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On the feasibility of deriving pseudo-redshifts of gamma-ray bursts from two phenomenological correlations

Emre S. Yorgancioglu Key Laboratory of Particle Astrophysics, Institute of High Energy Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences
19B Yuquan Road, Beijing 100049, People’s Republic of China
[email protected] University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, People’s Republic of China
Yun-Fei Du Key Laboratory of Particle Astrophysics, Institute of High Energy Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences
19B Yuquan Road, Beijing 100049, People’s Republic of China
University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, People’s Republic of China
Shu-Xu Yi \dagger Key Laboratory of Particle Astrophysics, Institute of High Energy Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences
19B Yuquan Road, Beijing 100049, People’s Republic of China
\dagger [email protected]
Rahim Moradi Key Laboratory of Particle Astrophysics, Institute of High Energy Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences
19B Yuquan Road, Beijing 100049, People’s Republic of China
INAF – Osservatorio Astronomico d’Abruzzo,Via M. Maggini snc, I-64100, Teramo, Italy
Hua Feng Key Laboratory of Particle Astrophysics, Institute of High Energy Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences
19B Yuquan Road, Beijing 100049, People’s Republic of China
Shuang-Nan Zhang \ddagger Key Laboratory of Particle Astrophysics, Institute of High Energy Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences
19B Yuquan Road, Beijing 100049, People’s Republic of China
University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, People’s Republic of China
\ddagger [email protected]
Abstract

Accurate knowledge of gamma-ray burst (GRB) redshifts is essential for studying their intrinsic properties and exploring their potential application in cosmology. Currently, only a small fraction of GRBs have independent redshift measurements, primarily due to the need of rapid follow-up optical/IR spectroscopic observations. For this reason, many have utilized phenomenological correlations to derive pseudo-redshifts of GRBs with no redshift measurement. In this work, we explore the feasibility of analytically deriving pseudo-redshifts directly from the Amati and Yonetoku relations. We simulate populations of GRBs that (i) fall perfectly on the phenomenological correlation track, and (ii) include intrinsic scatter matching observations. Our findings indicate that, in the case of the Amati relation , the mathematical formulation is ill-behaved so that it yields two solutions within a reasonable redshift range z[0.1,10]z\in[0.1,10]. When realistic scatter is included, it may result in no solution, or the redshift error range is excessively large. In the case of the Yonetoku relation, while it can result in a unique solution in most cases, the large systematic errors of the redshift calls for attention, especially when attempting to use pseudo redshifts to study GRB population properties.

Gamma Ray Burst (629) — Redshift surveys (1378) — Cosmology(343)

1 Introduction

Gamma-ray bursts (GRBs) rank among the most luminous explosions in the Universe. Their isotropic and extragalactic origins were firmly established by the Burst and Transient Source Experiment (BATSE) onboard the Compton Gamma Ray Observatory (Meegan et al., 1992); due to their extraordinary brightness, they have been detected up to a redshift z=9.4z=9.4 (Cucchiara et al., 2011). Thus, GRBs stand as a potential candidate to perform cosmological studies (Amati & Valle, 2013). GRBs have traditionally been categorized by the duration of their prompt emission. Short-duration GRBs (SGRBs) are defined as those with T90<2T_{90}<2 seconds, while long-duration GRBs (LGRBs) have T90>2T_{90}>2 seconds; It is generally believed that the origin of SGRBs is attributed to the merger of binary compact objects, whereas LGRBs are associated with the deaths of massive stars (Zhang et al., 2009; Berger, 2014). However, this simple dichotomy of long versus short may not fully capture the complexity and intricacies of GRBs, since a subclass of GRBs have been found to exhibit properties of both LGRBs and SGRBs (Norris & Bonnell, 2006; Yi et al., 2023; Wang et al., 2024; Yi et al., 2024; Zhang, 2024). Moreover, using a phenomenological classification scheme based on T90T_{90}, which depends on the detector’s energy band, can also lead to contradictory results between different detectors observing the same GRB (Bromberg et al., 2013). Zhang (2006) proposes a more physical classification scheme, where GRBs are divided into Type-I (merger origin) and Type-II (collapsar origin) categories, based on their progenitor; while it may not always be possible to determine the progenitor, GRBs exhibiting characteristics of both types can be categorized based on whether the majority of its properties align more closely with a merger or core collapse scenario.

In recent decades, GRBs have been found to exhibit various phenomenological correlations among parameters of the prompt emission. Among these are two robust correlations which correlate the spectral peak energy (in the νfν\nu f_{\nu} spectrum), EpE_{\mathrm{p}}, to isotropic energy EisoE_{\mathrm{iso}} (Amati et al., 2008), and isotropic peak luminosity LpL_{\mathrm{p}} (Yonetoku et al., 2004), i.e.,

log(Ep,zkeV)=aAlog(Eisoerg)+bA,\displaystyle\log\left(\frac{E_{\text{p},z}}{\text{keV}}\right)=a_{\rm A}\log\left(\frac{E_{\text{iso}}}{\text{erg}}\right)+b_{\rm A}\,, (1)

and

log(Ep,zkeV)=aYlog(Lp,zerg/s)+bY,\log\left(\frac{E_{\text{p},z}}{\text{keV}}\right)=a_{\rm Y}\log\left(\frac{L_{\text{p},z}}{\text{erg/s}}\right)+b_{\rm Y}\,, (2)

There exists two distinct tracks for LGRBs and SGRBs in Ep,zEisoE_{\mathrm{p},z}-E_{\mathrm{iso}} (Amati) space, with SGRBs forming a parallel track above LGRBs, due to their lower energy output (See Fig.1). This may be attributed to their shorter durations. However, in Ep,zE_{\mathrm{p},z}Lp,zL_{\mathrm{p},z} (Yonetoku) parameter space, there exists no significant separation between LGRBs and SGRBs.

The origin of these correlations remains a topic of active debate. While some have attributed them as being an artifact of instrumental selection biases (Band & Preece, 2005), several studies have quantified the impact of selection biases and concluded that, although selection effects may influence the slope and scatter, they cannot fully account for the existence of the spectral energy correlations. Further evidence for the Amati and Yonetoku correlations comes from the discovery of an LEpL-E_{\mathrm{p}} relationship that appears within individual bursts (Liang et al., 2004; Frontera et al., 2012). Notwithstanding the uncertainties in the underlying physics, many have considered their potential utility in deriving “pseudo-redshifts” (Yonetoku et al., 2004; Dainotti et al., 2011; Tan et al., 2013; Tsutsui et al., 2013; Deng et al., 2023), which would be particularly vital for population studies. For example, Zhang & Wang (2018) applied the Yonetoku relation to constrain the luminosity function and formation rate of SGRBs, while others, such as Wanderman & Piran (2015) and Paul (2018), have investigated the evolution of the luminosity function in depth. Given that Fermi-GBM has amassed a dataset of over 2,400 GRB detections since its launch (Poolakkil et al., 2021), we believe it is pertinent to evaluate the viability of using these correlations for deriving pseudo-redshifts.

In this study, we test the feasibility of using the Amati and Yonetoku relations to analytically derive pseudo-redshifts by utilizing a synthetic catalogue of GRBs and comparing the inferred psuedo-redshifts (henceforth denoted as ziz_{\mathrm{i}}) to their true, generated redshift zgz_{\mathrm{g}}. We mainly consider the case for LGRBs as they have traditionally been used for cosmological studies; however, we also provide some analysis for SGRBs in the Discussion. The paper is organized as follows: section 2 describes our detailed simulation process; in section 3, we summarize our results, and section 4 offers a summary and discussion.

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Figure 1: Fitted Amati relations. The data are taken from Lan et al. (2023) , which includes 23 SGRBs and 333 LGRBs. The histograms on the top and bottom represent the distribution of EisoE_{\mathrm{iso}} and Ep,zE_{\mathrm{p},z}, respectively. We fit and utilize a lognormal distribution for EisoE_{\mathrm{iso}} with a mean of log(Eiso)\log(E_{\mathrm{iso}}) at μ=52.9\mu=52.9 and σ=0.97\sigma=0.97 for LGRBs.

2 Methods

The Amati correlation is defined in terms of two intrinsic (i.e., rest-frame) quantities: the peak energy Ep,zE_{\mathrm{p},z} and the isotropic energy EisoE_{\mathrm{iso}}, for a given redshift zz. The intrinsic parameters Ep,zE_{\mathrm{p},z} and EisoE_{\mathrm{iso}} are related to their observed counterparts through

Ep,z=Ep,o×(1+z)E_{\text{p},z}=E_{\text{p,o}}\times(1+z)\, (3)

and

Eiso=4πDL2Fk1+z,E_{\mathrm{iso}}=\frac{4\pi D^{2}_{\mathrm{L}}Fk}{1+z}\,, (4)

where FF is the fluence, kk is the k-correction (which we take as k=1k=1, due to the wide energy coverage of Fermi-GBM), and DLD_{\mathrm{L}} is the luminosity distance, i.e.,

DL(z)=(1+z)cH00zdzΩM(1+z)3+ΩΛ.D_{L}(z)=(1+z)\frac{c}{H_{0}}\int_{0}^{z}\frac{dz^{\prime}}{\sqrt{\Omega_{M}(1+z^{\prime})^{3}+\Omega_{\Lambda}}}\,. (5)

We adopt the Planck18 cosmology, assuming a flat Λ\LambdaCDM universe with H0=67.66kms1Mpc1H_{0}=67.66\,\mathrm{km}\,\mathrm{s}^{-1}\,\mathrm{Mpc}^{-1} and ΩM=0.3111\Omega_{\mathrm{M}}=0.3111 as reported by Aghanim et al. (2020). Holding Ep,oE_{\mathrm{p,o}} and FF fixed for a given burst, and allowing zz to vary continuously (over z[0.1,10]z\in[0.1,10]), we trace out a continuous curve in the EisoEp,zE_{\mathrm{iso}}-E_{\mathrm{p},z} plane. We refer to this locus of points as

𝒜(z;Ep,o,F)=(Eiso(z),Ep,z(z)).\mathcal{A}(z;E_{\mathrm{p,o}},F)=\left(E_{\mathrm{iso}}(z),\;E_{\mathrm{p},z}(z)\right). (6)

Geometrically, it is a parametric curve where the running parameter is zz. We next compare 𝒜(z;Ep,o,F)\mathcal{A}(z;E_{\mathrm{p,o}},F) to the best-fit Amati line; any intersection between 𝒜(z;Ep,o,F)\mathcal{A}(z;E_{\mathrm{p,o}},F) and this correlation line corresponds to a candidate “pseudo-redshift” ziz_{i}: that is, a redshift for which the observed (F,Ep,o)(F,E_{\mathrm{p,o}}) values place the burst exactly on the Amati relation.

We fit the Amati parameters (aA,bA)(a_{\rm A},b_{\rm A}) to the LGRB sample of Lan et al. (2023), finding aA=0.46±0.016a_{\rm A}=0.46\pm 0.016 and bA=21.84±0.87.b_{\rm A}=-21.84\pm 0.87. We first simulate a population of 100 GRBs that perfectly obey this best-fit Amati line 111All the relevant codes in this paper can be accessed from the GitLab repository </> . Specifically, we first draw EisoE_{\mathrm{iso}} values from the observed distribution of Lan et al. (2023) and sample the “true” redshift zgz_{\mathrm{g}} for each GRB from a typical LGRB formation rate ψ(z)\psi(z) (Salvaterra & Chincarini, 2007):

ΨGRB(z)=kGRBΣ(z)ψ(z)\Psi_{\rm GRB}(z)=k_{\rm GRB}\,\Sigma(z)\,\psi_{*}(z) (7)

where Σ(z)\Sigma(z) is the metallicity-convolved efficiency function (Kewley & Kobulnicky, 2005)

Σ(z)=Γ[0.84,(ZthZ)2100.3z]Γ(0.84)\Sigma(z)=\frac{\Gamma\left[0.84,\left(\frac{Z_{\text{th}}}{Z_{\odot}}\right)^{2}10^{0.3z}\right]}{\Gamma(0.84)} (8)

ψ(z)\psi_{*}(z) is the star formation rate from Li (2008) and we take the normalization factor kGRB=1.0k_{\rm GRB}=1.0. For each simulated burst, we set

Ep,z= 10{aAlog10(Eiso)+bA},E_{\mathrm{p},z}\;=\;10^{\,\{a_{\rm A}\,\log_{10}(E_{\mathrm{iso}})+b_{\rm A}\}},

and then compute its observed fluence and observed peak energy via Equations. 3 and 4.

Thus, each simulated GRB is assigned both intrinsic parameters {Eiso,Ep,zg,zg}\{E_{\mathrm{iso}},\,E_{\mathrm{p},z_{\rm g}},\,z_{\mathrm{g}}\} and observed parameters {F,Ep,o}\{F,\,E_{\mathrm{p,o}}\}. Finally, to infer its pseudo-redshift, we construct the parametric curve 𝒜(z;Ep,o,F)\mathcal{A}(z;E_{\mathrm{p,o}},F) and find any intersection(s) with the Amati line. The resulting solution(s) ziz_{i} can then be compared to the known “true” zgz_{\mathrm{g}}. Reliable distance indicators must yield only a single redshift solution within a reasonable redshift range, and so we wish to see if the Amati relation can yield a unique solution ziz_{i} for each GRB, given its observed spectral peak energy Ep,oE_{\mathrm{p,o}} and fluence FF. Next, we add intrinsic scatter to the simulated data, based on our measured dispersion of σlogEp,z\sigma_{\log E_{{\rm p},z}} = 0.30 on the data of Lan et al. (2023), where we attempt to gauge the statistics of ziz_{\rm i} with a simulated catalogue of 500 GRBs; this dispersion defines an upper and lower boundary around the best-fit Amati relation, forming the uncertainty region 𝒰A\mathcal{U}_{\mathrm{A}}. For each simulated GRB, we determine its 1σ\sigma redshift range [ziσ,zi+σ]\bigl{[}z_{\mathrm{i}}^{-\sigma},\,z_{\mathrm{i}}^{+\sigma}\bigr{]} by finding where the parametric curve 𝒜(z;Ep,o,F)\mathcal{A}(z;E_{\mathrm{p,o}},F) intersects 𝒰A\mathcal{U}_{\mathrm{A}}.

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Figure 2: Top Left: Illustration of two simulated 𝒜(z;Ep,o,F)\mathcal{A}(z;E_{\mathrm{p,o}},F) curves; many more examples are shown in the inset. Red stars denote the true positions and zgz_{\mathrm{g}} in Amati parameter space; blue circle denotes the second inferred position and redshift ziz_{\mathrm{i}}. Bottom Left: ziz_{\mathrm{i}} vs zgz_{\mathrm{g}}; the vertical red dashed line denotes the ztz_{\mathrm{t}} prediction from eq. 10. Clearly, zg=ziz_{\mathrm{g}}=z_{\mathrm{i}} and zgziz_{\mathrm{g}}\neq z_{\mathrm{i}} solution branches intersect at z=3.08z=3.08 as predicted </> Top Right: A sample curve with two crossings when scatter in the Amati relation is included. The real position of the GRB is denoted by the blue star, with zg=3.44z_{\mathrm{g}}=3.44. Bottom Right: Confidence intervals [ziσ,zi+σ][z_{\mathrm{i}}^{-\sigma},z_{\mathrm{i}}^{+\sigma}] of 100 GRBs obtained from the intersection of the 1σ\sigma bounds of the Amati relation, 𝒰A\mathcal{U_{\mathrm{A}}}. We plot the confidence intervals of both GRBs with single crossings and double crossings. The red dot denotes the midpoint redshift within each band. </>

In the case of the Yonetoku relation, the intrinsic luminosity is given by

Lz=4πDL2fγk,L_{z}=4\pi D^{2}_{\rm L}f_{\gamma}k\,, (9)

where fγf_{\gamma} is the observed flux. Since we are substituting EisoE_{\rm iso} with luminosity, the GRB parametric curve 𝒴(z;Ep,o,fγ)\mathcal{Y}(z;E_{\mathrm{p,o}},f_{\gamma}) in Yonetoku parameter space takes on a distinct functional form with respect to zz than 𝒜(z;Ep,o,F)\mathcal{A}(z;E_{\mathrm{p,o}},F); in this case, each simulated GRB in Yonetoku parameter space is characterized by the parameters {Lp,Ep,zg,fγ,Ep,o,zg}\{L_{\mathrm{p}},E_{\mathrm{p},z_{\mathrm{g}}},f_{\gamma},E_{\mathrm{p,o}},z_{\mathrm{g}}\} and warrants a separate investigation. We follow a similar procedure outlined for the Amati relation when assigning the intrinisic parameters of the simulated GRBs, and dispersion according to σlogEp,z\sigma_{\log E_{{\rm p},z}} = 0.25 (Ghirlanda et al., 2005), which defines the Yonetoku uncertainty band 𝒰Y\mathcal{U_{\mathrm{Y}}}. We take aYa_{Y} to be 0.625 ±0.032\pm 0.032, and bYb_{Y} to be -30.22 ±0.023\pm 0.023 taken from literature (Yonetoku et al., 2010) 222From Yonetoku et al. (2010), Lp=1052.43±0.037×[Ep(1+z)355keV]1.60±0.082L_{p}=10^{52.43\pm 0.037}\times\left[\frac{E_{p}(1+z)}{355\,\text{keV}}\right]^{1.60\pm 0.082} Thus, aYa_{Y} = 11.6\frac{1}{1.6}, and bYb_{Y} = log(355)52.431.6\log(355)-\frac{52.43}{1.6} . We sample the luminosities from a simple lognormal distribution log10Lpeak𝒩(μ=52.5,σ2=1)\log_{10}L_{\text{peak}}\sim\mathcal{N}(\mu=52.5,\sigma^{2}=1). Note that the choice of luminosity function does not alter the key results, because the functional form of 𝒴(z;Ep,o,fγ)\mathcal{Y}(z;E_{\mathrm{p,o}},f_{\gamma})—and hence the geometry of its intersection with the Yonetoku correlation—remains unchanged. Consequently, only the relative weighting of the parameter space is affected, not the overall behavior of solutions.

3 Results

3.1 Amati Relation

In the top left panel of Figure 2, we display two example curves of GRBs simulated without scatter (assuming perfect Amati relation) overlaid on the best-fit Amati line within the Amati parameter space. It is evident that these GRBs have double intersections with the Amati line. In fact, unless the parametric curve is exactly tangent to the Amati line—which occurs only at a specific redshift ztz_{\mathrm{t}}—there will be two redshift solutions for each GRB, one with zi<ztz_{\rm i}<z_{\mathrm{t}} and another with zi>ztz_{\rm i}>z_{\mathrm{t}} . We derive an expression for ztz_{\mathrm{t}}, which is dependant on the Amati slope aAa_{\mathrm{A}} (see Appendix):

aA=12ddlog(1+zt)(logDL(zt))1.a_{\mathrm{A}}=\frac{1}{2\dfrac{d}{d\log(1+z_{\mathrm{t}})}\left(\log D_{\rm L}(z_{\mathrm{t}})\right)-1}\,. (10)

In the bottom left panel of Fig. 2, we show that analytically solving the Amati relation yields two solutions, with (i) zi=zgz_{\mathrm{i}}=z_{\mathrm{g}} and (ii) zizgz_{\mathrm{i}}\neq z_{\mathrm{g}}; the two solution branches of zi=zgz_{\mathrm{i}}=z_{\mathrm{g}} and zizgz_{\mathrm{i}}\neq z_{\mathrm{g}} intersect at zt=3.08z_{\rm t}=3.08, as predicted by Eq 10 (See left panel of Figure 6 in the appendix). The condition that determines whether the Amati relation is “ill-behaved” in the physical redshift interval z[0.1,10]z\in[0.1,10] depends on how steep aAa_{\mathrm{A}} is. Specifically, one can require zt>10z_{\mathrm{t}}>10 ensuring every parametric curve to admit a single solution rather than two. This translates to a limiting slope aA0.67a_{\mathrm{A}}\geq 0.67, significantly larger than the best-fit value currently measured (see the left panel of Fig. 6) in the appendix

When we incorporate intrinsic scatter into the simulated GRBs as previously described, the 𝒜(z;Ep,o,F)\mathcal{A}(z;E_{\mathrm{p,o}},F) curves will either have no solution, a single solution, or double solution. As a direct corollary of Eq 10, we see that taking the redshift at which 𝒜(z;Ep,o,F)\mathcal{A}(z;E_{\mathrm{p,o}},F) is closest to the mean Amati line for those curves which do not intersect the Amati line will always result in the same redshift, ztz_{\mathrm{t}}. The 𝒜(z;Ep,o,F)\mathcal{A}(z;E_{\mathrm{p,o}},F) curves which yield only a single solution (about 34% of the sample) will always have zi<ztz_{\mathrm{i}}<z_{\mathrm{t}} (see Fig 7 in appendix).

When we consider the intersection of 𝒜(z;Ep,o,F)\mathcal{A}(z;E_{\mathrm{p,o}},F) with the Amati dispersion area 𝒰A\mathcal{U_{\mathrm{A}}}, the curves would either have no crossings (10%) , single crossings, or double crossings (8%) . In the bottom right panel of Fig. 2, we plot the confidence intervals [ziσ,zi+σ][z_{\mathrm{i}}^{-\sigma},z_{\mathrm{i}}^{+\sigma}] against zgz_{\mathrm{g}}, including both GRBs with single crossings or double crossings. Clearly, even with the 1σ\sigma uncertainty band, the uncertainty range of ziz_{\mathrm{i}} is around the same order of magnitude as the redshift range of interest, and in fact often extends beyond zi>30z_{\mathrm{i}}>30. There exists no correlation between ziz_{\mathrm{i}} and zgz_{\mathrm{g}}. Note that the case of single crossings here is intrinsically different from the case of 𝒜(z;Ep,o,F)\mathcal{A}(z;E_{\mathrm{p,o}},F) with a single intersection (at ztz_{\mathrm{t}}) when simulated without scatter.

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Figure 3: Plot lot of 100 𝒴(z;Ep,o,fγ)\mathcal{Y}(z;E_{\mathrm{p,o}},f_{\gamma}) curves of GRBs simulated perfectly on the Yonetoku track. The functional form of 𝒴(z;Ep,o,fγ)\mathcal{Y}(z;E_{\mathrm{p,o}},f_{\gamma}) is clearly distinct from 𝒜(z;Ep,o,F)\mathcal{A}(z;E_{\mathrm{p,o}},F), resulting in one intersection for z[0.1,10]</>z\in[0.1,10]\href https://code.ihep.ac.cn/emre/pseudo-redshifts/-/blob/main/Yonetoku-NoScatter.py
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Figure 4: Top Left: Simulated GRBs in Yonetoku parameter space with intrinsic scatter σlogEp,z=0.25\sigma_{\log E_{\rm p},z}=0.25 . Bottom Left: ziz_{\mathrm{i}} vs zgz_{\mathrm{g}}, with a Pearson Correlation Coefficient of r=0.40±0.04r=0.40\pm 0.04 </>. Top Right: 40 Simulated 𝒴(z;Ep,o,fγ)\mathcal{Y}(z;E_{\mathrm{p,o}},f_{\gamma}) curves (for z[0.1,30]z\in[0.1,30]) over the 1 σ\sigma Yonetoku uncertainty area 𝒰Y\mathcal{U_{\mathrm{Y}}}. The length of 𝒴(z;Ep,o,fγ)\mathcal{Y}(z;E_{\mathrm{p,o}},f_{\gamma}) within 𝒰Y\mathcal{U_{\mathrm{Y}}} is highlighted in color, and the stars denote the true GRB position. Bottom Right: Confidence intervals [ziσ,zi+σ][z_{\mathrm{i}}^{-\sigma},z_{\mathrm{i}}^{+\sigma}] vs zgz_{\mathrm{g}} of 100 simulated GRBs derived from the intersection of 𝒴(z;Ep,o,fγ)\mathcal{Y}(z;E_{\mathrm{p,o}},f_{\gamma}) with the Yonetoku uncertainty area 𝒰Y\mathcal{U_{\mathrm{Y}}} </>

3.2 Yonetoku Relation

Because Lp,zL_{\mathrm{p},z} is more sensitive to redshift than EisoE_{\mathrm{iso}}, the parametric curve 𝒴(z;Ep,o,fγ)\mathcal{Y}(z;E_{\mathrm{p,o}},f_{\gamma}) does not intersect the correlation line multiple times within z[0.1,10]z\in[0.1,10]. As a result, each burst yields a unique solution for ziz_{\mathrm{i}} (see Fig. 3). . With the same line of reasoning adopted for the case of the Amati relation, we can obtain a threshold slope for which the Yonetoku relation would no longer always yield a unique solution within z[0.1,10]z\in[0.1,10], through

aY=12ddlog(1+zt)(logDL(zt)),a_{\mathrm{Y}}=\frac{1}{2\dfrac{d}{d\log(1+z_{\mathrm{t}})}\left(\log D_{\rm L}(z_{\mathrm{t}})\right)}\,, (11)

where we find that the condition of being ill-behaved is satisfied for aY0.41a_{\mathrm{Y}}\leq 0.41, well below the uncertainty range for aYa_{\mathrm{Y}} (See right panel of Fig 6 in Appendix). Therefore, the Yonetoku relation is always well behaved and provides a unique redshift solution within z[0.1,10]z\in[0.1,10]. When intrinsic scatter is added to Ep,zE_{{\rm p},z}, we find that about 5% of GRBs do not intersect the Yonetoku line. In the bottom left panel of Fig. 4, we plot ziz_{\mathrm{i}} vs zgz_{\mathrm{g}}. It is evident that the ziz_{\mathrm{i}} vs zgz_{\mathrm{g}} trend is highly sensitive to the intrinsic scatter of the sample; we obtain a pearson correlation coefficient of r=0.40±0.04r=0.40\pm 0.04 , indicating little predictive power.

In the bottom right panel of Figure 4, we show [ziσ,zi+σ][z_{\mathrm{i}}^{-\sigma},z_{\mathrm{i}}^{+\sigma}] vs zgz_{\mathrm{g}}, found from the intersection of 𝒴(z;Ep,o,fγ)\mathcal{Y}(z;E_{\mathrm{p,o}},f_{\gamma}) with the yonetoku dispersion area 𝒰Y\mathcal{U_{\mathrm{Y}}}; unlike in the case of the Amati relation, we do not find any curves with double crossings, and a small fraction (1%1\%) of curves have no crossings. Nonetheless, the confidence bands are excessively large, often extending well beyond zi>30z_{\mathrm{i}}>30. We cap ziz_{\mathrm{i}} to 20.

4 Summary & Discussion

In this paper, we examine the feasibility of analytically obtaining pseudo-redshifts using two well-known phenomenological correlations of the prompt emission, which have become the de facto method for this purpose. With the aid of a synthetic catalogue of GRBs, we find this practice to be untenable for the following reasons:

  • Analytically solving for ziz_{\rm i} from the best fit Amati relation always results in two solutions, which are both within a physical range (except in the case of zg=ztz_{\mathrm{g}}=z_{\mathrm{t}}). The Amati relation can be practically well behaved over z[0.1,10]z\in[0.1,10] if the Amati slope aA0.67a_{\mathrm{A}}\geq 0.67, well above the uncertainty range of aAa_{\mathrm{A}}. Intrinsic scatter would not salvage the situation; if intrinsic scatter is added, there would either be (i) two solutions, (ii) one solution, or (iii) no solution. In the case of no solution, taking the point on 𝒜(z;Ep,o,F)\mathcal{A}(z;E_{\mathrm{p,o}},F) closest to the mean Amati track would only yield a constant ziz_{\mathrm{i}}, as a corollary of Equation 10. In the case of a single solution, it is easy to see that in all cases zi<ztz_{\mathrm{i}}<z_{\mathrm{t}}, and hovers around a constant value. Therefore, the Amati relation fails at a fundamental level and cannot be reliably used as a distance indicator

  • Although the Yonetoku relation results in a unique solution for ziz_{\mathrm{i}}, the intrinsic scatter leads to there being no solution for about 5% simulated GRBs and little predictive power of ziz_{\mathrm{i}}.

  • Incorporating the confidence areas 𝒰A\mathcal{U_{\rm A}} and 𝒰Y\mathcal{U_{\rm Y}} would yield excessively large error bands for ziz_{\mathrm{i}} for both the Amati and Yonetoku relations.

We have not simulated GRBs with uncertainty bands in EpE_{\mathrm{p}} and LpL_{\mathrm{p}}, so in practice, we would expect even larger uncertainties in ziz_{\mathrm{i}} if the uncertainties of fluence and peak energy are accounted for. In order to check whether the redshift distribution of the simulated GRB population will change the above analysis on the Yonetoku relation, we repeat the analysis with a different redshift distribution, a density evolved rate, as proposed in Lan et al, ie, ψGRB=ψ(z)(1+z)δ\psi_{\rm GRB}=\psi_{*}(z)(1+z)^{\delta}, with δ=1.9\delta=1.9, which places more GRBs at higher redshifts Lan et al. (2019). In this case, the strength of the ziz_{i} vs zgz_{g} correlation decreases to r=0.33r=0.33, and the curves of about 20% of LGRBs would not intersect the Yonetoku line, and hence have no solution. In the ziz_{\rm i} vs. zgz_{\rm g} plots shown in Figure 4, not only is the scatter around the z=zgz=z_{\rm g} line quite large, but the confidence intervals for individual ziz_{i} are also very wide—exceeding 2.5 for GRBs with zg>1.5z_{\rm g}>1.5. For LGRBs, the 1σ\sigma confidence interval of ziz_{i} (upper limit capped at 10) averages to 4.19, which is broader than the characteristic width (Δz3\Delta z\sim 3) of the metallicity-convolved GRB rate distribution. It is critical to emphasize again that this result is without considering for errors in measurements of fluence and peak energy. Such high uncertainties of the inferred ziz_{\rm i} (significantly larger than the width of zz distribution of the population) calls into question the feasibility of any population studies which aim to infer distributions directly from pseudo-redshifts; for instance, it would be difficult to obtain any meaningful constraints on our understanding between the correlation of LGRBs and the cosmic star formation history, the characteristic delay time, or the luminosity function.

In this work, we have assumed a k-correction factor of 1; in reality, the curves of 𝒜(z;Ep,o,F)\mathcal{A}(z;E_{\mathrm{p,o}},F) and 𝒴(z;Ep,o,fγ)\mathcal{Y}(z;E_{\mathrm{p,o}},f_{\gamma}) would be slightly modified. Zegarelli et al. (2022) found the k-correction distribution of GRBs detected by Fermi-GBM to be highly skewed towards 1, with a median value of 1.12 and a mean value of 1.27, and with a maximum value of an outlier at \sim 4. Therefore, although in principle k(z)k(z) would increase with zz, the effect would be negligible due to the wide energy coverage of Fermi-GBM. In fact, Paul (2018) demonstrated that by assuming Fermi-GBM’s GRBs follow the Band function and averaging the low- and high-energy indices α\alpha and β\beta, the average spectral shape detected by Fermi-GBM yields a k-correction below 1.5 even at z=10z=10.

4.1 SGRBs

Although most cosmological uses of GRBs focus on long-duration bursts, we have also briefly examined the case of SGRBs, whose redshift distribution is expected to peak at lower zz. With regards to the Amati relation, since the slope for SGRBs bA=0.49±0.04b_{\rm A}=0.49\pm 0.04 is also below the limiting value for a unique solution, our conclusion for long GRBs extends equally to short GRBs in this context. With regards to the Yonetoku relation, we sample the SGRBs from a BNS merger rate density (see appendix). Assuming τ=3\tau=3 Gyr, we obtain a correlation coefficient of r=0.48±0.04r=0.48\pm 0.04 for ziz_{\rm i} vs. zgz_{\rm g}, and the average 1 sigma confidence intervals of ziz_{i} (capping the upper limit to 10 ) is 3.16, which greatly exceeds the delay time-scale (Δz1\Delta z\sim 1). In the case of τ\tau = 1 Gyr, we find r=0.45±0.04r=0.45\pm 0.04 for ziz_{\rm i} vs. zgz_{\rm g} and the average 1 sigma confidence intervals of ziz_{i} is 3.57.

Refer to caption
Figure 5: Normalized GRB rates utilized as a function of redshift. Blue: BNS merger rate with τ=3\tau=3 Gyr; Red: BNS merger rate with τ=1\tau=1 Gyr; Black: Metallicity-Convolved SFR rate; Purple: Density evolved SFR rate

4.2 Concluding Remarks

Our findings underscore the inherent difficulty in analytically solving for redshifts using phenomenological GRB correlations as distance indicators for both individual GRBs and population studies. Nevertheless, it is important to stress that these correlations, when combined with other observational information or advanced statistical/machine-learning frameworks, may still hold promise for constraining population distributions (e.g., luminosity functions, formation rates). For instance, Bayesian hierarchically informed methods or multi-parameter regressions leveraging detailed spectral shapes, afterglow properties, or prompt light-curve features could help refine pseudo-redshift estimates. In fact, recent studies have incorporated machine learning with great success in deriving pseudo-redshifts; (See, for example, Dainotti et al., 2024; Aldowma & Razzaque, 2024). In the study of Aldowma & Razzaque (2024), for instance, the models included not only the key parameters of fluence, flux, and peak energy, but also additional spectral features, such as the low and high spectral indices of the Band function. This broader set of input variables allows machine learning approaches to identify complex, non-linear relationships that may not be immediately apparent in traditional regression-based methods. We stress that machine learning does not override the foundational limitations we present here, but instead provides a complementary way to address them by utilizing a wider range of observational data. Hence, we believe that the extensive data collected by Fermi-GBM still retains potential in this regard.

We have not considered other phenomenological correlations of the prompt emission, such as Ep,zEγE_{\mathrm{p},z}-E_{\mathrm{\gamma}} (Ghirlanda) relation (Ghirlanda et al., 2004), Ep,zLγ,p,isoT0.45E_{\mathrm{p},z}-L_{\mathrm{\gamma,p,iso}}-T_{0.45} (Firmani) relation (Firmani et al., 2006), or those of the afterglow, such as the LXTa,zL_{\mathrm{X}}-T_{\mathrm{a},z} (Dainotti) relation (Dainotti et al., 2008) and Ep,zEγ,isotb,zE_{\mathrm{p},z}-E_{\mathrm{\gamma,iso}}-t_{\mathrm{b},z} (Liang-Zhang) relation (Liang & Zhang, 2005). Nonetheless, if any such correlations are to be used as “distance indicators”, they must (i) yield a unique solution within a physical redshift range, and (ii) be tight enough to have a predictive power of statistical significance and yield reasonable error bands.

ESY acknowledges support from the “Alliance of International Science Organization (ANSO) Scholarship For Young Talents”. SXY acknowledges support from the Chinese Academy of Sciences (grant Nos. E32983U810 and E25155U110). SNZ acknowledges support from the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 12333007 and 12027803) and International Partnership Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences (Grant No.113111KYSB20190020).

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Appendix A Derivation of Tangent Redshift

The Amati line is given by

logEp=aAlogEiso+bA,\displaystyle\log E_{\mathrm{p}}=a_{\mathrm{A}}\log E_{\mathrm{iso}}+b_{\rm A}\,, (A1)

where aAa_{\mathrm{A}} is the slope of the Amati relation and bAb_{\rm A} is the intercept. 𝒜(z;Ep,o,F)\mathcal{A}(z;E_{\mathrm{p,o}},F) in Ep,zEisoE_{\mathrm{p},z}-E_{\mathrm{iso}} space is parameterized by

Ep,z=Ep,o×(1+z)\displaystyle E_{\mathrm{p},z}=E_{\mathrm{p,o}}\times(1+z) (A2)

and

Eiso=Fluence×4πDL2(z)1+z.\displaystyle E_{\mathrm{iso}}=\frac{\mathrm{Fluence}\times 4\pi D^{2}_{\rm L}(z)}{1+z}\,. (A3)

Lemma: The point on 𝒜(z;Ep,o,F)\mathcal{A}(z;E_{\mathrm{p,o}},F) closest to the amati line for curves with no intersection occurs when the slope of 𝒜(z;Ep,o,F)\mathcal{A}(z;E_{\mathrm{p,o}},F) in logEp,zlogEiso\log E_{{\rm p},z}-\log E_{\mathrm{iso}} space matches the slope of the Amati line, aAa_{\mathrm{A}}.

We first need to compute the derivatives of logEp(z)andlogEiso(z)\log E_{\mathrm{p}}(z)\ \mathrm{and}\ \log E_{\mathrm{iso}}(z) with respect to log(1+z)\log(1+z):

dlogEpdlog(1+z)=dlogEp,odlog(1+z)+1\displaystyle\frac{d\log E_{\mathrm{p}}}{d\log(1+z)}=\frac{d\log E_{\mathrm{p,o}}}{d\log(1+z)}+1 (A4)

and

dlogEisodlog(1+z)=2dlogDL(z)dlog(1+z)1.\displaystyle\frac{d\log E_{\mathrm{iso}}}{d\log(1+z)}=2\frac{d\log D_{\rm L}(z)}{d\log(1+z)}-1\,. (A5)

We need to find the redshift at which the Amati slope aAa_{\mathrm{A}} and the derivative of 𝒜(z;Ep,o,F)\mathcal{A}(z;E_{\mathrm{p,o}},F) match:

dlogEp,zdlogEiso=aA.\displaystyle\frac{d\log E_{\mathrm{p},z}}{d\log E_{\mathrm{iso}}}=a_{\mathrm{A}}\,. (A6)

Hence:

aA=dlogEp,odlog(1+z)+12dlogDL(z)dlog(1+z)1=12dlogDL(zt)dlog(1+zt)1\displaystyle a_{\mathrm{A}}=\frac{\frac{d\log E_{\mathrm{p,o}}}{d\log(1+z)}+1}{2\frac{d\log D_{\mathrm{L}}(z)}{d\log(1+z)}-1}=\frac{1}{2\frac{d\log D_{\mathrm{L}}(z_{\mathrm{t}})}{d\log(1+z_{\mathrm{t}})}-1} (A7)

since Ep,oE_{\mathrm{p,o}} is a constant. It is easy to see that in the case of the Yonetoku relation, this becomes:

aY=12dlogDL(zt)dlog(1+zt).\displaystyle a_{\mathrm{Y}}=\frac{1}{2\frac{d\log D_{\mathrm{L}}(z_{\mathrm{t}})}{d\log(1+z_{\mathrm{t}})}}\,. (A8)

We plot Equation A7 in Figure 6 (left), and Equation A8 in Figure 6 (right). It is clear that zt=3.08z_{\mathrm{t}}=3.08 is at the midpoint of the intersection range between Equation A7 and the LGRB Amati slope uncertainty. The Yonetoku and Amati relations results unique solutions within z[0.1,10]z\in[0.1,10] for slopes which satisfy zt10z_{\mathrm{t}}\geq 10. Clearly the observed slopes of both relations indicate that the Yonetoku relation is well-behaved (resulting unique solution), but the Amati relation is not.

Refer to caption
Figure 6: Plot of Equation A7 (left) and Equation A8 (right). The blue shaded region denotes the 1σ1\sigma uncertainty range for the slopes. The red dashed line denotes the limit above which the the function is well behaved (results in unique solution) for z[0.1,10]z\in[0.1,10]. The green dashed line corresponds to ztz_{\mathrm{t}} for the mean Amati slope.

Figure 7 illustrates the case where the curves 𝒜(z;Ep,o,F)\mathcal{A}(z;E_{\mathrm{p,o}},F) have only one solution when intrinsic scatter is introduced. This can be easily explained by noting that ztz_{\mathrm{t}} represents the highest possible redshift solution for curves that intersect the Amati line only once.

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Figure 7: Plot of 3 sample 𝒜(z;Ep,o,F)\mathcal{A}(z;E_{\mathrm{p,o}},F) curves with one solution only. Stars denote the true position of the GRB, with true redshifts annotated. Right: ziz_{\mathrm{i}} vs zgz_{\mathrm{g}} of 86 GRBs with one solution only (out of a sample of 250 GRBs)

Appendix B The redshift distribution when simulating the population of sGRBs

We assume the SGRBs to follow the Binary Neutron Star (BNS) merger rate. The differential BNS merger rate as function of redshift R(z)dNdtdzR(z)\equiv\frac{dN}{dtdz}, can be expressed in terms of the volumetric total BNS merger rate density (z)dNdtdVc\mathcal{R}(z)\equiv\frac{dN}{dtdV_{c}} in the source frame as R(z)dNdtdzR(z)\equiv\frac{dN}{dtdz}

R(z)=11+zdVcdz(z),R(z)=\frac{1}{1+z}\frac{dV_{c}}{dz}\mathcal{R}(z), (B1)

where dVc/dzdV_{c}/dz is the differential comoving volume. We adopt the Parametrization by Vitale et al. (2019) and take (z)\mathcal{R}(z) as:

(zm)=nzmψ(zf)P(zm|zf)𝑑zf,\mathcal{R}(z_{\rm m})=\mathcal{R}_{n}\int_{z_{\rm m}}^{\infty}\psi(z_{\rm f})P(z_{\rm m}|z_{\rm f})dz_{\rm f}, (B2)

where ψ(zf)\psi(z_{\rm f}) is the non-normalized Madau-Dickinson star formation rate:

ψ(z)=(1+z)α1+(1+zC)β,\psi(z)=\frac{(1+z)^{\alpha}}{1+(\frac{1+z}{C})^{\beta}}, (B3)

with α=2.7\alpha=2.7, β=5.6\beta=5.6, C=2.9C=2.9 (Madau & Dickinson, 2014), and P(zm|zf)P(z_{\rm m}|z_{\rm f}) is the probability that a BNS system merges at zmz_{\rm m} given its formation at zfz_{\rm f}. This is the distribution of delay times, which has the form:

P(zm|zf,τ)=1τexp[tf(zf)tm(zm)τ]dtdz.P(z_{\rm m}|z_{\rm f},\tau)=\frac{1}{\tau}{\rm exp}[-\frac{t_{\rm f}(z_{\rm f})-t_{\rm m}(z_{\rm m})}{\tau}]\frac{dt}{dz}. (B4)

Here, tft_{\rm f} and tmt_{\rm m} are the look back time as a function of zfz_{\rm f} and zmz_{\rm m}, respectively. τ\tau is the characteristic delay time. We sample SGRBs assuming a τ\tau = 3 Gyr and 1 Gyr, and perform the same statistics as in section 3.2 . In Figure 8, we only show the results for the case of τ\tau = 3 Gyr, as it is skewed towards smaller redshifts compared to the case of τ\tau = 1 Gyr (See Figure 5).

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Figure 8: Left: ziz_{\mathrm{i}} vs zgz_{\mathrm{g}}, with a Pearson Correlation Coefficient of r=0.48±0.04r=0.48\pm 0.04 </> Right: Confidence intervals [ziσ,zi+σ][z_{\mathrm{i}}^{-\sigma},z_{\mathrm{i}}^{+\sigma}] vs zgz_{\mathrm{g}} of 100 simulated SGRBs derived from the intersection of 𝒴(z;Ep,o,fγ)\mathcal{Y}(z;E_{\mathrm{p,o}},f_{\gamma}) with the Yonetoku uncertainty area 𝒰Y\mathcal{U_{\mathrm{Y}}}