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Embers of Active Galactic Nuclei: Tidal Disruption Events and Quasi-periodic Eruptions

Ning Jiang [email protected] CAS Key Laboratory for Research in Galaxies and Cosmology, Department of Astronomy, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei 230026, People’s Republic of China School of Astronomy and Space Sciences, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei 230026, People’s Republic of China Zhen Pan [email protected] Tsung-Dao Lee Institute, Shanghai Jiao-Tong University, Shanghai, 520 Shengrong Road, 201210, People’s Republic of China School of Physics & Astronomy, Shanghai Jiao-Tong University, Shanghai, 800 Dongchuan Road, 200240, People’s Republic of China Tsung-Dao Lee Institute, School of Physics and Astronomy, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Key Laboratory for Particle Physics, Astrophysics and Cosmology (Ministry of Education), Shanghai Key Laboratory for Particle Physics and Cosmology, 800 Dongchuan Road, Shanghai, 200240, P.R. China
Abstract

Recent observations have confirmed the direct association between tidal disruption events (TDEs) and quasi-periodic eruptions (QPEs). In addition, TDE hosts and QPE hosts are statistically found to be similar in their morphological properties and in the strong overrepresentation of post-starburst galaxies. Particularly, both of them show an intriguing preference for extending emission line regions (EELRs), which are indicative of recently faded active galactic nuclei (AGNs). This further suggests that QPEs might be produced following TDEs involving supermassive black holes at a particular stage, when the AGN activity has recently ceased. Moreover, in the framework of “QPEs=EMRI+accretion disk” model, a large fraction of QPE EMRIs are inferred to be quasi-circular from the QPE timing, indicating that they are wet EMRIs that were formed in the AGN disk during a previous AGN phase. Based on these facts, we propose a unified scenario that connects these three phenomena: AGN activities boost both the TDE rate and the formation rate of low-eccentricity EMRIs, consequently TDEs are preferentially found in recently faded AGNs instead of in on-going AGNs due to selection effects, and QPEs are also preferentially found in recently faded AGNs where TDEs frequently feed a misaligned accretion disk to the EMRI.

Supermassive black holes (1663), Tidal disruption (1696), Active galactic nuclei (16); High energy astrophysics (739); Time domain astronomy (2109)

1 Introduction

In the past decade, advancements in survey technologies across various wavelengths have resulted in a fast increasing detection rate of rare transient events associated with supermassive black holes (SMBHs) located in the centers of galaxies. They include stellar tidal disruption events (TDEs, see Gezari 2021 as a review), changing-look active galactic nuclei (AGNs, LaMassa et al. 2015) and X-ray quasi-periodic eruptions (QPEs, Miniutti et al. 2019). Among them the physical origin of QPEs is particularly puzzling due to their fascinating observational properties and rarity, with about 10 QPE sources having been reported so far (Sun et al., 2013; Miniutti et al., 2019; Giustini et al., 2020; Arcodia et al., 2021, 2022, 2024; Chakraborty et al., 2021; Evans et al., 2023; Guolo et al., 2024; Nicholl et al., 2024). A significant progress very recently is the direct detection of QPEs following a confirmed optical TDE AT2019qiz (Nicholl et al., 2024), indicating that at least some (if not all) QPEs are firmly connected with TDEs. Such a connection was previously tentatively observed in the first QPE source GSN 069 (Miniutti et al., 2019) although it is not a standard TDE with optical spectroscopic identification yet with evidence in its long-term X-ray light curve (Shu et al., 2018) and abnormal nitrogen-enriched gas implied by its UV and X-ray spectra (Sheng et al., 2021; Kosec et al., 2025). In addition, the QPE-TDE association also appears in some other sources prior to AT 2019qiz, although it is not as conclusive, due to a lack of clear confirmation of QPE, i.e. AT 2019vcb (Quintin et al., 2023), or TDE, i.e. XMMSL1 J024916.6-041244 (Chakraborty et al., 2021). Additional eruptions of AT 2019vcb reported by Bykov et al. (2024) further increase its credibility as a QPE source.

Further insights can be gained from the resemblance in host galaxy characteristics between TDEs and QPEs. TDEs are found to be strongly overrepresented in low-mass post-starburst (PSB) or E+A galaxies (Arcavi et al., 2014; French et al., 2016; Law-Smith et al., 2017) which show a highly concentrated bulge with high Sérsic indices, bulge-to-total light (B/T) ratios, and stellar surface mass densities compared to the overall galaxy population (French et al., 2020). Interestingly, a similar preference of host galaxies has been also observed in QPEs recently (Wevers et al., 2022; Gilbert et al., 2024). In addition, Wevers et al. (2022) performed a systematic study of the host galaxies of five known QPE sources using new and archived medium-resolution optical spectra and claimed that all QPE host galaxies have emission lines indicating the presence of an AGN. Further integral field spectroscopic observations suggest a high incidence (3/5) of extended emission line region (EELR) detection in the hosts of QPEs (Wevers et al., 2024). These EELRs extend up to 10 kpc in size, requiring photoionisation by a nonstellar continuum, but far beyond the current AGN luminosity. In a companion study, Wevers & French (2024) estimated the incidence of EELRs in PSB-TDE hosts and found it is a factor of 10×\sim 10\times higher than in other PSB galaxies, suggesting that a gas-rich postmerger environment is a key ingredient in driving elevated TDE rates. Therefore, both TDEs and QPEs actually show a preference for a specific evolutionary stage of PSB Galaxies, namely the phase of recently faded AGNs (French et al., 2023).

The growing evidence of TDE-QPE association promoted a “TDE+EMRI=QPEs” model (Linial & Metzger, 2023), where the QPEs are the result of quasi-periodic collisions between an EMRI (extreme mass ratio inspiral) and an accretion disk formed from a previous TDE. This model or the general EMRI+accretion disk model (Franchini et al., 2023; Tagawa & Haiman, 2023) naturally explains the intriguing features in the QPE timing, including the alternating long-short TlongTshortT_{\rm long}-T_{\rm short} pattern found in recurrence times of several QPE sources (Miniutti et al., 2019; Giustini et al., 2020; Arcodia et al., 2021, 2022; Miniutti et al., 2025), and an approximately constant sum of two consecutive recurrence times Tlong+TshortT_{\rm long}+T_{\rm short} with both TlongT_{\rm long} and TshortT_{\rm short} showing large variations with time (Zhou et al., 2024a). In the framework of EMRI+accretion disk model, previous studies have demonstrated the feasibility of measuring the SMBH mass and the EMRI orbital parameters from the QPE timing (Xian et al., 2021; Franchini et al., 2023; Zhou et al., 2024a, c, b). Systematic analyses show that EMRIs that are sourcing QPEs are with orbital radii of 𝒪(102)M\mathcal{O}(10^{2})M_{\bullet}, and a large fraction of them are of low orbital eccentricity with e=𝒪(102)e=\mathcal{O}(10^{-2}) (Zhou et al., 2024a, c, b), where MM_{\bullet} is the gravitational radius of the SMBH. These low-eccentricity QPE EMRIs can be naturally interpreted as wet EMRIs formed in accretion disks of previous AGNs (Sigl et al., 2007; Levin, 2007; Pan & Yang, 2021a; Pan et al., 2021; Pan & Yang, 2021b; Pan et al., 2022; Derdzinski & Mayer, 2023), but are too circular to be compatible with predictions of loss-cone channel (Hopman & Alexander, 2005; Preto & Amaro-Seoane, 2010; Bar-Or & Alexander, 2016; Babak et al., 2017; Amaro-Seoane, 2018; Broggi et al., 2022) or Hills channel (Miller et al., 2005; Raveh & Perets, 2021). Therefore, past AGN activities are inevitable for providing the necessary condition (a low-eccentricity EMRI) for a large fraction of QPEs.

Based on these observations and theoretical analyses, we propose a unified scenario connecting the three phenomena: AGN activities boost both the TDE rate and the EMRI formation rate, and consequently the QPE rate. In Section 2, we review the QPE observations and emphasize the evidence for their associations with TDEs and recently faded AGNs. In Section 3, we summarize the population properties of QPE sources and their connections to past AGN activities. In Section 4, we elaborate the unified scenario that explains the associations between AGNs, TDEs and QPEs. In this Letter, we will use geometric units with G=c=1G=c=1 if not specified otherwise.

2 QPE Sample

We briefly review each of the QPE sources reported in the literature, with a particular focus on their evidence for associations with TDEs and recently faded AGNs, if such associations exist. A total of 9 QPEs or high-confidence QPE candidates have been considered in this work. The repeating soft X-ray outbursts in Swift J023017.0+283603 has been also proposed as possible QPE by some works (Evans et al., 2023; Guolo et al., 2024), but its much longer recurrent timescale (21\sim 21 days) and its opposite behaviours in the shape and spectral evolution during the flares do not allow a confident association with QPEs for the time being. We have thus not included it in our sample.

The TDE evidence can be either supported by a standard optical identification, i.e. the selection criteria adopted by the Zwicky Transient Facility (van Velzen et al., 2021; Hammerstein et al., 2023), or by long-term X-ray light curves characterized by an soft X-ray outburst (Saxton et al., 2020). Here, the recently faded AGN means that the gas accretion of the SMBH has just turned off, leading to the disappearance of AGN continuum and broad-line emissions. However, it still leaves some imprints of the historic activity, i.e. a narrow-line region (or EELR) photoionized by nonstellar (AGN) continuum or a bright IR echoes indicating residual torus. In the context of changing-look AGNs, a type 2 AGN can be actually a recent turn-off AGN rather than being viewed from edged-on (Sheng et al., 2017; Hutsemékers et al., 2017). This is especially true if a TDE or a QPE has been observed in a type 2 AGN, which is otherwise blocked by the torus and thus unseen in the canonical picture of AGN unification (Antonucci, 1993).

Table 1: The basic informations of QPEs and their associations with TDE and recently faded AGN
Source Redshift Black hole mass log10(M/M)\log_{10}(M_{\bullet}/M_{\odot}) TDE Recently faded AGN References
RXJ1301 0.0237 6.65±0.426.65\pm 0.42 No Yes 1,4
GSN 069 0.0182 5.99±0.55.99\pm 0.5 Yes Yes 1,4,5,6
AT 2019qiz 0.0151 6.48±0.336.48\pm 0.33 Yes Yes 2,7,8
eRO-QPE1 0.0505 5.78±0.555.78\pm 0.55 ? No? 1,4,9
eRO-QPE2 0.0175 4.96±0.544.96\pm 0.54 ? Yes 1,4,9
eRO-QPE3 0.024 6.720.29+0.066.72^{+0.06}_{-0.29} ? No? 3,4
eRO-QPE4 0.0437 7.240.12+0.327.24^{+0.32}_{-0.12} ? ? 3
J0249 0.0186 5.29±0.555.29\pm 0.55 Yes ? 1,10
AT 2019vcb 0.089 6.03±0.396.03\pm 0.39 Yes ? 2,11,12

Note. — Columns (1)-(3): the name, redshift and black hole mass in units of log10(M/M)\log_{10}(M_{\bullet}/M_{\odot}) of the QPE sources. Columns (4)-(5): Whether or not the QPE is associated with a TDE or a recently faded AGN. Here ”?” means that there is no clear evidence yet, but this may be due to a lack of sufficient observations. Column (6): Related references: 1 (Wevers et al., 2022); 2 (Yao et al., 2023); 3 (Arcodia et al., 2024); 4 (Wevers et al., 2024); 5 (Shu et al., 2018); 6 (Sheng et al., 2017); 7 (Nicholl et al., 2024); 8 (Xiong et al. in prep.); 9 (Arcodia et al., 2021); 10 (Chakraborty et al., 2021); 11 (Quintin et al., 2023); 12 (Bykov et al., 2024). Note the black hole mass measurements in column (3) depend on the scaling relation used, e.g., a different MσM_{\bullet}-\sigma_{\star} relation used in Wevers et al. (2019) prefers a lower value of J0249 black hole mass log10(M/M)=4.930.53+0.55\log_{10}(M_{\bullet}/M_{\odot})=4.93^{+0.55}_{-0.53}.

  • RXJ1301: This is the first proposed QPE candidate which displays X-ray flares in both archival XMM-Newton and Chandra observations while being discovered as a supersoft AGN (Sun et al., 2013). Its QPE nature was then confirmed by Giustini et al. (2020). Its optical spectrum taken in 2007 by the Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS) was dominated by narrow lines after continuum subtraction, the line ratios of which place it in the Seyfert regime on the Baldwin-Phillips-Terlevich (BPT) diagram of Kewley et al. (2006). An EELR with the largest (projected) radius (RmaxR_{\rm max}) to the galactic nucleus 3\sim 3 kpc has been discovered (Wevers et al., 2024) in the observations of Multi Unit Spectroscopic Explorer (MUSE) integral field spectroscopy mounted on very large telescope (VLT). The EELRs are photoionized by a nonstellar continuum, but the current nuclear luminosity is insufficient to power the observed emission lines, which requires a minimum nuclear ionizing luminosity (Lion,minL_{\rm ion,min}) of 2.5×10422.5\times 10^{42} erg s-1 to power the EELR (Wevers et al., 2024).

  • GSN 069: This is the first confirmed QPE source (Miniutti et al., 2019). It was initially reported as a true Seyfert 2 galaxy candidate since a bright soft X-ray source was detected at a position consistent with it in 2010, but its optical spectra are always dominated by unresolved emission lines with no broad components (Miniutti et al., 2013). Its nondetection by ROSAT implies it has undergone 240\gtrsim 240 times of X-ray brightening, suggesting a likely TDE, which has been supported by its subsequent long-term slow decay (Shu et al., 2018). The VLT/MUSE observation reveals a EELR with Rmax9R_{\rm max}\sim 9 kpc, which calls for a Lion,minL_{\rm ion,min} of 6×10426\times 10^{42} erg s-1 (Wevers et al., 2024). It is also notable that Patra et al. (2024) found evidence of a compact nuclear [O III] region making use of archival HST data, which indicates that the accretion activity is only 10100\sim 10-100 yr old.

  • AT2019qiz: This is the first optical TDE with unambiguous QPE detection (Nicholl et al., 2024). The ratios of narrow lines in the BPT diagram lie intermediate between the region of star-forming galaxies and AGNs, indicative of a possible weak AGN prior to the TDE (Nicholl et al., 2020). After a careful study of the VLT/MUSE data of its host, we found an EELR, which is most prominent in the N II map with scale of 3.7\sim 3.7 kpc. It provides further evidence of AGN ionizing in the near past (Xiong et al. in prep.). The detection of a prominent IR echo (Short et al., 2023) also suggests a likely residual dusty torus of a recently faded AGN. In contrast, the echoes of normal TDEs are rather weak due to a much lower dust covering factor (Jiang et al., 2021).

  • eRO-QPE1: This is one of the first two, together with eRO-QPE2, QPE sources discovered in galaxies without obvious signatures of AGNs (Arcodia et al., 2021). However, the high-quality Magellan/MagE spectroscopy suggests clear AGN activity based on the BPT diagnosis (Wevers et al., 2022). It has also been observed by VLT/MUSE, but no EELR has been detected, possibly due to its higher redshift and/or a fainter and more compact host galaxy (Wevers et al., 2024).

  • eRO-QPE2: The discovery paper claims that its optical spectra shows intense narrow emission lines mainly contributed by strong star-forming activity (Arcodia et al., 2021) while the high-quality Magellan spectroscopy places it in the Seyfert AGN region Wevers et al. (2022) based on the selection criteria presented in Cid Fernandes et al. (2011). The VLT/MUSE observation reveals an EELR with Rmax4.6R_{\rm max}\sim 4.6 kpc and a Lion,minL_{\rm ion,min} of 6×10426\times 10^{42} erg s-1 (Wevers et al., 2024).

  • eRO-QPE3: This is the third QPE discovered by eROSITA, there are no strong canonical signatures of AGN from current optical, UV, infrared and radio data (Arcodia et al., 2024). The SALT spectrum shows no apparent emission lines while weak narrow lines are detectable on the continuum-subtracted spectrum. Although a precise diagnosis is difficult, a strong preexisting AGN is disfavored.

  • eRO-QPE4: Its quiescent X-ray emission was a few times fainter, or absent before the QPE discovery, supporting a transient nature for the quiescent accretion disk and disfavoring a long-lived radiatively efficient accretion flow (Arcodia et al., 2024). Similar to eRO-QPE3, only very faint narrow lines are visible in the SALT spectrum even after continuum subtraction.

  • XMMSL1 J024916.6-041244J0249 (hereafter J0249): This is the fifth QPE candidate with 1.5 QPE-like soft X-ray flares discovered by a blind search of the XMM-Newton Source Catalog (Chakraborty et al., 2021). It was first identified as a TDE candidate based on a flux increase by a factor of 88 compared to a ROSAT upper limit, and a very soft X-ray spectrum that can be described by a blackbody (Strotjohann et al., 2016). Its host galaxy was initially classified as a Seyfert 1.9 (Esquej et al., 2007), which has recently been reclassified as a star-forming galaxy potentially hosting an AGN by higher resolution spectra (Wevers et al., 2019, 2022).

  • AT 2019vcb (aka Tormund): This is an optical TDE discovered by the ZTF (Hammerstein et al., 2023). Its hint of QPE was first found during an archival search for QPEs in the XMM-Newton archive (Quintin et al., 2023). The eROSITA happened to observe the source 13 days after the XMM-Newton observation, that is seven months after the onset of the optical TDE, and detected the other flare (Bykov et al., 2024). Both flares bear similar characteristics in terms of timing and spectral properties, providing additional evidence of QPE. However, its QPE nature is not as conclusive as other sources, as only two isolated flares have been detected, thus we treat it as a QPE candidate for safety. Its host galaxy does not show any signature of AGN (Quintin et al., 2023).

In summary, among the 9 known QPEs or high confidence QPE candidates, two (AT2019qiz, AT2019vcb) were detected after standard optical TDEs and the other two (GSN 069, J0249) were detected during the declining phase of likely X-ray TDE candidates. Additionally, four (RXJ1301, GSN069, AT2019qiz, eRO-QPE2) exhibit clear EELRs in the integral field unit (IFU) observations, indicating the presence of recently faded AGNs. Quantitatively, the typical kpc physical scale indicates that the SMBHs were actively accreting, formally in the AGN phase, at least tens of thousands of years ago. It is worth noting that the four showing EELRs happen to be among the five lowest redshifts (z<0.024z<0.024, see Table 1) and the only exception is J0249 at z=0.0186z=0.0186 which has no IFU observation to date. This strongly suggests that the nondetection of other sources (e.g., eRO-QPE1 and eRO-QPE3) could be a selection effect as the detection of EELRs in more distant targets is obviously more challenging and requires a higher sensitivity and spatial resolution of the observations. Notably, AT2019qiz, the first unambiguous QPE in a spectroscopically confirmed TDE, and GSN 069, the first reported QPE in a likely X-ray TDE candidate, both show detections of EELRs, further supporting that QPEs, TDEs and recently faded AGNs are all closely related.

Table 2: EMRI orbital properties of QPE sources
Source Orbital period Tobt(2Trec)T_{\rm obt}\left(\approx 2\langle{T}_{\rm rec}\rangle\right) [ks] TobtM0.8{T}_{\rm obt}\propto M_{\bullet}^{0.8} Orbital eccentricity ee EMRI formation (compatible w. dry/Hills channels)
RXJ1301 3232 (Giustini et al., 2020) No 0.250.20+0.180.25^{+0.18}_{-0.20} Yes
GSN 069 6565 (Miniutti et al., 2019) Yes 0.040.03+0.020.04^{+0.02}_{-0.03} No
AT 2019qiz 340340 (Nicholl et al., 2024) Yes 0.13\sim 0.13 No?
eRO-QPE1 140140 (Arcodia et al., 2021) Yes 0.100.10+0.470.10^{+0.47}_{-0.10} No
eRO-QPE2 1717 (Arcodia et al., 2021) Yes 0.010.01+0.020.01^{+0.02}_{-0.01} No
eRO-QPE3 150150 (Arcodia et al., 2024) Yes 0\sim 0 No
eRO-QPE4 9090 (Arcodia et al., 2024) No 0.18\sim 0.18 Yes
J0249 1919 (Chakraborty et al., 2021) Yes ? ?
AT 2019vcb 110500\sim 110-500 (Bykov et al., 2024) Yes ? ?

Note. — In column (2), the orbital period TobtT_{\rm obt} is identified as twice the average recurrence time Trec\langle{T}_{\rm rec}\rangle of QPEs. The QPE recurrence time Trec\langle{T}_{\rm rec}\rangle of AT 2019vcb is most uncertain since no consecutive flares have been detected. Assuming the flare duration of 1020\sim 10-20 hours (Bykov et al., 2024), and the tentative correlation between recurrence time and flare duration shown in Fig. 3 of Nicholl et al. (2024), we find Trec1570\langle{T}_{\rm rec}\rangle\sim 15-70 hours. In column (3), the information of TobtMT_{\rm obt}-M_{\bullet} correlation is read from Fig. 3 of Zhou et al. (2024b). In column (4), orbital eccentricities (95% confidence level) of RXJ1301, GSN 069, eRO-QPE1 and eRO-QPE2 are obtained by full orbital analyses of the QPE timing data (Zhou et al., 2024c, b), while orbital eccentricities of AT 2019qiz, eRO-QPE3 and 4 are roughly estimated using Eq. (1), since the numbers of QPEs available are too low for reasonable orbital analyses. Only a few flares in J0249 and AT 2019vcb have been detected, from which no orbital eccentricity information can be extracted. In column (5), the EMRI formation channel information is based on analyses by Zhou et al. (2024c): the two most eccentric ones are compatible with dry/Hills channels, four QPE EMRIs are incompatible with dry/Hills channels but are consistent with the wet channel prediction, and more observations are needed for analyzing the remaining three.

3 Orbital properties and formation processes of QPE EMRIs

Though a number of models have been proposed for explaining the physical origin of QPEs in the past years, more and more theoretical analyses and observations favor the EMRI+accretion disk model as the physical origin of QPEs (Linial & Metzger, 2023; Franchini et al., 2023; Tagawa & Haiman, 2023). In this framework, the central SMBH mass and the EMRI orbital parameters can be extracted from the QPE timing data as shown in previous studies (Xian et al., 2021; Franchini et al., 2023; Zhou et al., 2024a, c, b), based on which one can further infer the EMRI formation channels (Zhou et al., 2024a, c), including (wet) AGN disk channel, (dry) loss-cone channel and Hills channel.

In the AGN disk channel (Sigl et al., 2007; Levin, 2007; Pan & Yang, 2021a; Pan et al., 2021; Pan & Yang, 2021b; Pan et al., 2022; Derdzinski & Mayer, 2023), a stellar mass object (SMO) which was either born in the disk or captured into the disk, is expected to migrate inward driven by density waves excited in the disk until r=𝒪(102)Mr=\mathcal{O}(10^{2})M_{\bullet}, where gravitational wave (GW) emissions become the dominant driving force. EMRIs formed in AGN disks are expected to be of low eccentricity due to efficient eccentricity damping by the density waves. In the loss-cone channel (Hopman & Alexander, 2005; Preto & Amaro-Seoane, 2010; Bar-Or & Alexander, 2016; Babak et al., 2017; Amaro-Seoane, 2018; Broggi et al., 2022), a SMO in the nuclear stellar cluster is randomly scattered into a low angular momentum orbit where GW emissions dominate over two-body scatterings from other SMOs in the nuclear cluster, then the orbit shrinks driven by GW emissions. EMRIs formed in the loss-cone channel are expected to keep a large residual orbital eccentricity. In the Hills channel (Miller et al., 2005), a binary of SMOs in the nuclear cluster is disrupted by the SMBH, with one SMO ejected and the other captured by the SMBH on an eccentric orbit. The ensuing orbital evolution depends on whether the captured SMO is in the GW emission dominated regime or in the two-body scattering dominated regime. Numerical simulations (Raveh & Perets, 2021) show that Hills EMRIs are similar to loss-cone EMRIs in the residual orbital eccentricity.

Detailed orbital analyses and EMRI formation inference have been conducted by Zhou et al. (2024a, c, b) for 4 QPE sources (RXJ1301, GSN 069, eRO-QPE 1 and 2) where a reasonable number of eruptions are available (see Table 2). Zhou et al. (2024c) found that GSN 069, eRO-QPE 1 and 2 are beyond the reach of dry/Hills channels in the (A,rp)(A,r_{\rm p}) phase space, even taking the uncertainties in the semi-major axis AA and the eccentricity ee into account, where rp=A(1e)r_{\rm p}=A(1-e) is the pericenter distance. It is interesting to find that their orbital parameters are consistent with the wet channel prediction. Zhou et al. (2024c) also found RXJ1301 is compatible with dry/Hills channels.

No orbital analysis has been done for AT 2019 qiz or eRO-QPE 3, 4 due to a limited number of eruptions available. We therefore roughly estimate their EMRI orbital eccentricities by (Pasham et al., 2024)

eπ4TlongTshortTlong+Tshort,e\approx\frac{\pi}{4}\frac{T_{\rm long}-T_{\rm short}}{T_{\rm long}+T_{\rm short}}\ , (1)

and orbital periods by twice the average recurrence times, Tobt2TrecT_{\rm obt}\approx 2\langle{T}_{\rm rec}\rangle, where Tlong,TshortT_{\rm long},T_{\rm short} are the consecutive long and short recurrence times. We then examine whether the QPE EMRIs are compatible with dry/Hills channel in (A,rp)(A,r_{\rm p}) phase space as done by Zhou et al. (2024c). As a result, we find the eRO-QPE4 EMRI with log10(M/M)=7.240.12+0.32,Tobt=90\log_{10}(M_{\bullet}/M_{\odot})=7.24^{+0.32}_{-0.12},T_{\rm obt}=90 ks, e0.18e\sim 0.18 is compatible with dry/Hills channels. In the similar way, we find eRO-QPE3 EMRI is incompatible with dry/Hills channels for any reasonable eccentricity, say e<0.3e<0.3, that is possibly consistent with the TlongTshortT_{\rm long}\approx T_{\rm short} pattern in the recurrence times. The AT 2019 qiz EMRI is found to be incompatible with dry/Hills channels even assuming a large orbital eccentricity e=0.26e=0.26 that is twice the rough estimation e0.13e\sim 0.13 (we put a question mark in its classification in Table 2 for safety).

In short, 4 QPE EMRIs (GSN 069 and eRO-QPE1, 2, 3) are incompatible with dry/Hills channels, but are consistent with the wet EMRI prediction, therefore are likely wet EMRIs that were formed in accretion disks of previous AGNs; 2 most eccentric QPE EMRIs (RXJ1301 and eRO-QPE4) are compatible with dry/Hills channels, which were possibly formed either in a quiescent phase of the SMBH or as misaligned EMRIs in an AGN phase. For classifying the remaining three (AT 2019qiz, J0249, AT 2019vcb) EMRIs, more follow-up observations are needed for pinning down their orbital parameters and the SMBH masses.

As a piece of indirect evidence for multiple EMRI formation channels contributing to QPE EMRIs, Zhou et al. (2024b) found a likely correlation between the EMRI orbital period and the SMBH mass TobtM0.8T_{\rm obt}\propto M_{\bullet}^{0.8} for the majority of QPE EMRIs, except the two most eccentric ones (RXJ1301 and eRO-QPE4). This dichotomy indicates that a large fraction of QPE EMRIs were formed in the same channel which enables the TobtMT_{\rm obt}-M_{\bullet} correlation, and the remaining EMRIs were formed in different channels, which generate either a different TobtMT_{\rm obt}-M_{\bullet} correlation or no TobtMT_{\rm obt}-M_{\bullet} correlation at all, depending on the details of physical processes in these channels.

In summary, among the 9 known QPE EMRIs, four of them (GSN 069 and eRO-QPE1,2,3) are incompatible with dry/Hills channels and are likely wet EMRIs, while the two most eccentric ones (RXJ1301 and eRO-QPE4) are compatible with dry/Hills channels. Moreover, the majority of the QPE EMRIs are found to follow a likely TobtMT_{\rm obt}-M_{\bullet} correlation, except the two most eccentric ones. It is interesting to note that all the four likely wet EMRIs happen to follow the likely TobtMT_{\rm obt}-M_{\bullet} correlation, suggesting a wet origin of this correlation. These observations and EMRI formation modeling show that a previous AGN phase is inevitable for providing the necessary condition (a low-eccentricity EMRI) for a large fraction (4/9\gtrsim 4/9) of QPE sources. As shown in Section 2, GSN 069 and eRO-QPE2 are indeed found exhibiting clear EELRs, indicating the presence of recently faded AGNs. The strong preference of detecting EELRs in low-redshift sources indicates that the nondetection in higher-redshift QPE (e.g., eRO-QPE1 and eRO-QPE3) hosts is possibly due to a selection effect.

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Figure 1: Schematic picture of TDEs and QPEs as embers of AGNs. Note that the scale does not reflect the actual sizes, which are otherwise too small to visualize for the central part. Panel (a): The AGN phase, in which we have shown the standard AGN components, including SMBH, accretion disk, BLR, torus and EELR (or NLR). Additionally, a near-circular orbiting SMO (red) embedded in the disk is also depicted. Panel (b): The phase of recently faded AGN, when the accretion has ceased and thus the accretion disk and BLR have disappeared while the torus and EELR at a larger scale remain there. Panel (c): The TDE phase, depicting the disrupted star (yellow) approaching the SMBH on an inclined orbit (green line). Panel (d): The QPE phase, in which each collision between the SMO and the disk formed by the TDE produces an X-ray eruption.

4 Conclusion: a unified scenario

As shown in the previous two sections, (recently faded) AGNs, TDEs and QPEs are strongly correlated. We conclude this work by proposing a unified scenario that naturally accounts for the correlations among the three phenomena. We will first briefly explain the simple physical picture of each stage in this scenario, then discuss the key physical processes involved.

As depicted in Figure 1, the AGN phase plays a central role in this scenario. In the standard AGN phase (panel a), both the TDE rate and the EMRI formation rate are boosted. However, observationally, the identification of TDEs in AGNs is rather complicated due to the dilution of bright AGN emission and the lack of predicted hallmark features for these special TDEs. As the AGN phase is off, the accretion disk has vanished and an EMRI orbiting around the SMBH at radius r=𝒪(102)Mr=\mathcal{O}(10^{2})M_{\bullet} is left (panel b). A TDE then occurs during the recently faded AGN phase, when the TDE rate remains elevated and there is no challenge to identify it without AGN (panel c). After 𝒪(1)\mathcal{O}(1) years, a TDE disk forms which is generally misaligned with respect to the EMRI, as a result, QPEs are generated from quasi-periodic collisions between the EMRI and the disk (panel d).

During the AGN phase, the AGN disk boosts the wet EMRI formation rate by either capturing SMOs from the nuclear stellar cluster (Pan & Yang, 2021a) or lifting the star formation rate in the disk (Sigl et al., 2007; Levin, 2007; Derdzinski & Mayer, 2023). SMOs in the disk are expected to migrate inward driven by the excited density waves until r=𝒪(102)Mr=\mathcal{O}(10^{2})M_{\bullet} where the migration slows down and gradually is taken over by GW emissions (Pan & Yang, 2021a; Pan et al., 2022). Meanwhile, the TDE rate in AGNs is also predicted to be significantly elevated, as the presence of an accretion disk can effectively alter the stellar orbits via adding a axisymmetric perturbation to the spherical gravitational potential of the SMBH or direct collisions with the disk, allowing them to approach the loss cone of the central SMBH more efficiently (Karas & Šubr, 2007; Kennedy et al., 2016; Kaur & Stone, 2025). Note, however, that the number of reported TDEs in AGNs (e.g, Blanchard et al. 2017; Kankare et al. 2017; Liu et al. 2020; Zhang et al. 2022) is very limited so far, mainly because the traditional search has simply neglected flares in AGNs to avoid the trouble of distinguishing between the TDE and various types of impostors (Zabludoff et al., 2021). Interestingly, recent simulations suggest that the TDE rate may be even enhanced in the recently faded AGN phase, when the accumulated stars, formed in the outer regions of the accretion disk, are rapidly scattered into the loss cone as a result of the vanishing inner standard thin disk. These TDEs are easily detected and may provide an ideal explanation for the overrepresentation of TDEs in PSB galaxies (Wang et al., 2024). All of these processes may be involved in boosting the TDE rate (and the formation rate of loss-cone EMRIs in a similar way) during the AGN phase.

In the near future, the discovery rate of TDEs is expected to increase steadily thanks to the advanced optical time-domain surveys such as the Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST, Ivezić et al. 2019) and the Wide Field Survey Telescope (WFST, Wang et al. 2023). On the other hand, the QPEs can be detected during the X-ray follow-up observations of these TDEs similar to the case of AT 2019qiz, or independently identified through X-ray surveys like the Einstein Probe (Yuan et al., 2025). This offers a promising prospect to verify the unified scenario based on a much larger sample of QPE-TDE associations.

We thank the referee for his/her very positive and constructive comments, which have improved the manuscript significantly. This work is supported by the National SKA Program of China (2022SKA0130102), the National Natural Science Foundation of China (grants 12192221,12393814), the Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (XDB0550200) and the China Manned Space Project.

References