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On the boundedness of nn-folds with κ(X)=n1\kappa(X)=n-1

Stefano Filipazzi EPFL SB MATH CAG, MA C3 625 (Bâtiment MA), Station 8, CH-1015 Lausanne, Switzerland [email protected]
Abstract.

In this note we study certain sufficient conditions for a set of minimal klt pairs (X,Δ)(X,\Delta) with κ(X,Δ)=dim(X)1\kappa(X,\Delta)=\dim(X)-1 to be bounded.

2020 Mathematics Subject Classification:
Primary 14E30, Secondary 14D06.

1. Introduction

Throughout this paper, the base field will be an algebraically closed field of characteristic zero.

One of the main goals of algebraic geometry is to classify varieties according to a few main features. One natural object attached to any normal variety XX is its canonical sheaf ωX\omega_{X}. A fruitful perspective is to group varieties according to the behavior of the canonical sheaf. Under this perspective, the Minimal Model Program suggests the existence of three main classes of varieties: Fano varieties, Calabi–Yau varieties, and varieties of general type. Each of these classes corresponds to one of the following behaviors of the canonical sheaf: ωX\omega_{X}^{\vee} induces a birational polarization, ωX\omega_{X} is torsion, and ωX\omega_{X} induces a birational polarization, respectively. Notice that, for the purpose of this work, Calabi–Yau will refer to the torsion property of the (log) canonical divisor, while there will be no assumption on the fundamental group, nor on the smoothness of the variety. Then, these notions naturally extend to the setup of pairs.

The Minimal Model Program conjectures that every variety decomposes birationally as iterated fibrations, where the base of the tower of fibrations and the general fiber of each fibration belong to one of the three above families. Thus, a natural point of view is to use the knowledge of the three fundamental classes of varieties to have a deeper understanding of other types of varieties.

In this work, we are concerned with varieties of intermediate Kodaira dimension. That is, we consider varieties XX so that Γ(X,ωXn)0\Gamma(X,\omega_{X}^{\otimes n})\neq 0 for some nn\in\mathbb{N}, but that are not Calabi–Yau nor of general type. This is equivalent to the following: the rate of growth of the sections of Γ(X,ωXn)\Gamma(X,\omega_{X}^{\otimes n}) is asymptotically polynomial, with degree dd satisfying 1ddim(X)11\leq d\leq\dim(X)-1. In this scenario, the Minimal Model Program predicts that XX admits a minimal model XX^{\prime} with the following property: a suitable positive power of ωX\omega_{X^{\prime}} is basepoint-free and defines a morphism f:XYf\colon X^{\prime}\rightarrow Y, called the Iitaka fibration. In this case, the fibers of ff are Calabi–Yau varieties and the base YY is naturally endowed with the structure of a pair of general type.

One of the main topics in the classification of algebraic varieties is boundedness. Loosely speaking, a set of varieties or, more generally, pairs is called bounded if it can be parametrized by a scheme of finite type. In particular, addressing the boundedness of a class of varieties is the first step towards considering a moduli space. Hacon, McKernan, and Xu proved that pairs (X,Δ)(X,\Delta) of general type form a bounded family when one imposes restrictions on dim(X)\dim(X), the coefficients of Δ\Delta, and the divisor KX+ΔK_{X}+\Delta is ample of fixed volume [HMX18]. Similarly, Birkar settled an optimal boundedness statement for varieties of Fano type: varieties of Fano type whose singularities are bounded form a bounded family [Bir19, Bir16]. On the other hand, in general, Calabi–Yau varieties do not form bounded families. An example of this phenomenon is given by abelian nn-folds and K3 surfaces: both classes are not bounded, but each of them decomposes as the countable union of bounded families, corresponding to polarizations of different degrees. Therefore, it is natural to introduce some geometrical or numerical conditions when studying families of Calabi–Yau varieties. In this direction, there are some results obtaining (weak versions of) boundedness of Calabi–Yau varieties. The boundedness of Calabi–Yau varieties admitting elliptic fibrations is considered in [Gro94, dCS17, Bir18, BDCS, FHS], while some recent works consider fairly singular Calabi–Yau pairs [Bir18, dCS18, HJ]. Furthermore, works of Jiao consider the problem of the boundedness of varieties admitting a log Calabi–Yau fibration of higher relative dimension [Jiao1, Jiao2].

In this paper, we investigate the following question. If the base YY and the general fiber FF of the Iitaka fibration f:XYf\colon X^{\prime}\rightarrow Y belong to a bounded family of varieties, can we infer any boundedness statement about XX^{\prime}? If not, what are some natural additional conditions to achieve boundedness? In this direction, recent work of Li analyzes the case when the Iitaka fibration has fibers of Fano type [Li20]. Similarly, the results in [Bir18] apply to the study of fibrations of Fano type.

In this work, we are concerned with the case of varieties XX of Kodaira dimension dim(X)1\dim(X)-1. More generally, we are interested in minimal klt pairs (X,Δ)(X,\Delta), where κ(X,Δ)=dim(X)1\kappa(X,\Delta)=\dim(X)-1. In this case, the general fiber of the Iitaka fibration is either an elliptic curve or 1\mathbb{P}^{1}. While the case when the general fiber is 1\mathbb{P}^{1} follows from [Bir18], substantial work is needed to analyze the case of elliptic fibrations. If the elliptic fibration admits a section, using techniques developed in [dCS17], one can induce a polarization that bounds the total space of the fibration. This direction is successfully explored in [FS19]. On the other hand, an elliptic fibration does not necessarily admit a rational section. Furthermore, if a set of pairs is bounded by a family 𝒳T\mathcal{X}\rightarrow T, one can stratify TT so that the relative Iitaka fibration of 𝒳T\mathcal{X}\rightarrow T induces the Iitaka fibration fiberwise. In particular, a multisection of the relative Iitaka fibration induces, up to a stratification, a multisection of the Iitaka fibration of the fibers. Thus, if a set of elliptic nn-folds with κ(X)=n1\kappa(X)=n-1 is bounded, the minimal degree of a multisection is bounded. Similarly, the bases of the Iitaka fibration have to be bounded too.

Our main result shows that the above constraints, namely on the degree of the multisection and on the boundedness of the bases, are actually sufficient to achieve boundedness in codimension one. We refer to § 2.3 for the definition of the set of coefficients Φ()\Phi(\mathcal{R}).

Theorem 1.1.

Fix positive integers nn and dd, a positive real number vv, and a finite set of rational numbers [0,1]\mathcal{R}\subset\mathbb{Q}\cap[0,1]. Let 𝔇(n,v,Φ(),d)\mathfrak{D}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R}),d) be the set of minimal projective klt pairs (X,Δ)(X,\Delta) of dimension nn with κ(X,Δ)=n1\kappa(X,\Delta)=n-1, voln1(X,KX+Δ)=v\operatorname{vol}_{n-1}(X,K_{X}+\Delta)=v, coeff(Δ)Φ()\operatorname{coeff}(\Delta)\subset\Phi(\mathcal{R}), and whose Iitaka fibration admits a multisection of degree dd. Then, 𝔇(n,v,Φ(),d)\mathfrak{D}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R}),d) is bounded in codimension one.

Remark 1.2.

The notation voln1(X,KX+Δ)=v\operatorname{vol}_{n-1}(X,K_{X}+\Delta)=v is defined in Definition 5.2. It is the volume of the pair of general type naturally induced on the base of the Iitaka fibration.

Remark 1.3.

The varieties in the statement of Theorem 1.1 are bounded together with their Iitaka fibrations. This is made precise by the more technical statements Theorem 6.1 and Theorem 7.2.

Remark 1.4.

If the general fiber of the Iitaka fibration is 1\mathbb{P}^{1}, the statement of Theorem 1.1 is stronger: boundedness (not just in codimension one) holds, and the requirement on the degree of the multisection is unnecessary (this is consistent with the fact that a 1\mathbb{P}^{1}-fibration always has a multisection of degree 2). See Theorem 6.1.

As mentioned above, the main case of Theorem 1.1 is when the Iitaka fibration f:XYf\colon X\rightarrow Y is an elliptic fibration. In this case, we can consider an auxiliary fibration, the Jacobian fibration j:J(X)Yj\colon J(X)\rightarrow Y, whose generic fiber is the Jacobian of the generic fiber of ff. In particular, jj admits a rational section. Thus, one can argue as in [dCS17, FS19], and conclude that the set of Jacobian fibrations is bounded in codimension one. To retrieve the original fibration, we make use of tools developed by Dolgachev and Gross [DG94, Gro94]. More precisely, we consider the geometric Tate–Shafarevich group of the Jacobian fibration. This group parametrizes certain elliptic fibrations over YY whose Jacobian fibration is jj. Gross showed that the torsion parts of this group behave well in family: Roughly speaking, for every dd, the dd-torsion elements of this group form a finite set, which is constant in the étale topology under small deformations. In particular, one could hope to retrieve the whole family of fibrations from the family of Jacobians. On the other hand, the fibrations parametrized by this group have very restrictive geometric properties, which our fibrations only satisfy over some open set of the base. The main technical statement of this work is to bound the complement of this subset, in order to show that it deforms along with the family of Jacobian fibrations. This is the content of Proposition 7.4.

In a similar flavor as [HMX18], Theorem 1.1 is concerned with minimal models. Thus, it is interesting to ask whether any klt pair (X,Δ)(X,\Delta) with κ(X,Δ)=n1\kappa(X,\Delta)=n-1 has a minimal model to which Theorem 1.1 applies. The Minimal Model Program predicts that it should be the case. More precisely, every klt pair of non-negative Kodaira dimension is expected to admit a good minimal model. In general, this statement is known just in some cases, for instance in the case of varieties of general type. In this work, we show the existence of good minimal models when the fibers of the Iitaka fibration have dimension up to 3.

Theorem 1.5.

Let (X,Δ)(X,\Delta) be a projective klt pair of dimension nn with rational coefficients with κ(X,Δ)0\kappa(X,\Delta)\geq 0. Assume that κ(X,Δ)n3\kappa(X,\Delta)\geq n-3. Then, (X,Δ)(X,\Delta) has a good minimal model.

Theorem 1.5 is a generalization of ideas of Lai [Lai11], who considered terminal varieties with no boundary. The specific statement of Theorem 1.5 has already been observed in the case of smooth varieties without boundary [HS20]*Theorem 2.1. Also, the strategy of the proof generalizes the approach in [GW19], where the case of elliptic fibrations is considered. More precisely, we first consider a resolution of indeterminacies of the Iitaka fibration. Then, by the canonical bundle formula, we can induce the structure of a pair of general type on the base of the Iitaka fibration. On the one hand, by [BCHM], we can run an MMP on the base of the Iitaka fibration, which terminates with a good minimal model YmY^{m}. On the other hand, since the abundance conjecture is known in dimension up to 3, we can apply the results of [HX13], which guarantee that our variety XX has a relative good minimal model over the base. Combining these two facts, the proof is completed.

Acknowledgements

The author would like to thank Gabriele Di Cerbo and Roberto Svaldi for many fruitful discussions on this work. He would like to thank Stefan Patrikis for explaining the basics of Tate–Shafarevich groups. He would like to thank Christopher Hacon and Burt Totaro for helpful comments and feedback, and Javier Carvajal-Rojas, Mark Gross and János Kollár for answering his questions. Finally, he would like to thank the anonymous referee for the thorough feedback and the many suggestions to improve this work.

2. Preliminaries

2.1. Conventions

Throughout this paper, the base field will be an algebraically closed field of characteristic zero.

2.2. Contractions

In this paper a contraction is a projective morphism of quasi-projective varieties f:XZf\colon X\rightarrow Z with f𝒪X=𝒪Zf_{*}\mathcal{O}_{X}=\mathcal{O}_{Z}. Notice that, if XX is normal, then so is ZZ. An elliptic fibration is a contraction whose general fiber is a smooth elliptic curve.

2.3. Hyperstandard sets

Let \mathcal{R} be a subset of [0,1][0,1]. Then, we define the set of hyperstandard multiplicities associated to \mathcal{R} as

Φ(){1rm|r,m}.\Phi(\mathcal{R})\coloneqq\bigg{\{}\left.1-\frac{r}{m}\right|r\in\mathcal{R},m\in\mathbb{N}\bigg{\}}.

When ={0,1}\mathcal{R}=\{0,1\}, we call it the set of standard multiplicities. Usually, with no mention, we assume 0,10,1\in\mathcal{R}, so that Φ({0,1})Φ()\Phi(\{0,1\})\subset\Phi(\mathcal{R}). Furthermore, if 1r1-r\in\mathcal{R} for every rRr\in R, we have that Φ()\mathcal{R}\subset\Phi(\mathcal{R}). Now, assume that [0,1]\mathcal{R}\subset[0,1] is a finite set of rational numbers. Then, Φ()\Phi(\mathcal{R}) is a set of rational numbers satisfying the descending chain condition (DCC in short) whose only accumulation point is 1.

2.4. Divisors

Let XX be a normal quasi-projective variety. We say that DD is a divisor on XX if it is a \mathbb{Q}-Weil divisor, i.e., DD is a finite sum of prime divisors on XX with coefficients in \mathbb{Q}. The support of a divisor D=i=1ndiPiD=\sum_{i=1}^{n}d_{i}P_{i} is the union of the prime divisors appearing in the formal sum Supp(D)=i=1nPi\mathrm{Supp}(D)=\sum_{i=1}^{n}P_{i}. Let f:XZf\colon X\rightarrow Z be a projective morphism of quasi-projective varieties. Given a divisor D=diPiD=\sum d_{i}P_{i} on XX, we define

Dvf(Di)ZdiPi,Dhf(Di)=ZdiPi.D^{v}\coloneqq\sum_{f(D_{i})\subsetneq Z}d_{i}P_{i},\;D^{h}\coloneqq\sum_{f(D_{i})=Z}d_{i}P_{i}.

We call DvD^{v} and DhD^{h} the vertical part and horizontal part of DD, respectively. Let D1D_{1} and D2D_{2} be divisors on XX. We write D1ZD2D_{1}\sim_{Z}D_{2} (respectively D1,ZD2D_{1}\sim_{\mathbb{Q},Z}D_{2}) if there is a Cartier (respectively \mathbb{Q}-Cartier) divisor LL on ZZ such that D1D2fLD_{1}-D_{2}\sim f^{*}L (respectively D1D2fLD_{1}-D_{2}\sim_{\mathbb{Q}}f^{*}L). Equivalently, we may also write D1D2D_{1}\sim D_{2} over ZZ. The case of \mathbb{Q}-linear equivalence is denoted similarly.

2.5. Pairs

A sub-pair (X,B)(X,B) is the datum of a normal quasi-projective variety and a divisor BB such that KX+BK_{X}+B is \mathbb{Q}-Cartier. If BSupp(B)B\leq\operatorname{Supp}(B), we say that BB is a sub-boundary, and if in addition B0B\geq 0, we call it boundary. A sub-pair (X,B)(X,B) is called a pair if B0B\geq 0. A sub-pair (X,B)(X,B) is simple normal crossing (or log smooth) if XX is smooth, every irreducible component of Supp(B)\operatorname{Supp}(B) is smooth, and étale locally Supp(B)X\operatorname{Supp}(B)\subset X is isomorphic to the intersection of rnr\leq n coordinate hyperplanes in 𝔸n\mathbb{A}^{n}. A log resolution of a sub-pair (X,B)(X,B) is a birational contraction π:XX\pi\colon X^{\prime}\rightarrow X such that Ex(π)\mathrm{Ex}(\pi) is a divisor and (X,π1(Supp(B))+Ex(π))(X^{\prime},\pi^{-1}_{*}(\operatorname{Supp}(B))+\mathrm{Ex}(\pi)) is log smooth. Here, Ex(π)X\mathrm{Ex}(\pi)\subset X^{\prime} is the exceptional set of π\pi, i.e., the reduced subscheme of XX^{\prime} consisting of the points where π\pi is not an isomoprhism. If (X,B)(X,B) is a sub-pair and f:XUf\colon X\rightarrow U is a morphism, we say that (X,B)(X,B) is log smooth over UU if (X,B)(X,B) is simple normal crossing, and every stratum of (X,Supp(B))(X,\operatorname{Supp}(B)), including XX itself, is smooth over UU.

Let (X1,B1)(X_{1},B_{1}) and (X2,B2)(X_{2},B_{2}) be two pairs. We say that they are crepant to each other if there exist a normal variety YY and birational morphisms p:YX1p\colon Y\rightarrow X_{1} and q:YX2q\colon Y\rightarrow X_{2} so that p(KX1+B1)=q(KX2+B2)p^{*}(K_{X_{1}}+B_{1})=q^{*}(K_{X_{2}}+B_{2}).

Let (X,B)(X,B) be a sub-pair, and let π:XX\pi\colon X^{\prime}\rightarrow X be a birational contraction from a normal variety XX^{\prime}. Then, we can define a sub-pair (X,B)(X^{\prime},B^{\prime}) on XX^{\prime} via the identity

KX+B=π(KX+B),K_{X^{\prime}}+B^{\prime}=\pi^{*}(K_{X}+B),

where we assume that π(KX)=KX\pi_{*}(K_{X^{\prime}})=K_{X}. We call (X,B)(X^{\prime},B^{\prime}) the log pull-back or trace of (X,B)(X,B) on XX^{\prime}. The log discrepancy of a prime divisor EE on XX^{\prime} with respect to (X,B)(X,B) is defined as aE(X,B)1multE(B)a_{E}(X,B)\coloneqq 1-\operatorname{mult}_{E}(B^{\prime}). Let ϵ\epsilon be a non-negative number. We say that a sub-pair (X,B)(X,B) is ϵ\epsilon-sub-log canonical (resp. ϵ\epsilon-sub-klt) if aE(X,B)ϵa_{E}(X,B)\geq\epsilon (resp. aE(X,B)>ϵa_{E}(X,B)>\epsilon) for every π\pi and every EE as above. If ϵ=0\epsilon=0, we drop it from the notation. When (X,B)(X,B) is a pair, we say that (X,B)(X,B) is ϵ\epsilon-log canonical or ϵ\epsilon-klt, respectively. Notice that, if (X,B)(X,B) is log canonical (resp. klt), we have coeff(B)[0,1]\operatorname{coeff}(B)\subset[0,1] (resp. coeff(B)[0,1)\operatorname{coeff}(B)\subset[0,1)).

Given a sub-pair (X,B)(X,B) and an effective \mathbb{Q}-Cartier divisor DD, we define the log canonical threshold of DD with respect to (X,B)(X,B) as

lct(X,B;D)sup{t0|(X,B+tD) is sub-log canonical}.\operatorname{lct}(X,B;D)\coloneqq\sup\{t\geq 0|(X,B+tD)\text{ is sub-log canonical}\}.

2.6. B-divisors

Let XX be a normal variety, and consider the set of all proper birational morphisms π:XπX\pi\colon X_{\pi}\rightarrow X, where XπX_{\pi} is normal. This is a partially ordered set, where ππ\pi^{\prime}\geq\pi if π\pi^{\prime} factors through π\pi. We define the space of Weil b-divisors as the inverse limit

𝐃𝐢𝐯(X)limπDiv(Xπ),\mathbf{Div}(X)\coloneqq\varprojlim_{\pi}\mathrm{Div}(X_{\pi}),

where Div(Xπ)\mathrm{Div}(X_{\pi}) denotes the space of Weil divisors on XπX_{\pi}. Then, we define the space of \mathbb{Q}-Weil b-divisors 𝐃𝐢𝐯(X)𝐃𝐢𝐯(X)\mathbf{Div}_{\mathbb{Q}}(X)\coloneqq\mathbf{Div}(X)\otimes\mathbb{Q}. In the following, by b-divisor, we will mean a \mathbb{Q}-Weil b-divisor. Equivalently, a b-divisor 𝐃\mathbf{D} can be described as a (possibly infinite) sum of geometric valuations ViV_{i} of k(X)k(X) with coefficients in \mathbb{Q},

𝐃=iIbiVi,bi,\mathbf{D}=\sum_{i\in I}b_{i}V_{i},\;b_{i}\in\mathbb{\mathbb{Q}},

such that for every normal variety XX^{\prime} birational to XX, only a finite number of the ViV_{i} can be realized by divisors on XX^{\prime}. The trace 𝐃X\mathbf{D}_{X^{\prime}} of 𝐃\mathbf{D} on XX^{\prime} is defined as

𝐃X{iI|cX(Vi)=Di,codimX(Di)=1}biDi,\mathbf{D}_{X^{\prime}}\coloneqq\sum_{\{i\in I\;|\;c_{X^{\prime}}(V_{i})=D_{i},\;\operatorname{codim}_{X^{\prime}}(D_{i})=1\}}b_{i}D_{i},

where cX(Vi)c_{X^{\prime}}(V_{i}) denotes the center of the valuation on XX^{\prime}.

Given a b-divisor 𝐃\mathbf{D} over XX, we say that 𝐃\mathbf{D} is a b-\mathbb{Q}-Cartier b-divisor if there exists a birational model XX^{\prime} of XX such that 𝐃X\mathbf{D}_{X^{\prime}} is \mathbb{Q}-Cartier on XX^{\prime}, and for any model r:X′′Xr\colon X^{\prime\prime}\rightarrow X^{\prime}, we have 𝐃X′′=r𝐃X\mathbf{D}_{X^{\prime\prime}}=r^{\ast}\mathbf{D}_{X^{\prime}}. When this is the case, we will say that 𝐃\mathbf{D} descends to XX^{\prime} and write 𝐃=𝐃X¯\mathbf{D}=\overline{\mathbf{D}_{X^{\prime}}}. We say that 𝐃\mathbf{D} is b-effective, if 𝐃X\mathbf{D}_{X^{\prime}} is effective for any model XX^{\prime}. We say that 𝐃\mathbf{D} is b-nef, if it is b-\mathbb{Q}-Cartier and, moreover, there exists a model XX^{\prime} of XX such that 𝐃=𝐃X¯\mathbf{D}=\overline{\mathbf{D}_{X^{\prime}}} and 𝐃X\mathbf{D}_{X^{\prime}} is nef on XX^{\prime}. The notion of b-nef b-divisor can be extended analogously to the relative case.

Example 2.1.

Let (X,B)(X,B) be a sub-pair. The discrepancy b-divisor 𝐀(X,B)\mathbf{A}(X,B) is defined as follows: on a birational model π:XX\pi\colon X^{\prime}\rightarrow X, its trace 𝐀(X,B)X\mathbf{A}(X,B)_{X^{\prime}} is given by the identity KX=π(KX+B)+𝐀(X,B)XK_{X^{\prime}}=\pi^{*}(K_{X}+B)+\mathbf{A}(X,B)_{X^{\prime}}. Then, the b-divisor 𝐀(X,B)\mathbf{A}^{*}(X,B) is defined taking its trace 𝐀(X,B)X\mathbf{A}^{*}(X,B)_{X^{\prime}} on XX^{\prime} to be 𝐀(X,B)Xai>1aiDi\mathbf{A}(X,B)_{X^{\prime}}\coloneqq\sum_{a_{i}>-1}a_{i}D_{i}, where 𝐀(X,B)X=iaiDi\mathbf{A}(X,B)_{X^{\prime}}=\sum_{i}a_{i}D_{i}.

2.7. Generalized pairs

A generalized sub-pair (X,B,𝐌)/Z(X,B,\mathbf{M})/Z over ZZ is the datum of:

  • a normal variety admitting a projective morphism XZX\rightarrow Z;

  • a divisor BB on XX;

  • a b-\mathbb{Q}-Cartier b-divisor 𝐌\mathbf{M} over XX which descends to a nef/Z/Z \mathbb{Q}-Cartier divisor 𝐌X\mathbf{M}_{X^{\prime}} on some birational model XXX^{\prime}\rightarrow X.

Moreover, we require that KX+B+𝐌XK_{X}+B+\mathbf{M}_{X} is \mathbb{Q}-Cartier. If BB is effective, we say that (X,B,𝐌)/Z(X,B,\mathbf{M})/Z is a generalized pair. The divisor BB is called the boundary part of (X,B,𝐌)/Z(X,B,\mathbf{M})/Z, and 𝐌\mathbf{M} is called the moduli part. In the definition, we can replace XX^{\prime} with a higher birational model X′′X^{\prime\prime} and 𝐌X\mathbf{M}_{X^{\prime}} with 𝐌X′′\mathbf{M}_{X^{\prime\prime}} without changing the generalized pair. Whenever 𝐌X′′\mathbf{M}_{X^{\prime\prime}} descends on X′′X^{\prime\prime}, then the datum of the rational map X′′XX^{\prime\prime}\dashrightarrow X, BB, and 𝐌X′′\mathbf{M}_{X^{\prime\prime}} encodes all the information of the generalized pair.

Let (X,B,𝐌)/Z(X,B,\mathbf{M})/Z be a generalized sub-pair and ρ:YX\rho\colon Y\rightarrow X a projective birational morphism. Then, we may write

KY+BY+𝐌Y=π(KX+B+𝐌X).K_{Y}+B_{Y}+\mathbf{M}_{Y}=\pi^{*}(K_{X}+B+\mathbf{M}_{X}).

Given a prime divisor EE on YY, we define the generalized log discrepancy of EE with respect to (X,B,𝐌)/Z(X,B,\mathbf{M})/Z to be aE(X,B,𝐌)1multE(B)a_{E}(X,B,\mathbf{M})\coloneqq 1-\operatorname{mult}_{E}(B^{\prime}). If aE(X,B,𝐌)0a_{E}(X,B,\mathbf{M})\geq 0 for all divisors EE over XX, we say that (X,B,𝐌)/Z(X,B,\mathbf{M})/Z is generalized sub-log canonical. Similarly, if aE(X,B+M)>0a_{E}(X,B+M)>0 for all divisors EE over XX and B0\lfloor B\rfloor\leq 0, we say that (X,B,𝐌)/Z(X,B,\mathbf{M})/Z is generalized sub-klt. When B0B\geq 0, we say that (X,B,𝐌)/Z(X,B,\mathbf{M})/Z is generalized log canonical or generalized klt, respectively.

2.8. Canonical bundle formula

We recall the statement of the canonical bundle formula. We refer to [FG14] for the notation involved and a more detailed discussion about the topic. Let (X,B)(X,B) be a sub-pair. A contraction f:XTf\colon X\rightarrow T is an lc-trivial fibration if

  • (i)

    (X,B)(X,B) is a sub-pair that is sub-log canonical over the generic point of TT;

  • (ii)

    rankf𝒪X(𝐀(X,B))=1\mathrm{rank}f_{*}\mathcal{O}_{X}(\lceil\mathbf{A}^{*}(X,B)\rceil)=1, where 𝐀(X,B)\mathbf{A}^{*}(X,B) is the b-divisor defined in Example 2.1; and

  • (iii)

    there exists a \mathbb{Q}-Cartier divisor LTL_{T} on TT such that KX+BfLTK_{X}+B\sim_{\mathbb{Q}}f^{*}L_{T}.

Condition (ii) above is automatically satisfied if BB is effective over the generic point of TT. Given a sub-pair (X,B)(X,B) and an lc-trivail fibration f:XTf\colon X\rightarrow T, there exist b-divisors 𝐁\mathbf{B} and 𝐌\mathbf{M} over TT such that the following linear equivalence relation, known as the canonical bundle formula, holds

(2.1) KX+Bf(KT+𝐁T+𝐌T).K_{X}+B\sim_{\mathbb{Q}}f^{\ast}(K_{T}+\mathbf{B}_{T}+\mathbf{M}_{T}).

For a prime divisor PTP\subset T, its coefficient in 𝐁T\mathbf{B}_{T} is given by the formula 1lctηP(X,B;fP)1-\mathrm{lct}_{\eta_{P}}(X,B;f^{*}P), where the symbol lctηP\mathrm{lct}_{\eta_{P}} denotes the log canonical threshold over the generic point ηP\eta_{P} of PP. Then, we set 𝐌TLT(KT+𝐁T)\mathbf{M}_{T}\coloneqq L_{T}-(K_{T}+\mathbf{B}_{T}). If f:XTf^{\prime}\colon X^{\prime}\rightarrow T^{\prime} is a higher model of ff with morphisms ϕ:XX\phi\colon X^{\prime}\rightarrow X and ψ:TT\psi\colon T^{\prime}\rightarrow T, one repeats this algorithm with (X,B)(X^{\prime},B^{\prime}) and LTL_{T^{\prime}}, where KX+B=ϕ(KX+B)K_{X^{\prime}}+B^{\prime}=\phi^{*}(K_{X}+B) and LT=ψLTL_{T^{\prime}}=\psi^{*}L_{T}. We refer to [PS09]*§ 7 for more details.

The b-divisor 𝐁\mathbf{B} is often called the boundary part in the canonical bundle formula; it is a canonically defined b-divisor. Furthermore, if BB is effective, then so is 𝐁T\mathbf{B}_{T}. The b-divisor 𝐌\mathbf{M}, in turn, is often called the moduli part in the canonical bundle formula, and it is in general defined only up to \mathbb{Q}-linear equivalence. The linear equivalence in (2.1) holds at the level of b-divisors: namely,

(KX+B)¯f(𝐊+𝐁+𝐌),\overline{(K_{X}+B)}\sim_{\mathbb{Q}}f^{*}(\mathbf{K}+\mathbf{B}+\mathbf{M}),

where 𝐊\mathbf{K} denotes the canonical b-divisor of TT. Let II be a positive integer such that I(KX+B)0I(K_{X}+B)\sim 0 along the generic fiber of ff. Then, by [PS09]*Construction 7.5, we may choose 𝐌\mathbf{M} in its \mathbb{Q}-linear equivalence class so that

I(KX+B)¯If(𝐊+𝐁+𝐌).I\overline{(K_{X}+B)}\sim If^{*}(\mathbf{K}+\mathbf{B}+\mathbf{M}).

The moduli b-divisor 𝐌\mathbf{M} is expected to detect the variation of the fibers of the morphism ff. In this direction, we have the following statement.

Theorem 2.2.

[FG14]*cf. Theorem 3.6 Let f:(X,B)Tf\colon(X,B)\rightarrow T be an lc-trivial fibration and let π:TS\pi\colon T\rightarrow S be a projective morphism. Let 𝐁\mathbf{B} and 𝐌\mathbf{M} be the b-divisors that give the boundary and the moduli part, respectively. Then, 𝐊+𝐁\mathbf{K}+\mathbf{B} and 𝐌\mathbf{M} are b-\mathbb{Q}-Cartier b-divisors. Furthermore, 𝐌\mathbf{M} is b-nef over SS.

Remark 2.3.

In the setup of Theorem 2.2, let TT^{\prime} be a model where the nef part 𝐌\mathbf{M} descends in the sense of b-divisors. Then, 𝐌T\mathbf{M}_{T^{\prime}} is nef over SS. In particular, (T,𝐁T,𝐌)/S(T,\mathbf{B}_{T},\mathbf{M})/S is a generalized sub-pair.

Remark 2.4.

In the setup of Theorem 2.2, the b-divisor 𝐌\mathbf{M} is expected to be b-semi-ample. Furthermore, it is expected that C𝐌C\mathbf{M} is b-free, where C1C\in\mathbb{Z}_{\geq 1} only depends on dim(X)\dim(X) and the coefficients of BB [PS09]*Conjecture 7.13. These facts are known if dim(T)=dim(X)1\dim(T)=\dim(X)-1, and we will constantly make use of them in this work [PS09]*Theorem 8.1.

2.9. Boundedness

Here we recall the notion of boundedness for a set of pairs, and we introduce a suitable notion of boundedness for fibrations.

Definition 2.5.

Let 𝔇\mathfrak{D} be a set of projective pairs. Then, we say that 𝔇\mathfrak{D} is bounded (resp. birationally bounded) if there exist a pair (𝒳,)(\mathcal{X},\mathcal{B}), where \mathcal{B} is reduced, and a projective morphism π:𝒳T\pi\colon\mathcal{X}\rightarrow T, where TT is of finite type, such that for every (X,B)𝔇(X,B)\in\mathfrak{D} there are a closed point tTt\in T and a morphism (resp. a birational map) ft:𝒳tXf_{t}\colon\mathcal{X}_{t}\rightarrow X inducing an isomorphism (X,Supp(B))(𝒳t,t)(X,\operatorname{Supp}(B))\cong(\mathcal{X}_{t},\mathcal{B}_{t}) (resp. such that Supp(t)\operatorname{Supp}(\mathcal{B}_{t}) contains the strict transform of Supp(B)\operatorname{Supp}(B) and all the ftf_{t} exceptional divisors). If a set of pairs is birationally bounded and the maps ftf_{t} and ft1f_{t}^{-1} are isomorphisms in codimension 1, we say that 𝔇\mathfrak{D} is bounded in codimension 1.

Definition 2.6.

Let 𝔉\mathfrak{F} be a set of fibrations between projective pairs ϕ:(X,B)(Y,D)\phi\colon(X,B)\rightarrow(Y,D). We say that 𝔉\mathfrak{F} is bounded (resp. birationally bounded) if there exist pairs (𝒳,)(\mathcal{X},\mathcal{B}), (𝒴,𝒟)(\mathcal{Y},\mathcal{D}), where \mathcal{B} and 𝒟\mathcal{D} are reduced, a variety of finite type TT, and projective morphisms

𝒳{\mathcal{X}}𝒴{\mathcal{Y}}T{T}π\scriptstyle{\pi}σ\scriptstyle{\sigma}ρ\scriptstyle{\rho}

such that

  • (i)

    the above diagram is commutative; i.e., we have π=ρσ\pi=\rho\circ\sigma;

  • (ii)

    for every (X,B)(Y,D)𝔉(X,B)\rightarrow(Y,D)\in\mathfrak{F}, there is a closed point tTt\in T and morphisms (resp. birational maps) ft:𝒳tXf_{t}\colon\mathcal{X}_{t}\rightarrow X and gt:𝒴tYg_{t}\colon\mathcal{Y}_{t}\rightarrow Y inducing isomorphisms (X,Supp(B))(𝒳t,t)(X,\operatorname{Supp}(B))\cong(\mathcal{X}_{t},\mathcal{B}_{t}) (resp. such that Supp(t)\operatorname{Supp}(\mathcal{B}_{t}) contains the strict transform of Supp(B)\operatorname{Supp}(B) and all the ftf_{t} exceptional divisors) and (Y,Supp(D))(𝒴t,𝒟t)(Y,\operatorname{Supp}(D))\cong(\mathcal{Y}_{t},\mathcal{D}_{t}) (resp. such that Supp(𝒟t)\operatorname{Supp}(\mathcal{D}_{t}) contains the strict transform of Supp(D)\operatorname{Supp}(D) and all the gtg_{t} exceptional divisors); and

  • (iii)

    for every (X,B)(Y,D)𝔉(X,B)\rightarrow(Y,D)\in\mathfrak{F} and tt as in condition (ii), we have ϕft=gtσt\phi\circ f_{t}=g_{t}\circ\sigma_{t} (resp. as rational maps), where σt\sigma_{t} denotes the restriction of σ\sigma to 𝒳t\mathcal{X}_{t}.

If a set of fibrations is birationally bounded and the maps ftf_{t}, ft1f_{t}^{-1}, gtg_{t} and gt1g_{t}^{-1} are isomorphisms in codimension 1, we say that 𝔉\mathfrak{F} is bounded in codimension 1.

2.10. The geometric Tate–Shafarevich group

Here, we recall a few facts about the geometric Tate–Shafarevich group. We will limit ourselves ot state only those facts regarding the Tate–Shafarevich group that will be needed in the article. We refer to [DG94, Gro94] for a detailed development of the theory we need. An introduction to the topic over a one-dimensional base can be found in [Sha65]. Finally, all the needed facts about étale cohomology and group cohomology can be found in [Mil80, Mil06].

Let YY be a variety defined over a field of characteristic zero, and let k(Y)k(Y) be its field of fractions. Let π:XY\pi\colon X\rightarrow Y be an elliptic fibration, that is, a contraction whose general fiber is an elliptic curve. Then, the generic fiber XηYX_{{\eta_{Y}}} is a genus 1 curve over k(Y)k(Y) with possibly no k(Y)k(Y)-rational points. Let J(X)ηYJ(X)_{{\eta_{Y}}} denote its Jacobian. Then, XηYX_{{\eta_{Y}}} is a principal homogeneous space over J(X)ηYJ(X)_{{\eta_{Y}}} defined over k(Y)k(Y). Furthermore, we can consider a projective model ρ:J(X)Y\rho\colon J(X)\rightarrow Y realizing J(X)ηYJ(X)_{{\eta_{Y}}} over YY.

For some finite Galois extension K:k(Y)K\colon k(Y), the variety XηYX_{{\eta_{Y}}} acquires a KK-rational point. In particular, XηYX_{{\eta_{Y}}} and J(X)ηYJ(X)_{{\eta_{Y}}} are non-canonically isomorphic over KK. From a geometric point of view, it means that we can find a finite Galois morphism YYY^{\prime}\rightarrow Y such that X×YYX\times_{Y}Y^{\prime} admits a rational section.

Now, let EE be an elliptic curve defined over k(Y)k(Y), and let L:k(Y)L\colon k(Y) be a finite Galois extension. We want to consider all the elliptic fibrations π:XY\pi\colon X\rightarrow Y so that XηYX_{{\eta_{Y}}} is a principal homogeneous space over EE admitting an LL-rational point. That is, we are interested in elliptic fibrations π:XY\pi\colon X\rightarrow Y that acquire a rational section after the base change Spec(L)Y\mathrm{Spec}(L)\rightarrow Y and whose associated Jacobian fibration has EE as generic fiber. Said otherwise, π\pi is an elliptic fibration whose generic fiber becomes isomorphic to ELEk(Y)LE_{L}\coloneqq E\otimes_{k(Y)}L as LL-schemes. This set is parametrized by the cohomology group H1(Gal(L:k(Y)),E(L))H^{1}(\mathrm{Gal}(L\colon k(Y)),E(L)). More precisely, this group parametrizes the isomorphism classes of the generic fibers XηYX_{{\eta_{Y}}} so that Pic0(XηY)E\mathrm{Pic}^{0}(X_{{\eta_{Y}}})\simeq E and XηYX_{{\eta_{Y}}} has an LL-rational point. Equivalently, the group H1(Gal(L:k(Y)),E(L))H^{1}(\mathrm{Gal}(L\colon k(Y)),E(L)) parametrizes the birational classes of the elliptic fibrations with base YY and associated Jacobian fibration corresponding to EE that acquire a rational section after the base change Spec(L)Y\mathrm{Spec}(L)\rightarrow Y. Notice that, by standard properties of group cohomology, the order of the elements of H1(Gal(L:k(Y)),E(L))H^{1}(\mathrm{Gal}(L\colon k(Y)),E(L)) is finite and divides [L:k(Y)][L\colon k(Y)].

Now, if we want to consider all the principal homogeneous spaces over EE, we need to consider all possible finite Galois extensions L:k(Y)L\colon k(Y). This information is encoded in the Weil–Châtelet group WC(E)H1(Gal(k(Y)¯:k(Y)),E(k(Y)¯))WC(E)\coloneqq H^{1}(\mathrm{Gal}(\overline{k(Y)}\colon k(Y)),E(\overline{k(Y)})), which is the direct limit of all possible groups H1(Gal(L:k(Y)),E(L))H^{1}(\mathrm{Gal}(L\colon k(Y)),E(L)) as above. In particular, we have the following geometric consequence.

Lemma 2.7.

Let EE be an elliptic curve defined over k(Y)k(Y), and let π:XY\pi\colon X\rightarrow Y be an elliptic fibration with XηYWC(E)X_{{\eta_{Y}}}\in WC(E). If π\pi admits a multisection of degree dd, then the order of XηYX_{{\eta_{Y}}} in WC(E)WC(E) divides d!d!.

Proof.

Let π:XY\pi\colon X\rightarrow Y be as in the statement. Then, the multisection induces a field extension LL of degree dd so that XηYX_{{\eta_{Y}}} admits an LL-rational point. Notice that L:k(Y)L\colon k(Y) may not be a Galois extension. Thus, there is a Galois extension L:k(Y)L^{\prime}\colon k(Y) so that XηYX_{{\eta_{Y}}} admits an LL^{\prime}-rational point, and [L:k(Y)][L^{\prime}\colon k(Y)] divides d!d!. Then, the claim follows, as XηYX_{{\eta_{Y}}} is an element of H1(Gal(L:k(Y)),E(L))H^{1}(\mathrm{Gal}(L^{\prime}\colon k(Y)),E(L^{\prime})). ∎

The Weil–Châtelet group WC(E)WC(E) is a very large group that parametrizes all the birational classes of all elliptic fibrations π:XY\pi\colon X\rightarrow Y whose Jacobian fibration is a compactification of EE over YY. That is, WC(E)WC(E) parametrizes all birational classes of elliptic fibrations π:XY\pi\colon X\rightarrow Y whose geometric generic fiber is isomorphic to Ek(Y)¯E_{\overline{k(Y)}} as k(Y)¯\overline{k(Y)}-schemes. This group admits a natural subgroup, called the Tate–Shafarevich group, which is denoted by (E)Y{}_{Y}(E). For a formal definition of (E)Y{}_{Y}(E), we refer to [DG94]. Here, we limit ourselves to the following characterization as a set:

(E)Y={CWC(E)|XCYhas a rational section étale locally at y for every pointyY},{}_{Y}(E)=\{C\in WC(E)|X_{C}\rightarrow Y\;\text{has a rational section \'{e}tale locally at $y$ for every point}\;y\in Y\},

where XCYX_{C}\rightarrow Y is some proper model of the curve CC defined over k(Y)k(Y) [Gro94]*§ 3. Thus, (E)Y{}_{Y}(E) imposes pretty restrictive conditions on the type of singular fibers that can occur. In particular, multiple fibers cannot occur over codimension 1 points of the base.

Proposition 2.8.

Let f:XYf\colon X\rightarrow Y be an elliptic fibration, and let j:J(X)Yj\colon J(X)\rightarrow Y be its associated Jacobian fibration. Let pYp\in Y be a closed point. Assume that YY is smooth, dim(Y)2\dim(Y)\geq 2, ff is smooth over Y{p}Y\setminus\{p\}, and jj is smooth with a regular section. Then, X(J(X)ηY)YX\in{}_{Y}(J(X)_{{\eta_{Y}}}).

Proof.

Let 𝒪Y,p¯\mathcal{O}_{Y,\overline{p}} denote the strict henselization of 𝒪Y,p\mathcal{O}_{Y,p}, and let p¯\overline{p} denote the closed point of Spec(𝒪Y,p¯)\mathrm{Spec}(\mathcal{O}_{Y,\overline{p}}). Let S¯\overline{S} denote Spec(𝒪Y,p¯)\mathrm{Spec}(\mathcal{O}_{Y,\overline{p}}) and let SS¯{p¯}S\coloneqq\overline{S}\setminus\{\overline{p}\}. Let AA denote the generic fiber of J(X)×YS¯J(X)\times_{Y}\overline{S}. Then, as S¯\overline{S} is strictly local, we have (A)S¯=0{}_{\overline{S}}(A)=0. Indeed, 𝒪Y,p¯\mathcal{O}_{Y,\overline{p}} coincides with its own strict henselization, and thus the description of (A)S¯{}_{\overline{S}}(A) as an intersection of kernels necessarily returns 0; see [DG94]*§ 1. If f:XYf\colon X\rightarrow Y does not correspond to an element of (J(X)ηY)Y{}_{Y}(J(X)_{{\eta_{Y}}}), then it induces a non-zero element of (A)S{}_{S}(A). Thus, to conclude, it is enough to show (A)S=0{}_{S}(A)=0. For this type of argument, see for instance [DG94]*§ 3.
By assumption, J(X)×YS¯S¯J(X)\times_{Y}\overline{S}\rightarrow\overline{S} satisfies the conditions of [DG94]*Theorem 3.1. Thus, following the notation of [DG94]*Theorem 3.1, (A)S{}_{S}(A) is a subgroup of the group H2(S,)H^{2}(S,\mathcal{E}). Here, \mathcal{E} is the étale sheaf defined in [DG94]*Definition 1.8. Since jj is smooth, all the fibers of J(X)×YS¯J(X)\times_{Y}\overline{S} are geometrically integral. Thus, by [DG94]*Proposition 1.12, =0\mathcal{E}=0. Then, the claim follows. ∎

2.11. Technical statements

Here we collect the technical statements that will be needed in the course of the main proofs.

Proposition 2.9.

Let (X,Δ)(X,\Delta) be a klt pair, and let f:XYf\colon X\rightarrow Y be a contraction with KX+Δ,f0K_{X}+\Delta\sim_{\mathbb{Q},f}0. Let π:YY\pi\colon Y^{\prime}\rightarrow Y be a small morphism. Then, there exist a \mathbb{Q}-factorial pair (X,Δ)(X^{\prime},\Delta^{\prime}) admitting a contraction g:XYg\colon X^{\prime}\rightarrow Y^{\prime} so that XX and XX^{\prime} are isomorphic in codimension 1 and (X,Δ)(X^{\prime},\Delta^{\prime}) is crepant to (X,Δ)(X,\Delta).

Proof.

Let ϕ:X^X\phi\colon\hat{X}\rightarrow X be a log resolution of (X,Δ)(X,\Delta) admitting a morphism X^Y\hat{X}\rightarrow Y^{\prime}. Since (X,Δ)(X,\Delta) is klt, it is ϵ\epsilon-log canonical for some ϵ>0\epsilon>0. Then, let EE be the reduced ϕ\phi-exceptional divisor, and define Γ(1c)E\Gamma\coloneqq(1-c)E, where cc is a rational number satisfying 0<c<ϵ0<c<\epsilon. Let XνX^{\nu} denote the normalization of the main component of X×YYX\times_{Y}Y^{\prime}. First, we run a partial (KX^+ϕ1Δ+Γ)(K_{\hat{X}}+\phi_{*}^{-1}\Delta+\Gamma)-MMP over XνX^{\nu}. By [Fuj11]*Theorem 2.3, after finitely many steps, this MMP contracts the prime components of Γ\Gamma that are exceptional over XνX^{\nu}. In particular, all the prime components of Γ\Gamma that dominate YY^{\prime} are contracted, and all the prime components of Γ\Gamma that are not contracted have a center of codimension at least 2 in YY^{\prime}. Thus, by [Lai11]*Lemma 2.10, we can contract these leftover components by running an MMP with scaling relative to YY^{\prime}. The model thus obtained satisfies the properties in the statement. ∎

Lemma 2.10.

Let (𝒳,)(\mathcal{X},\mathcal{B}) be a sub-pair admitting a tower of contractions 𝒳𝒴T\mathcal{X}\rightarrow\mathcal{Y}\rightarrow T. Assume that the following conditions are satisfied:

  • (𝒳,)𝒴(\mathcal{X},\mathcal{B})\rightarrow\mathcal{Y} is an lc-trivial fibration, inducing a generalized pair (𝒴,𝒴,𝐌)(\mathcal{Y},\mathcal{B}_{\mathcal{Y}},\mathbf{M}) on 𝒴\mathcal{Y};

  • 𝒳\mathcal{X}, 𝒴\mathcal{Y} and TT are smooth;

  • 𝐌\mathbf{M} descends on 𝒴\mathcal{Y}, and (𝒴,𝒴)(\mathcal{Y},\mathcal{B}_{\mathcal{Y}}) is log smooth over TT;

  • (𝒳,)(\mathcal{X},\mathcal{B}) is log smooth over TT.

Let tTt\in T be a closed point, and assume that (𝒳t,t)𝒴t(\mathcal{X}_{t},\mathcal{B}_{t})\rightarrow\mathcal{Y}_{t} is an lc-trivial fibration. Then, the boundary and moduli b-divisors induced on 𝒴t\mathcal{Y}_{t} by (𝒳t,t)(\mathcal{X}_{t},\mathcal{B}_{t}) agree with the restrictions of 𝒴\mathcal{B}_{\mathcal{Y}} and 𝐌\mathbf{M}, respectively.

We recall that, given a sub-pair (W,Δ)(W,\Delta) and a morphism π:WU\pi\colon W\rightarrow U, we say that (W,Δ)(W,\Delta) is log smooth over UU if WW is smooth, Supp(Δ)\operatorname{Supp}(\Delta) is a divisor with simple normal crossings, and every stratum of (W,Supp(Δ))(W,\operatorname{Supp}(\Delta)) (including WW) is smooth over UU.

Remark 2.11.

In the setup of Lemma 2.10, for some special point tt, the induced fibration (𝒳t,t)𝒯t(\mathcal{X}_{t},\mathcal{B}_{t})\rightarrow\mathcal{T}_{t} may not satisfy condition (ii) in § 2.8. Nevertheless, one can apply the construction of boundary and moduli divisors to every fiber as described in § 2.8.

Proof.

Fix tTt\in T as in the statement, and let HTH\subset T be a general smooth divisor through tt. Then, as HH is general away from tTt\in T, (𝒳,)×TH𝒴×TH(\mathcal{X},\mathcal{B})\times_{T}H\rightarrow\mathcal{Y}\times_{T}H is an lc-trivial fibration. By induction on the dimension of TT, it suffices to show that this fibration has the same properties as (𝒳,)𝒴T(\mathcal{X},\mathcal{B})\rightarrow\mathcal{Y}\rightarrow T and that the boundary and moduli b-divisors induced on 𝒴×TH\mathcal{Y}\times_{T}H are the restrictions of 𝒴\mathcal{B}_{\mathcal{Y}} and 𝐌\mathbf{M}, respectively.
By base change, the properties in the statement are satisfied by (𝒳,)×TH𝒴×TH(\mathcal{X},\mathcal{B})\times_{T}H\rightarrow\mathcal{Y}\times_{T}H. Thus, we are left with showing the statement about the b-divisors. Since (𝒴,𝒴)(\mathcal{Y},\mathcal{B}_{\mathcal{Y}}) is log smooth over TT, every fiber of 𝒴T\mathcal{Y}\rightarrow T intersects properly and transversally every stratum of Supp(𝒴)\operatorname{Supp}(\mathcal{B}_{\mathcal{Y}}). Furthermore, by [Har77]*Proposition III.10.1, H×T𝒴H\times_{T}\mathcal{Y} is smooth. Thus, H×T𝒴H\times_{T}\mathcal{Y} satisfies properties (1), (2) and (3) in the proof of [Flo14]*Lemma 3.1. Then, by the proof of [Flo14]*Lemma 3.1, the claim about b-divisors on the model 𝒴×TH\mathcal{Y}\times_{T}H follows. By construction, the standard normal crossing assumptions defined in [Kol07]*Definition 8.3.6 are satisfied. So, by [Kol07]*Theorem 8.3.7, the moduli b-divisor induced by (𝒳,)×TH𝒴×TH(\mathcal{X},\mathcal{B})\times_{T}H\rightarrow\mathcal{Y}\times_{T}H descends onto 𝒴×TH\mathcal{Y}\times_{T}H. Thus, the statement holds at the level of b-divisors, and not just on a specific model. This concludes the proof. ∎

Corollary 2.12.

Let (𝒳,)(\mathcal{X},\mathcal{B}) be a pair admitting a tower of contractions 𝒳𝒴T\mathcal{X}\rightarrow\mathcal{Y}\rightarrow T. Assume that (𝒳,)𝒴(\mathcal{X},\mathcal{B})\rightarrow\mathcal{Y} is an lc-trivial fibration, (𝒳,)T(\mathcal{X},\mathcal{B})\rightarrow T is a family of pairs, and 𝒴T\mathcal{Y}\rightarrow T is a family of normal varieties. Then, there exists a stratification of TT such that the following holds. Let (𝒴,𝒴,𝐌)(\mathcal{Y},\mathcal{B}_{\mathcal{Y}},\mathbf{M}) be the generalized pair induced by the canonical bundle formula, and let tTt\in T be a closed point. Then, the boundary and moduli b-divisors induced on 𝒴t\mathcal{Y}_{t} by (𝒳t,t)(\mathcal{X}_{t},\mathcal{B}_{t}) agree with the restrictions of 𝒴\mathcal{B}_{\mathcal{Y}} and 𝐌\mathbf{M}, respectively.

Remark 2.13.

In the statement of Corollary 2.12 we are abusing notation in the following sense: we replace TT with a stratification, and we replace 𝒳\mathcal{X} and 𝒴\mathcal{Y} with the corresponding stratifications induced by base change.

Proof.

Up to a first stratification, we may assume that TT is smooth. Now, fix an irreducible component TiT_{i} of TT, and let (𝒳i,i)(\mathcal{X}_{i},\mathcal{B}_{i}) and 𝒴i\mathcal{Y}_{i} denote the corresponding irreducible components. Let 𝒴i\mathcal{Y}^{\prime}_{i} be a log resolution of (𝒴i,𝒴i)(\mathcal{Y}^{\prime}_{i},\mathcal{B}_{\mathcal{Y}^{\prime}_{i}}) where 𝐌i\mathbf{M}_{i} descends. Then, let (𝒳i,i)(\mathcal{X}^{\prime}_{i},\mathcal{B}^{\prime}_{i}) be a log resolution of (𝒳i,i)(\mathcal{X}_{i},\mathcal{B}_{i}) that factors through 𝒴i\mathcal{Y}^{\prime}_{i}. Then, by generic smoothness, the assumptions of Lemma 2.10 are satisfied over a non-empty open subset UiTiU_{i}\subset T_{i}. As the b-divisors corresponding to a fiber tUit\in U_{i} can be constructed both considering (𝒳i,t,i,t)𝒴i,t(\mathcal{X}^{\prime}_{i,t},\mathcal{B}^{\prime}_{i,t})\rightarrow\mathcal{Y}^{\prime}_{i,t} or (𝒳i,t,i,t)𝒴i,t(\mathcal{X}_{i,t},\mathcal{B}_{i,t})\rightarrow\mathcal{Y}_{i,t}, the claim of the statement holds for tUit\in U_{i}. By Noetherian induction on TiUiT_{i}\setminus U_{i}, we conclude that the statement holds over TiT_{i}. As there are finitely many TiT_{i}’s, then the claim follows. ∎

Lemma 2.14.

Let (X,Δ)(X,\Delta) by a klt nn-fold admitting an elliptic fibration f:XYf\colon X\rightarrow Y with KX+Δ,f0K_{X}+\Delta\sim_{\mathbb{Q},f}0. Let (Y,BY,𝐌)(Y,B_{Y},\mathbf{M}) denote the generalized pair induced on YY. Let J(X)YJ(X)\rightarrow Y be a relatively minimal terminal model for the Jacobian fibration, and let π:YY\pi\colon Y^{\prime}\rightarrow Y be the relative ample model of J(X)J(X). Then, the trace of (Y,BY,𝐌)(Y,B_{Y},\mathbf{M}) on YY^{\prime} is a generalized pair, i.e., the trace of the boundary b-divisor on YY^{\prime} is effective.

Proof.

Up to taking a small \mathbb{Q}-factorialization, we may assume that XX is \mathbb{Q}-factorial. Then, let X^\hat{X} be a relative minimal model for KXK_{X} over YY. Then, XX^X\dashrightarrow\hat{X} is a birational contraction, and the relative ample model Y^Y\hat{Y}\rightarrow Y defines a birational morphism. Let (X^,Δ^)(\hat{X},\hat{\Delta}) denote the trace of (X,Δ)(X,\Delta) on X^\hat{X}, and let (Y^,BY^,𝐌)(\hat{Y},B_{\hat{Y}},\mathbf{M}) denote the trace of (Y,BY,𝐌)(Y,B_{Y},\mathbf{M}) on Y^\hat{Y}. Let (Y^,ΩY^,𝐌)(\hat{Y},\Omega_{\hat{Y}},\mathbf{M}) the generalized pair induced by (X^,0)(\hat{X},0) on Y^\hat{Y}. Since we have KX^,Y^0K_{\hat{X}}\sim_{\mathbb{Q},\hat{Y}}0 and Δ^0\hat{\Delta}\geq 0, we have 0ΩY^BY^0\leq\Omega_{\hat{Y}}\leq B_{\hat{Y}}. In particular, BY^B_{\hat{Y}} is effective. Hence, for the purposes of the proof, we may replace (X,Δ)(X,\Delta) with (X^,Δ^)(\hat{X},\hat{\Delta}). Indeed, the ample model of the Jacobian fibration relative to Y^\hat{Y} naturally admits a rational contraction to YY^{\prime}, and the coefficients of the divisors appearing on YY^{\prime} agree with the coefficients on Y^\hat{Y}. This follows from the fact that a minimal model of the Jacobian fibration relative to Y^\hat{Y} admits a birational contraction to a minimal model relative to YY. Thus, in the rest of the proof, we may assume that XX is \mathbb{Q}-factorial and KX,f0K_{X}\sim_{\mathbb{Q},f}0.
By Proposition 2.9, we may assume that YY is \mathbb{Q}-factorial. Let UYU\subset Y be a big open subset such that

  • Supp(BY)\operatorname{Supp}(B_{Y}) is simple normal crossing on UU;

  • KX0K_{X}\sim_{\mathbb{Q}}0 over UU; and

  • KJ(X)0K_{J(X)}\sim_{\mathbb{Q}}0 over UU.

This open set exists, as J(X)J(X) is relatively minimal over YY, and its relative ample model is birational to YY. Let BUB_{U} denote the restriction of BYB_{Y} to UU, and let ΓU\Gamma_{U} denote the boundary divisor of the canonical bundle formula for J(X)×YUUJ(X)\times_{Y}U\rightarrow U. Then, by [Gro94]*Lemma 1.6, we have 0ΓUBU0\leq\Gamma_{U}\leq B_{U}. Now, let (Y,Γ,𝐌)(Y^{\prime},\Gamma,\mathbf{M}) denote the generalized pair induced by J(X)YJ(X)\rightarrow Y^{\prime}. Notice that the moduli b-divisor is the same as the one corresponding to the morphism (X,Δ)Y(X,\Delta)\rightarrow Y, as the corresponding jj-maps agree. We have Γ0\Gamma\geq 0. Furthermore, as YY^{\prime} is the relative ample model of KJ(X)K_{J(X)} over YY, KY+Γ+𝐌YK_{Y^{\prime}}+\Gamma+\mathbf{M}_{Y^{\prime}} is ample over YY. Since YY is \mathbb{Q}-factorial, we can consider the generalized pair (Y,πΓ,𝐌)(Y,\pi_{*}\Gamma,\mathbf{M}). Let Γ\Gamma^{\prime} denote the trace of the corresponding boundary b-divisor on YY^{\prime}. Thus, the divisor KY+Γ+𝐌Yπ(KY+πΓ+𝐌Y)K_{Y^{\prime}}+\Gamma+\mathbf{M}_{Y^{\prime}}-\pi^{*}(K_{Y}+\pi_{*}\Gamma+\mathbf{M}_{Y}) is π\pi-ample, and its support is π\pi-exceptional. Then, by the negativity lemma [KM98]*Lemma 3.39, we have

KY+Γ+𝐌YKY+Γ+𝐌Y.K_{Y^{\prime}}+\Gamma+\mathbf{M}_{Y^{\prime}}\leq K_{Y}+\Gamma^{\prime}+\mathbf{M}_{Y^{\prime}}.

Since (πΓ)|U=ΓU(\pi_{*}\Gamma)|_{U}=\Gamma_{U}, we have πΓBY\pi_{*}\Gamma\leq B_{Y}. Then, the claim follows. ∎

Lemma 2.15.

Let (X1,Δ1)(X_{1},\Delta_{1}) and (X2,Δ2)(X_{2},\Delta_{2}) be two quasi-projective \mathbb{Q}-factorial klt pairs admitting contractions f1:X1Yf_{1}\colon X_{1}\rightarrow Y and f2:X2Yf_{2}\colon X_{2}\rightarrow Y to the same smooth quasi-projective variety YY with dim(Y)=dim(X)1\dim(Y)=\dim(X)-1. Further assume that KXi+Δi,fi0K_{X_{i}}+\Delta_{i}\sim_{\mathbb{Q},f_{i}}0 for i=1,2i=1,2, X1X_{1} and X2X_{2} are isomorphic in codimension 1, and (X1,Δ1)(X_{1},\Delta_{1}) and (X2,Δ2)(X_{2},\Delta_{2}) are crepant to each other. Fix yYy\in Y. Then, f1f_{1} is smooth over yy if and only if so is f2f_{2}.

Proof.

It suffices to show that X1X_{1} and X2X_{2} are connected by a sequence of (KXi+Δi)(K_{X_{i}}+\Delta_{i})-flops over YY. By the assumption dim(Y)=dim(X)1\dim(Y)=\dim(X)-1, a smooth fiber is a curve in XX that deforms over an open set of YY. Thus, a smooth fiber cannot be contained in the flopped locus. Now, let A1A_{1} be an ample irreducible divisor on X1X_{1}, and let A2A_{2} be its strict transform on X2X_{2}. Then, A2A_{2} is big and movable on X2X_{2}. For 0<ϵ10<\epsilon\ll 1, the pair (X2,Δ2+ϵA2)(X_{2},\Delta_{2}+\epsilon A_{2}) is klt. Then, we can run a relative (KX2+Δ2+ϵA2)(K_{X_{2}}+\Delta_{2}+\epsilon A_{2})-MMP with scaling over YY. Since KX2+Δ2,f20K_{X_{2}}+\Delta_{2}\sim_{\mathbb{Q},f_{2}}0, it is an A2A_{2}-MMP. Since A2A_{2} is movable over YY, it has to be a sequence of A2A_{2}-flips. By [BCHM], this MMP terminates with a good relative minimal model. By construction, this model is \mathbb{Q}-factorial, it isomorphic in codimension 1 to X1X_{1}, and it admits a morphism to X1X_{1}, since X1X_{1} is the relative ample model of A1A_{1}. Since X1X_{1} is \mathbb{Q}-factorial, this morphism cannot be a small morphism. Therefore, this minimal model has to be (X1,Δ1+ϵA1)(X_{1},\Delta_{1}+\epsilon A_{1}). This concludes the proof. ∎

Lemma 2.16.

Let (X,Δ)(X,\Delta) be a klt pair admitting a contraction f:XYf\colon X\rightarrow Y of relative dimension 1, where YY is smooth. Let π:XX\pi\colon X^{\prime}\rightarrow X be a small morphism, and let (X,Δ)(X^{\prime},\Delta^{\prime}) denote the trace of (X,Δ)(X,\Delta) on XX^{\prime}. Fix yYy\in Y. Then, XYX\rightarrow Y is smooth over yy if and only if so is XYX^{\prime}\rightarrow Y.

Proof.

Since YY is smooth, if XYX\rightarrow Y is smooth over yYy\in Y, then XX is smooth over a neighborhood of yYy\in Y. In particular, XX does not admit small modifications over yy. Now, assume that XXX^{\prime}\rightarrow X is not an isomorphism over yYy\in Y. Then, the fiber XyX^{\prime}_{y} is not an irreducible curve, as XyXyX^{\prime}_{y}\rightarrow X_{y} is not an isomorphism. This concludes the proof. ∎

3. Examples

In this work, we are interested in nn-folds (X,Δ)(X,\Delta) with κ(X,Δ)=n1\kappa(X,\Delta)=n-1. Among these, one may be particularly interested in smooth varieties without boundary and their minimal models. If n=2n=2, we get smooth elliptic surfaces with κ(X)=1\kappa(X)=1. If a set 𝔔\mathfrak{Q} of elliptic surfaces with Kodaira dimension 1 is bounded, then the minimal degree of a multisection of the Iitaka fibration for X𝔔X\in\mathfrak{Q} is bounded. Indeed, let π:𝒳T\pi\colon\mathcal{X}\rightarrow T be a bounding family. Up to stratification, we may assume that π\pi is smooth. Thus, by deformation invariance of plurigenera [wilson], the relative Iitaka fibration of π\pi induces the Iitaka fibration fiberwise. Thus, π\pi factors as an ellitpic fibration over TT, say 𝒳𝒞T\mathcal{X}\rightarrow\mathcal{C}\rightarrow T. For simplicity, assume that TT is irreducible (in general, it has finitely many irreducible components). Then, a multisection of degree kk of 𝒳𝒞\mathcal{X}\rightarrow\mathcal{C} induces a multisection of degree kk of 𝒳t𝒞t\mathcal{X}_{t}\rightarrow\mathcal{C}_{t} for tTt\in T general. Thus, by Noetherian induction, there is a positive integer dd such that every X𝔔X\in\mathfrak{Q} admits a multisection of the Iitaka fibration of degree at most dd. More generally, if we have a family of elliptic nn-folds that are bounded and such that the elliptic fibration deforms in the family, we have an upper bound on the minimal degree of a multisection.

Therefore, the hypotheses of Theorem 7.2 are necessary to achieve boundedness. On the other hand, one may wonder whether the boundedness of the base of the Iitaka fibration may put any constraints on the minimal degree of a multisection. We will show that this is not the case. We will address the isotrivial and the non-isotrivial cases separately.

Example 3.1.

Let CC be a Riemann surface of genus g(C)2g(C)\geq 2. Denote by πn:CnC\pi_{n}\colon C_{n}\rightarrow C a cyclic cover with group /n\mathbb{Z}/n\mathbb{Z}. By choosing an appropriate nn-torsion element in Pic0(C)\mathrm{Pic}^{0}(C), we may assume that πn:CnC\pi_{n}\colon C_{n}\rightarrow C is étale. Let EE be an elliptic curve, and let pnEp_{n}\in E be a distinguished point of order nn on EE. If EE is chosen to be very general, we have Hom(E,J(Cn))=0\mathrm{Hom}(E,J(C_{n}))=0 for all nn. In particular, Pic(Cn×E)Pic(Cn)×Pic(E)\operatorname{Pic}(C_{n}\times E)\simeq\operatorname{Pic}(C_{n})\times\operatorname{Pic}(E). Let /n\mathbb{Z}/n\mathbb{Z} act on EE by translation by pnp_{n}. Therefore, /n\mathbb{Z}/n\mathbb{Z} acts diagonally on Cn×EC_{n}\times E. Let σn:Cn×ESn\sigma_{n}\colon C_{n}\times E\rightarrow S_{n} denote the quotient by this action. Thus, we get a smooth and isotrivial fibration fn:SnCf_{n}\colon S_{n}\rightarrow C with fiber EE. By construction, we have KSn,fn0K_{S_{n}}\sim_{\mathbb{Q},f_{n}}0. Since fnf_{n} is smooth and isotrivial, it follows from Kodaira’s canonical bundle formula that we have KSnfnKCK_{S_{n}}\sim_{\mathbb{Q}}f_{n}^{*}K_{C}. In particular, fnf_{n} is the Iitaka fibration of the surface SnS_{n}.
Now, a kk-section of fnf_{n} corresponds to a /n\mathbb{Z}/n\mathbb{Z}-invariant kk-section of σn\sigma_{n}. If a divisor DCn×ED\subset C_{n}\times E is /n\mathbb{Z}/n\mathbb{Z}-invariant, then so is 𝒪Cn×E(D)\mathcal{O}_{C_{n}\times E}(D) in Pic(Cn×E)\operatorname{Pic}(C_{n}\times E). By our choice of EE, we have DPQD\sim P\boxtimes Q for some divisors PP and QQ on CnC_{n} and EE, respectively. Since the action preserves the two natural projections on Cn×EC_{n}\times E, it follows that the line bundles 𝒪Cn(P)\mathcal{O}_{C_{n}}(P) and 𝒪E(Q)\mathcal{O}_{E}(Q) have a /n\mathbb{Z}/n\mathbb{Z}-action. Thus, 𝒪E(Q)\mathcal{O}_{E}(Q) is the pull-back of a line bundle under the quotient morphism EE/(/n)EE\rightarrow E/(\mathbb{Z}/n\mathbb{Z})\cong E. In particular, we have n|deg(Q)n|\deg(Q). As DD is a kk-section, QQ has has degree k>0k>0. Then, we have that knk\geq n. Thus, the set of surfaces {Sn}n\{S_{n}\}_{n\in\mathbb{N}} is not bounded, as the minimal degree of a multisection of fnf_{n} is not bounded.

Example 3.2.

Let BB be a curve, and let JBJ\rightarrow B be a Jacobian fibration that is not isotrivial. Further, assume that the Tate–Shafarevich (Jη)B{}_{B}(J_{\eta}) group is infinite. This can be achieved by [Sha65]*Theorem VII.11. For instance, this can be achieved by an elliptic K3 surface, as observed in [Gro94]. For an example of surface of Kodaira dimension 1, one could consider a base curve BB with genus at least 2 and the elliptic surface induced by base change from an elliptic K3 surface. Then, we claim that there is a sequence of surfaces πn:VnB\pi_{n}\colon V_{n}\rightarrow B that are locally étale isomorphic to JJ (i.e., they are accounted for in (Jη)B{}_{B}(J_{\eta})) and such that the minimal degree of a multisection of πn\pi_{n} diverges to \infty.
Let π:VB\pi\colon V\rightarrow B be a fibration that is locally isomorphic to JBJ\rightarrow B, and let dd be the minimal degree of a multisection of π\pi. Then, there is a degree dd extension K:k(B)K:k(B) such that VηV_{\eta} has a KK-rational point. This extension may not be Galois, but we can find a further extension L:KL:K such that L:k(B)L:k(B) is Galois of degree at most d!d!. Then, VηV_{\eta} corresponds to a non-zero element σ\sigma of H1(G,E(L))H^{1}(G,E(L)), where we set GGal(L:k(B))G\coloneqq\mathrm{Gal}(L:k(B)). Thus, the order of σ\sigma divides d!d!. Therefore, the order of the image of σ\sigma in the Weil–Châtelet group WC(Jη)WC(J_{\eta}) divides d!d!. Call this element τ\tau. By assumption, τ\tau is an element of (Jη)B{}_{B}(J_{\eta}), which is a subgroup of WC(Jη)WC(J_{\eta}). On the other hand, by the choice of JBJ\rightarrow B, the Tate–Shafarevich group contains a non-trivial divisible group. Therefore, for every nn\in\mathbb{N} we can find an element ρn\rho_{n} of order nn in it. Let πn:VnB\pi_{n}\colon V_{n}\rightarrow B the minimal elliptic fibration corresponding to ρn\rho_{n}. Then, by the above discussion, lim supdn=\limsup d_{n}=\infty, where dnd_{n} denotes the minimal degree of a multisection of πn\pi_{n}.

Let SS be a minimal surface with κ(S)=1\kappa(S)=1, and let π:SC\pi\colon S\rightarrow C be the Iitaka fibration. By Kodaira’s canonical bundle formula, we may write KSπ(KC+BC+MC)K_{S}\sim_{\mathbb{Q}}\pi^{*}(K_{C}+B_{C}+M_{C}), where BC0B_{C}\geq 0 and MCM_{C} can be represented by an effective divisor. Example 3.1 and Example 3.2 show that it is not enough to fix deg(KC+BC+MC)\deg(K_{C}+B_{C}+M_{C}) to achieve boundedness of surfaces of Kodaira dimension 1. On the other hand, the discussion above shows that the minimal degree of a multisection is bounded in a family of elliptic fibrations. Therefore, the assumptions of Theorem 7.2 are both necessary and sufficient to achieve boundedness (in codimension 1).

4. Good minimal models

In this section, we prove the existence of good minimal models under some conditions on the Kodaira dimension. The statement generalizes results of Grassi and Wen for nn-folds with no boundary of Kodaira dimension n1n-1 [GW19], as well as results of Hao and Schreieder for smooth nn-folds of Kodaira dimension at least n3n-3 [HS20]*Theorem 2.1.

Proof of Theorem 1.5.

Let XYX\dashrightarrow Y be the Iitaka fibration of the pair (X,Δ)(X,\Delta), where we have

Y=Proj(l0Γ(X,𝒪X(l(KX+Δ)))).Y=\mathrm{Proj}(\oplus_{l\geq 0}\Gamma(X,\mathcal{O}_{X}(l(K_{X}+\Delta)))).

Notice that the ring l0Γ(X,𝒪X(l(KX+Δ)))\oplus_{l\geq 0}\Gamma(X,\mathcal{O}_{X}(l(K_{X}+\Delta))) is finitely generated by [BCHM], so the Proj\mathrm{Proj} construction is well defined and provides a normal variety. Let π:XX\pi\colon X^{\prime}\rightarrow X be a birational morphism so that f:XYf\colon X^{\prime}\rightarrow Y is a morphism. We may assume that π\pi is a log resolution of (X,Δ)(X,\Delta). Let EE^{\prime} denote the reduced π\pi-exceptional divisor, and set Δπ1Δ\Delta^{\prime}\coloneqq\pi_{*}^{-1}\Delta. Then, as (X,Δ)(X,\Delta) is klt, we may find 0<c10<c\ll 1 so that (X,Δ+(1c)E)(X^{\prime},\Delta^{\prime}+(1-c)E^{\prime}) is klt and has the same log canonical ring as (X,Δ)(X,\Delta). Furthermore, we may assume that mld(X,Δ)>c\mathrm{mld}(X,\Delta)>c. This implies that every prime component of EE^{\prime} lies in the stable base locus of KX+Δ+(1c)EK_{X^{\prime}}+\Delta^{\prime}+(1-c)E^{\prime}.
As aruged in the proof of [FM00]*Theorem 5.2, the general fiber of f:(X,Δ+(1c)E)Yf\colon(X^{\prime},\Delta^{\prime}+(1-c)E^{\prime})\rightarrow Y is a klt pair of Kodaira dimension 0. Furthermore, by assumption, the dimension of the general fiber is at most 3. Hence, by [KMM94], the general fiber of ff has a good minimal model. Therefore, by generic smoothness, [HMX18b]*Theorem 1.9.1, and [HX13]*Theorem 1.1, it follows that (X,Δ+(1c)E)(X^{\prime},\Delta^{\prime}+(1-c)E^{\prime}) has a relative good minimal model over YY. Call it (X′′,Δ′′+(1c)E′′)(X^{\prime\prime},\Delta^{\prime\prime}+(1-c)E^{\prime\prime}), and let Y′′Y^{\prime\prime} be the corresponding ample model. By construction, Y′′YY^{\prime\prime}\rightarrow Y is a birational morphism.
Since KX′′+Δ′′+(1c)E′′,Y′′0K_{X^{\prime\prime}}+\Delta^{\prime\prime}+(1-c)E^{\prime\prime}\sim_{\mathbb{Q},Y^{\prime\prime}}0, we may apply the canonical bundle formula. Thus, a generalized klt pair (Y′′,B′′,𝐌)(Y^{\prime\prime},B^{\prime\prime},\mathbf{M}) is induced on Y′′Y^{\prime\prime}. Since KY′′+B′′+𝐌Y′′K_{Y^{\prime\prime}}+B^{\prime\prime}+\mathbf{M}_{Y^{\prime\prime}} is big, by [BZ16]*proof of 4.4.(2), we may run a (KY′′+B′′+𝐌Y′′)(K_{Y^{\prime\prime}}+B^{\prime\prime}+\mathbf{M}_{Y^{\prime\prime}})-MMP with scaling, which terminates with a good minimal model. Let (Ym,Bm,𝐌)(Y^{m},B^{m},\mathbf{M}) denote the model thus obtained. By [HX13]*Corollary 2.13, we can follow this MMP step by step on X′′X^{\prime\prime}. In particular, there is a birational contraction X′′XmX^{\prime\prime}\dashrightarrow X^{m} such that KXm+Δm+(1c)Emg(KYm+Bm+𝐌Ym)K_{X^{m}}+\Delta^{m}+(1-c)E^{m}\sim_{\mathbb{Q}}g^{*}(K_{Y^{m}}+B^{m}+\mathbf{M}_{Y^{m}}), where Δm\Delta^{m} and EmE^{m} denote the push-forwards of Δ′′\Delta^{\prime\prime} and E′′E^{\prime\prime} on XmX^{m}, repsectively. Furthermore, this contraction preserves the log canonical ring of (X′′,Δ′′+(1c)E′′)(X^{\prime\prime},\Delta^{\prime\prime}+(1-c)E^{\prime\prime}). Since KYm+Bm+𝐌YmK_{Y^{m}}+B^{m}+\mathbf{M}_{Y^{m}} is semi-ample, it follows that KXm+Δm+(1c)EmK_{X^{m}}+\Delta^{m}+(1-c)E^{m} is semi-ample. On the other hand, since EE^{\prime} is in the stable base locus of (X,Δ+(1c)E)(X^{\prime},\Delta^{\prime}+(1-c)E^{\prime}), it follows that Em=0E^{m}=0. In particular, XXmX\dashrightarrow X^{m} is a birational contraction.
To conclude, we need to show that XXmX\dashrightarrow X^{m} is (KX+Δ)(K_{X}+\Delta)-negative. First, we notice that, since KXm+ΔmK_{X^{m}}+\Delta^{m} is semi-ample and (Xm,Δm)(X^{m},\Delta^{m}) has the same log canonical ring as (X,Δ)(X,\Delta), it follows that XXmX\dashrightarrow X^{m} is (X,Δ)(X,\Delta)-non-positive. Now, let PP be any prime divisor on XX. Then, by construction, we have aP(X,Δ)=aP(X,Δ+(1c)E)a_{P}(X,\Delta)=a_{P}(X^{\prime},\Delta^{\prime}+(1-c)E^{\prime}). Notice that, by construction, XXmX^{\prime}\dashrightarrow X^{m} is (X,Δ+(1c)E)(X^{\prime},\Delta^{\prime}+(1-c)E^{\prime})-negative. Therefore, if PP is contracted by XXmX^{\prime}\dashrightarrow X^{m}, it follows that aP(Xc,Δm)>aP(X,Δ+(1c)E)a_{P}(X^{c},\Delta^{m})>a_{P}(X^{\prime},\Delta^{\prime}+(1-c)E^{\prime}). Thus, XXmX\dashrightarrow X^{m} is (X,Δ)(X,\Delta)-negative. This concludes the proof. ∎

5. Minimal models with κ(X,Δ)=dim(X)1\kappa(X,\Delta)=\dim(X)-1

In this section, we collect some definitions and facts about projective varieties of dimension nn and Kodaira dimension n1n-1.

Remark 5.1.

Let (X,Δ)(X,\Delta) be a minimal projective klt pair of dimension nn with κ(X,Δ)=n1\kappa(X,\Delta)=n-1 and rational coefficients. In view of Theorem 1.5 and [Lai11]*Proposition 2.4, the Iitaka fibration of (X,Δ)(X,\Delta) is a morphism f:XYf\colon X\rightarrow Y. Furthermore, we have that KX+ΔfLK_{X}+\Delta\sim_{\mathbb{Q}}f^{*}L, where LL is an ample \mathbb{Q}-Cartier divisor. Then, by the canonical bundle formula recalled in § 2.8, ff induces a generalized pair (Y,BY,𝐌)(Y,B_{Y},\mathbf{M}) such that KY+BY+𝐌YLK_{Y}+B_{Y}+\mathbf{M}_{Y}\sim_{\mathbb{Q}}L. Furthermore, by [FM00] (see also [PS09]*Theorem 8.1 and [HMX14]), we may choose 0ΔY𝐌Y0\leq\Delta_{Y}\sim_{\mathbb{Q}}\mathbf{M}_{Y} so that (Y,BY+ΔY)(Y,B_{Y}+\Delta_{Y}) is klt, and the coefficients of BY+ΔYB_{Y}+\Delta_{Y} belong to a DCC set of rational numbers only depending on nn and coeff(Δ)\mathrm{coeff}(\Delta). In this setup, we claim that the discrepancies of (Y,BY+ΔY)(Y,B_{Y}+\Delta_{Y}) are a lower bound for the generalized discrepancies of (Y,BY,𝐌)(Y,B_{Y},\mathbf{M}). Indeed, let π:YY\pi\colon Y^{\prime}\rightarrow Y be a log resolution of (Y,BY)(Y,B_{Y}) where 𝐌\mathbf{M} descends. We write KY+BY+𝐌Y=π(KY+BY+𝐌Y)K_{Y}+B_{Y^{\prime}}+\mathbf{M}_{Y^{\prime}}=\pi^{*}(K_{Y}+B_{Y}+\mathbf{M}_{Y}). As 𝐌\mathbf{M} descends on YY, the generalized discrepancies of (Y,BY,𝐌)(Y,B_{Y},\mathbf{M}) coincide with the discrepancies of the sub-pair (Y,BY)(Y^{\prime},B_{Y^{\prime}}). Then, to define ΔY\Delta_{Y}, by [PS09]*Theorem 8.1, we choose a suitable effective divisor 0ΔY𝐌Y0\leq\Delta_{Y^{\prime}}\sim_{\mathbb{Q}}\mathbf{M}_{Y^{\prime}} and set ΔYπΔY\Delta_{Y}\coloneqq\pi_{*}\Delta_{Y^{\prime}}. Thus, the discrepancies of (Y,BY+ΔY)(Y,B_{Y}+\Delta_{Y}) coincide with the discrepancies of (Y,BY+ΔY)(Y^{\prime},B_{Y^{\prime}}+\Delta_{Y^{\prime}}), and the claim follows as BYBY+ΔYB_{Y^{\prime}}\leq B_{Y^{\prime}}+\Delta_{Y^{\prime}}.

Definition 5.2.

Let (X,Δ)(X,\Delta) be a minimal projective klt pair of dimension nn with κ(X,Δ)=n1\kappa(X,\Delta)=n-1 and rational coefficients. Let YY and LL be as in Remark 5.1. Then, we define voln1(X,KX+Δ)vol(Y,L)\operatorname{vol}_{n-1}(X,K_{X}+\Delta)\coloneqq\operatorname{vol}(Y,L).

Definition 5.3.

Fix positive integers n,dn,d, a positive real number vv, and a finite set [0,1]\mathcal{R}\subset\mathbb{Q}\cap[0,1]. We define 𝔇(n,v,Φ())\mathfrak{D}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R})) to be the set of minimal projective klt pairs (X,Δ)(X,\Delta) of dimension nn with κ(X,Δ)=n1\kappa(X,\Delta)=n-1, voln1(X,KX+Δ)=v\operatorname{vol}_{n-1}(X,K_{X}+\Delta)=v, and coeff(Δ)Φ()\operatorname{coeff}(\Delta)\subset\Phi(\mathcal{R}). Then, we define 𝔇(n,v,Φ(),d)𝔇(n,v,Φ())\mathfrak{D}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R}),d)\subset\mathfrak{D}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R})) to be the subset consisting of those (X,Δ)𝔇(n,v,Φ())(X,\Delta)\in\mathfrak{D}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R})) whose Iitaka fibration admits a multisection of degree dd. We define 𝔅(n,v,Φ())\mathfrak{B}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R})) to be the set of pairs (Y,BY+ΔY)(Y,B_{Y}+\Delta_{Y}) arising as bases of the Iitaka fibration of the elements of 𝔇(n,v,Φ())\mathfrak{D}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R})) (i.e., Y=Proj(l0Γ(X,𝒪X(l(KX+Δ))))Y=\mathrm{Proj}(\oplus_{l\geq 0}\Gamma(X,\mathcal{O}_{X}(l(K_{X}+\Delta))))). Here, we choose ΔY\Delta_{Y} as in Remark 5.1.

Proposition 5.4.

The set of pairs 𝔅(n,v,Φ())\mathfrak{B}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R})) is bounded.

Proof.

Fix (Y,BY+ΔY)𝔅(n,v,Φ())(Y,B_{Y}+\Delta_{Y})\in\mathfrak{B}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R})). Then, by definition of 𝔅(n,v,Φ())\mathfrak{B}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R})), we have that KY+BY+ΔYK_{Y}+B_{Y}+\Delta_{Y} is ample, and vol(Y,KY+BY+ΔY)=v\operatorname{vol}(Y,K_{Y}+B_{Y}+\Delta_{Y})=v. Since the coefficients of BY+ΔYB_{Y}+\Delta_{Y} belong to a DCC set that only depends on nn and \mathcal{R}, the claim follows from [HMX18]*Theorem 1.1. ∎

Corollary 5.5.

Fix positive integers nn and dd, a positive real number vv, and a finite set [0.1]\mathcal{R}\subset\mathbb{Q}\cap[0.1]. Then, there exists ϵ>0\epsilon>0 only depending on nn, dd, vv and \mathcal{R} such that, if (X,Δ)𝔇(n,v,Φ())(X,\Delta)\in\mathfrak{D}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R})), it is ϵ\epsilon-log canonical.

Proof.

Fix (X,Δ)𝔇(n,v,Φ())(X,\Delta)\in\mathfrak{D}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R})), and let f:XYf\colon X\rightarrow Y be its Iitaka fibration. Let (Y,BY,𝐌)(Y,B_{Y},\mathbf{M}) and (Y,BY+ΔY)(Y,B_{Y}+\Delta_{Y}) be the generalized pair and pair induced on YY, respectively. Since 𝔅(n,v,Φ())\mathfrak{B}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R})) is a bounded set of klt pairs with coefficients in a finite set, and since the generalized discrepancies of (Y,BY,𝐌)(Y,B_{Y},\mathbf{M}) are bounded below by the discrepancies of (Y,BY+ΔY)(Y,B_{Y}+\Delta_{Y}), there exist ϵ>0\epsilon>0 only depending on nn, dd, vv and \mathcal{R} such that (Y,BY,𝐌)(Y,B_{Y},\mathbf{M}) is generalized ϵ\epsilon-log canonical. By assumption, the generic fiber is a smooth log Calabi–Yau curve whose boundary has coefficients in Φ()\Phi(\mathcal{R}). Thus, by global ACC [HMX14], the horizontal part of Δ\Delta can only attain finitely many values. Let 1δ1-\delta denote the maximum of such values. Notice that we have 0<δ10<\delta\leq 1, as (X,Δ)(X,\Delta) is klt. Then, we may assume that ϵ<δ\epsilon<\delta. Thus, (X,Δ)(X,\Delta) is ϵ\epsilon-log canonical over the generic point of YY. Indeed, as ff has relative dimension 1, the generic fiber of ff is smooth and in a neighborhood of it the singularities of (X,Δ)(X,\Delta) are controlled by the coefficients of Δ\Delta. In particular, over a non-empty open subset of YY, (X,Δ)(X,\Delta) is δ\delta-log canonical. Therefore, in order to bound the singularities of (X,Δ)(X,\Delta), it suffices to bound the discrepancies of those geometric valuations over XX whose centers on XX are vertical over YY. By [Amb99]*Proposition 3.4, (X,Δ)(X,\Delta) is ϵ\epsilon-log canonical. Notice that we can apply [Amb99]*Proposition 3.4 to the model YY even though 𝐌\mathbf{M} does not descend on YY, since we are considering the generalized log discrepancies of (Y,BY,𝐌)(Y,B_{Y},\mathbf{M}). ∎

Definition 5.6.

Fix positive integers nn and dd, a positive real number vv, and a finite set [0,1]\mathcal{R}\subset\mathbb{Q}\cap[0,1]. We define (n,v,Φ(),d)\mathfrak{C}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R}),d) to be the set of fibrations (X,Δ)(Y,BY+ΔY)(X,\Delta)\rightarrow(Y,B_{Y}+\Delta_{Y}), where (X,Δ)𝔇(n,v,Φ(),d)(X,\Delta)\in\mathfrak{D}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R}),d) and (Y,BY+ΔY)(Y,B_{Y}+\Delta_{Y}) is the corresponding element in 𝔅(n,v,Φ())\mathfrak{B}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R})).

6. Iitaka fibration of Fano type

In this section, we prove a stronger version of Theorem 1.1 under the additional assumption that the general fiber of the Iitaka fibration is 1\mathbb{P}^{1}.

Theorem 6.1.

Let 𝔉(n,v,Φ())\mathfrak{F}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R})) be the subset of d(n,v,Φ(),d)\bigcup_{d\in\mathbb{N}}\mathfrak{C}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R}),d) consisting of those fibrations whose general fiber is 1\mathbb{P}^{1}. Then, 𝔉(n,v,Φ())\mathfrak{F}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R})) is bounded.

Proof.

By Proposition 5.4, the set of pairs (Y,BY+ΔY)(Y,B_{Y}+\Delta_{Y}) is bounded. By Corollary 5.5, (X,Δ)(X,\Delta) is ϵ\epsilon-log canonical for a fixed ϵ>0\epsilon>0. Therefore, by [Bir18]*Theorem 1.3, the set of pairs (X,Δ)(X,\Delta) is bounded. Let (𝒳,)T(\mathcal{X},\mathcal{B})\rightarrow T be a bounding family. We recall that the notions of boundedness introduced in § 2.9 only control the support of the boundary divisor Δ\Delta and that the divisor \mathcal{B} is reduced. Yet, if we want to retrieve the Iitaka fibration of the pairs (X,Δ)(X,\Delta), we need to put the appropriate coefficients to 𝒳\mathcal{X} to retrieve each (X,Δ)(X,\Delta), rather than (X,Supp(Δ))(X,\operatorname{Supp}(\Delta)). A priori, the coefficients of Δ\Delta belong to the countable set Φ()\Phi(\mathcal{R}). If we argue that they actually belong to a finite subset of Φ()\Phi(\mathcal{R}), then, by considering finitely many copies of (𝒳,)T(\mathcal{X},\mathcal{B})\rightarrow T, we can assign to the components of \mathcal{B} all the possible coefficients. But this is indeed the case. By global ACC [HMX14], the coefficients of the horizontal part of Δ\Delta belong to a finite subset of Φ()\Phi(\mathcal{R}). Then, by Proposition 5.4 (note that the possible coefficients appearing therein are finitely many by [HMX18]*Theorem 1.1) and the algorithm to compute the boundary divisor in the canonical bundle formula, it readily follows that also the vertical components of Δ\Delta can attain finitely many coefficients. Thus, up to replacing (𝒳,)T(\mathcal{X},\mathcal{B})\rightarrow T with finitely many copies of itself and assigning coefficients to \mathcal{B}, we may assume that for every (X,Δ)(X,\Delta) there is a closed point tTt\in T such that (𝒳t,t)(X,Δ)(\mathcal{X}_{t},\mathcal{B}_{t})\cong(X,\Delta). Furthermore, we may stratify TT so that TT is smooth and there exists a log resolution of (𝒳,)(\mathcal{X},\mathcal{B}) that induces a log resolution fiberwise. In particular, this guarantees that deformation invariance of plurigenera applies [HMX18b]*Theorem 1.9.2. Thus, the relative ample model of (𝒳,)T(\mathcal{X},\mathcal{B})\rightarrow T induces the ample model of each fiber; see, e.g., [FS22]*Theorem 4.5. Call the relative ample model 𝒴\mathcal{Y}. Thus, the claim of the theorem follows, besides the boundedness of the boundary divisors. The latter is recovered by Corollary 2.12. ∎

7. Elliptic Iitaka fibration

Recall that 𝔇(n,v,Φ())\mathfrak{D}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R})) is the set of minimal projective klt pairs (X,Δ)(X,\Delta) of dimension nn with coefficients in Φ()\Phi(\mathcal{R}) and voln1(X,Δ)=v\operatorname{vol}_{n-1}(X,\Delta)=v. In this section, we will only consider elements of 𝔇(n,v,Φ())\mathfrak{D}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R})) whose Iitaka fibration is an elliptic fibration. Now, consider (X,Δ)𝔇(n,v,Φ())(X,\Delta)\in\mathfrak{D}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R})), and let f:XYf\colon X\rightarrow Y be its Iitaka fibration. Then, we may consider the corresponding Jacobian fibration J(X)YJ(X)\rightarrow Y. This fibration is defined up to birational equivalence over YY, and the generic fiber is Pic0(Xη)\mathrm{Pic}^{0}(X_{\eta}), where XηX_{\eta} denotes the generic fiber of ff. Indeed, in general J(X)J(X) is a projective variety over YY having Pic0(Xη)\mathrm{Pic}^{0}(X_{\eta}) as generic fiber of the morphism J(X)YJ(X)\rightarrow Y. Then, depending on the context, some additional assumptions, such as smoothness or minimality over YY, may be required. Notice that neither smoothness nor relative minimality lead to a unique choice of representative of this birational class. For our purposes, we will proceed as follows. Assume that J(X)J(X) is smooth and admits a contraction to YY. Then, by [HX13]*Theorem 1.1, J(X)J(X) admits a relative good minimal model over YY. Replace J(X)J(X) with this model, and let YYY^{\prime}\rightarrow Y be the relative ample model over YY. Then, we may assume that J(X)J(X) is terminal, \mathbb{Q}-factorial, and that KJ(X),Y0K_{J(X)}\sim_{\mathbb{Q},Y^{\prime}}0. Let (Y,BY,𝐌)(Y,B_{Y},\mathbf{M}) be the generalized pair induced by XX on YY, and let (Y,BY,𝐌)(Y^{\prime},B_{Y^{\prime}},\mathbf{M}) denote its trace on YY^{\prime}. Then, by Lemma 2.14, BYB_{Y^{\prime}} is effective. Notice that, as (Y,BY+ΔY)(Y,B_{Y}+\Delta_{Y}) is bounded and ΔY\Delta_{Y} can be chosen generically with bounded denominator [PS09]*Theorem 8.1, it follows that the coefficients of BYB_{Y^{\prime}} belong to a finite set only depending on 𝔇(n,v,Φ())\mathfrak{D}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R})). Thus, it follows by [MST] that (Y,BY+ΔY)(Y^{\prime},B_{Y^{\prime}}+\Delta_{Y^{\prime}}) is bounded with coefficients in a finite set. Then, by Lemma 2.14, we have that J(X)J(X) induces a generalized pair (Y,CY,𝐌)(Y^{\prime},C_{Y^{\prime}},\mathbf{M}), where 0CYBY0\leq C_{Y^{\prime}}\leq B_{Y^{\prime}}. By [FM00], the coefficients of CYC_{Y^{\prime}} belong to a DCC set whose only accumulation point is 1. As they are bounded away from 1 by the coefficients of BYB_{Y^{\prime}}, it follows that coeff(CY)\operatorname{coeff}(C_{Y^{\prime}}) varies in a finite set only depending on 𝔇(n,v,Φ())\mathfrak{D}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R})).

Definition 7.1.

Fix positive integers nn and dd, a positive real number vv, and a finite set of rational numbers [0,1]\mathcal{R}\subset\mathbb{Q}\cap[0,1]. We define 𝔍(n,v,Φ())\mathfrak{J}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R})) to be the set of Jacobian fibrations constructed above. That is, J(X)𝔍(n,v,Φ())J(X)\in\mathfrak{J}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R})) is a terminal, \mathbb{Q}-factorial model of the Jacobian fibration of (X,Δ)𝔇(n,v,Φ())(X,\Delta)\in\mathfrak{D}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R})). Furthermore, J(X)J(X) is relatively minimal over YY, the base of the Iitaka fibration of XX, with relative ample model YYY^{\prime}\rightarrow Y. Then, we define 𝔓(n,v,Φ())\mathfrak{P}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R})) to be the set of fibrations J(X)(Y,BY+ΔY)J(X)\rightarrow(Y^{\prime},B_{Y^{\prime}}+\Delta_{Y^{\prime}}), where J(X)𝔍(n,v,Φ())J(X)\in\mathfrak{J}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R})) and (Y,BY+ΔY)(Y^{\prime},B_{Y^{\prime}}+\Delta_{Y^{\prime}}) is the trace on YY^{\prime} of the corresponding element in 𝔅(n,v,Φ())\mathfrak{B}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R})).

Theorem 7.2.

Fix positive integers nn and dd, a positive real number vv, and a finite set of rational numbers [0,1]\mathcal{R}\subset\mathbb{Q}\cap[0,1]. The subset of (n,v,Φ(),d)\mathfrak{C}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R}),d) consisting of elliptic fibrations is bounded in codimension 1. Let (𝒳,𝒟)(\mathcal{X},\mathcal{D}), (𝒴,𝒟)(\mathcal{Y},\mathcal{D}), and TT be varieties bounding these fibrations in codimension 1 as in Definition 2.6. Then, (𝒴,𝒟)T(\mathcal{Y},\mathcal{D})\rightarrow T bounds (i.e., not just birationally in codimension 1) the set of bases of the fibrations of interest.

Remark 7.3.

Notice that, if n=2n=2, it follows that the family of elliptic fibrations in Theorem 7.2 is actually bounded. Indeed, two normal projective surfaces that are isomorphic in codimension 1 are actually isomorphic.

Proposition 7.4.

Fix positive integers nn and dd, a positive real number vv, and a finite set of rational numbers [0,1]\mathcal{R}\subset\mathbb{Q}\cap[0,1]. Assume that n3n\geq 3. Assume that Theorem 7.2 holds for (m,w,Φ(𝒮),e)\mathfrak{C}(m,w,\Phi(\mathcal{S}),e), where mn1m\leq n-1, ww, ee and the finite set 𝒮[0,1]\mathcal{S}\subset\mathbb{Q}\cap[0,1] are arbitrary. Then, there exists a positive integer CC, only depending on (n,v,Φ(),d)\mathfrak{C}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R}),d), such that, for every (X,Δ)(Y,BY+ΔY)(n,v,Φ(),d)(X,\Delta)\rightarrow(Y,B_{Y}+\Delta_{Y})\in\mathfrak{C}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R}),d), the linear series |C(KY+BY+ΔY)||C(K_{Y}+B_{Y}+\Delta_{Y})| is very ample and there exists an element D|C(KY+BY+ΔY)|D\in|C(K_{Y}+B_{Y}+\Delta_{Y})| such that YsingSupp(D)Y_{\mathrm{sing}}\subset\operatorname{Supp}(D) and XYX\rightarrow Y is smooth over YSupp(D)Y\setminus\operatorname{Supp}(D), except possibly at finitely many isolated points.

Proof.

By Proposition 5.4, 𝔅(n,v,Φ())\mathfrak{B}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R})) is bounded. Fix f:(X,Δ)(Y,BY+ΔY)(n,d,Φ(),v)f\colon(X,\Delta)\rightarrow(Y,B_{Y}+\Delta_{Y})\in\mathfrak{C}(n,d,\Phi(\mathcal{R}),v). By Proposition 5.4, there is a positive integer CC^{\prime}, only depending on nn and vv, such that C(KY+BY+ΔY)C^{\prime}(K_{Y}+B_{Y}+\Delta_{Y}) is a very ample Cartier divisor. Pick a general H|C(KY+BY+ΔY)|H\in|C^{\prime}(K_{Y}+B_{Y}+\Delta_{Y})|, and define XHfHX_{H}\coloneqq f^{*}H, and let (XH,ΔXH)(X_{H},\Delta_{X_{H}}) be the pair obtained by adjunction. As HH is general, it follows that coeff(ΔXH)Φ()\operatorname{coeff}(\Delta_{X_{H}})\subset\Phi(\mathcal{R}). By adjunction, we define (H,BH+ΔH)(H,B_{H}+\Delta_{H}) and (H,BH,𝐍)(H,B_{H},\mathbf{N}), where 𝐍𝐌|H\mathbf{N}\coloneqq\mathbf{M}|_{H}. Notice that ΔH𝐍H\Delta_{H}\sim_{\mathbb{Q}}\mathbf{N}_{H}. Then, arguing as in [Flo14]*Lemma 3.1 (notice that the smoothness assumptions in the reference are not needed, and it suffices that HH is chosen generically in a free linear series, as the computations can be done on a log resolution of YY and then pushed forward to YY and HH), it follows that (H,BH,𝐍)(H,B_{H},\mathbf{N}) is the generalized pair induced by XHHX_{H}\rightarrow H via the canonical bundle formula. Furthermore, (XH,ΔXH)(H,BH+ΔH)(n1,w,Φ(),d)(X_{H},\Delta_{X_{H}})\rightarrow(H,B_{H}+\Delta_{H})\in\mathfrak{C}(n-1,w,\Phi(\mathcal{R}),d), where ww only depends on (n,v,Φ(),d)\mathfrak{C}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R}),d). Notice that in this argument we are using the assumptions on the singularities of XX and HH to control the behavior of the different [Kol13]*Proposition 4.5.
Let YsingY_{\mathrm{sing}} and HsingH_{\mathrm{sing}} denote the singular loci of YY and HH, respectively. Then, by Bertini’s theorem, we have Hsing=YsingHH_{\mathrm{sing}}=Y_{\mathrm{sing}}\cap H. Define YsmYYsingY_{\mathrm{sm}}\coloneqq Y\setminus Y_{\mathrm{sing}} and HsmHHsingH_{\mathrm{sm}}\coloneqq H\setminus H_{\mathrm{sing}}. Let ΣYsm\Sigma_{Y_{\mathrm{sm}}} denote the minimal closed subset of YsmY_{\mathrm{sm}} such that XYX\rightarrow Y is a smooth fibration with smooth base over YsmΣYsmY_{\mathrm{sm}}\setminus\Sigma_{Y_{\mathrm{sm}}}. Let ΣY\Sigma_{Y} denote the closure of ΣYsm\Sigma_{Y_{\mathrm{sm}}} in YY. Since HH is general and ΣY\Sigma_{Y} is independent of the choice of HH, we may assume that HH meets properly every irreducible component of ΣY\Sigma_{Y}. Then, we let ΣHsm\Sigma_{H_{\mathrm{sm}}} denote the minimal closed subset of HsmH_{\mathrm{sm}} such that XHHX_{H}\rightarrow H is a smooth fibration with smooth base over HsmΣHsmH_{\mathrm{sm}}\setminus\Sigma_{H_{\mathrm{sm}}}, and we let ΣH\Sigma_{H} denote its closure in HH. By construction, we have ΣHsm=ΣYsmHsm\Sigma_{H_{\mathrm{sm}}}=\Sigma_{Y_{\mathrm{sm}}}\cap H_{\mathrm{sm}}. This is clear over the locus where the fibers are not 1-dimensional. Then, over the locus in YsmY_{\mathrm{sm}} where the fibers are 1-dimensional, the morphism is flat by [Sta]*Tag 00R4. Thus, over this locus, by [Sta]*Tag 01V9, the morphism is smooth if and only if so is the restriction to HsmH_{\mathrm{sm}}, as the fibers over closed points agree scheme theoretically. Hence, we have ΣH=ΣYH\Sigma_{H}=\Sigma_{Y}\cap H. Notice that, by Lemma 2.15 and Lemma 2.16, these loci are well defined, even though we may need to replace XX and XHX_{H} with models that are isomorphic in codimension 1.
By the inductive hypothesis, Theorem 7.2 applies to (n1,w,Φ(),d)\mathfrak{C}(n-1,w,\Phi(\mathcal{R}),d). Let (𝒳,)(,𝒟)T(\mathcal{X}_{\mathcal{H}},\mathcal{B}_{\mathcal{H}})\rightarrow(\mathcal{H},\mathcal{D})\rightarrow T be the corresponding family of fibrations. Up to a stratification, we may assume that TT is smooth. Then, we may assume that the singularities of the fibers of T\mathcal{H}\rightarrow T are induced by the singularities of \mathcal{H} itself. That is, we may assume that t,sing=(sing)t\mathcal{H}_{t,\mathrm{sing}}=(\mathcal{H}_{\mathrm{sing}})_{t}. Let Σsm\Sigma_{\mathcal{H}_{\mathrm{sm}}} be the minimal closed subset of sm\mathcal{H}_{\mathrm{sm}} such that 𝒳\mathcal{X}_{\mathcal{H}}\rightarrow\mathcal{H} is a smooth fibration over smΣsm\mathcal{H}_{\mathrm{sm}}\setminus\Sigma_{\mathcal{H}_{\mathrm{sm}}}. By a stratification, we may assume that (Σsm)t=Σt,sm(\Sigma_{\mathcal{H}_{\mathrm{sm}}})_{t}=\Sigma_{\mathcal{H}_{t,\mathrm{sm}}}. Similalry, we have (Σ)t=Σt(\Sigma_{\mathcal{H}})_{t}=\Sigma_{\mathcal{H}_{t}}, where Σ\Sigma_{\mathcal{H}} and Σt\Sigma_{\mathcal{H}_{t}} denote the closures of Σsm\Sigma_{\mathcal{H}_{\mathrm{sm}}} in \mathcal{H} and and of Σt,sm\Sigma_{\mathcal{H}_{t,\mathrm{sm}}} in t\mathcal{H}_{t}, respectively.
By [Kol13]*Claim 4.38.1, up to a stratification and a base change, we may assume that the restrictions of the irreducible components of \mathcal{B}_{\mathcal{H}} and 𝒟\mathcal{D} to the fibers of the corresponding morphisms to TT are irreducible. By Corollary 5.5, the coefficients of ΔXH\Delta_{X_{H}} can attain finitely many values. Thus, as the coefficients of ΔXH\Delta_{X_{H}} and BH+ΔHB_{H}+\Delta_{H} take finitely many values, we may assume that \mathcal{B}_{\mathcal{H}} restricts to ΔXH\Delta_{X_{H}} fiberwise. Similarly, we may assume that 𝒟\mathcal{D} restricts to BH+ΔHB_{H}+\Delta_{H}. Then, by [HX15]*Proposition 2.4 and Corollary 5.5, up to a stratification, we may assume that K𝒳+K_{\mathcal{X}_{\mathcal{H}}}+\mathcal{B}_{\mathcal{H}} and K+𝒟K_{\mathcal{H}}+\mathcal{D} are \mathbb{Q}-Cartier.
By generic flatness, up to a stratification of TT, we may assume that 𝒟\mathcal{D} and every irreducible component of Σ\Sigma_{\mathcal{H}} are flat over TT. Now, write T=TiT=\sqcup T_{i}, where each TiT_{i} is irreducible, and let 𝒳,i\mathcal{X}_{\mathcal{H},i} and i\mathcal{H}_{i} be the corresponding irreducible components of 𝒳\mathcal{X}_{\mathcal{H}} and \mathcal{H}, respectively. Fix an irreducible component Ξi\Xi_{i} of Σi\Sigma_{\mathcal{H}_{i}} of dimension dim(Ti)+k\dim(T_{i})+k. Recall that dim(X)=n\dim(X)=n. Therefore, we have dim(H)=n2\dim(H)=n-2. Then, for every tTit\in T_{i}, we have

(7.1) (K,t+𝒟t)kΞi,t=(K+𝒟)kΞit,(K_{\mathcal{H},t}+\mathcal{D}_{t})^{k}\cdot\Xi_{i,t}=(K_{\mathcal{H}}+\mathcal{D})^{k}\cdot\Xi_{i}\cdot\mathcal{H}_{t},

and this expression is independent of tTit\in T_{i}. Thus, the intersection products between K,t+𝒟tK_{\mathcal{H},t}+\mathcal{D}_{t} and the irreducible components of Σ,t\Sigma_{\mathcal{H},t} are locally constant. In particular, they are bounded.
Now, recall that for every pair (H,BH+ΔH)(H,B_{H}+\Delta_{H}) appearing as a fiber, we have

K,t+𝒟t=KH+BH+ΔH.K_{\mathcal{H},t}+\mathcal{D}_{t}=K_{H}+B_{H}+\Delta_{H}.

By construction, there is CC^{\prime}\in\mathbb{N} only depending on nn, vv and \mathcal{R} so that HC(KY+BY+ΔY)H\sim C^{\prime}(K_{Y}+B_{Y}+\Delta_{Y}). For brevity, set AYC(KY+BY+ΔY)A_{Y}\coloneqq C^{\prime}(K_{Y}+B_{Y}+\Delta_{Y}). Notice that AYA_{Y} is a very ample polarization. Now, fix an irreducible component Ω\Omega of ΣY\Sigma_{Y} of dimension l1l\geq 1, and set ΩHΩH\Omega_{H}\coloneqq\Omega\cap H. Then, by the construction of ΣY\Sigma_{Y} and ΣH\Sigma_{H}, we have

ΩAl=ΩHAl1=ΩHAHl1=(C)l1ΩH(KH+BH+ΔH)l1,\Omega\cdot A^{l}=\Omega\cdot H\cdot A^{l-1}=\Omega_{H}\cdot A_{H}^{l-1}=(C^{\prime})^{l-1}\Omega_{H}\cdot(K_{H}+B_{H}+\Delta_{H})^{l-1},

and the right hand side is bounded, by (7.1) and the fact that KH+BH+ΔHK,t+𝒟tK_{H}+B_{H}+\Delta_{H}\sim_{\mathbb{Q}}K_{\mathcal{H},t}+\mathcal{D}_{t} for some tTt\in T. Thus, the positive dimensional irreducible components of ΣY\Sigma_{Y} have bounded degree and they are bounded in number. Let MM\in\mathbb{N} be a positive integer that bounds both of these quantities.
Now, recall that the degree with respect to AA of a subvariety of XX is the same as the degree of the same variety with respect to the hyperplane class of (H0(X,𝒪X(A)))\mathbb{P}(H^{0}(X,\mathcal{O}_{X}(A))). Thus, every irreducible component Ω\Omega of ΣY\Sigma_{Y} of positive dimension is a subvariety of (H0(X,𝒪X(A)))\mathbb{P}(H^{0}(X,\mathcal{O}_{X}(A))) of degree at most MM. Thus, set-theoretically, Ω\Omega is the intersection of hypersurfaces of degree at most MM. Choosing one of these hypersurfaces generically so that it does not contain XX, it follows there is DΩ|MA|D_{\Omega}\in|MA| such that ΩSupp(DΩ)\Omega\subset\operatorname{Supp}(D_{\Omega}). Thus, we may find an element D|M2A|D\in|M^{2}A| whose support contains the positive dimensional part of ΣY\Sigma_{Y}. Notice that the degree of the singular locus of YY is bounded, as YY comes in a bounded family. Thus, we may also assume that Supp(D)\operatorname{Supp}(D) contains the singular locus of YY. Thus, the claim follows. ∎

Remark 7.5.

In the proof of Proposition 7.4, we may also assume that Supp(BY+ΔY)Supp(D)\operatorname{Supp}(B_{Y}+\Delta_{Y})\subset\operatorname{Supp}(D). Indeed, as these divisors are bounded as the cycle ΣY\Sigma_{Y} is, we may find a bounded multiple of KY+BY+ΔYK_{Y}+B_{Y}+\Delta_{Y} such that some element of the corresponding linear series vanishes along these divisors.

Remark 7.6.

Fix X(n,v,Φ(),d)X\in\mathfrak{C}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R}),d) and the associated (Y,BY+ΔY+D)(Y,B_{Y}+\Delta_{Y}+D), where DD is as in Proposition 7.4. Also, fix J(X)J(X) as discussed above. Consider (Y,BY+ΔY)(Y^{\prime},B_{Y^{\prime}}+\Delta_{Y^{\prime}}) as in Definition 7.1, and let DD^{\prime} be the pull-back of DD to DD^{\prime}. Since (Y,BY+ΔY)(Y^{\prime},B_{Y^{\prime}}+\Delta_{Y^{\prime}}) is bounded and 0DC(KY+BY+ΔY)0\leq D^{\prime}\sim_{\mathbb{Q}}C(K_{Y^{\prime}}+B_{Y^{\prime}}+\Delta_{Y^{\prime}}) where CC only depends on nn, vv, dd, and \mathcal{R}, it follows that (Y,BY+ΔY+D)(Y^{\prime},B_{Y^{\prime}}+\Delta_{Y^{\prime}}+D^{\prime}) is bounded. Then, we can regard J(X)(Y,BY+ΔY+D)J(X)\rightarrow(Y^{\prime},B_{Y^{\prime}}+\Delta_{Y^{\prime}}+D^{\prime}) as an element of 𝔓(n,v,Φ())\mathfrak{P}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R})) together with the datum of DD^{\prime}. Notice that DD^{\prime} depends on (n,v,Φ(),d)\mathfrak{C}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R}),d), and not just on (n,v,Φ())\mathfrak{C}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R})).

Definition 7.7.

We define 𝔓(n,v,Φ(),d)\mathfrak{P}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R}),d) to be the set of fibrations J(X)(Y,BY+ΔY+D)J(X)\rightarrow(Y^{\prime},B_{Y^{\prime}}+\Delta_{Y^{\prime}}+D^{\prime}), where J(X)(Y,BY+ΔY)𝔓(n,d,Φ())J(X)\rightarrow(Y^{\prime},B_{Y^{\prime}}+\Delta_{Y^{\prime}})\in\mathfrak{P}(n,d,\Phi(\mathcal{R})) and DD^{\prime} is the pull-back of DD, which is as in Proposition 7.4.

Theorem 7.8.

Fix positive integers n,dn,d, a positive real number vv, and a finite set [0,1]\mathcal{R}\subset\mathbb{Q}\cap[0,1]. Assume that Theorem 7.2 holds true in dimension strictly less than nn. Then, the set of fibrations 𝔓(n,v,Φ(),d)\mathfrak{P}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R}),d) is bounded in codimension 1. Furthermore, we may choose the birationally bounding family so that the bases of the firbations are actually bounded.

Remark 7.9.

Notice that the inductive assumption on Theorem 7.2 is only needed for the existence of the divisor DD^{\prime}.

Proof.

Fix a fibration j:J(X)(Y,BY+ΔY+D)𝔓(n,v,Φ(),d)j\colon J(X)\rightarrow(Y^{\prime},B_{Y^{\prime}}+\Delta_{Y^{\prime}}+D^{\prime})\in\mathfrak{P}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R}),d). Then, by construction, we have KJ(X)j(KY+CY+ΔY)K_{J(X)}\sim_{\mathbb{Q}}j^{*}(K_{Y^{\prime}}+C_{Y^{\prime}}+\Delta_{Y^{\prime}}), where 0CYBY0\leq C_{Y^{\prime}}\leq B_{Y^{\prime}}. By Remark 7.6, the pairs of the form (Y,BY+ΔY+D)(Y^{\prime},B_{Y^{\prime}}+\Delta_{Y^{\prime}}+D^{\prime}) are bounded. Since (Y,BY+ΔY)(Y^{\prime},B_{Y^{\prime}}+\Delta_{Y^{\prime}}) is bounded and klt with coefficients in a finite set, we may find 0<c10<c\ll 1 only depending on (n,v,Φ(),d)\mathfrak{C}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R}),d) so that the pairs of the form (Y,BY+ΔY+cD)(Y^{\prime},B_{Y^{\prime}}+\Delta_{Y^{\prime}}+cD^{\prime}) are klt. This can be achieved by taking a bounding family for the pairs (Y,BY+ΔY+D)(Y^{\prime},B_{Y^{\prime}}+\Delta_{Y^{\prime}}+D^{\prime}), where we prescribe the coefficients of the bounding divisors to restrict to BY+ΔYB_{Y^{\prime}}+\Delta_{Y^{\prime}}. Notice that, by the construction of DD in Proposition 7.4, KY+BY+ΔY+cDK_{Y^{\prime}}+B_{Y^{\prime}}+\Delta_{Y^{\prime}}+cD^{\prime} is semi-ample and big with fixed volume. Now, we divide the proof into several steps. We follow the proof of [dCS17]*Theorem 1.1.
Step 1: In this step we reduce to the case when J(X)J(X) maps to a \mathbb{Q}-factorialization YY^{\mathbb{Q}} of YY^{\prime}.
Since (Y,BY+ΔY+cD)(Y^{\prime},B_{Y^{\prime}}+\Delta_{Y^{\prime}}+cD^{\prime}) is klt, YY^{\prime} admits a small \mathbb{Q}-factorialization (Y,BY+ΔY+cD)(Y,BY+ΔY+cD)(Y^{\mathbb{Q}},B_{Y}^{\mathbb{Q}}+\Delta_{Y}^{\mathbb{Q}}+cD^{\mathbb{Q}})\rightarrow(Y^{\prime},B_{Y^{\prime}}+\Delta_{Y^{\prime}}+cD^{\prime}). By [MST], also (Y,BY+ΔY+cD)(Y^{\mathbb{Q}},B_{Y}^{\mathbb{Q}}+\Delta_{Y}^{\mathbb{Q}}+cD^{\mathbb{Q}}) belongs to a bounded family which only depends on (n,v,Φ(),d)\mathfrak{C}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R}),d). Up to replacing J(X)J(X) with a model that is isomorphic in codimension 1, by Proposition 2.9, we may assume that J(X)YJ(X)\rightarrow Y^{\prime} factors through YY^{\mathbb{Q}}.
Step 2: In this step we reduce to the case when the rational section satisfies certain positivity assumptions.
Now, denote by Y^\hat{Y} the closure of the rational section of j:J(X)Yj\colon J(X)\rightarrow Y^{\prime}. Then, Y^\hat{Y} is relatively big over YY^{\mathbb{Q}}. Also, for 0<γ10<\gamma\ll 1, (J(X),γY^)(J(X),\gamma\hat{Y}) is klt. Thus, by [BCHM], any (KJ(X)+γY^)(K_{J(X)}+\gamma\hat{Y})-MMP over YY^{\mathbb{Q}} with scaling of an ample divisor terminates. Let (J~(X),γY~)(\tilde{J}(X),\gamma\tilde{Y}) be the resulting model. Denote by j~:J~(X)Y\tilde{j}\colon\tilde{J}(X)\rightarrow Y^{\mathbb{Q}} the resulting morphism. Notice that KJ(X)+γY^,YγY^K_{J(X)}+\gamma\hat{Y}\sim_{\mathbb{Q},Y^{\mathbb{Q}}}\gamma\hat{Y}. Thus, this MMP is independent of γ\gamma, and Y~\tilde{Y} is relatively big and semi-ample over YY^{\mathbb{Q}}. Furthermore, since Y^\hat{Y} is irreducible and dominates YY^{\mathbb{Q}}, every step of the above MMP has to be a (KJ(X)+γY^)(K_{J(X)}+\gamma\hat{Y})-flip. Thus, J~(X)\tilde{J}(X) is isomorphic to J(X)J(X) in codimension 1. Moreover, as KJ(X),Y0K_{J(X)}\sim_{\mathbb{Q},Y^{\mathbb{Q}}}0, the terminality of J(X)J(X) implies that of J~(X)\tilde{J}(X). Thus, up to relabelling, we may assume that (J(X),Y^)=(J~(X),Y~)(J(X),\hat{Y})=(\tilde{J}(X),\tilde{Y}).
Step 3: In this step we show that (J(X),Y^)(J(X),\hat{Y}) is a plt pair. This implies that Y^\hat{Y} is a normal variety admitting a structure of klt pair.
Normality of Y^\hat{Y} and the exitence of a structure of klt pair on Y^\hat{Y} will follow from the plt-ness of (J(X),Y^)(J(X),\hat{Y}) by [KM98]*Proposition 5.51 and inversion of adjunction, see [Kaw07]. To show that (J(X),Y^)(J(X),\hat{Y}) is plt, it suffices to show that (J(X),Y^)(J(X),\hat{Y}) is log canonical and that Y^\hat{Y} is its only log canonical center. Let ϕ:Y^νY^\phi\colon\hat{Y}^{\nu}\rightarrow\hat{Y} be the normalization of Y^\hat{Y}, and let Diff(0)\mathrm{Diff}(0) be the different defined by

KY^ν+Diff(0)ϕ((KJ(X)+Y^)|Y^).K_{\hat{Y}^{\nu}}+\mathrm{Diff}(0)\coloneqq\phi^{*}((K_{J(X)}+\hat{Y})|_{\hat{Y}}).

By construction, KY^ν+Diff(0)K_{\hat{Y}^{\nu}}+\mathrm{Diff}(0) is nef and big over YY^{\mathbb{Q}}. By [dCS17]*Lemma 5.1, Diff(0)\mathrm{Diff}(0) is exceptional over YY^{\mathbb{Q}}. Thus, we have (j^ϕ)(KY^ν+Diff(0))=KY(\hat{j}\circ\phi)_{*}(K_{\hat{Y}^{\nu}}+\mathrm{Diff}(0))=K_{Y^{\mathbb{Q}}}, where we set j^:J(X)Y\hat{j}\colon J(X)\rightarrow Y^{\mathbb{Q}}. Since YY^{\mathbb{Q}} is \mathbb{Q}-factorial, the negativity lemma [KM98]*Lemma 3.39 implies that

(7.2) KY^ν+Diff(0)=(j^ϕ)KYF,\displaystyle K_{\hat{Y}^{\nu}}+\mathrm{Diff}(0)=(\hat{j}\circ\phi)^{*}K_{Y^{\mathbb{Q}}}-F,

where F0F\geq 0 is (j^ϕ)(\hat{j}\circ\phi)-excetpional. As (Y,BY+ΔY+cD)(Y^{\mathbb{Q}},B_{Y}^{\mathbb{Q}}+\Delta_{Y}^{\mathbb{Q}}+cD^{\mathbb{Q}}) is klt, then so is (Y,0)(Y^{\mathbb{Q}},0). Therefore, it follows from (7.2) that (Y^ν,Diff(0))(\hat{Y}^{\nu},\mathrm{Diff}(0)) is klt. Inversion of adjunction implies that Y^\hat{Y} is the only log canonical center of (J(X),Y^)(J(X),\hat{Y}). In particular, (J(X),Y^)(J(X),\hat{Y}) is plt and the other conclusions follow as indicated above.
Step 4: In this step we show that there exists an effective divisor G^\hat{G} on J(X)J(X) such that the pair (J(X),12Y^+12G^)(J(X),\frac{1}{2}\hat{Y}+\frac{1}{2}\hat{G}) is 12\frac{1}{2}-log canonical, and KJ(X)+12Y^+12G^K_{J(X)}+\frac{1}{2}\hat{Y}+\frac{1}{2}\hat{G} is big.
Let HH^{\prime} be a very ample polarization of bounded degree on YY^{\prime}. Notice that its existence is guaranteed by the boundedness of the pairs (Y,BY+ΔY+cD)(Y^{\prime},B_{Y^{\prime}}+\Delta_{Y^{\prime}}+cD^{\prime}). We may assume that H±(KY+BY+ΔY)H^{\prime}\pm(K_{Y^{\prime}}+B_{Y^{\prime}}+\Delta_{Y^{\prime}}) and H±(KY+CY+ΔY)H^{\prime}\pm(K_{Y^{\prime}}+C_{Y^{\prime}}+\Delta_{Y^{\prime}}) are ample. Since DD^{\prime} is \mathbb{Q}-linearly equivalent to KY+CY+ΔYK_{Y}+C_{Y^{\prime}}+\Delta_{Y^{\prime}} up to a bounded multiple, we may also assume that H±DH^{\prime}\pm D^{\prime} is ample. Furthermore, we may assume that H0(Y,𝒪Y(HSupp(BY+ΔY))0H^{0}(Y^{\prime},\mathcal{O}_{Y^{\prime}}(H^{\prime}-\operatorname{Supp}(B_{Y^{\prime}}+\Delta_{Y^{\prime}}))\neq 0. Let G^\hat{G} be a general member of |(2n+3)jH||(2n+3)j^{*}H^{\prime}|. Then, (J(X),Y^+G^)(J(X),\hat{Y}+\hat{G}) is log canonical. On the other hand, J(X)J(X) is terminal, and the discrepancies of valuations are linear functions of the boundary divisor of a pair. Hence, it follows that (J(X),12Y^+12G^)(J(X),\frac{1}{2}\hat{Y}+\frac{1}{2}\hat{G}) is 12\frac{1}{2}-log canonical. Since KJ(X)+jHK_{J(X)}+j^{*}H^{\prime} is the pull-back of an ample divisor on YY^{\prime}, Y^\hat{Y} is effective and relatively big over YY^{\prime}, it follows that KJ(X)+12Y^+12G^K_{J(X)}+\frac{1}{2}\hat{Y}+\frac{1}{2}\hat{G} is big. Since we have

KJ(X)+12Y^+12G^12(KJ(X)+jH)+12(KJ(X)+Y^+(2n+2)jH),K_{J(X)}+\frac{1}{2}\hat{Y}+\frac{1}{2}\hat{G}\sim_{\mathbb{Q}}\frac{1}{2}(K_{J(X)}+j^{*}H^{\prime})+\frac{1}{2}(K_{J(X)}+\hat{Y}+(2n+2)j^{*}H^{\prime}),

and KJ(X)+jHK_{J(X)}+j^{*}H^{\prime} is nef, it suffices to show that KJ(X)+Y^+(2n+2)jHK_{J(X)}+\hat{Y}+(2n+2)j^{*}H^{\prime} is nef to conclude that the same holds for KJ(X)+12Y^+12G^K_{J(X)}+\frac{1}{2}\hat{Y}+\frac{1}{2}\hat{G}. The nefness of KJ(X)+Y^+(2n+2)jHK_{J(X)}+\hat{Y}+(2n+2)j^{*}H^{\prime} follows by the boundedness of the negative extremal rays [Fuj14]*Theorem 1.19. Indeed, let RR be a (KJ(X)+Y^)(K_{J(X)}+\hat{Y})-negative extremal ray. There exists a rational curve CC spanning RR such that 2n(KJ(X)+Y^)C<0-2n\leq(K_{J(X)}+\hat{Y})\cdot C<0. Since KJ(X)+Y^K_{J(X)}+\hat{Y} is nef relatively to YY^{\prime}, then j(C)j(C) is a curve. In particular, we have (2n+2)jHC(2n+2)Hj(C)2n+2(2n+2)j^{*}H^{\prime}\cdot C\geq(2n+2)H^{\prime}\cdot j(C)\geq 2n+2. So, it follows that KJ(X)+Y^+(2n+2)jHK_{J(X)}+\hat{Y}+(2n+2)j^{*}H^{\prime} is non-negative on every (KJ(X)+Y^)(K_{J(X)}+\hat{Y})-negative extremal ray. Thus, KJ(X)+Y^+(2n+2)jHK_{J(X)}+\hat{Y}+(2n+2)j^{*}H is nef. In particular, we have that KJ(X)+12Y^+12G^K_{J(X)}+\frac{1}{2}\hat{Y}+\frac{1}{2}\hat{G} is nef and big.
Step 5: In this step we show that there exist positive constants C1C_{1} and C2C_{2}, only depending on (n,v,Φ(),d)\mathfrak{C}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R}),d), such that C1(KJ(X)+12Y^+12G^)nC2C_{1}\leq(K_{J(X)}+\frac{1}{2}\hat{Y}+\frac{1}{2}\hat{G})^{n}\leq C_{2}.
The existence of C1C_{1} follows from [HMX14]*Theorem 1.3. Thus, we are left to show the existence of C2C_{2}.

Up to a rescaling factor only depending on nn, we need to consider the following quantity:

(7.3) 2KJ(X)(2KJ(X)+Y^+G^)n1+Y^(2KJ(X)+Y^+G^)n1+G^(2KJ(X)+Y^+G^)n1.2K_{J(X)}\cdot(2K_{J(X)}+\hat{Y}+\hat{G})^{n-1}+\hat{Y}\cdot(2K_{J(X)}+\hat{Y}+\hat{G})^{n-1}+\hat{G}\cdot(2K_{J(X)}+\hat{Y}+\hat{G})^{n-1}.

By the choice of HH^{\prime} in Step 4, G^2KJ(X)\hat{G}-2K_{J(X)} is semi-ample. Thus, as 2KJ(X)+Y^+G^2K_{J(X)}+\hat{Y}+\hat{G} is nef, in order to bound 2KJ(X)(2KJ(X)+Y^+G^)n12K_{J(X)}\cdot(2K_{J(X)}+\hat{Y}+\hat{G})^{n-1}, it suffices to bound G^(2KJ(X)+Y^+G^)n1\hat{G}\cdot(2K_{J(X)}+\hat{Y}+\hat{G})^{n-1}. Thus, we are left with finding an upper bound for the second and third summands in (7.3).

By (7.2) and adjunction, we have (KJ(X)+Y^)|Y^=(j^|Y^)KYF(K_{J(X)}+\hat{Y})|_{\hat{Y}}=(\hat{j}|_{\hat{Y}})^{*}K_{Y^{\mathbb{Q}}}-F, where F0F\geq 0 is j^|Y^{\hat{j}}|_{\hat{Y}}-exceptional. Thus, we get

(7.4) Y^(2KJ(X)+Y^+G^)n1=((KJ(X)+Y^)|Y^+KJ(X)|Y^+G^|Y^)n1=vol(Y^,(KJ(X)+Y^)|Y^+KJ(X)|Y^+G^|Y^)vol(Y^,(j^|Y^)KY+KJ(X)|Y^+G^|Y^)vol(Y,(2n+5)H)=(2n+5)n1(H)n1,\displaystyle\begin{split}\hat{Y}\cdot(2K_{J(X)}+\hat{Y}+\hat{G})^{n-1}&=((K_{J(X)}+\hat{Y})|_{\hat{Y}}+K_{J(X)}|_{\hat{Y}}+\hat{G}|_{\hat{Y}})^{n-1}\\ &=\operatorname{vol}(\hat{Y},(K_{J(X)}+\hat{Y})|_{\hat{Y}}+K_{J(X)}|_{\hat{Y}}+\hat{G}|_{\hat{Y}})\\ &\leq\operatorname{vol}(\hat{Y},(\hat{j}|_{\hat{Y}})^{*}K_{Y^{\mathbb{Q}}}+K_{J(X)}|_{\hat{Y}}+\hat{G}|_{\hat{Y}})\\ &\leq\operatorname{vol}(Y^{\prime},(2n+5)H^{\prime})\\ &=(2n+5)^{n-1}(H^{\prime})^{n-1},\end{split}

where the last quantity is bounded, as nn is fixed and HH^{\prime} is the fixed very ample polarization of bounded degree YY^{\prime}. In (7.4), the second inequality follows from (7.2), while the third inequality follows from the projection formula and the fact that H(KY+BY+ΔY)H^{\prime}-(K_{Y^{\prime}}+B_{Y^{\prime}}+\Delta_{Y^{\prime}}) is ample.

Thus, we are left with bounding the summand G^(2KJ(X)+Y^+G^)n1\hat{G}\cdot(2K_{J(X)}+\hat{Y}+\hat{G})^{n-1}. For an integer 1kn11\leq k\leq n-1, we have

(7.5) G^k(2KJ(X)+Y^+G^)nk=G^k(2KJ(X)+Y^+G^)(2KJ(X)+Y^+G^)nk1G^k(Y^+2G^)(2KJ(X)+Y^+G^)nk1=2G^k+1(2KJ(X)+Y^+G^)nk1+G^kY^(2KJ(X)+Y^+G^)nk1,\displaystyle\begin{split}\hat{G}^{k}\cdot(2K_{J(X)}+\hat{Y}+\hat{G})^{n-k}&=\hat{G}^{k}\cdot(2K_{J(X)}+\hat{Y}+\hat{G})\cdot(2K_{J(X)}+\hat{Y}+\hat{G})^{n-k-1}\\ &\leq\hat{G}^{k}\cdot(\hat{Y}+2\hat{G})\cdot(2K_{J(X)}+\hat{Y}+\hat{G})^{n-k-1}\\ &=2\hat{G}^{k+1}\cdot(2K_{J(X)}+\hat{Y}+\hat{G})^{n-k-1}+\hat{G}^{k}\cdot\hat{Y}\cdot(2K_{J(X)}+\hat{Y}+\hat{G})^{n-k-1},\end{split}

where the inequality follows from the fact that, by construction, G^2KJ(X)\hat{G}-2K_{J(X)} is semi-ample. Since G^n=0\hat{G}^{n}=0, by iteratively applying (7.5) n1n-1 times, bounding the intersection number G^(2KJ(X)+Y^+G^)n1\hat{G}\cdot(2K_{J(X)}+\hat{Y}+\hat{G})^{n-1} reduces to bounding G^kY^(2KJ(X)+Y^+G^)nk1\hat{G}^{k}\cdot\hat{Y}\cdot(2K_{J(X)}+\hat{Y}+\hat{G})^{n-k-1} for 1kn11\leq k\leq n-1. This can be achieved by (7.2) and the fact that H(KY+BY+ΔY)H^{\prime}-(K_{Y^{\prime}}+B_{Y^{\prime}}+\Delta_{Y^{\prime}}) is ample as in the treatment of (7.4). Thus, this concludes the step.
Step 6: In this step we show that the birational representative of the Jacobian fibration J(X)J(X) chosen at the end of Step 2 is bounded.
As showed in the previous steps, (J(X),12Y^+12G^)(J(X),\frac{1}{2}\hat{Y}+\frac{1}{2}\hat{G}) is 12\frac{1}{2}-log canonical and its coefficients belong to the set {12}\{\frac{1}{2}\}. Thus, by [Fil19]*Theorem 1.3, vol(KJ(X)+12Y^+12G^)\operatorname{vol}(K_{J(X)}+\frac{1}{2}\hat{Y}+\frac{1}{2}\hat{G}) belongs to a discrete set only depending on (n,v,Φ(),d)\mathfrak{C}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R}),d). By Step 5, this volume is also bounded from above and below. Thus, we conclude that vol(KJ(X)+12Y^+12G^)\operatorname{vol}(K_{J(X)}+\frac{1}{2}\hat{Y}+\frac{1}{2}\hat{G}) attains only finitely many values, only depending on (n,v,Φ(),d)\mathfrak{C}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R}),d). Then, by [MST]*Theorem 6, the set of pairs (J(X),12Y^+12G^)(J(X),\frac{1}{2}\hat{Y}+\frac{1}{2}\hat{G}) is bounded. In particular, the varieties J(X)J(X) are bounded. Notice that the boundedness of this specific model guarantees the boundedness in codimension 1 of any other model with the properties required at the beginning of § 7, since the distinguished model chosen at the end of Step 2 is isomorphic in codimension 1 to any arbitrary model taken as input at the beginning of this proof.
Step 7: In this step we conclude the proof.
Since the boundary divisor G^\hat{G} is bounded, the intersection between a fixed very ample polarization and G^\hat{G} is bounded. Now, we consider jDj^{*}D^{\prime}. By the choice of HH^{\prime} in Step 4, HDH^{\prime}-D^{\prime} is ample. Thus, we have that the intersection between any polarization on J(X)J(X) and Supp(jD)\operatorname{Supp}(j^{*}D^{\prime}) is bounded above by the intersection with G^\hat{G}. Similarly, as H0(Y,𝒪Y(HSupp(BY+ΔY))0H^{0}(Y^{\prime},\mathcal{O}_{Y^{\prime}}(H^{\prime}-\operatorname{Supp}(B_{Y^{\prime}}+\Delta_{Y^{\prime}}))\neq 0, the divisor HSupp(BY+ΔY)H^{\mathbb{Q}}-\operatorname{Supp}(B_{Y^{\mathbb{Q}}}+\Delta_{Y^{\mathbb{Q}}}) is linearly equivalent to an effective divisor. Thus, we can bound Supp(j^(BY+ΔY))\operatorname{Supp}(\hat{j}^{*}(B_{Y^{\mathbb{Q}}}+\Delta_{Y^{\mathbb{Q}}})). Hence, the pairs (J(X),Y^+G^+j^(BY+ΔY+D))(J(X),\hat{Y}+\hat{G}+\hat{j}^{*}(B_{Y^{\mathbb{Q}}}+\Delta_{Y^{\mathbb{Q}}}+D^{\mathbb{Q}})) are bounded, where we choose the birational representative of J(X)J(X) according to the previous step. Choose a bounding family (𝒥,)U(\mathcal{J},\mathcal{E})\rightarrow U, where the reduced divisor \mathcal{E} bounds the support of all the above divisors. That is, if the closed point uUu\in U corresponds to (J(X),Y^+G^+j^(BY+ΔY+D))(J(X),\hat{Y}+\hat{G}+\hat{j}^{*}(B_{Y^{\mathbb{Q}}}+\Delta_{Y^{\mathbb{Q}}}+D^{\mathbb{Q}})), we have (J(X),Supp(Y^+G^+j^(BY+ΔY+D)))(𝒥u,u)(J(X),\operatorname{Supp}(\hat{Y}+\hat{G}+\hat{j}^{*}(B_{Y^{\mathbb{Q}}}+\Delta_{Y^{\mathbb{Q}}}+D^{\mathbb{Q}})))\cong(\mathcal{J}_{u},\mathcal{E}_{u}).
By Step 4, KJ(X)+12G^K_{J(X)}+\frac{1}{2}\hat{G} is \mathbb{Q}-linearly equivalent to the pull-back of an ample divisor on YY^{\prime}. The pairs of the form (J(X),12G^)(J(X),\frac{1}{2}\hat{G}) are bounded and klt. Thus, up to stratifying UU so that a log resolution of (𝒥,)(\mathcal{J},\mathcal{E}) induces a log resolution of the fibers of 𝒥U\mathcal{J}\rightarrow U, we may apply the conclusions of [HMX18]*Corollary 1.4. Furthermore, up to a base change, we may assume that the restrictions of the irreducible components of \mathcal{E} to the fibers are irreducible [Kol13]*Claim 4.38.1. Thus, we can define the divisor 𝒢\mathcal{G}, which is supported on \mathcal{E} and restricts to the divisor G^\hat{G} on the fibers of the family. Up to a stratification of the family [HX15]*Proposition 2.4, K𝒥+12𝒢K_{\mathcal{J}}+\frac{1}{2}\mathcal{G} is \mathbb{Q}-Cartier. Then, the relative ample model of K𝒥+12𝒢K_{\mathcal{J}}+\frac{1}{2}\mathcal{G} induces the ample model of each fiber. Thus, the family 𝒥U\mathcal{J}\rightarrow U factors as 𝒥𝒴U\mathcal{J}\rightarrow\mathcal{Y}^{\prime}\rightarrow U, where the family 𝒴U\mathcal{Y}^{\prime}\rightarrow U bounds the surfaces YY^{\prime}.
Let \mathcal{F} denote the reduced divisorial part of the image of \mathcal{E} in 𝒴\mathcal{Y}. By construction, the components of \mathcal{E} corresponding to j^(BY+ΔY+D)\hat{j}^{*}(B_{Y^{\mathbb{Q}}}+\Delta_{Y^{\mathbb{Q}}}+D^{\mathbb{Q}}) induce components of \mathcal{E} corresponding to BY+ΔY+DB_{Y^{\prime}}+\Delta_{Y^{\prime}}+D^{\prime}. Then, the claim follows by considering the family 𝒥(𝒴,)U\mathcal{J}\rightarrow(\mathcal{Y},\mathcal{F})\rightarrow U. ∎

Remark 7.10.

By Step 7 in the proof of Theorem 7.8, the rational sections Y^\hat{Y} are bounded together with the fibrations J(X)(Y,BY+ΔY+D)J(X)\rightarrow(Y,B_{Y}+\Delta_{Y}+D). Thus, for every irreducible component UiUU_{i}\subset U, the corresponding fibration 𝒥i𝒴i\mathcal{J}_{i}\rightarrow\mathcal{Y}_{i} is an elliptic fibration with a rational section. Furthermore, the rational section restricts to the rational section of J(X)YJ(X)\rightarrow Y for every element of 𝔓(n,v,Φ(),d)\mathfrak{P}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R}),d).

Lemma 7.11.

Let XX be an element of (n,v,Φ(),d)\mathfrak{C}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R}),d), and let (Y,BY+ΔY)(Y,B_{Y}+\Delta_{Y}) be the associated pair. Furthermore, let DD be as in Proposition 7.4 and (Y,BY+ΔY)(Y^{\prime},B_{Y^{\prime}}+\Delta_{Y^{\prime}}) be as in Definition 7.1. Then, the induced morphism YSupp(BY+D)YY^{\prime}\setminus\operatorname{Supp}(B_{Y^{\prime}}+D^{\prime})\rightarrow Y is an isomorphism with its image, and its image is included in YSupp(D)Y\setminus\operatorname{Supp}(D). Here, DD^{\prime} denotes the pull-back of DD to DD^{\prime}.

Proof.

By construction, Supp(D)\operatorname{Supp}(D) contains the singular locus of YY. Thus, Supp(D)\operatorname{Supp}(D^{\prime}) contains the preimage of the singular locus of YY. Hence, up to shrinking, we may assume that YY is smooth, and, in particular, \mathbb{Q}-factorial. This guarantees that the exceptional locus is purely divisorial.
As argued at the beginning of § 7 and in Lemma 2.14, there is a divisor CYC_{Y^{\prime}} so that

  • 0CYBY0\leq C_{Y^{\prime}}\leq B_{Y^{\prime}}; and

  • KY+CY+ΔYK_{Y^{\prime}}+C_{Y^{\prime}}+\Delta_{Y^{\prime}} is relatively ample over YY; and

  • KY+CY+ΔYπ(π(KY+CY+ΔY))K_{Y^{\prime}}+C_{Y^{\prime}}+\Delta_{Y^{\prime}}-\pi^{*}(\pi_{*}(K_{Y^{\prime}}+C_{Y^{\prime}}+\Delta_{Y^{\prime}})) is π\pi-exceptional (notice that here we are using the reduction to the case when YY is \mathbb{Q}-factorial).

By the negativity lemma [KM98]*Lemma 3.39, it follows that

KY+CY+ΔY=π(π(KY+CY+ΔY))F,K_{Y^{\prime}}+C_{Y^{\prime}}+\Delta_{Y^{\prime}}=\pi^{*}(\pi_{*}(K_{Y^{\prime}}+C_{Y^{\prime}}+\Delta_{Y^{\prime}}))-F,

where F0F\geq 0 is fully supported on the π\pi-exceptional locus. Since BYπ(CY)B_{Y}\geq\pi_{*}(C_{Y^{\prime}}), it follows that and 0CYCY+FBY0\leq C_{Y^{\prime}}\leq C_{Y^{\prime}}+F\leq B_{Y^{\prime}}. In particular, Supp(BY)\operatorname{Supp}(B_{Y^{\prime}}) contains the π\pi-exceptional locus. This concludes the proof. ∎

Proposition 7.12.

Let (X,Δ)(X,\Delta) be a minimal klt pair with dim(X)=2\dim(X)=2 and κ(X,Δ)=1\kappa(X,\Delta)=1. Let f:XYf\colon X\rightarrow Y be the Iitaka fibration, and assume it is an elliptic fibration. Let BYB_{Y} be the boundary divisor of the canonical bundle formula for the pair (X,Δ)(X,\Delta) and the morphism ff. Then, for every closed point PYSupp(BY)P\in Y\setminus\operatorname{Supp}(B_{Y}), ff admits a section étale locally at PP.

Proof.

Let XX^{\prime} be the minimal resolution of XX. Notice that, if XYX^{\prime}\rightarrow Y admits a section étale locally, then so does XYX\rightarrow Y by composing with the morphism XXX^{\prime}\rightarrow X. Thus, we may assume that XX is smooth. Since there is an inclusion f(Supp(Δ))Supp(BY)f(\operatorname{Supp}(\Delta))\subset\operatorname{Supp}(B_{Y}), the fibration is a minimal elliptic fibration in the sense of Kodaira over YSupp(BY)Y\setminus\operatorname{Supp}(B_{Y}). Therefore, all the fibers are reduced over YSupp(BY)Y\setminus\operatorname{Supp}(B_{Y}). Then, the claim follows. ∎

Proof of Theorem 7.2.

We proceed by induction on nn. Proposition 7.12 implies that an analog of Proposition 7.4 holds true if n=2n=2. This will guarantee that the base case n=2n=2 can be proved following the steps below. Since the strategy below applies with no changes to the base case n=2n=2 and to the inductive step, we do not make mention of the induction in the rest of the proof. Our strategy follows the one in the proof of [Gro94]*Theorem 4.3. We proceed in several steps.
Step 1: In this step we consider the family of Jacobian fibration guaranteed by Theorem 7.8 and construct some closed subsets on this family.
Let 𝒥(𝒴,)U\mathcal{J}\rightarrow(\mathcal{Y},\mathcal{F})\rightarrow U be the family of fibrations constructed in Theorem 7.8. Up to a stratification of UU, we may assume that UU is smooth. Similarly, we may assume that the closed subset of 𝒴\mathcal{Y} where the morphism 𝒥𝒴\mathcal{J}\rightarrow\mathcal{Y} is not smooth does not contain any fiber of 𝒴U\mathcal{Y}\rightarrow U. Let 𝒵𝒴\mathcal{Z}\subset\mathcal{Y} denote a closed subset so that 𝒥𝒴\mathcal{J}\rightarrow\mathcal{Y} is a smooth fibration over 𝒴𝒵\mathcal{Y}\setminus\mathcal{Z}. Up to enlarging 𝒵\mathcal{Z}, by Remark 7.10, we may assume that 𝒥𝒴\mathcal{J}\rightarrow\mathcal{Y} has a regular section over 𝒴𝒵\mathcal{Y}\setminus\mathcal{Z}. Up to a further stratification and Noetherian induction, we may assume that 𝒵\mathcal{Z} does not contain any fiber of 𝒴U\mathcal{Y}\rightarrow U.
Step 2: In this step we show that, after shrinking the family according to the closed subsets constructed in Step 1, the fibrations of interest are parametrized by the Tate–Shafarevich group.
Define 𝒴̊𝒴(𝒵)\mathring{\mathcal{Y}}\coloneqq\mathcal{Y}\setminus(\mathcal{F}\cup\mathcal{Z}) and 𝒥̊𝒥×𝒴𝒴̊\mathring{\mathcal{J}}\coloneqq\mathcal{J}\times_{\mathcal{Y}}\mathring{\mathcal{Y}}. For an element J(X)(Y,BY+ΔY+D)𝔓(n,v,Φ(),d)J(X)\rightarrow(Y^{\prime},B_{Y^{\prime}}+\Delta_{Y^{\prime}}+D^{\prime})\in\mathfrak{P}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R}),d) corresponding to the fiber over uUu\in U, we denote by Y̊Y\mathring{Y}\subset Y^{\prime} the open subset induced by 𝒴̊\mathring{\mathcal{Y}}. By Lemma 7.11, we may identify Y̊\mathring{Y} with an open subset of YY as well. Thus, we may write J(X̊)J(X)×YY̊J(\mathring{X})\coloneqq J(X)\times_{Y}\mathring{Y} and X̊X×YY̊\mathring{X}\coloneqq X\times_{Y}\mathring{Y}. Then, by construction and Proposition 7.4, XYX\rightarrow Y is smooth over Y̊\mathring{Y}, except possibly at finitely many isolated points. Call these points P1,,PkP_{1},\ldots,P_{k}. Furthermore, the fibration J(X)YJ(X)\rightarrow Y^{\prime} is smooth over Y̊\mathring{Y} and it admits a section. By construction, we know that XYX\rightarrow Y corresponds to an element of (J(X)ηY)Y̊{P1,,Pk}{}_{\mathring{Y}\setminus\{P_{1},\ldots,P_{k}\}}(J(X)_{\eta_{Y}}). Then, by Proposition 2.8, it actually belongs to (J(X)ηY)Y̊{}_{\mathring{Y}}(J(X)_{\eta_{Y}}). Notice that, by Lemma 2.7, this element has order dividing d!d! in (J(X)ηY)Y̊{}_{\mathring{Y}}(J(X)_{\eta_{Y}}).
Step 3: In this step we introduce a log resolution of 𝒥(𝒴,𝒵)U\mathcal{J}\rightarrow(\mathcal{Y},\mathcal{F}\cup\mathcal{Z})\rightarrow U.
Up to a further stratification of UU, we may assume that 𝒴\mathcal{Y} and 𝒥\mathcal{J} admit log resolutions 𝒴\mathcal{Y}^{\prime} and 𝒥\mathcal{J}^{\prime} so that

  • 𝒥𝒥\mathcal{J}^{\prime}\rightarrow\mathcal{J} and 𝒴𝒴\mathcal{Y}^{\prime}\rightarrow\mathcal{Y} are isomorphisms over 𝒥̊\mathring{\mathcal{J}} and 𝒴̊\mathring{\mathcal{Y}}, respectively;

  • the induced rational map 𝒥𝒴\mathcal{J}^{\prime}\dashrightarrow\mathcal{Y}^{\prime} is an actual morphism which admits a section;

  • the complement of 𝒴̊\mathring{\mathcal{Y}} in 𝒴\mathcal{Y}^{\prime} is simple normal crossing over UU; and

  • 𝒥U\mathcal{J}^{\prime}\rightarrow U and 𝒴U\mathcal{Y^{\prime}}\rightarrow U are smooth.

Notice that, by construction, the ramification locus of 𝒥𝒴\mathcal{J}^{\prime}\rightarrow\mathcal{Y}^{\prime} is contained in the complement of Y̊\mathring{Y}.
Step 4: In this step we show that the set of fibrations (without the boundary divisors) we are considering is birationally bounded. For this purpose, we will refer to several statements in [Gro94]*§ 4. While the results in [Gro94]*§ 4 are stated for families of elliptic threefolds, we will make use only of the ones that hold without any restriction on the dimension. One of the needed statements, namely [Gro94]*Lemma 4.7, holds in full generality only in dimension 3. Yet, for this specific statement, we only need the conclusion of the first half of its proof, which holds true with no restriction on the dimension (specifically, we only need the statement when the ramification divisor is removed, i.e., (𝒳,𝒮,𝒯)(\mathcal{X}^{\prime},\mathcal{S}^{\prime},\mathcal{T}) in the notation of [Gro94]*proof of Lemma 4.7).
By abusing notation, we proceed as if UU were irreducible: to be precise, the following steps should be performed on each irreducible component of the family of fibrations. Now, let η𝒴\eta_{\mathcal{Y}^{\prime}} denote the generic point of 𝒴\mathcal{Y}^{\prime}, and let ι:η𝒴𝒴\iota\colon\eta_{\mathcal{Y}^{\prime}}\rightarrow\mathcal{Y}^{\prime} be the natural inclusion. We regard ι𝒥η𝒴\iota_{*}\mathcal{J}^{\prime}_{\eta_{\mathcal{Y}^{\prime}}} as a sheaf in the étale topology of 𝒴\mathcal{Y}^{\prime}. Similarly, its (derived) push-forwards and pull-backs will be understood in the étale site. We write π:𝒴U\pi\colon\mathcal{Y}^{\prime}\rightarrow U and π̊:𝒴̊U\mathring{\pi}\colon\mathring{\mathcal{Y}}\rightarrow U. Then, by [Gro94]*Lemma 4.4, R1d!π̊(ι𝒥η𝒴){}_{d!}R^{1}\mathring{\pi}_{*}(\iota_{*}\mathcal{J}^{\prime}_{\eta_{\mathcal{Y}^{\prime}}}), the d!d!-torsion subsheaf of R1π̊(ι𝒥η𝒴)R^{1}\mathring{\pi}_{*}(\iota_{*}\mathcal{J}^{\prime}_{\eta_{\mathcal{Y}^{\prime}}}), is a constructible sheaf on UU. By [Mil80]*Proposition V.1.8, there exists an open subset VUV\subset U such that R1d!π̊(ι𝒥η𝒴)|V{}_{d!}R^{1}\mathring{\pi}_{*}(\iota_{*}\mathcal{J}^{\prime}_{\eta_{\mathcal{Y}^{\prime}}})|_{V} is locally constant with finite stalks. Thus, there is an étale cover VVV^{\prime}\rightarrow V such that R1d!π̊(ι𝒥η𝒴)|V{}_{d!}R^{1}\mathring{\pi}_{*}(\iota_{*}\mathcal{J}^{\prime}_{\eta_{\mathcal{Y}^{\prime}}})|_{V^{\prime}} is a constant sheaf with stalks isomorphic to a finite group GG. For every vVv\in V^{\prime} and gGg\in G, there exists an étale neighborhood Vv,gVV_{v,g}\rightarrow V^{\prime} of vv such that the element gg of the stalk (d!R1π̊(ι𝒥η𝒴)|V)v¯=G(_{d!}R^{1}\mathring{\pi}_{*}(\iota_{*}\mathcal{J}^{\prime}_{\eta_{\mathcal{Y}^{\prime}}})|_{V^{\prime}})_{\overline{v}}=G is represented by an element of Ev,gH1(Vv,g×U𝒴̊,ι𝒥η𝒴)E_{v,g}\in H^{1}(V_{v,g}\times_{U}\mathring{\mathcal{Y}},\iota_{*}\mathcal{J}^{\prime}_{\eta_{\mathcal{Y}^{\prime}}}). Fix gGg\in G. Then, by quasi-compactness, we may find a finite subcover of {Vv,g|vV}\{V_{v,g}|v\in V^{\prime}\} that covers VV^{\prime}. Thus, we produce a collection of conncted étale schemes V1,,VkV_{1},\ldots,V_{k} over VV^{\prime} and elements EjH1(Vj×U𝒴̊,ι𝒥η𝒴)E_{j}\in H^{1}(V_{j}\times_{U}\mathring{\mathcal{Y}},\iota_{*}\mathcal{J}^{\prime}_{\eta_{\mathcal{Y}^{\prime}}}) such that, for all closed points vVv\in V, restricting each EjE_{j} to 𝒴̊v\mathring{\mathcal{Y}}_{v} gives all elements of ((𝒥v)η𝒴̊v)d!𝒴̊v{}_{d!}{}_{\mathring{\mathcal{Y}}_{v}}((\mathcal{J}^{\prime}_{v})_{\eta_{\mathring{\mathcal{Y}}_{v}}}), by [Gro94]*Lemma 4.7. By Noetherian induction, we can repeat the above argument over UVU\setminus V. Thus, arguing as in the proof of [Gro94]*Theorem 4.3, we obtain a family (over a possibly disconnected base) 𝒳~𝒴~T\tilde{\mathcal{X}}\rightarrow\tilde{\mathcal{Y}}\rightarrow T such that, for every uUu\in U and every element of ((𝒥u)η𝒴̊u)d!𝒴̊u{}_{d!}{}_{\mathring{\mathcal{Y}}_{u}}((\mathcal{J}_{u})_{\eta_{\mathring{\mathcal{Y}}_{u}}}), there is a closed point tTt\in T such that the fibration 𝒳~t𝒴~t\tilde{\mathcal{X}}_{t}\rightarrow\tilde{\mathcal{Y}}_{t} corresponds to such an element. Furthermore, we have that 𝒳~\tilde{\mathcal{X}} and 𝒳~T\tilde{\mathcal{X}}\rightarrow T are smooth. Thus, we conclude that the varieties underlying the pairs in (n,v,Φ(),d)\mathfrak{C}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R}),d) are birationally bounded.
Step 5: In this step we retrieve the birational boundedness of the divisors corresponding to the elements of (n,v,Φ(),d)\mathfrak{C}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R}),d).
In Step 4, the variety 𝒴~\tilde{\mathcal{Y}} together with the morphism 𝒴~T\tilde{\mathcal{Y}}\rightarrow T were constructed by iterated base changes and stratifications of the original base UU. In particular, the simple normal crossing divisor 𝒴Y̊\mathcal{Y}^{\prime}\setminus\mathring{Y} pulls back to 𝒴~\tilde{\mathcal{Y}}. Call this divisor Σ\Sigma, and let Ξ\Xi be its pull-back to 𝒳~\tilde{\mathcal{X}}. Now, recall that 𝒴𝒴\mathcal{Y}^{\prime}\rightarrow\mathcal{Y} is an isomorphism over 𝒴̊\mathring{\mathcal{Y}}. Let 𝒳~t\tilde{\mathcal{X}}_{t} be a closed fiber corresponding to the fibration (X,Δ)(Y,BY+ΔY)(X,\Delta)\rightarrow(Y,B_{Y}+\Delta_{Y}), and let K𝒳~t+Δ~tK_{\tilde{\mathcal{X}}_{t}}+\tilde{\Delta}_{t} denote the crepant pull-back of KX+ΔK_{X}+\Delta to 𝒳~t\tilde{\mathcal{X}}_{t}. Notice that, while 𝒳~tX\tilde{\mathcal{X}}_{t}\dashrightarrow X may not be a morphism, the pull-back is crepant, since KX+Δ,Y0K_{X}+\Delta\sim_{\mathbb{Q},Y}0. Let Σt\Sigma_{t} denote the restriction of Σ\Sigma to 𝒴~t\tilde{\mathcal{Y}}_{t}. Then, every prime component of Δ~t\tilde{\Delta}_{t} or of the exceptional locus of 𝒳~tX\tilde{\mathcal{X}}_{t}\dashrightarrow X that maps to a divisor on 𝒴~t\tilde{\mathcal{Y}}_{t} maps to Σt\Sigma_{t}. Thus, every other component of Δ~t\tilde{\Delta}_{t} or of the exceptional locus of 𝒳~tX\tilde{\mathcal{X}}_{t}\dashrightarrow X is exceptional for 𝒳~t𝒴~t\tilde{\mathcal{X}}_{t}\rightarrow\tilde{\mathcal{Y}}_{t} in the sense of [Lai11]*Definition 2.9. In order to conclude this step, it suffices to show the boundedness of these divisors.
Now, define the closed subset 𝒱𝒴~\mathcal{V}\subset\tilde{\mathcal{Y}} as the set of points yy so that dim(𝒳~y)>1\dim(\tilde{\mathcal{X}}_{y})>1. Let 𝒲\mathcal{W} be the inverse image of 𝒱\mathcal{V} in 𝒳~\tilde{\mathcal{X}} with the reduced structure. Now, we may stratify TT so that 𝒲\mathcal{W} is flat over TT. Thus, the divisors that are exceptional for the morphism 𝒳~t𝒴~t\tilde{\mathcal{X}}_{t}\rightarrow\tilde{\mathcal{Y}}_{t} for some tTt\in T are bounded, as they deform in the divisorial part of 𝒲\mathcal{W}. Call Ω\Omega the reduced divisor obtained as the union of Ξ\Xi and the divisorial part of 𝒲\mathcal{W}. This divisor bounds the strict transform of the support of Δ\Delta and the exceptional divisor of 𝒳~tX\tilde{\mathcal{X}}_{t}\dashrightarrow X as required.
Step 6: In this step we perform some suitable modifications to the birationally bounding family in order to prepare it for the run of a suitable MMP.
In Step 5, we achieved the birational boundedness of the fibrations of interest. In order to retrieve (up to codimension 1 indeterminacy) the fibrations (X,Δ)Y(X,\Delta)\rightarrow Y in (n,v,Φ(R),d)\mathfrak{C}(n,v,\Phi(R),d), we will use that the pairs (X,Δ)(X,\Delta) are good minimal models. Thus, the ultimate goal of the proof is to replace the family (𝒳~,Ω)T(\tilde{\mathcal{X}},\Omega)\rightarrow T constructed in Step 5 with a new family where each fiber is a good minimal model of a fiber of (𝒳~,Ω)T(\tilde{\mathcal{X}},\Omega)\rightarrow T. This final replacement will be performed in Step 7. In this step, we will improve the family constructed in Step 5 to have the additional properties needed to run the MMP in families. In particular, two key properties are needed. First, we need that, if (𝒳~t,Ωt)(\tilde{\mathcal{X}}_{t},\Omega_{t}) corresponds to (X,Δ)(X,\Delta), the rational map 𝒳~tX\tilde{\mathcal{X}}_{t}\dashrightarrow X is a rational contraction. To achieve this, we will use the fact that (X,Δ)(X,\Delta) is ϵ\epsilon-log canonical for a uniform ϵ>0\epsilon>0, and thus this property is guaranteed up to replacing (𝒳~t,Ωt)(\tilde{\mathcal{X}}_{t},\Omega_{t}) with the terminalization of (𝒳~t,(1ϵ2)Ωt)(\tilde{\mathcal{X}}_{t},\left(1-\frac{\epsilon}{2}\right)\Omega_{t}). Secondly, in order to apply [HMX18b]*Theorem 1.9.1 in Step 7, we need for this replacement to occur on the whole family, and for the new birational model of (𝒳~,Ω)T(\tilde{\mathcal{X}},\Omega)\rightarrow T to be log smooth over TT. To this end, we will consider log resolutions and terminalizations of the total space 𝒳~\tilde{\mathcal{X}}, and we will recur to stratifications of TT and Noetherian induction to guarantee that resolutions and terminalizations of the total space restrict to resolutions and terminalizations fiberwise.

Up to a further resolution, we may assume that Ω\Omega is simple normal crossing. In doing so, we include in Ω\Omega the divisors extracted in this process. By Corollary 5.5, each (X,Δ)(X,\Delta) is ϵ\epsilon-log canonical for a fixed ϵ>0\epsilon>0. Thus, we may replace (𝒳~,Ω)(\tilde{\mathcal{X}},\Omega) with a log resolution of the terminalization of (𝒳~,(1ϵ2)Ω)(\tilde{\mathcal{X}},(1-\frac{\epsilon}{2})\Omega). Furthermore, up to a stratification of TT, we may assume that this process induces a terminalization fiberwise. By abusing notation, we call (X,Ω)(X,\Omega) the outcome of this process. This process guarantees that no divisor is contracted by the birational map X𝒳~tX\dashrightarrow\tilde{\mathcal{X}}_{t}. Then, up to a stratification, we may assume that every stratum of Ω\Omega is smooth over TT. Finally, by [Kol13]*Claim 4.38.1, we may perform an étale base change of a stratification of TT so that every prime component of Ω\Omega restrict to a prime divisor fiberwise. This reduction is needed in order to be able to assign coefficients to the divisors Ωt\Omega_{t} with a choice of coefficients for Ω\Omega.
Step 7: In this step we conclude the proof.
Fix (X,Δ)Y(X,\Delta)\rightarrow Y in (n,v,Φ(),d)\mathfrak{C}(n,v,\Phi(\mathcal{R}),d), and let 𝒳~t\tilde{\mathcal{X}}_{t} be the corresponding closed fiber of 𝒳~T\tilde{\mathcal{X}}\rightarrow T. Then, the strict transform of Δ\Delta is supported on Ωt\Omega_{t}. Let Γt\Gamma_{t} be the divisor supported on Ωt\Omega_{t} obtained as follows: it is the sum of the strict transform of Δ\Delta and the divisors that are exceptional for 𝒳~tX\tilde{\mathcal{X}}_{t}\dashrightarrow X, the latter having coefficients 1ϵ21-\frac{\epsilon}{2}. Then, by construction, (X,Δ)(X,\Delta) is a good minimal model for (𝒳~t,Γt)(\tilde{\mathcal{X}}_{t},\Gamma_{t}). Now, let (𝒳~,Γ)(\tilde{\mathcal{X}},\Gamma) be the pair supported on 𝒳~\tilde{\mathcal{X}} whose restriction to 𝒳~t\tilde{\mathcal{X}}_{t} is (𝒳~t,Γt)(\tilde{\mathcal{X}}_{t},\Gamma_{t}) (notice that this process may actually involve just one of the finitely many connected components of 𝒳~\tilde{\mathcal{X}}). Then, by [HMX18b]*Theorem 1.9.1, (𝒳~,Γ)(\tilde{\mathcal{X}},\Gamma) admits a relative good minimal model over TT that induces a good minimal model fiberwise. Furthermore, the relative ample model induces the ample model fiberwise. Call (𝒳^,Γ^)(\hat{\mathcal{X}},\hat{\Gamma}) the minimal model, and let 𝒴^\hat{\mathcal{Y}} be the relative ample model. Then, by [HX13]*Lemma 2.4, (𝒳^t,Γ^t)(\hat{\mathcal{X}}_{t},\hat{\Gamma}_{t}) is isomorphic in codimension one to (X,Δ)(X,\Delta), and 𝒴^t\hat{\mathcal{Y}}_{t} is isomorphic to YY.
Now, notice that 𝒳~T\tilde{\mathcal{X}}\rightarrow T is a morphism of schemes of finite type. In particular, they have finitely many irreducible components. Furthermore, Ω\Omega has finitely many irreducible components. Finally, the possible coefficients involved in the construction of Γt\Gamma_{t} as above are finite. Indeed, Φ()[0,1ϵ]\Phi(\mathcal{R})\cap[0,1-\epsilon] is a finite set. Thus, up to performing all the possible combinations of choices involving irreducible components of 𝒳~\tilde{\mathcal{X}} and all the possible coefficients to assign to Ω\Omega, the above process retrieves every (X,Δ)(X,\Delta) up to isomorphism in codimension one. This implies that there exist schemes of finite type 𝒳¯\overline{\mathcal{X}}, 𝒴¯\overline{\mathcal{Y}} and SS, a reduced divisor ¯\overline{\mathcal{B}} on 𝒳¯\overline{\mathcal{X}}, and projective morphisms (𝒳¯,¯)𝒴¯S(\overline{\mathcal{X}},\overline{\mathcal{B}})\rightarrow\overline{\mathcal{Y}}\rightarrow S that bound in codimension one the pairs (X,Δ)(X,\Delta) and bound the varieties YY. In order to conclude, we need to show that this family also bounds the divisors arising from the canonical bundle formula applied to any (X,Δ)Y(X,\Delta)\rightarrow Y. Up to a stratification of SS, this can be achieved by Corollary 2.12. This concludes the proof. ∎

Proof of Theorem 1.1.

It is immediate from Theorem 6.1 and Theorem 7.2. ∎

References