in practice. As the present survey has revealed along the way, a direct and critical reason lies in a variety of difficulties in numerical approximation and statistical inference, particularly when its formulation and underlying risk models become more complex for capturing more features. For instance, by making full use of its form of the expectation functional, Monte Carlo methods can be applied to every formulation, whereas the computing time required for decent accuracy on a practical standard can often be prohibitive, particularly in the rare event situation due to the need for generating many, possibly almost endlessly many, sample paths all the way up to their ruins. To the best of our knowledge, even typical improvements, such as variance reduction techniques and sequential stopping rules, have not been explored fully in a specialized manner to the Gerber-Shiu function as of yet, and thus can be promising future research topics to attend to. As such, there should still be large room for development and improvement on numerical and statistical methods, in fact, out of necessity if more practical use of the Gerber-Shiu function is truly strived for. We hope that the present comprehensive survey opens the door wide in such research directions as a useful manual of selecting and even improving the appropriate numerical and statistical approach for relevant risk models with suitable structural features.

Another, and equally crucial, cause for the Gerber-Shiu function not getting a deserved amount of practical attention is a lack of direct research interest in its practical use per se. Despite its generality has long been well and widely understood, it is not as trivial for all interested parties to further translate real-world problems in the risk management into the Gerber-Shiu function. There does not seem to be an active line of research in the literature so far addressing how to set the penalty function to real-world problems in the insurance industry. Far beyond the aforementioned dividend and capital injection problems, the all-round form of the Gerber-Shiu function should lend itself to address a much wider variety of important practical problems, for instance, in the solvency risk assessment (such as debt reserves and margin ratios), the credit risk management, and applications as risk measures (far broader than the traditional framework of the ruin probability), just to name a few. Such practical studies would almost certainly drive up the entire research activities around the Gerber-Shiu function in various directions.

Last but not least, the coding of numerical and statistical methods is generally not a trivial task, especially for realistic large-scale problems in the industry. For more practical use and deserved dissemination of the Gerber-Shiu function, it is undoubtedly effective and even necessary to somehow promote the sharing of packaged codes (for instance, in Python or R) in appropriate source code repositories, such as GitHub, for free public use.

Declaration of competing interest

None declared.

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