This paper was converted on www.awesomepapers.org from LaTeX by an anonymous user.
Want to know more? Visit the Converter page.

Investigating the effect of in-plane spin directions for Precessing BBH systems.

Chinmay Kalaghatgi School of Physics and Astronomy, Cardiff    Mark Hannam School of Physics and Astronomy, Cardiff Dipartimento di Fisica, Università di Roma “Sapienza”, Piazzale A. Moro 5, I-00185, Roma, Italy INFN Sezione di Roma, Piazzale A. Moro 5, I-00185, Roma, Italy
(April 4, 2025)
Abstract

In gravitational-wave observations of binary black holes (BBHs), theoretical waveform models are used to infer the black-hole properties. There are several sources of potential systematic errors in these measurements, including due to physical approximations in the models. One standard approximation is to neglect a small asymmetry between the +m+m and m-m spherical-harmonic modes; this is the effect that leads to emission of linear momentum perpendicular to the orbital plane, and can result in large recoils of the final black hole. The asymmetry is determined by both the magnitude and direction of the spin components that lie in the orbital plane. We investigate the validity of this approximation by comparing numerical relativity (NR) simulations of single-spin NR systems with varying in-plane spin directions and magnitudes (including several “superkick” configurations). We find that the mode asymmetry will impact measurements at signal-to-noise ratios (SNRs) between 15 and 80, which is well within current observations. In particular, mode asymmetries are likely to impact measurements at comparable SNRs to those at which we might hope to make the first unambiguous measurements of orbital precession. We therefore expect that models will need to include mode-asymmetry effects to make unbiassed precession measurements.

GW
gravitational-wave

I Introduction

Since the advent of the Advanced LIGO TheLIGOScientific:2014jea and Virgo TheVirgo:2014hva gravitational-wave detectors in 2015, up to October 2019 there have been a total of 50 gravitational wave signals detected which include multiple binary-black hole mergers, binary neutron star mergers and possible neutron-star-black-hole merger LIGOScientific:2018mvr ; Abbott:2020niy ; Nitz_2020 ; Zackay:2019btq ; Venumadhav:2019lyq ; Abbott:2020khf ; LIGOScientific:2020stg ; Abbott:2020uma ; Abbott:2020tfl . The BBH observations have begun to reveal the astrophysical rate of black-hole mergers, and the astrophysical distribution of black-hole masses and spins LIGOScientific:2018jsj ; Abbott:2020mjq ; Abbott:2020gyp . To measure the binary’s properties the detector data are compared against a set of theoretical model waveforms. The accuracy of the measured parameters depends not only on the details of the source, the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) of the signal, and parameter degeneracies, but also on the accuracy of the waveform models. Two families of waveform models, IMRPhenom Khan:2015jqa ; London:2017bcn ; Hannam:2013oca ; Khan:2018fmp ; Pratten:2020fqn ; Pratten:2020ceb and SEOBNR Bohe:2016gbl ; Cotesta:2018fcv ; Pan:2013rra ; Babak:2016tgq ; Taracchini:2013rva , were used to calculate the reported parameters during the first two observation runs. Both rely on several physical approximations, as discussed in, for example, Ref. Ramos-Buades:2020noq . In this paper we test the validity and impact of a subset of those approximations.

Binary-black-hole inspiral is the result of orbital energy and angular momentum loss through gravitational radiation. If the radiation from a binary is decomposed into spin-weighted spherical harmonics, Ym2(θ,ϕ){}^{-2}Y_{\ell m}(\theta,\phi), the signal is dominated by the “quadrupole” contribution in the =2\ell=2 harmonics. Gravitational waves also carry linear momentum, and for nonspinning or aligned-spin binaries (where the black-hole spins 𝐒i\mathbf{S}_{i} are parallel to the orbital angular momentum, 𝐋\mathbf{L}, so that 𝐋×𝐒i=0\mathbf{L}\times\mathbf{S}_{i}=0), the resultant recoil of the center-of-mass within the orbital plane is manifest in the signal through interplay between different multipoles; see, for example, Ref. Herrmann:2007ac . Current aligned-spin binary waveform models that include higher multipoles capture all of these physical effects, with varying degrees of accuracy London:2017bcn ; Garcia-Quiros:2020qpx ; Cotesta:2018fcv . In generic binaries, where the spins are mis-aligned with the orbital angular momentum, the orbital plane and spins precess during the inspiral. Generic binaries also radiate linear momentum perpendicular to the orbital plane. This effect, which shows up in the GW signal through an asymmetry between the +m+m and m-m multipoles, is not present in current precessing SEOBNR Ossokine:2020kjp and IMRPhenom Khan:2019kot models. Although these models include the spin directions while computing the precession dynamics used to generate the precessing waveform, the effect of varying spin directions on the full waveforms remains un-modelled. Our goal is to make a first estimate of the effect of these omissions on GW source parameter measurements.

We begin by describing in more detail the phenomenology of BBH systems, and the construction of generic-binary waveform models.

A BBH system undergoing non-eccentric inspiral can be characterised by eight parameters, the individual masses (mi)(m_{i}), and the components of the two spin vectors (𝐒i)(\mathbf{S}_{i}), specified at some fiducial point during the inspiral, for example a chosen orbital frequency. The GW signal is also parameterised by the binary’s sky-position (α,δ)(\alpha,\delta), inclination (ι)(\iota), coalescence phase (ϕc\phi_{c}), distance (dL)(d_{L}), polarisation (ψ)(\psi) and time of arrival (tc)(t_{c}) at the detector. As noted above, the complex GW strain can be decomposed into spin-weighed spherical harmonics as,

h(t,θ,ϕ)=h+(t)ih×(t)=,mhm(t)2Ym(θ,ϕ),\leavevmode\nobreak\ h(t,\theta,\phi)=h_{+}(t)-ih_{\times}(t)=\sum_{\ell,m}h_{\ell m}(t)\,^{-2}Y_{\ell m}(\theta,\phi), (1)

where (θ,ϕ)(\theta,\phi) give the position of the observer on a sphere centred on the centre-of-mass of the binary.

Based on the black-hole (BH) spin configurations, coalescing BBH systems with spins can be considered to be either:

  • Aligned-Spin: The BH spins are parallel or anti-parallel to 𝐋\mathbf{L}, so 𝐋×𝐒i=0\mathbf{L}\times\mathbf{S}_{i}=0, where i=1,2i=1,2 for each BH. From the symmetries of the system, the BHs orbit in a fixed plane, i.e., the direction of the orbital angular momentum 𝐋^\mathbf{\hat{L}} remains fixed. In the frame where 𝐋^z^\mathbf{\hat{L}}\parallel\hat{z}, symmetry also implies that

    h,m=(1)h,m,h_{\ell,m}=(-1)^{\ell}h_{\ell,-m}^{*}, (2)

    and that any linear momentum emission is perpendicular to 𝐋\mathbf{L}; although the orientation of the orbital plane remains fixed, the center-of-mass can recoil within this plane.

  • Precessing: One or both BHs have non-zero spin components perpendicular to 𝐋^\mathbf{\hat{L}}. We denote the parallel components by 𝐒i\mathbf{S}_{i}^{\parallel} and the perpendicular components by 𝐒i\mathbf{S}_{i}^{\perp}. The presence of 𝐒i\mathbf{S}_{i}^{\perp} causes the orbital plane to precess over the course of the coalescence. This leads to modulations of the amplitude and phase of the waveform. Emission of linear momentum is now also possible perpendicular to the orbital plane, which breaks the symmetry of Eq. (2) between the ±m\pm m multipoles.

As was shown in previous studies Schmidt:2012rh ; Boyle:2011gg ; OShaughnessy:2011pmr , a precessing waveform can be decomposed into the waveform as observed in a co-precessing frame, hCPh^{\mathrm{CP}}, and a time- or frequency-dependent rotation that describes the precessional dynamics. The rotation can be expressed in terms of three Euler angles, (α,β,γ)(\alpha,\beta,\gamma), and the =2\ell=2 modes of the precessing-binary waveform hPh^{\mathrm{P}} constructed as

h2mP=eimαmeimϵdmm2(β)h2mCP,\leavevmode\nobreak\ h^{\mathrm{P}}_{2m}=e^{im\alpha}\sum_{m^{\prime}}e^{-im^{\prime}\epsilon}d^{2}_{mm^{\prime}}(\beta)\,h_{2m^{\prime}}^{\mathrm{CP}}, (3)

where dmm2d^{2}_{mm^{\prime}} denote the =2\ell=2 Wigner-d matrices. In the current precessing models (IMRPhenom and SEOBNR), the co-precessing-frame waveform is based on an underlying non-precessing-binary model (with some modifications), and this procedure preserves its orbital-plane symmetry, Eq. (2). These models therefore do not include the ±m\pm m mode asymmetry of full precessing-binary waveforms.

The magnitude and direction of the out-of-plane angular momentum loss p˙\dot{p}_{\parallel} (and therefore the level of mode asymmetry) is related to the angles between the in-plane spins 𝐒i\mathbf{S}_{i}^{\perp} and the separation vector between the two black holes 𝐧^\mathbf{\hat{n}}, as most easily seen in the PN treatment in Sec. III.E of Ref. PhysRevD.52.821 . During one orbit the spin directions change little, so p˙\dot{p}_{\parallel} oscillates approximately on the orbital timescale. In the “twisted-up” models described above, this effect is not present, and an overall rotation of the spin(s) in the orbital plane introduces only an offset in the precession angle α\alpha, which is degenerate with the azimuthal angle, ϕ\phi, since it enters the spin-weighted spherical harmonics as eimϕe^{im\phi}. The model waveforms are therefore degenerate with respect to a constant rotation of the in-plane spins, while true waveforms include an additional effect that varies sinusoidally with respect to this spin rotation.

Out of plane recoil in the context of mode asymmetries has been discussed in NR simulations in Brugmann:2007zj , and further illustration of the effect in GW signals is shown in Ramos-Buades:2020noq . Earlier studies on in-plane effects on waveforms and/or mode-asymmetries for precessing systems include OShaughnessy:2012iol ; Pekowsky:2013ska ; Boyle:2014ioa .

In this study, we investigate the effects of varying the in-plane spin direction for single-spin precessing NR waveforms for a given combination of mass-ratio and spin. We also consider the special case of the “super-kick” configuration Campanelli:2007cga ; Gonzalez:2007hi ; Brugmann:2007zj : these are equal-spin configurations where the spins lie entirely in the orbital plane, and 𝐒1=𝐒2\mathbf{S}_{1}=-\mathbf{S}_{2}. Due to the symmetry of this configuration, the orbital plane does not precess, but does bob up and down due to linear momentum loss, making this an especially clean system for the study of mode asymmetry. We choose these configurations to estimate the importance of mode-asymmetric content on parameter measurements. Using the waveform with in-plane spin initially aligned to the position vector as a proxy template, we compute matches (see Sec. III.1) against systems with different in-plane spin directions. Using a relationship between the match value and SNR at which two signals are distinguishable, we provide an estimate of the SNR at which mode asymmetries will impact parameter measurements. We also use a selection of waveforms with the same spin direction as the proxy template but with differing in-plane spin magnitude to estimate the relative strength of the effect of varying spin direction versus varying spin magnitude.

For all results, we use only the (=2,m=±2)(\ell=2,m=\pm 2) modes of the waveforms in the co-precessing frame. Higher modes are much weaker than the (=2,|m|=2)(\ell=2,|m|=2) multipoles, but far stronger than the asymmetry contribution to the dominant modes, and we choose to consider only the dominant modes in order to more easily isolate effects due to the mode asymmetry.

The paper is organised as follows. Sec. II provides details of the simulations generated for this study, Sec. III.1 and Sec. III.2 discuss the computation of precessing matches and the connection between the match and detectable SNR respectively. The specific results presented are motivated in Sec. IV with the actual results in Sec. V. The conclusions we draw from this work, and some of its limitations and potential future extensions, are discussed in Sec. VI.

II NR Waveforms

Config q S2\vec{S}_{2} r=D/M\vec{r}=D/M p=p1p2\vec{p}=\vec{p_{1}}-\vec{p_{2}} ωstart(fM)\omega_{start}(fM) ϕSn\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}} θSL\theta_{SL}
q1a08p0sk 1 (0, -0.799, -0.001) ( 0, 11.623, 0) (-0.174, -0.001, 0) 0.0225 0 π/2\pi/2
q1a08p90sk 1 (0.7999, 0, -0.0012) ( 0, 11.623, 0) (-0.174, -0.001, 0) 0.0225 π/2\pi/2 π/2\pi/2
q1a08p180sk 1 (0, 0.7999, -0.0012) ( 0, 11.623, 0) (-0.174, -0.001, 0) 0.0225 π\pi π/2\pi/2
q1a08p270sk 1 (-0.7999, 0, -0.0012) ( 0, 11.623, 0) (-0.174, -0.001, 0) 0.0225 3π/23\pi/2 π/2\pi/2
q2a07p0 2 (-0.001, 0.699, 0.006) ( 0., 10.810, 0. ) (-0.105, -0.001, 0.123) 0.025 0 π/2\pi/2
q2a07p90 2 (-0.451, -0.005, 0.535) ( 0., 10.810, 0. ) (-0.105, -0.001, 0.123) 0.025 π/2\pi/2 π/2\pi/2
q2a07p180 2 (0.006, -0.699, -0.002) ( 0., 10.810, 0. ) (-0.105, -0.001, 0.123) 0.025 π\pi π/2\pi/2
q2a07p270 2 (0.448, -0.005, -0.537) ( 0., 10.810, 0. ) (-0.105, -0.001, 0.123) 0.025 3π/23\pi/2 π/2\pi/2
q4a08p0 4 (0.0007, 0.799, -0.005) ( 0. , 11.486, 0. ) (-0.111, -0.0004, 0.014) 0.0225 0 π/2\pi/2
q4a08p90 4 (-0.793, 0, 0.099) ( 0. , 11.486, 0. ) (-0.111, -0.0005, 0.014) 0.0225 π/2\pi/2 π/2\pi/2
q4a08p180 4 (-0.0007, -0.799, -0.005) ( 0. , 11.486, 0. ) (-0.111, -0.0004, 0.014) 0.0225 π\pi π/2\pi/2
q4a08p270 4 (0.792, 0, -0.110) ( 0. , 11.486, 0. ) (-0.111, -0.0005, 0.0147) 0.0225 3π/23\pi/2 π/2\pi/2
q4a04p0 4 (-0.001, 0.399, -0.00007) ( 0. , 11.486, 0. ) (-0.111, -0.0004, 0.014) 0.0299 0 π/2\pi/2
q2a04p0 2 (-0.00008, 0.3999, -0.0008) ( 0. , 11.6299, 0. ) (-0.153, -0.0009, 0.015) 0.0224 0 π/2\pi/2
q2a08p0 2 (0.0005, 0.799, -0.003) ( 0. , 11.5709, 0. ) (-0.153, -0.0009, -0.0243) 0.023 0 π/2\pi/2
Table 1: Table of NR simulations used for this study. From left to right, the columns show the name of the simulation, the mass-ratio of the system, value of the spin on the larger black hole at the reference frequency, the separation between the black holes at the reference frequency, the total momenta of the system at the reference frequency, the reference frequency at which the simulation starts, and the values of the ϕSn\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}} and θSL\theta_{SL} angles respectively. For the q=1q=1 series, note that 𝐒2=𝐒1\mathbf{S}_{2}=-\mathbf{S}_{1}.

For this study, a set of 12 new NR simulations were performed with the BAM code Husa_2008 ; PhysRevD.77.024027 . Configurations are defined by the mass ratio, q=m2/m1q=m_{2}/m_{1}, where we choose the convention m2>m1m_{2}>m_{1}, and the spin vectors specified at the start of the simulation, 𝐒i\mathbf{S}_{i}. In the unequal-mass simulations, only the larger black hole is spinning, so that 𝐒1=0\mathbf{S}_{1}=0. (We could also assign spin to the secondary black hole, but placing spin on one black hole is sufficient to produce the asymmetry effects that we wish to study.) For these simulations we can completely specify the spin direction at the beginning of the simulation by two angles, i) the angle between the spin vector and angular momentum vector, which we call θSL\theta_{SL}, and ii) the angle between the separation vector (n\vec{n}) and the projection of spin onto the orbital plane (𝐒i\mathbf{S}_{i}^{\perp}), which we call ϕSn\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}. The codes available at the beginning of this study for initial data generation did not allow for user specified (θSL,ϕSn)(\theta_{SL},\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}) values, and so an iterative method was developed for obtaining the required initial parameters for single-spin precessing systems. The initial data generation method is described in detail Appendix. A. Sec. II.1 gives the details of the simulations with the parameters of all the simulations described in Tab: 1.

II.1 Details of the Simulations

The simulations are split into three sets based on the mass-ratio of the system: q=2q=2, q=4q=4 and a super-kick series at q=1q=1.

The q=2q=2 series is a set of four q=2q=2 NR waveforms with a total in-plane spin of (dimensionless) magnitude χ2=S2/m22=0.7\chi_{2}=S_{2}/m_{2}^{2}=0.7, with θSL=π/2\theta_{SL}=\pi/2 and ϕSn\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}} = (0, π/2\pi/2, π\pi, 3π/23\pi/2). For the q=4q=4 series, the spin is χ2=0.8\chi_{2}=0.8, with the same (θSL,ϕSn)(\theta_{SL},\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}) configurations as for the q=2q=2 series.

The q=1q=1 simulations are two-spin systems in the “super-kick” configuration, where both black holes are spinning, with equal and opposite in-plane spins of χi=0.8\chi_{i}=0.8. The super-kick configurations are non-precessing and due to the symmetry of the system, the final recoil is along ±z^\pm\hat{z}.

For the simulation names, the following convention is used: q(mass-ratio of system)a(total spin of system)p(value of ϕSn\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}), following which, the first simulation in the q=2q=2 series is q2a07p0. The angle, θSL\theta_{SL}, between L^\hat{L} and S^\hat{S} is always π/2\pi/2 for these systems, i.e., 𝐒i=0\mathbf{S}_{i}^{\parallel}=0. For the q=1q=1 series waveforms, remember that the total spin satisfies 𝐒1+𝐒2=0\mathbf{S}_{1}+\mathbf{S}_{2}=0, but we follow the above naming convention with ”sk” in subscript for simplicity. We also use three extra NR simulations with different total in-plane spin magnitudes (with same θSL\theta_{SL} and ϕSn=0\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}=0), which are used as comparison cases, and were produced as part of the waveform catalogue presented in Ref. bam_catalogue_paper .

For the q=2q=2 series, once the parameters for the ϕSn=0\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}=0 configuration were obtained, the parameters for the other simulations in the series were obtained simply by rotating the initial spin in the plane; the resulting eccentricities were all within our tolerance. For the q=4q=4 and q=1q=1 series, however, the initial-parameter code was run separately for each value of ϕSn\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}.

Initial momenta consistent with low-eccentricity inspiral were estimated using the PN/EOB evolution code described in Refs. Hannam:2010ec ; Purrer:2012wy ; Husa:2015iqa , with modifications as discussed in Appendix. A. We perform a short simulation of less than 1000M1000M duration, and estimate the eccentricity from the co-ordinate separation, as given in Eq. (3) of Ref. PhysRevD.77.044037 . For the q=2q=2 and q=1q=1 series, the eccentricities were all <5×103<5\times 10^{-3}, and we used the same initial momenta for production simulations. For the q=4q=4 configurations, however, further eccentricity reduction was required.

Ref. Purrer:2012wy describes an efficient procedure to further reduce eccentricity for non-precessing binaries. For the precessing simulations used here, we adopted a simpler procedure: we performed a series of simulations with momenta increased or decreased by multiples of 0.1%, until an eccentricity below our threshold was obtained. Note that the eccentricity for a system with ϕSnϕSn±π\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}\rightarrow\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}\pm\pi has the same value.

BAM’s mesh-refinement scheme is constructed as described in Refs. PhysRevD.77.024027 ; Husa_2008 . In particular, a nested set of boxes centred on each black hole. For each simulation in this series, the boxes around the BHs consisted of 80 points in each direction, with a grid-spacing on the finest level of m1/56m_{1}/56, m1/36m_{1}/36 and m1/44m_{1}/44 for the q=1q=1, q=2q=2 and q=4q=4 series respectively. Further details of the grid setups are provided in Ref. bam_catalogue_paper . For two of the cases (q2a07p0 and q2a07p90), we performed higher-resolution runs with 96-point boxes, and a finest-level resolution of m1/48m_{1}/48. Using these two waveforms, we computed the match between the different resolution runs over a range of (θ,ϕ)(\theta,\phi) values (see Eq. (1)) using only the l=2l=2 modes (as these are the modes used throughout the paper). We find that over the range of (θ,ϕ)(\theta,\phi) values considered, we obtain matches of \sim 0.9995 - 0.99995. This shows that using the 96 point runs will not qualitatively change our results, but we will discuss this in more detail in Sec. IV; see discussion pertaining to Fig. 1.

III Analysis methods

This section provides the details of the match computation procedure employed for computing matches between the various precessing waveforms and the connection between the match and the SNR at which the template and signal can be distinguished from each other. This is the primary method we use to interpret the results in Sec. V.

III.1 Match computations

For the given physical system (with fixed intrinsic parameters), the detector response is uniquely determined by the system’s sky-position, inclination (ι\iota), coalescence-phase (ϕc\phi_{c}), polarisation (ψ\psi) and time of arrival (tct_{c}). The level of agreement between two gravitational waveforms can be ascertained by computing the match, \mathcal{M}, between the two waveforms. A value of \mathcal{M} = 1 implies the waveforms are in perfect agreement. The smaller the value of \mathcal{M}, the larger the disagreement between the two waveforms.

For a GW source directly overhead the detector, i.e., (α,δ)=(0,0)(\alpha,\delta)=(0,0), the real valued detector response (hdet(t,λ)h_{det}(t,\vec{\lambda})), in terms of the two gravitational wave polarisations is,

hdet(t,λ)=h+cos(2ψ)+h×sin(2ψ)=Re[h(t,λ)e2iψ],\leavevmode\nobreak\ h_{det}(t,\vec{\lambda})=h_{+}\mathrm{cos}(2\psi)+h_{\times}\mathrm{sin}(2\psi)=\mathrm{Re}\left[h(t,\vec{\lambda})e^{2i\psi}\right], (4)

with h+h_{+} and h×h_{\times} as defined in Eq. (1). Here, due to (α,δ)=(0,0)(\alpha,\delta)=(0,0), the individual detector response depends only on ψ\psi.

For precessing systems, the match between the signal (h~s(f)\tilde{h}_{s}(f)) and template (h~t\tilde{h}_{t}) waveform is given by Schmidt:2014iyl ,

max𝜎hs~(f)hs~(f)|ht(f)~ht(f)~=Mhs(f)~N1N2cos(σn+2σm)N12N22.\leavevmode\nobreak\ \begin{split}\underset{\sigma}{\max}\left<\frac{\tilde{h_{s}}(f)}{||\tilde{h_{s}}(f)||}\middle|\ \frac{\tilde{h_{t}(f)}}{||\tilde{h_{t}(f)}||}\right>=\frac{M}{||\tilde{h_{s}(f)}||}\sqrt{\frac{N_{1}-N_{2}\mathrm{cos}(\sigma_{n}+2\sigma_{m})}{N_{1}^{2}-N_{2}^{2}}}.\end{split} (5)

where,

N1=|ht~(f)|2Sn(|f|)df,N2eiσn=ht~(f)ht~(f)Sn(|f|)df.N_{1}=\int_{-\infty}^{\infty}\frac{|\tilde{h_{t}}(f)|^{2}}{S_{n}(|f|)}\mathrm{d}f,\hskip 5.69054ptN_{2}e^{i\sigma_{n}}=\int_{-\infty}^{\infty}\frac{\tilde{h_{t}}(f)\tilde{h_{t}}(-f)}{S_{n}(|f|)}\mathrm{d}f. (6)

and

Meiσm=h~t(f)Sn(|f|)[h~s(f)e2iψ+h~s(f)e2iψ],\leavevmode\nobreak\ Me^{i\sigma_{m}}=\int_{-\infty}^{\infty}\frac{\tilde{h}^{*}_{t}(f)}{S_{n}(|f|)}\left[\tilde{h}_{s}(f)e^{2i\psi}+\tilde{h}^{*}_{s}(-f)e^{-2i\psi}\right], (7)

Given a template and signal waveform with given signal polarisation, Eq. (5)-Eq. (7) give the match optimized over template polarisation. For further details on computation of match as above, see Appendix B of Ref. Schmidt:2014iyl .

For the match computations in this study, the ϕSn=0\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}=0 system from each of the q=1q=1, q=2q=2 and q=4q=4 series of NR simulations is used as the proxy template with the other waveforms in each corresponding series as the signal waveforms. For the match computations, the signal is recomposed from only the =2\ell=2 modes using Eq. (1) and Eq. (4). Each signal is uniquely defined by its inclination θs\theta^{s}, phase ϕs\phi^{s}, and polarisation ψs\psi^{s}. (Note that we are considering a single detector network with the sky-position of the system exactly overhead the detector. Hence the angles (θ,ϕ)(\theta,\phi) can be interpreted as the inclination and phase with respect to the detector.) For each unique signal, the match is maximised over the template (θt,ϕt,ψt)(\theta^{t},\phi^{t},\psi^{t}). A total mass of 100M100M_{\odot} is used for both signals and templates, PSD used is the aLIGOZeroDetHighPower PSD from LALSimulation package of LALSuite and the match is computed with (fmin,fmax)(f_{min},f_{max})\in (20, 600) Hz.

For each system, the signals (θs,ϕs\theta^{s},\phi^{s}) are isotropically distributed over a sphere with 30 points in θs\theta^{s} and 25 points in ϕs\phi^{s}. For each signal (θs,ϕs\theta^{s},\phi^{s}), we choose four values of ψs[0,π/2)\psi^{s}\in[0,\pi/2) and then maximise the match over the template (θt,ϕt,ψt\theta^{t},\phi^{t},\psi^{t}). The match maximisation procedure goes through the following four steps,

  • Isotropically grid the template (θt,ϕt)(\theta^{t},\phi^{t}) space over the sphere with 41 points in θt\theta^{t} and 81 points in ϕt\phi^{t}.

  • For each value of template θit\theta^{t}_{i}, we compute the match across template ϕjt\phi^{t}_{j}. For each (θit,ϕjt\theta^{t}_{i},\phi^{t}_{j}) combination, the code gives the match optimized over template ψt\psi^{t}.

  • For each θit\theta^{t}_{i}, the match is interpolated over the ϕjt\phi^{t}_{j} values, from which the maximum match over ϕt\phi^{t} for each θit\theta^{t}_{i} is obtained.

  • Thus, we get a set of match values across the template θit\theta^{t}_{i} values, which are then interpolated to obtain the maximum match over template (θt,ϕt,ψt)(\theta^{t},\phi^{t},\psi^{t}).

The choice of 41×\times81 grid for the template waveforms for match maximisation was chosen by balancing the i) accuracy of final result and ii) computational time required for each match computation. Using a few random signal (θ,ϕ)(\theta,\phi) values, we found that doubling the grid size changed the results by at most 5%5\% while doubling the computational cost.

III.2 Confidence intervals from match values

Given two waveforms close to each other in the parameter space, i.e., h1(λ1)h_{1}(\vec{\lambda_{1}}) and h2(λ2)h_{2}(\vec{\lambda_{2}}) such that λ1λ2\vec{\lambda_{1}}\sim\vec{\lambda_{2}}, where we have the SNR (ρ\rho) of the signals and the match ()\mathcal{M}) between the two, both waveforms will have consistent posterior distributions within 90% confidence interval of each other if,

[h1,h2]1χk2(1p)2ρ2.\mathcal{M}[h_{1},h_{2}]\geq 1-\frac{\chi_{k}^{2}(1-p)}{2\rho^{2}}. (8)

Alternatively, two waveforms would be distinguishable from each other if the posteriors recovered for the two have different confidence intervals. So, given a match value, the above gives us a condition for the SNR (ρc\rho_{c}) at which the waveforms would be distinguishable,

ρcχk2(1p)2(1).\leavevmode\nobreak\ \rho_{c}\geq\sqrt{\frac{\chi_{k}^{2}(1-p)}{2(1-\mathcal{M})}}. (9)

For the systems under consideration, there are a total of 7 parameters which can be varied and hence, k=7k=7. At k=7k=7 for 90% confidence intervals, χk2(1p)=12.02\chi_{k}^{2}(1-p)=12.02.

Refer to caption
Figure 1: The left, middle and right columns show ρc\rho_{c} for signals q1a08p180sk, q2a07p180, and q4a08p180 as seen by templates q1a08p0sk, q2a07p0 and q4a08p0 respectively, across the signal θ\theta space. For each signal θ\theta, the match is computed with the template at θ+π\theta+\pi, over a range of ϕ\phi values, and the black, dashed-red and blue lines show the minimum, mean and maximum match (ρc\rho_{c}) across the ϕ\phi space. We observe a larger variation of ρc\rho_{c} for the q=2q=2 and q=4q=4 cases as compared to the q=1q=1 due to presence of non-zero subdominant modes, (l,ml,m) = (2,1), (2,0) and (2,-1).

See Ref. Baird:2012cu for a detailed discussion for the condition used above, although previous studies Flanagan:1997kp ; Lindblom:2008cm ; McWilliams:2010eq ; Cho:2012ed ; Chatziioannou:2017tdw have used similar definitions to determine the distinguishability/accuracy requirements of gravitational waveforms. As was pointed out in Ref. Purrer:2019jcp , the equality in Eq. (9) is a sufficient, but not always a necessary condition, to determine the accuracy between two waveforms. For a given signal and template waveform with maximum match \mathcal{M} and corresponding ρc\rho_{c}, if the signal ρ<ρc\rho<\rho_{c}, biases due to detector noise will dominate biases due to model systematics. Alternatively, if the opposite is true, biases may arise during parameter inference and so, the above equality is a conservative estimate of accuracy requirements. Hence, using the set of match values computed from Sec. III.1 for each system and Eq. (9), we can then estimate the SNR (ρc)(\rho_{c}) at which the signal system could be distinguished by the proxy template.

IV Organisation of results

In subsequent sections we study the SNR (ρc\rho_{c}) at which configurations with differing spin directions or spin magnitudes are distinguishable, as defined by Eq. (9). In this section we make some general comments on the accuracy of ρc\rho_{c} for our simulations, some general properties of the waveforms with respect to changes in the in-plane spin direction, ϕSn\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}, and examine how ρc\rho_{c} varies with respect to different binary orientations. This motivates the way we will present our results for the remainder of this paper.

Let us first discuss accuracy. As reported in Sec. II, the matches between the 80- and 96-point runs (for q2a07p0 and q2a07p90) are \sim0.9995 - 0.99995, which translates to ρc\rho_{c} between 110 and 350. This suggests that we can identify two waveforms as indistinguishable up to SNRs of at least 110. We also computed the matches between the ϕSn=0,π/2\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}=0,\pi/2 systems using the corresponding 80- and 96-point waveforms over a range of (θ,ϕ)(\theta,\phi) values, and found that the relative error between them is 𝒪(0.05%)\mathcal{O}(0.05\%). These numbers suggest that although we should be cautious when interpreting very large values of ρc\rho_{c}, we expect the qualitative behaviour of the matches to remain unchanged with more accurate simulations.

Given the accuracy limits of our simulations, we are now in a position to study how the waveforms vary with respect to different initial directions of the in-plane spin. We begin by noting an approximate symmetry between systems with a ϕSn\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}} difference of π\pi. An in-plane spin rotation of π\pi corresponds to flipping the direction of the out-of-plane recoil, and therefore we would expect that the signal from a system with a given value of ϕSn\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}} to be identical to that from a system with ϕSn+π\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}+\pi, if observed from the opposite side of the orbital plane, i.e., with θθ+π\theta\rightarrow\theta+\pi. We have verified that the optimal match is indeed found when θtemplate(θsignal+π\theta_{\mathrm{template}}\approx(\theta_{\mathrm{signal}}+\pi). In Fig. 1 we plot the ρc\rho_{c} across signal θ\theta for a range of signal ϕ\phi for which \mathcal{M} is computed with (θtemplate,ϕtemplate)=(θsignal+π,ϕsignal)(\theta_{\mathrm{template}},\phi_{\mathrm{template}})=(\theta_{\mathrm{signal}}+\pi,\phi_{\mathrm{signal}}) and the match is optimized only over template ψ\psi. The ρc100\rho_{c}\geq 100 for all ϕSn=π\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}=\pi signals for the q=1q=1 and q=2q=2 systems, with the ρc50\rho_{c}\geq 50 for each θsignal\theta_{\mathrm{signal}} for q=4q=4 system. We do not observe an exact symmetry (i.e., a mismatch of zero), because in the q=1q=1 and q=4q=4 systems, we did not simply rotate the spin between each configuration, but instead calculated initial parameters individually for each value of ϕSn\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}, so these do not form a one-parameter family. Even with rotated spins within a series, as in the q=2q=2 series, we have not changed the momenta; we would expect even lower mismatches if the out-of-plane momenta, in the initial data, had been reflected in the orbital plane between the ϕSn\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}} and ϕSn+π\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}+\pi configurations.

Refer to caption
Figure 2: Top Panel : Difference in the β\beta Euler-angle (in radians) between the ϕSn=0,π/2\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}=0,\pi/2 (Blue) and ϕSn=0,π\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}=0,\pi (Red) configurations of the q=2,χ=0.7q=2,\chi=0.7 system. Bottom Panel : The same as above, but for the q=4,χ=0.8q=4,\chi=0.8 system. The legend gives the mass-ratio and spin of signal waveform and the parameter varied between the signal and template waveform. For both systems, Δβ\Delta\beta is small during late-inspiral, with the majority of differences arising near merger.
Refer to caption
Refer to caption
Figure 3: The left and right panels show the contour plot of ρc\rho_{c} for the signal q2a07p90 and q4a08p90 as seen by template q2a07p0 and q4a08p0 respectively over the signal (θ,ϕ)(\theta,\phi) values with the label on the right of each plot showing the values of ρc\rho_{c}. See text for further discussion.

When we rotate the initial in-plane spin direction ϕSn\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}, this will, by definition, rotate the initial orbital angular momentum about the total angular momentum, i.e., a change in the α\alpha Euler angle in Eq. (3). But we do not expect it to have a significant impact on the opening angle β\beta between the orbital and total angular momenta, at least during the inspiral. In Fig. 2 we plot the differences in the β\beta Euler angle for the q=2q=2 and q=4q=4 systems with differences in ϕSn\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}} of π/2\pi/2 and π\pi. We can see that Δβ0\Delta\beta\sim 0 for q=2q=2, but rises to a few 𝒪(1)\sim\mathcal{O}(1^{\circ}) for q=4q=4; this is consistent with our expectation as the construction of the q=2q=2 series configurations better represent the symmetry. We note that in comparing the ϕSn=0\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}=0 and ϕSn=π/2\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}=\pi/2 configurations, there is a clear difference in β\beta during the merger and ringdown.

We now wish to estimate how easily two configurations can be distinguished for different choices of binary orientation, (θ,ϕ)(\theta,\phi). In all of these comparisons, we average ρc\rho_{c} over four choices of waveform polarisation. As mentioned in Sec. III.1, for each signal system we have (25×30×4=300025\times 30\times 4=3000) match values and the SNR for each. To average across different choices of signal polarisation, ψs\psi^{s}, we follow Refs. Khan:2018fmp ; Harry:2017weg ; Buonanno:2002fy and average the match for each (θs,ϕs)(\theta^{s},\phi^{s}) across the signal polarisation ψs\psi^{s} by weighting them with their SNR. This approximately accounts for the likelihood of the signal being detected. This SNR-averaged match is defined as,

¯=(iρi3i3iρi3)1/3,\leavevmode\nobreak\ \overline{\mathcal{M}}=\left(\frac{\sum_{i}\rho_{i}^{3}\mathcal{M}_{i}^{3}}{\sum_{i}\rho_{i}^{3}}\right)^{1/3}, (10)

where the sum is over all four signal polarisation values. So, for a given system, we have 750 values of the SNR averaged match.

Fig. 3 shows contour plots of the variation of ρc\rho_{c} across the signal (θ,ϕ)(\theta,\phi) for the q2a07p90 and q4a08p90 signals as seen by the q2a07p0 and q4a08p0 systems respectively, where the match at each (θ,ϕ)(\theta,\phi) point is maximised over template (θ,ϕ,ψ)(\theta,\phi,\psi) and then averaged over the signal ψ\psi values using Eq. (10) and ρc\rho_{c} is computed using Eq. (9). For these systems with ϕSn\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}} differences of π/2\pi/2, the major contribution to the mismatch would be from a combination of their slightly different precession motion (as seen from Fig. 2) and mode-asymmetry behaviour. For the q=2q=2 system, 20ρc7220\lesssim\rho_{c}\lesssim 72, whereas for the q=4q=4 system, 11ρc3211\lesssim\rho_{c}\lesssim 32. Precession effects are more pronounced at edge-on than face-on inclination, so the lower ρc\rho_{c} for q2a07p90 at θπ/2\theta\sim\pi/2 is expected. For q4a08p90, this behaviour seems to reverse (higher ρc\rho_{c} at edge-on compared to face-on). In Sec. V.3, we remove the mode-asymmetry from the waveforms and compute the matches between the symmetrized waveforms for the ϕSn=π/2\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}=\pi/2 signals as seen by ϕSn=0\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}=0 template. For the q=2q=2 system, the band of low ρc\rho_{c} near edge-on inclination broadens for all ϕ\phi and for the q=4q=4 system, the peaks of high ρc\rho_{c} shift slightly away from near edge-on inclinations with an overall increase in ρc\rho_{c} for both cases. This implies that the behaviour of ρc\rho_{c} across the (θ,ϕ\theta,\phi) space can be strongly affected by mode-asymmetric content for these systems.

We see from Fig. 3 that there is a wide variation in the SNR at which these configurations would be distinguishable, depending on their orientation to the detector. Also, the exact way in which precessional motion and mode-asymmetry affect distinguishability over the (θ,ϕ)(\theta,\phi) space is hard to characterize. For the main results in this paper, we find it more instructive to use a measure that would give an idea of the variation of ρc\rho_{c} across all orientations. For a given signal and template configuration, we define the quantity Γ(ρ)\Gamma(\rho) which gives the percentage of signals distinguishable at a given SNR by the template. This quantity can be defined formally as,

Γ(ρ)=100len(𝒮id2:id1[ρc<ρ])len(𝒮id2:id1),\leavevmode\nobreak\ \Gamma(\rho)=100\frac{\text{len}(\mathcal{S}_{\text{id2}:\text{id1}}[\rho_{c}<\rho])}{\text{len}(\mathcal{S}_{\text{id2}:\text{id1}})}, (11)

where 𝒮id2:id1[ρc<ρ]\mathcal{S}_{\text{id2}:\text{id1}}[\rho_{c}<\rho] is the set of all signals with distinguishability SNR (ρc\rho_{c}) smaller than a given SNR value (ρ\rho) and 𝒮id2:id1\mathcal{S}_{\text{id2}:\text{id1}} is the set of all the available signals. In the following sections, this cumulative measure of the fraction of signal distinguishable at a given SNR or lower, will be used as our main tool to quantify the differences between binary configurations.

V Results

We now consider in detail the distinguishability of our NR configurations. To reiterate, for each system at a given mass-ratio, the ϕSn=0\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}=0 system is used as the proxy template waveform. For the results hence, compared to the proxy templates, the signals either have a different spin direction or the magnitude. Also, due to the approximate symmetry between the ϕSn±π\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}\pm\pi systems, the results for the ϕSn=3π/2\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}=3\pi/2 and ϕSn=π/2\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}=\pi/2 are very similar, and hence, we will only present results for the ϕSn=π/2\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}=\pi/2 systems.

Template Signal Average Match ρc\rho_{c}
q=2,χ=0.7,ϕSn=0q=2,\chi=0.7,\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}=0 ϕSn+π/2\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}+\pi/2 0.9983 60
“q2a07p0” ϕSn+π\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}+\pi 0.9999 250
χ+0.1\chi+0.1 0.9983 60
χ0.3\chi-0.3 0.9952 36
q=4,χ=0.8,ϕSn=0q=4,\chi=0.8,\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}=0 ϕSn+π/2\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}+\pi/2 0.9811 17
“q4a08p0” ϕSn+π\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}+\pi 0.9997 143
χ0.4\chi-0.4 0.9936 30
q=1,χ=0.8,ϕSn=0q=1,\chi=0.8,\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}=0 ϕSn+π/2\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}+\pi/2 0.9981 57
“q1a08p0sk ϕSn+π\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}+\pi 0.9998 197
Table 2: Match and distinguishability SNR ρc\rho_{c} between different configurations, averaged over all (θ,ϕ,ψ)(\theta,\phi,\psi) values. We consider three template waveforms (left), and a variety of different signals. See text for further discussion.

We first summarise the main differences that we observe between the different configurations, by averaging the match and distinguishability SNR ρc\rho_{c} over all 3000 orientations and polarisations. The results are shown in Tab. 2. We see that variations in the in-plane spin direction can be distinguishable at an SNR of 60, and sometimes as low as \sim20. Similarly, waveforms from systems with different spin magnitudes can be distinguishable are SNRs of \sim60 for spin differences on the order of 0.1. These results encapsulate the two key conclusions we derive from this study: differences in the waveforms between configurations with different in-plane spin directions may be measurable with observations in the near future (the highest BBH SNR to date has been GW150914, with an SNR of \sim24 TheLIGOScientific:2016pea ), and the SNRs at which in-plane spin magnitudes could be measured are comparable to those at which the spin direction will also impact the results. This strongly suggests that waveform changes due to the in-plane spin direction (beyond an overall offset in the precession angle α\alpha) need to be included in waveform models.

These remainder of this paper considers these results in more detail, and we also attempt to isolate the physical effects that lead to these waveform differences.

In Sec V.1 we compare the full NR waveforms (using all the =2\ell=2 multipoles). This allows us to identify the range of SNRs in which the configurations with different choices of ϕSn\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}} will be distinguishable, and to compare this with the effect of changing the in-plane spin magnitude.

We then attempt to isolate the causes of these differences. In Sec. V.2, we transform the waveforms into the co-precessing frame (where modes with |m|<20|m|<2\approx 0) and study the matches between the waveform with symmetrized (l,|m|)=(2,2)(l,|m|)=(2,2) modes for ϕSn±π/2\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}\pm\pi/2 systems. This allows us to estimate the distinguishability of two waveforms when both precession and mode-asymmetry effects are muted, due primarily to small differences in the inspiral rate and merger-ringdown differences. These co-precessing-frame symmetrized modes are then transformed back to the inertial frame and Sec. V.3 presents the results of analysis with those waveforms. These results estimate the impact of neglecting mode-asymmetry on the distinguishability of precessing-binary waveforms.

V.1 Full waveform analysis

The key results of this work are shown in Fig. 4. The figure shows the percentage of signals with different spin direction (top panel) or magnitude (bottom panel) that will be distinguishable below a given SNR with the corresponding ϕSn=0\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}=0 template for the q=1,2,4q=1,2,4 systems. In the legend, we mention the mass-ratio and spin of the signal waveform and the parameter varied between the signal and template waveform. Unless mentioned otherwise, for all plots hence, systems with q=1,2,4q=1,2,4 are colour coded with Red, Black and Blue respectively.

For the q=1q=1 super-kick configurations, the detectability between ϕSn±π/2\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}\pm\pi/2 systems is due to asymmetric radiation of gravitational modes. The detectable SNRs for these super-kick systems, 45ρc8045\lesssim\rho_{c}\lesssim 80, are in the possible range of ground based detectors, but will be rare; we expect less than one in every hundred signals to have such high SNRs. The recoil velocities for the q=1q=1 waveforms used here are \sim 700 km/s (ϕSn=0\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}=0) and \sim 2700 km/s (ϕSn=π/2\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}=\pi/2). For systems with lower spins (and hence lower recoil velocities), we can expect larger values of ρc\rho_{c}, meaning that these differences will be more difficult to measure. These results are consistent with those presented in Refs. Varma:2020nbm ; Lousto:2019lyf .

Refer to caption
Figure 4: Γ(ρ)\Gamma(\rho) as defined in Eq. (11). Top panel: q=1,2,4q=1,2,4 systems with ϕSn\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}} differences of π/2\pi/2. Lower panel: q=2,4q=2,4 systems with different spin values. The results for q=1q=1, q=2q=2 and q=4q=4 are shown in Red, Black and Blue respectively. The solid lines show the results for systems with ϕSn\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}} differences of π/2\pi/2 and the same χp\chi_{p}, the dashed-lines show the results for large χp\chi_{p} differences (0.3 for q=2q=2 and 0.4 for q=4q=4) with the same ϕSn\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}, and the dotted-dashed for small χp\chi_{p} differences (0.1 for q=2q=2) with the same ϕSn\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}. See text for further details.

The ρc\rho_{c} for the q=2q=2 systems with ϕSn=π/2\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}=\pi/2 are in the range of 20ρc7520\lesssim\rho_{c}\lesssim 75, and for q=4q=4 they are 12ρc<3512\lesssim\rho_{c}<35. Given that GW signals have already been observed with SNRs as high as 30 TheLIGOScientific:2017qsa , and the detection threshold is at an SNR of approximately 10, these are well within the range of current ground-based detectors. We emphasize that these results do not mean we can necessarily measure, for example, the spin direction at the frequency when the signal enters the detector’s sensitivity band; this quantity may be degenerate with other physical properties. However, they do indicate that systems with different values of ϕSn\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}} can be distinguished from each other, and if we do not take into account the effects on the waveform of varying ϕSn\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}} (as in current Phenom and EOB models), then these differences will manifest themselves in biases in at least one physical parameter for sufficiently strong signals.

We might expect that the effect of ϕSn\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}} on measurements will be far smaller than that of the spin magnitude. The lower panel of Fig. 4 shows that this is not necessarily the case. For example, the q=2q=2 system with χp\chi_{p} of 0.8, the distinguishability SNRs are in the range 30ρc8030\lesssim\rho_{c}\lesssim 80. A change in the spin of 0.1 is therefore, in general, slightly more difficult to distinguish than a change in the in-plane spin direction of π/2\pi/2. A change in the spin magnitude of 0.3 (for the q=2q=2, χp=\chi_{p}= 0.4 system) is distinguishable at SNRs in the range 25ρc4525\lesssim\rho_{c}\lesssim 45. As we can see by comparing with the upper panel, this is comparable to the distinguishability of a spin rotation of π/2\pi/2. In the q=4q=4 configurations, we see that a spin change of 0.4 (between 0.8 and 0.4) is distinguishable in the SNR range 13ρc<3513\lesssim\rho_{c}<35, again comparable to what we see for a spin rotation. These results suggest that the SNRs at which in-plane spin magnitudes become measurable are also the SNRs at which changes in the waveform due to spin rotations also become measurable. As noted above, this study cannot tell us which physical measurements will be biassed by models that neglect mode asymmetries or changes in the binary dynamics, but our results raise the possibility that accurate measurements of precessing systems, i.e., of black-hole spins, will not be possible without the inclusion of some or all of these effects in waveform models.

For the q=2q=2 and q=4q=4 systems with different spin directions, we observe a slight difference in the merger times, mode-asymmetric content as well as precessional dynamics (as can be seen from the Δβ\Delta\beta plot in Fig: 2). These differences are the main reason for distinguishability of systems with different spin directions. These effects will become weaker for lower spins, but one should bear in mind that precession effects and black-hole spins will also become more difficult to measure Fairhurst:2019srr . As such, we expect these results to be largely independent of spin magnitude. A more important caveat on these results is that they are restricted to signals of total mass of 100 MM_{\odot}. For lower-mass systems we expect the mode asymmetries to contribute less to the SNR, and therefore to have less impact. We leave a study of the impact of mode asymmetries on parameter measurements to future work.

V.2 QA frame symmetrized waveform analysis

Refer to caption
Figure 5: This plot shows the ρc\rho_{c} computed from the match (\mathcal{M}) between the symmetrized QA frame waveforms for the q=2q=2, q=4q=4 systems (solid-black, solid-blue respectively) and symmetrized q=1q=1 waveforms (solid-red), with varying values of the upper cutoff frequency in fmaxf_{max} for the match calculation. The legend follows the same naming convention as Fig: 4.

As mentioned previously, for the q=2q=2 and q=4q=4 systems with different ϕSn\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}, the mismatches are primarily due to differences in their precessional motion (i.e., differences in the (α,β,ϵ)(\alpha,\beta,\epsilon) angles) and mode-asymmetric content. In this section our aim is to remove, as much as possible, the precession and mode-asymmetry effects, and to quantify the impact of all other effects (inspiral rate and merger-ringdown behaviour). We transform the q=2q=2 and q=4q=4 waveforms into the co-precessing frame (specifically, the quadrupole-aligned, “QA”, frame Schmidt:2012rh ; Boyle:2011gg ; OShaughnessy:2011pmr ) using Eq. (3). This minimises modulations due to precession. In this frame the dominant power is in the (=2,|m|=2)(\ell=2,|m|=2) harmonics. We then symmetrise these harmonics, to remove the effects of mode asymmetries. In terms of the QA frame modes (hlmQA)(h_{lm}^{QA}), the symmetric waveform in the QA frame (h22QA,symm)(h_{22}^{QA,symm}) is defined as,

h22QA,symm=12(h22QA+h2,2QA),\leavevmode\nobreak\ h_{22}^{QA,symm}=\frac{1}{2}\left(h_{22}^{QA}+h_{2,-2}^{*QA}\right), (12)

where hl,mh^{*}_{l,m} is the complex conjugate of the mode. Using this, we can define the (2,2)(2,-2) mode as, h2,2QA,symm=h2,2QA,symmh_{2,-2}^{QA,symm}=h_{2,2}^{*QA,symm}, using the relation hm=(1)h,mh_{\ell m}=(-1)^{\ell}h^{*}_{\ell,-m}. Doing this for the q=2q=2 and q=4q=4 systems removes the precession modulations and mode-asymmetry. As the super-kick simulations are non-precessing, those waveforms are symmetrized in the inertial frame using Eq. (12).

Matches calculated between symmetrised QA (2,2)(2,2) modes are independent of orientation and polarisation, so the averaging that we performed previously is no longer necessary. Between the ϕSn±π/2\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}\pm\pi/2 configurations at mass ratios q=1,2,4q=1,2,4, the indistinguishability SNRs are now 120, 90 and 30, respectively. If we contrast these with the top panel of Fig. 4, we see that for the q=2q=2 and q=4q=4 cases, differences in the signal phase make a noticeable contribution to the indistinguishability SNR. In Fig. 5 we show ρc\rho_{c} over a range of fmaxf_{max} values. Fig. 6 shows the q=2q=2 series waveforms in time and frequency domain, to illustrate where these choices of fmaxf_{max} occur during the binaries’ coalescence. These figures show that, as we might expect, most of the disagreement between the waveforms accumulates during merger and ringdown.

Refer to caption
Figure 6: In the top [bottom] panel, we plot the q2a07p0 (blue) and q2a07p90 (black) time [frequency] domain QA frame symmetrized waveforms. For the top panel, the dashed lines show the time at which the waveform has a specific frequency used as fmaxf_{max} value for Fig: 5. For the bottom panel, the dashed lines show the position of that frequency with respect to the frequency domain waveform. Frequency values of (50, 100, 200, 300, 400) are given in dashed (red, blue, black, green, gray) lines respectively.

These results should be taken with a few caveats. As already mentioned, for the q=2q=2 waveforms obtained with 80- and 96-point resolutions, over the θ\theta space, the match lies between 0.9995 - 0.99995 which translates to ρc\rho_{c} of \sim 110 - 345. So, although the QA frame symmetrized matches are close to the minimum match due to NR uncertainties, over the majority of the θ\theta space, the QA frame symmetrized results should hold even for more accurate NR waveforms. For the q=4q=4 system, to obtain the low eccentricity parameters, the momenta between the ϕSn=0,π/2\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}=0,\pi/2 systems are slightly different, which could be one of the sources of disagreement between the QA-frame symmetrized waveforms. However, the similarity of the trends of the match vs fmaxf_{max} for all three systems indicate that the above results should hold within these uncertainties.

V.3 Inertial frame symmetrized waveform analysis

We now transform the symmetrized QA frame waveforms to the inertial frame using Eq. (3) and the corresponding (α,β,ϵ)(\alpha,\beta,\epsilon) angles for each system. This is similar to how current waveform models construct the precessing waveforms in the inertial frame, i.e., they transform a model for the corresponding aligned-spin QA frame waveform to the inertial frame using a model for the precession Euler angles. Using these waveforms, we perform the same analysis as in Sec. V.1 and plot the Γ(ρ)\Gamma(\rho) quantity in Fig. 7. Note, that for the q=1q=1 system, the symmetrized waveform matches will be the same as presented in Fig. 5 and we will not discuss that system here.

Refer to caption
Figure 7: Γ(ρ)\Gamma(\rho) from matching waveforms symmetrized in the QA-frame and then transformed back to the inertial frame. The systems q2a07p90 (solid-black), q2a08p0 (dashed-dotted -black), q2a04p0 (dashed-black) are matched with the q2a07p0 proxy template. The q4a08p90 (solid-blue) and q4a04p0 (dashed-blue) systems are matched with q4a08p0 template. The legend shows the mass-ratio and spin of signal and the difference in the relevant parameter with respect to the template.

We consider first the two ϕSn=π/2\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}=\pi/2 configurations for the q=2q=2 and q=4q=4 systems. Between the symmetrized q2a07 systems, the distinguishability SNR is 25ρc11525\lesssim\rho_{c}\lesssim 115. Between the symmetrized q4a08 systems, the distinguishability SNR is 25ρc6025\lesssim\rho_{c}\lesssim 60. In both cases, this is significantly higher than for the waveforms with mode-asymmetry included, and the range is either side of the value for the symmetrized QA-frame waveforms. In particular, we see that the presence of asymmetries makes the q2a07 cases distinguishable at SNRs as low as 20, and the q4a08 cases distinguishable at SNRs as low as 10, while, if the asymmetries did not exist, they would not be distinguishable for SNRs lower than \sim30.

If we now consider the distinguishability between configurations with different spin magnitudes, comparing Figs. 4 and 7, we see a similar effect. Although for q=2q=2 configurations the ρc\rho_{c} for different spin magnitudes show an overall increase, a few of the signals with a χp\chi_{p} difference of 0.1 are now easier to distinguish than a χp\chi_{p} difference of 0.3. The most pronounced effect is for q=4q=4 configurations, where the spin difference of 0.4 is now easier to distinguish than the rotation of the spin.

Refer to caption
Figure 8: Γ(ρ)\Gamma(\rho) from matching signal waveforms with both precession and mode-asymmetry against symmetrized template waveforms. Here, the full waveform ϕSn=π/2\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}=\pi/2 signal and ϕSn=0\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}=0 signal as seen by the symmetrized ϕSn=0\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}=0 template are shown by the dashed and dotted lines respectively. The legend shows the mass-ratio and spin of signal and the difference in the relevant parameter with respect to the template. Where no parameter difference is mentioned, it shows the result for the signal with both precession and mode-asymmetry against its symmetrized self.

Neither of the previous analyses reflects the scenario of current GW measurements, where the signals correspond to “full” waveforms, i.e, signals with both precession and mode-asymmetry, and they are analysed using models that correspond approximately to the symmetrized waveforms of the previous analysis. In order to estimate the impact of using symmetrized models in analysis, Fig. 8 shows Γ(ρ)\Gamma(\rho) for the ϕSn=0,π/2\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}=0,\pi/2 full waveform signals matched against the symmerized inertial frame ϕSn=0\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}=0 templates for the q=1q=1, q=2q=2 and q=4q=4 simulations. We observe that for ϕSn=π/2\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}=\pi/2, it is generally easier for the symmetrized template to distinguish the signal as compared to the full waveform templates. This effect is very strong for the q=1q=1 super-kick cases where the distinguishability SNR reduces by almost 20 for all signals. We also see that removing the mode-asymmetric content leads to large mis-matches between waveforms of the same systems causing the full ϕSn=0\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}=0 signal to be distinguishable from the symmetrized ϕSn=0\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}=0 template at moderate (10<ρc<40)(10<\rho_{c}<40) SNRs for all mass ratios. All these results indicate that the absence of mode asymmetries in current models will lead to measurement biases in these systems. We expect that even for comparable-mass systems, if the total mass is high (>100M>100\,M_{\odot}) and the in-plane spins are high, systematic errors are likely to be significant.

In Tab. 3, we list the SNR averaged match values over all the signal (θ,ϕ,ψ)(\theta,\phi,\psi) values to provide one single number for the distinguishability of the signal. We can see that when both signal and templates are symmetrized, for all systems, the agreement between the waveforms increases leading to larger distinguishability SNR. When symmetrized waveform templates are matched with full waveform signals, we see an overall decrease in the distinguishability SNR. Even when both the signal and template systems are the same, with symmetrized templates, ρc\rho_{c} is comparable to that of ϕSn±π/2\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}\pm\pi/2 results.

Template Signal Signal Effects Template Effects Average Match ρc\rho_{c}
ϕSn+π/2\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}+\pi/2 Full Full 0.9983 60
ϕSn+π/2\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}+\pi/2 Symmetrized Symmetrized 0.9991 83
ϕSn+π/2\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}+\pi/2 Full Symmetrized 0.9954 36
q=2,χ=0.7,ϕSn=0q=2,\chi=0.7,\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}=0 ϕSn+0\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}+0 Full Symmetrized 0.9969 44
“q2a07p0” χ+0.1\chi+0.1 Full Full 0.9983 60
χ+0.1\chi+0.1 Symmetrized Symmetrized 0.9986 65
χ0.3\chi-0.3 Full Full 0.9952 36
χ0.3\chi-0.3 Symmetrized Symmetrized 0.9969 44
ϕSn+π/2\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}+\pi/2 Full Full 0.9811 18
ϕSn+π/2\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}+\pi/2 Symmetrized Symmetrized 0.9935 30
q=4,χ=0.8,ϕSn=0q=4,\chi=0.8,\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}=0 ϕSn+π/2\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}+\pi/2 Full Symmetrized 0.9737 15
“q4a08p0” ϕSn+0\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}+0 Full Symmetrized 0.9785 16
χ0.4\chi-0.4 Full Full 0.9936 30
χ0.4\chi-0.4 Symmetrized Symmetrized 0.9942 32
q=1,χ=0.8,ϕSn=0q=1,\chi=0.8,\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}=0 ϕSn+π/2\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}+\pi/2 Full Full 0.9981 57
“q1a08p0sk ϕSn+π/2\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}+\pi/2 Full Symmetrized 0.9882 22
ϕSn+0\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}+0 Full Symmetrized 0.9934 30
Table 3: The SNR averaged match, Eq. (10), over all the (θ,ϕ,ψ)(\theta,\phi,\psi) values for the systems considered in this study. From left to right, the columns state the template waveform configuration, difference in the relevant parameter between the template and signal waveform, signal effects (full waveform or symmetrized), teamplate effects (full waveform or symmetrized), average match value and corresponding SNR respectively, using Eq. (9). See text for further discussion.

VI Conclusions

We have investigated when changes in the in-plane spin direction of binary-black-hole systems, the effects of which are not included in current Phenom and EOB models, will be distinguishable in GW measurements. To do that, we use a set of NR simulations obtained from the BAM code (see Tab. 1). We quantify the distinguishability of systems with different choices of in-plane spin direction ϕSn\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}} by calculating matches between them. This approach allows us to estimate the SNR at which the signals will be distinguishable. Our study is restricted to a small number of configurations at mass ratios q=1,2,4q=1,2,4, and large in-plane spin magnitudes of 0.7 and 0.8, with two configurations with moderate in-plane spin of 0.4. All of our calculations are performed on systems with total mass 100M100\,M_{\odot}.

Changes in ϕSn\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}} have several effects on the binary dynamics and the waveform. One effect that we discuss in detail is the asymmetry between the ±m\pm m waveform modes. Another is small changes in the phasing of the binary, and in the merger and ringdown signal. By removing asymmetry and/or precession effects from our waveforms, we show that all of these effects contribute to the waveform variations between different choices of ϕSn\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}. When mode-asymmetries are muted, the distinguishability SNR ρc\rho_{c} for all the systems (different ϕSn\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}} and different χp\chi_{p}) show a marked increase across the (θ,ϕ\theta,\phi) space (see Fig. 7). Disregarding mode asymmetries increases ρc\rho_{c} by factors of 1.51.9\sim 1.5-1.9 between systems of different ϕSn\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}, indicating that this is a significant feature of these waveforms.

Our main results are shown in Sec. V.1, and show that for large in-plane spins, variations in ϕSn\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}} will be distinguishable at moderate SNRs. More importantly, these effects will influence measurements at SNRs comparable to those at which in-plane spin magnitudes become measurable. For example, in the q=2q=2 systems we considered, a change in spin magnitude of 0.3 will be distinguishable at a comparable SNR to a change in spin direction of π/2\pi/2. This effect will be reduced for smaller spins, but so will our ability to measure the spin magnitude. Precession effects and in-plane spin magnitude, typically captured by the parameter χp\chi_{p}, have not yet been identified in individual observations Fairhurst:2019srr . Our results suggest that when they are, the absence of in-plane spin direction effects in the modelling could lead to significant parameter biases. We plan to study the impact on parameter estimation in future work.

There are a number of questions that require further work. We have limited ourselves to small number of configurations, and to one choice of total mass. We have also neglected the effect of >2\ell>2 modes, which also impact parameter estimation for systems with mass ratios of q2q\geq 2 Kalaghatgi:2019log . The impact of changes in ϕSn\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}, and the importance of mode asymmetries, also needs to be studied for systems with lower masses, where the inspiral contributes more power to the waveform, with mode-asymmetric effects being weaker but with a larger number of precessional cycles. However, in order to fully understand the importance of these physical effects, we require models that include them, which can then be used in parameter-estimation studies. This work has provided strong evidence that these effects must be taken into account in order to make unbiassed physical measurements from GW observations, and therefore already provide a strong motivation for such modelling. This has already been done for the surrogate models described in Refs. Blackman:2017pcm ; Varma:2019csw . Since these models are valid only for high-mass systems and a limited range of mass ratios, it would be advantageous to be extended to other classes of model.

VII Acknowledgements

We thank Frank Ohme and Sebastian Khan for useful discussions. We thank Edward Fauchon-Jones, Eleanor Hamilton, Charlie Hoy and Dave Yeeles for their help in performing the comparison cases NR simulations.

This work was supported by Science and Technology Facilities Council (STFC) grant ST/L000962/1, European Research Council Consolidator Grant 647839. We are grateful for computational resources provided by Cardiff University, and funded by an STFC grant supporting UK Involvement in the Operation of Advanced LIGO.

Numerical simulations were performed on the DiRAC@Durham facility managed by the Institute for Computational Cosmology on behalf of the STFC DiRAC HPC Facility (www.dirac.ac.uk). The equipment was funded by BEIS capital funding via STFC capital grants ST/P002293/1, ST/R002371/1 and ST/S002502/1, Durham University and STFC operations grant ST/R000832/1. DiRAC is part of the National e-Infrastructure.

Appendix A Initial data generation

For this study, we required singe-spin precessing NR waveforms with user specified (θSL,ϕSn)(\theta_{SL},\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}) at a given reference frequency MωorbM\omega_{orb}. Over the course of inspiral, the spin vectors of a precessing system oscillate about a mean value with the oscillation frequency increasing as system nears merger Schmidt:2014iyl . An iterative method was required to ensure the required spin direction at the given reference frequency. The code used for solving the PN equations was one which was used for BAM NR waveforms as used in Hannam:2010ec ; Schmidt:2012rh ; Husa:2015iqa . The method developed for initial data generation is as below. The PN evolution is started in the J\vec{J} aligned to z^\hat{z} frame with L\vec{L} being the Newtonian angular momentum.

The angle between the spin vector and angular momentum vector, (θSL)(\theta_{SL}), varies not more than1\sim 1^{\circ} over the inspiral phase. Hence, once (θSL)(\theta_{SL}) is specified, further iteration is not required To obtain the required ϕSn\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}, the algorithm goes through the following steps:

Step 1:

This step consists of two iterations.

Iteration 1: Initially, both the BHs are placed along the x-axis with a given separation, the orbital plane is the xx-yy plane, and the initial spin (𝐒ini\mathbf{S}_{ini}) parallel to n^\hat{n}. The spin vector is then rotated to obtain the required θSL\theta_{SL} and the PN evolution code is run until MωorbM\omega_{orb} is reached. We record the time when the specified orbital frequency is reached (t0t_{0}), the value of ϕSn(t)\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}(t) at t0t_{0} [ϕSn(t0)\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}(t_{0})], the closest time to t0t_{0} at which ϕSn(t)=ϕSntarget\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}(t)=\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}^{target}, which is denoted t1t_{1}, and finally the relative frequency error (ωerr\omega_{err}) between the orbital frequencies at t0t_{0} and t1t_{1}. If, at this iteration, ϕSn\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}} at t0t_{0} is not ϕSntarget\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}^{target} or if ωerr\omega_{err} is larger than a pre-specified threshold (ωerrF\omega_{err}^{F}), the value of ϕSnt1\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}^{t_{1}} is recorded; we call this ϕSn1\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}^{1}. Each iteration hence also stores the value ϕSnt0,i\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}^{t_{0},i}. For these simulations, we use ωerrF=1%\omega_{err}^{F}=1\%

Iteration 2: During iteration 2, 𝐒ini\mathbf{S}_{ini} is rotated to obtain the required θSL\theta_{SL} and then further rotated by (ϕSn1-\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}^{1}) about the zz-axis, and then the PN solver is again run. If the conditions specified in Iteration 1 are met (ωerr<ωerrF\omega_{err}<\omega_{err}^{F} & ϕSnt1\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}^{t_{1}} = ϕSntarget\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}^{target}) then the parameters at t1t_{1} are recorded. If not, we would ideally simply repeat the process. However, since ϕSn\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}} changes on the (rapid) orbital timescale, the value of ϕSn\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}} at the NR reference frequency is very sensitive to the choice at the beginning of the PN evolution, and so this procedure is not well-conditioned to fine-tune ϕSn\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}. We instead proceed to Step Two, and store the value of ϕSnt1\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}^{t_{1}} of this iteration as ϕSn2\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}^{2}.

Step 2: Depending on the parameters, this step can consist of one or multiple iterations. For each iteration, 𝐒ini\mathbf{S}_{ini} is rotated to obtain the required θSL\theta_{SL} and then by the specified ϕrot-\phi_{rot} about z^\hat{z}.

Iteration 3: For each iteration hence, we define a angle correction parameter, ϕcorr\phi_{corr}. ωerrωerrF\omega_{err}-\omega_{err}^{F} gives an idea of how close we are to the required initial parameters and value of ϕcorr\phi_{corr} is based on that. If, ωerrωerrF>12ωerrF\omega_{err}-\omega_{err}^{F}>\frac{1}{2}\omega_{err}^{F}, then ϕcorr=10o\phi_{corr}=10^{o}, else ϕcorr=5o\phi_{corr}=5^{o} and then ϕrot=ϕSn2+ϕcorr\phi_{rot}=\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}^{2}+\phi_{corr}. Using these angles, the spin is rotated and PN solver is run. Again, the value of ϕSnt1\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}^{t_{1}} of this iteration as ϕSn3\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}^{3}.

Iteration n>3>3 : First, we check if ϕSn3>ϕSn2\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}^{3}>\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}^{2}. If so, the initial spin is being rotated in the wrong direction and for each subsequent iteration, ϕrot=ϕSn2(n3)×ϕcorr\phi_{rot}=\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}^{2}-(n-3)\times\phi_{corr}, if not, ϕrot=ϕSn2+(n2)×ϕcorr\phi_{rot}=\phi_{\mathrm{Sn}}^{2}+(n-2)\times\phi_{corr}. Thus, we brute force the initial direction of 𝐒ini\mathbf{S}_{ini} until the required direction of 𝐒\mathbf{S} is obtained at the reference frequency.

To apply this procedure with a higher tolerance, one should reduce ϕcorr\phi_{corr} in subsequent iterations. For the simulations produced here, no more than two or three iterations in Step Two were required.

References

  • (1) J. Aasi et al., “Advanced LIGO,” Class. Quant. Grav., vol. 32, p. 074001, 2015.
  • (2) F. Acernese et al., “Advanced Virgo: a second-generation interferometric gravitational wave detector,” Class. Quant. Grav., vol. 32, no. 2, p. 024001, 2015.
  • (3) B. P. Abbott et al., “GWTC-1: A Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalog of Compact Binary Mergers Observed by LIGO and Virgo during the First and Second Observing Runs,” 2018.
  • (4) R. Abbott et al., “GWTC-2: Compact Binary Coalescences Observed by LIGO and Virgo During the First Half of the Third Observing Run,” 10 2020.
  • (5) A. H. Nitz, T. Dent, G. S. Davies, S. Kumar, C. D. Capano, I. Harry, S. Mozzon, L. Nuttall, A. Lundgren, and M. Tápai, “2-OGC: Open gravitational-wave catalog of binary mergers from analysis of public advanced LIGO and virgo data,” The Astrophysical Journal, vol. 891, p. 123, mar 2020.
  • (6) B. Zackay, L. Dai, T. Venumadhav, J. Roulet, and M. Zaldarriaga, “Detecting Gravitational Waves With Disparate Detector Responses: Two New Binary Black Hole Mergers,” 10 2019.
  • (7) T. Venumadhav, B. Zackay, J. Roulet, L. Dai, and M. Zaldarriaga, “New binary black hole mergers in the second observing run of Advanced LIGO and Advanced Virgo,” Phys. Rev. D, vol. 101, no. 8, p. 083030, 2020.
  • (8) R. Abbott et al., “GW190814: Gravitational Waves from the Coalescence of a 23 Solar Mass Black Hole with a 2.6 Solar Mass Compact Object,” Astrophys. J., vol. 896, no. 2, p. L44, 2020.
  • (9) R. Abbott et al., “GW190412: Observation of a Binary-Black-Hole Coalescence with Asymmetric Masses,” 4 2020.
  • (10) B. Abbott et al., “GW190425: Observation of a Compact Binary Coalescence with Total Mass 3.4M\sim 3.4M_{\odot},” Astrophys. J. Lett., vol. 892, no. 1, p. L3, 2020.
  • (11) R. Abbott et al., “GW190521: A Binary Black Hole Merger with a Total Mass of 150M150\leavevmode\nobreak\ M_{\odot},” Phys. Rev. Lett., vol. 125, no. 10, p. 101102, 2020.
  • (12) B. Abbott et al., “Binary Black Hole Population Properties Inferred from the First and Second Observing Runs of Advanced LIGO and Advanced Virgo,” Astrophys. J. Lett., vol. 882, no. 2, p. L24, 2019.
  • (13) R. Abbott et al., “Properties and astrophysical implications of the 150 Msun binary black hole merger GW190521,” Astrophys. J. Lett., vol. 900, p. L13, 2020.
  • (14) R. Abbott et al., “Population Properties of Compact Objects from the Second LIGO-Virgo Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalog,” 10 2020.
  • (15) S. Khan, S. Husa, M. Hannam, F. Ohme, M. Pürrer, X. Jiménez Forteza, and A. Bohé, “Frequency-domain gravitational waves from nonprecessing black-hole binaries. II. A phenomenological model for the advanced detector era,” Phys. Rev., vol. D93, no. 4, p. 044007, 2016.
  • (16) L. London, S. Khan, E. Fauchon-Jones, C. García, M. Hannam, S. Husa, X. Jiménez-Forteza, C. Kalaghatgi, F. Ohme, and F. Pannarale, “First higher-multipole model of gravitational waves from spinning and coalescing black-hole binaries,” Phys. Rev. Lett., vol. 120, no. 16, p. 161102, 2018.
  • (17) M. Hannam, P. Schmidt, A. Bohé, L. Haegel, S. Husa, F. Ohme, G. Pratten, and M. Pürrer, “Simple Model of Complete Precessing Black-Hole-Binary Gravitational Waveforms,” Phys. Rev. Lett., vol. 113, no. 15, p. 151101, 2014.
  • (18) S. Khan, K. Chatziioannou, M. Hannam, and F. Ohme, “Phenomenological model for the gravitational-wave signal from precessing binary black holes with two-spin effects,” Phys. Rev., vol. D100, no. 2, p. 024059, 2019.
  • (19) G. Pratten, S. Husa, C. Garcia-Quiros, M. Colleoni, A. Ramos-Buades, H. Estelles, and R. Jaume, “Setting the cornerstone for a family of models for gravitational waves from compact binaries: The dominant harmonic for nonprecessing quasicircular black holes,” Phys. Rev. D, vol. 102, no. 6, p. 064001, 2020.
  • (20) G. Pratten et al., “Let’s twist again: computationally efficient models for the dominant and sub-dominant harmonic modes of precessing binary black holes,” 4 2020.
  • (21) A. Bohé et al., “Improved effective-one-body model of spinning, nonprecessing binary black holes for the era of gravitational-wave astrophysics with advanced detectors,” Phys. Rev., vol. D95, no. 4, p. 044028, 2017.
  • (22) R. Cotesta, A. Buonanno, A. Bohé, A. Taracchini, I. Hinder, and S. Ossokine, “Enriching the Symphony of Gravitational Waves from Binary Black Holes by Tuning Higher Harmonics,” Phys. Rev., vol. D98, no. 8, p. 084028, 2018.
  • (23) Y. Pan, A. Buonanno, A. Taracchini, L. E. Kidder, A. H. Mroué, H. P. Pfeiffer, M. A. Scheel, and B. Szilágyi, “Inspiral-merger-ringdown waveforms of spinning, precessing black-hole binaries in the effective-one-body formalism,” Phys. Rev., vol. D89, no. 8, p. 084006, 2014.
  • (24) S. Babak, A. Taracchini, and A. Buonanno, “Validating the effective-one-body model of spinning, precessing binary black holes against numerical relativity,” Phys. Rev., vol. D95, no. 2, p. 024010, 2017.
  • (25) A. Taracchini et al., “Effective-one-body model for black-hole binaries with generic mass ratios and spins,” Phys. Rev., vol. D89, no. 6, p. 061502, 2014.
  • (26) A. Ramos-Buades, P. Schmidt, G. Pratten, and S. Husa, “Validity of common modeling approximations for precessing binary black holes with higher-order modes,” Phys. Rev. D, vol. 101, no. 10, p. 103014, 2020.
  • (27) F. Herrmann, I. Hinder, D. Shoemaker, P. Laguna, and R. A. Matzner, “Gravitational recoil from spinning binary black hole mergers,” Astrophys. J., vol. 661, pp. 430–436, 2007.
  • (28) C. García-Quirós, M. Colleoni, S. Husa, H. Estellés, G. Pratten, A. Ramos-Buades, M. Mateu-Lucena, and R. Jaume, “IMRPhenomXHM: A multi-mode frequency-domain model for the gravitational wave signal from non-precessing black-hole binaries,” 1 2020.
  • (29) S. Ossokine et al., “Multipolar Effective-One-Body Waveforms for Precessing Binary Black Holes: Construction and Validation,” 4 2020.
  • (30) S. Khan, F. Ohme, K. Chatziioannou, and M. Hannam, “Including higher order multipoles in gravitational-wave models for precessing binary black holes,” Phys. Rev. D, vol. 101, no. 2, p. 024056, 2020.
  • (31) P. Schmidt, M. Hannam, and S. Husa, “Towards models of gravitational waveforms from generic binaries: A simple approximate mapping between precessing and non-precessing inspiral signals,” Phys. Rev., vol. D86, p. 104063, 2012.
  • (32) M. Boyle, R. Owen, and H. P. Pfeiffer, “A geometric approach to the precession of compact binaries,” Phys. Rev., vol. D84, p. 124011, 2011.
  • (33) R. O’Shaughnessy, B. Vaishnav, J. Healy, Z. Meeks, and D. Shoemaker, “Efficient asymptotic frame selection for binary black hole spacetimes using asymptotic radiation,” Phys. Rev., vol. D84, p. 124002, 2011.
  • (34) L. E. Kidder, “Coalescing binary systems of compact objects to (post)5/2{)}^{5/2}-newtonian order. v. spin effects,” Phys. Rev. D, vol. 52, pp. 821–847, Jul 1995.
  • (35) B. Bruegmann, J. A. Gonzalez, M. Hannam, S. Husa, and U. Sperhake, “Exploring black hole superkicks,” Phys. Rev., vol. D77, p. 124047, 2008.
  • (36) R. O’Shaughnessy, L. London, J. Healy, and D. Shoemaker, “Precession during merger: Strong polarization changes are observationally accessible features of strong-field gravity during binary black hole merger,” Phys. Rev. D, vol. 87, no. 4, p. 044038, 2013.
  • (37) L. Pekowsky, R. O’Shaughnessy, J. Healy, and D. Shoemaker, “Comparing gravitational waves from nonprecessing and precessing black hole binaries in the corotating frame,” Phys. Rev. D, vol. 88, no. 2, p. 024040, 2013.
  • (38) M. Boyle, L. E. Kidder, S. Ossokine, and H. P. Pfeiffer, “Gravitational-wave modes from precessing black-hole binaries,” 2014.
  • (39) M. Campanelli, C. O. Lousto, Y. Zlochower, and D. Merritt, “Maximum gravitational recoil,” Phys. Rev. Lett., vol. 98, p. 231102, 2007.
  • (40) J. A. Gonzalez, M. D. Hannam, U. Sperhake, B. Bruegmann, and S. Husa, “Supermassive recoil velocities for binary black-hole mergers with antialigned spins,” Phys. Rev. Lett., vol. 98, p. 231101, 2007.
  • (41) S. Husa, J. A. González, M. Hannam, B. Brügmann, and U. Sperhake, “Reducing phase error in long numerical binary black hole evolutions with sixth-order finite differencing,” Classical and Quantum Gravity, vol. 25, p. 105006, may 2008.
  • (42) B. Brügmann, J. A. González, M. Hannam, S. Husa, U. Sperhake, and W. Tichy, “Calibration of moving puncture simulations,” Phys. Rev. D, vol. 77, p. 024027, Jan 2008.
  • (43) E. Fauchon-Jones, C. Kalaghatgi, E. Hamilton, D. Yeeles, C. Hoy, M. Hannam, A. Vano-Vinuales, J. Thompson, L. T. London, and S. Khan, “Bam catalogue of binary black hole simulations,” 2020, In preparation.
  • (44) M. Hannam, S. Husa, F. Ohme, D. Muller, and B. Bruegmann, “Simulations of black-hole binaries with unequal masses or nonprecessing spins: Accuracy, physical properties, and comparison with post-Newtonian results,” Phys. Rev. D, vol. 82, p. 124008, 2010.
  • (45) M. Purrer, S. Husa, and M. Hannam, “An Efficient iterative method to reduce eccentricity in numerical-relativity simulations of compact binary inspiral,” Phys. Rev. D, vol. 85, p. 124051, 2012.
  • (46) S. Husa, S. Khan, M. Hannam, M. Pürrer, F. Ohme, X. Jiménez Forteza, and A. Bohé, “Frequency-domain gravitational waves from nonprecessing black-hole binaries. I. New numerical waveforms and anatomy of the signal,” Phys. Rev., vol. D93, no. 4, p. 044006, 2016.
  • (47) S. Husa, M. Hannam, J. A. González, U. Sperhake, and B. Brügmann, “Reducing eccentricity in black-hole binary evolutions with initial parameters from post-newtonian inspiral,” Phys. Rev. D, vol. 77, p. 044037, Feb 2008.
  • (48) P. Schmidt, F. Ohme, and M. Hannam, “Towards models of gravitational waveforms from generic binaries II: Modelling precession effects with a single effective precession parameter,” Phys. Rev., vol. D91, no. 2, p. 024043, 2015.
  • (49) E. Baird, S. Fairhurst, M. Hannam, and P. Murphy, “Degeneracy between mass and spin in black-hole-binary waveforms,” Phys. Rev. D, vol. 87, no. 2, p. 024035, 2013.
  • (50) E. E. Flanagan and S. A. Hughes, “Measuring gravitational waves from binary black hole coalescences: 2. The Waves’ information and its extraction, with and without templates,” Phys. Rev. D, vol. 57, pp. 4566–4587, 1998.
  • (51) L. Lindblom, B. J. Owen, and D. A. Brown, “Model Waveform Accuracy Standards for Gravitational Wave Data Analysis,” Phys. Rev. D, vol. 78, p. 124020, 2008.
  • (52) S. T. McWilliams, B. J. Kelly, and J. G. Baker, “Observing mergers of non-spinning black-hole binaries,” Phys. Rev. D, vol. 82, p. 024014, 2010.
  • (53) H.-S. Cho, E. Ochsner, R. O’Shaughnessy, C. Kim, and C.-H. Lee, “Gravitational waves from black hole-neutron star binaries: Effective Fisher matrices and parameter estimation using higher harmonics,” Phys. Rev. D, vol. 87, no. 2, p. 024004, 2013.
  • (54) K. Chatziioannou, A. Klein, N. Yunes, and N. Cornish, “Constructing Gravitational Waves from Generic Spin-Precessing Compact Binary Inspirals,” Phys. Rev., vol. D95, no. 10, p. 104004, 2017.
  • (55) M. Pürrer and C.-J. Haster, “Ready for what lies ahead? – Gravitational waveform accuracy requirements for future ground based detectors,” Phys. Rev. Res., vol. 2, no. 2, p. 023151, 2020.
  • (56) I. Harry, J. Calderón Bustillo, and A. Nitz, “Searching for the full symphony of black hole binary mergers,” Phys. Rev., vol. D97, no. 2, p. 023004, 2018.
  • (57) A. Buonanno, Y.-b. Chen, and M. Vallisneri, “Detecting gravitational waves from precessing binaries of spinning compact objects: Adiabatic limit,” Phys. Rev., vol. D67, p. 104025, 2003. [Erratum: Phys. Rev.D74,029904(2006)].
  • (58) B. Abbott et al., “Binary Black Hole Mergers in the first Advanced LIGO Observing Run,” Phys. Rev. X, vol. 6, no. 4, p. 041015, 2016. [Erratum: Phys.Rev.X 8, 039903 (2018)].
  • (59) V. Varma, M. Isi, and S. Biscoveanu, “Extracting the Gravitational Recoil from Black Hole Merger Signals,” Phys. Rev. Lett., vol. 124, no. 10, p. 101104, 2020.
  • (60) C. O. Lousto and J. Healy, “Kicking gravitational wave detectors with recoiling black holes,” Phys. Rev., vol. D100, no. 10, p. 104039, 2019.
  • (61) B. Abbott et al., “GW170817: Observation of Gravitational Waves from a Binary Neutron Star Inspiral,” Phys. Rev. Lett., vol. 119, no. 16, p. 161101, 2017.
  • (62) S. Fairhurst, R. Green, M. Hannam, and C. Hoy, “When will we observe binary black holes precessing?,” 8 2019.
  • (63) C. Kalaghatgi, M. Hannam, and V. Raymond, “Parameter estimation with a spinning multimode waveform model,” Phys. Rev. D, vol. 101, no. 10, p. 103004, 2020.
  • (64) J. Blackman, S. E. Field, M. A. Scheel, C. R. Galley, C. D. Ott, M. Boyle, L. E. Kidder, H. P. Pfeiffer, and B. Szilágyi, “Numerical relativity waveform surrogate model for generically precessing binary black hole mergers,” Phys. Rev., vol. D96, no. 2, p. 024058, 2017.
  • (65) V. Varma, S. E. Field, M. A. Scheel, J. Blackman, D. Gerosa, L. C. Stein, L. E. Kidder, and H. P. Pfeiffer, “Surrogate models for precessing binary black hole simulations with unequal masses,” 2019.