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Constraints on Weak Supernova Kicks from Observed Pulsar Velocities

Reinhold Willcox School of Physics and Astronomy Monash University, Clayton, VIC 3800, Australia The ARC Centre of Excellence for Gravitational Wave Discovery – OzGrav, Australia Ilya Mandel School of Physics and Astronomy Monash University, Clayton, VIC 3800, Australia The ARC Centre of Excellence for Gravitational Wave Discovery – OzGrav, Australia Institute of Gravitational Wave Astronomy and School of Physics and Astronomy, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, B15 2TT, United Kingdom Eric Thrane School of Physics and Astronomy Monash University, Clayton, VIC 3800, Australia The ARC Centre of Excellence for Gravitational Wave Discovery – OzGrav, Australia Adam Deller Centre for Astrophysics and Supercomputing, Swinburne University of Technology, Hawthorn, VIC 3122, Australia The ARC Centre of Excellence for Gravitational Wave Discovery – OzGrav, Australia Simon Stevenson Centre for Astrophysics and Supercomputing, Swinburne University of Technology, Hawthorn, VIC 3122, Australia The ARC Centre of Excellence for Gravitational Wave Discovery – OzGrav, Australia Alejandro Vigna-Gómez DARK, Niels Bohr Institute, University of Copenhagen, Jagtvej 128, 2200, Copenhagen, Denmark
Abstract

Observations of binary pulsars and pulsars in globular clusters suggest that at least some pulsars must receive weak natal kicks at birth. If all pulsars received strong natal kicks above 50 kms1\rm{km}\,\rm{s}^{-1} , those born in globular clusters would predominantly escape, while wide binaries would be disrupted. On the other hand, observations of transverse velocities of isolated radio pulsars indicate that only 5±2%5\pm 2\% have velocities below 50 kms1\rm{km}\,\rm{s}^{-1} . We explore this apparent tension with rapid binary population synthesis modelling. We propose a model in which supernovae with characteristically low natal kicks (e.g., electron-capture supernovae) only occur if the progenitor star has been stripped via binary interaction with a companion. We show that this model naturally reproduces the observed pulsar speed distribution and without reducing the predicted merging double neutron star yield. We estimate that the zero-age main sequence mass range for non-interacting progenitors of electron-capture supernovae should be no wider than 0.2M{\approx}0.2\,\mathrm{\rm{M}_{\odot}}.

stars:binary — natal kicks — pulsars — electron-capture supernovae
software: Simulations in this paper made use of the COMPAS222COMPAS is freely available at http://github.com/TeamCOMPAS/COMPAS. rapid binary population synthesis code, v02.19.02. Data was taken (partially) from the ATNF Pulsar Catalogue (Manchester et al., 2005), and analysis was performed using python v3.6 (Van Rossum & Drake, 2009), numpy v1.19 (Harris et al., 2020), matplotlib v3.3 (Hunter, 2007), and astropy v4.1 (Astropy Collaboration et al., 2013, 2018).

1 Introduction

The observed single pulsar population is characterized by typical speeds of hundreds of kms1\rm{km}\,\rm{s}^{-1}, generally attributed to large natal kicks due to asymmetric mass ejection during supernovae (Hobbs et al., 2005; Burrows, 2013; Verbunt et al., 2017; Deller et al., 2019). Such large kicks are consistent with simulations of core-collapse supernovae (Wongwathanarat et al., 2012; Müller, 2020). On the other hand, the existence of pulsars in globular clusters, where escape velocities can be 50kms1{\lesssim}50\,\mathrm{\rm{km}\,\rm{s}^{-1}}, points to the need for a subpopulation of pulsars with low kicks (e.g., Sigurdsson, 2003). Meanwhile, natal kicks that disrupt the binary inhibit the formation of double neutron stars (e.g., Beniamini & Piran, 2016; Vigna-Gómez et al., 2018). Therefore, at least some fraction of neutron stars must receive low natal kicks.

Theoretically, low kicks (30kms1{\lesssim}30\,\mathrm{\rm{km}\,\rm{s}^{-1}}) are often associated to electron-capture supernovae and ultra-stripped supernovae. USSNe only occur as the second SN in very tight binaries with minimal mass loss and almost never disrupt the binary; thus, we do not consider them further as they do not contribute to the velocity distribution of isolated pulsars (Tauris et al., 2015). ECSNe are thought to arise from a subset of the super-Asymptotic Giant Branch (sAGB) stars, which span a zero-age main sequence (ZAMS) mass range of 6.512M{\approx}6.5-12\,\mathrm{\rm{M}_{\odot}}, though the precise ZAMS mass range for ECSN progenitors is highly uncertain (see Doherty et al. 2017 for a review).

In this paper, we use the COMPAS rapid binary population synthesis code (Stevenson et al., 2017; Vigna-Gómez et al., 2018) in order to reconcile the paucity of observed low-velocity pulsars with the need for a population of NSs with low natal kicks. We find that by restricting low natal kicks to occur only in stars which have previously transferred mass to a binary companion, our model reproduces the observed fraction of low-velocity isolated pulsars, without inhibiting the DNS yield. We interpret this as an upper limit on the ZAMS mass range for effectively single progenitors of ECSNe, while leaving the channel for stripped stars unaffected.

Our proposal builds on indications that ECSNe from single stars are less common than initially thought (Miyaji et al., 1980; Nomoto, 1984; Poelarends et al., 2008), but could be enhanced in binaries because envelope stripping by Roche-lobe overflow onto a companion suppresses second dredge-up (Podsiadlowski et al., 2004a; van den Heuvel, 2010; Ibeling & Heger, 2013; Dall’Osso et al., 2014; Poelarends et al., 2017).

In Sec. 2, we discuss the data set of pulsar velocities observed with very long baseline interferometry and the associated selection effects. In Sec. 3, we describe our population synthesis prescriptions. We present the results in Sec. 4. In Sec. 5, we discuss the caveats of our analysis and its implications for stellar evolution modellers.

2 Data and Selection Effects

The data used in this study are astrometric measurements of isolated pulsars obtained with very long baseline interferometry (VLBI). We use exclusively VLBI measurements rather than the larger data sets based on pulsar timing or dispersion measure because VLBI provides precise measurements and we aim to avoid concerns about systematic uncertainty in other pulsar velocity measurements (Deller et al., 2019).

We select a total of 81 pulsars from a variety of studies, primarily Deller et al. (2019) but also Bailes et al. (1990); Fomalont et al. (1999); Chatterjee et al. (2001); Brisken et al. (2002, 2003); Dodson et al. (2003); Chatterjee et al. (2004, 2009); Deller et al. (2009) and Kirsten et al. (2015). We remove millisecond pulsars, pulsars known to be in binaries, and pulsars in globular clusters in order to obtain a relatively homogeneous data set of pulsars whose velocities are primarily set by SN natal kicks (and any previous isolated binary evolution) rather than dynamics. Some of the apparently single pulsars may still be in binaries, as binaries with orbital periods much longer than the observational baseline are challenging to detect.

The data for each pulsar contain sets of bootstrapped fits for the parallax, position, and proper motion. We treat the fits as posterior samples. We re-weigh them by applying a prior on the parallax to be above 0.05 mas, i.e., the distance to be below 20 kpc, consistent with Galactic pulsars, as well as a prior on the transverse velocities to be less than 2000 kms1\rm{km}\,\rm{s}^{-1} , to exclude anomalously large values.

We extract an intrinsic transverse velocity relative to the pulsar’s local standard of rest (LSR) by correcting for Galactic rotation and the motion of the Sun. We assume a flat Galactic rotation curve, with constant speed 230 kms1\rm{km}\,\rm{s}^{-1} (Bhattacharjee et al., 2014), and take solar velocity (U, V, W) = (11.1, 244, 7.25) kms1\rm{km}\,\rm{s}^{-1} (Schönrich et al., 2010). This correction assumes that the LSR velocity vector of the pulsar today is similar to its LSR at birth, which relies on the assumption of insignificant acceleration in the Galactic potential. This is valid for very young or slow-moving pulsars, but is not justified, e.g., for a 20 Myr pulsar moving at 500 kms1\rm{km}\,\rm{s}^{-1} , which would have travelled for 10kpc{\sim}10\,\mathrm{kpc} in the absence of external forces. However, only pulsars with high velocities (comparable to or larger than the local Galactic rotational velocity) will be impacted, so this is not expected to affect our analysis of low-velocity pulsars. A bigger concern is that the data were not collected in a manner intended to be a complete survey. Indeed, Deller et al. (2019) note that their sample focused specifically on systems at high Galactic latitudes, which could lead to a paucity of low-velocity pulsars. However, the distributions of characteristic ages and heights off the Galactic plane are indistinguishable between our sample and the broader sample of all isolated, non-millisecond pulsars in the ATNF pulsar catalogue111 https://www.atnf.csiro.au/research/pulsar/psrcat/.

It is also conceivable that pulsars with low velocities are naturally fainter and harder to detect because of some correlation between their formation physics and an observational characteristic relevant to radio detectability that is not yet understood (Sigurdsson, 2003). We test for this possible bias by examining the correlation between pulsar transverse velocities and distances. A Malmquist bias favours detecting only radio-bright pulsars at greater distances. Therefore, if low-velocity pulsars tend to be fainter in the radio band, we should see a positive correlation between distance and transverse velocity. While there is a mild correlation between distance and velocity, we confirmed that its magnitude is fully consistent with arising from the construction of transverse velocity as a product of proper motion and distance, with significant uncertainties in the distance (typically of order 20%). We therefore see no evidence for a selection effect against low-velocity pulsars once this correlation is accounted for. Further, we find that the correlation between the transverse velocities and heights of the pulsars out of the Galactic plane is no greater than the correlation between the transverse velocities and pulsar distances, which further supports the absence of a significant bias due to preferentially observing pulsars at high Galactic latitudes. Fig. 1 shows the transverse velocity distributions at the low end of our catalog.

Refer to caption
Figure 1: Transverse velocity medians and 5-95% confidence intervals for the 15 lowest-velocity pulsars in our sample. Defining 50 kms1\rm{km}\,\rm{s}^{-1} as the boundary between low- and high-speed pulsars is convenient since no pulsar shows strong support on both sides of this value.

3 Methods

We use the COMPAS rapid binary population synthesis code (Team COMPAS: Riley et al., 2021) to generate synthetic pulsar transverse velocity distributions for several different SN kick prescriptions. We simulate a total of 10610^{6} binaries per prescription, with primary ZAMS mass drawn from the Kroupa (2001) initial mass function between 5 and 150 M\rm{M}_{\odot} , mass ratio drawn uniformly from 0.01 to 1, and semi-major axis distributed uniformly in the log between 0.01 and 1000 AU (Öpik, 1924). Here, very wide, non-interacting binaries represent the single star population. All binaries are initially circularized (e0=0e_{0}=0) and use solar metallicity Z=0.0142\rm{Z}_{\odot}=0.0142 (Asplund et al., 2009). Unless otherwise specified, we follow the default COMPAS prescriptions (Stevenson et al., 2017; Vigna-Gómez et al., 2018; Vinciguerra et al., 2020; Team COMPAS: Riley et al., 2021).

We assume that a star with a helium core mass above 2.25 M\rm{M}_{\odot} at the base of the asymptotic giant branch will undergo CCSN once the mass of its carbon-oxygen core reaches the threshold set in Eq. (75) of Hurley et al. (2000), in which we replace the Chandrasekhar mass with 1.38 M\rm{M}_{\odot} (Belczynski et al., 2008). We set the CCSN remnant mass according to the Fryer et al. (2012) delayed prescription. If the helium core mass is between 1.6 and 2.25M2.25\,\mathrm{\rm{M}_{\odot}} at the base of the asymptotic giant branch and the carbon-oxygen core mass subsequently reaches 1.38M1.38\,\mathrm{\rm{M}_{\odot}}, the star is assumed to form a NS with mass 1.26M1.26\,\mathrm{\rm{M}_{\odot}} in an ECSN.

We consider a variety of different kick prescriptions, all based on the following “fiducial” prescription. Natal kicks for pulsars formed in CCSNe (hereafter, CC-pulsars, and similarly for EC-pulsars) are drawn directly from the observed pulsar velocity distribution. To obtain a 3D kick magnitude for the CC-pulsars, we randomly draw a velocity sample from the union of the transverse velocity posterior distributions of pulsars in our catalogue, selecting only among values of at least 50 kms1\rm{km}\,\rm{s}^{-1} , and divide by a random projection coefficient under the assumption of an isotropic viewing angle.

This is in contrast to the COMPAS default CCSN kick prescription (which uses the the Hobbs et al. 2005 Maxwellian model) and other evolution codes which draw from parametrized, analytical distributions, because these distributions differ from the observations at high velocities. However, this difference is due directly to the assumed shape of the natal kick distribution. The bulk of the isolated pulsar population have very high speeds 300kms1{\gtrsim}300\,\mathrm{\rm{km}\,\rm{s}^{-1}}, much larger than typical pre-SN orbital velocities,

vorb42kms1(M20M)1/2(a10AU)1/2.v_{\text{orb}}\approx 42\,\mathrm{\rm{km}\,\rm{s}^{-1}}\left(\frac{M}{20\,\mathrm{\rm{M}_{\odot}}}\right)^{1/2}\left(\frac{a}{10\,\mathrm{\text{AU}}}\right)^{-1/2}.

where MM is the total binary mass and aa is the separation of a circular binary. Consequently, the pulsar is nearly always unbound, with a final speed dominated by the magnitude of the natal kick, with some scatter on the order of vorbv_{\text{orb}}. By drawing CCSN kicks directly from the observations, we are able to focus on the poorly-understood low-velocity regime.

In the Fiducial prescription (henceforth abbreviated as Fid), all EC-pulsars have natal kick magnitudes drawn from a Maxwellian with σ1D rms=30kms1\sigma_{\text{1D rms}}=30\,\mathrm{\rm{km}\,\rm{s}^{-1}}.

All SN natal kicks are applied isotropically in the progenitor rest frame (cf. Bray & Eldridge 2018 and Giacobbo & Mapelli 2020, who investigate anisotropic kicks). If the SN disrupts the binary through a combination of symmetric mass loss (the Blaauw kick; Blaauw, 1961) and the natal kick, the speed of the NS is given by its asymptotic speed once it has escaped the gravitational potential of the companion. If the binary remains intact, the speed of the NS is given by the sum in quadrature of its speed in the center-of-mass frame and the binary velocity relative to the LSR, if any. We then project the NS speed onto the plane of the sky assuming an isotropically distributed viewing angle to obtain a transverse velocity prediction. NSs in wide binaries with orbital periods above 10 years are categorized together with isolated NSs as “apparently isolated”; varying the period threshold between 10 and 100 years has a negligible impact. Wide binary pulsars comprise 20%{\sim}20\% of the total apparently isolated NS population, immediately following the SN, in all our prescriptions. This fraction is a few times higher than the estimated fraction of pulsars in wide binaries obtained by Antoniadis (2021) (10%\lesssim 10\%), who considered observability through Gaia and radio pulsar surveys under a very simple model of binary properties (see also Igoshev & Perets 2019). This discrepancy is in part due to the fact that our 20% estimate does not account for the amount of time that a pulsar is observable in a wide binary, which could be disrupted by a second supernova. It would be interesting to compare the properties of wide binaries predicted by our models against observations through a similar modelling of selection effects.

ECSNe are the primary source of low-velocity pulsars in our models, so we consider variations on the Fid prescription described above that impact ECSNe. In the first variation, Kick: 1 kms1\rm{km}\,\rm{s}^{-1} (K1), we reduce the natal kicks of ECSNe down to a Maxwellian with σ1D rms=1kms1\sigma_{\text{1D rms}}=1\,\mathrm{\rm{km}\,\rm{s}^{-1}}, motivated in part by hydrodynamical simulations (Gessner & Janka, 2018). The second variation, No Wide ECSNe (NW), flags and ignores ECSNe in non-interacting binaries, allowing for ECSNe only in stars which previously lost mass through Roche-lobe overflow. The final variation, No Wide ECSNe, Kick: 1 kms1\rm{km}\,\rm{s}^{-1} (NW-K1), combines the first and second variations. A list of variations is given in Table 4.

4 Results

Refer to caption
(a) Fiducial (Fid)
Refer to caption
(b) No Wide ECSNe (NW)
Figure 2: CDFs of the observed pulsar transverse velocities (black curves) and those predicted by the model variations (colored curves). Families of CDFs are drawn to illustrate uncertainty (see Sec. 4). The Fid variation (a) over-produces low-speed pulsars (50kms1\lesssim 50\,\mathrm{\rm{km}\,\rm{s}^{-1}}). The NW variation (b) improves the match at low speeds by removing ECSN progenitors that did not transfer mass onto a binary companion.

In Fig. 2, we compare the transverse velocity cumulative distribution functions of apparently isolated NSs from the Fid (a) and NW (b) prescriptions to those of the observed pulsars. Each observed transverse velocity CDF (black) is constructed by randomly sampling one posterior transverse velocity sample per pulsar. The spread in these CDFs indicates the uncertainty in the velocity measurements. Each synthetic CDF (colored) is constructed by randomly drawing as many velocities as the total number of observed pulsars NP=81N_{P}{=}81 from the modelled population. Their spread indicates the impact of small-number statistics. The CDFs match at velocities 400kms1{\gtrsim}400\,\mathrm{\rm{km}\,\rm{s}^{-1}} (both panels), validating the use of the CCSN prescription used in this study.

Meanwhile, the mismatch between the modelled and observed velocity distributions in (a) at low velocities indicates that the Fid prescription overpredicts the number of low-velocity pulsars. The preferred NW prescription (b) reduces the disagreement in the low-velocity regime by removing NSs from ECSNe in non-interacting binaries.

We devise a statistic in order to quantify the goodness of fit between model and data. For a specified cutoff velocity vcutv_{\textrm{cut}}, let flowf_{\textrm{low}} represent the fraction of low-speed pulsars with transverse velocity \leq vcutv_{\textrm{cut}}, as predicted by a given model variation. We choose a value of vcut=50kms1v_{\textrm{cut}}=50\,\mathrm{\rm{km}\,\rm{s}^{-1}}. While this value is somewhat ad hoc, it serves to differentiate between high kicks, which disrupt binaries and eject pulsars from globular clusters, and low kicks, which do not. Let NslowN_{\textrm{slow}} be the number of observed pulsars with velocity \leq vcutv_{\textrm{cut}} out of NPN_{P}. The probability of observing NslowN_{\textrm{slow}} low-velocity pulsars out of NPN_{P} is described by the binomial distribution. The probability of observing NslowN_{\textrm{slow}} pulsars or fewer is thus given by

P(Nslow|flow)=i=0NslowCiNP(flow)i(1flow)NPi.{P({\leq}N_{\textrm{slow}}|f_{\textrm{low}})}=\sum_{i=0}^{N_{\textrm{slow}}}C_{i}^{N_{P}}(f_{\textrm{low}})^{i}(1-f_{\textrm{low}})^{N_{P}-i}. (1)

In practice, NslowN_{\textrm{slow}} is not known precisely due to the measurement uncertainty in observed pulsar transverse velocities, so it is marginalized out. Under the null hypothesis that the data are drawn from the model variation, P(Nslow|flow){P({\leq}N_{\textrm{slow}}|f_{\textrm{low}})} is uniformly distributed, allowing us to rule out any variations which yield very small or very large values for P(Nslow|flow){P({\leq}N_{\textrm{slow}}|f_{\textrm{low}})}.

P(Nslow|flow){P({\leq}N_{\textrm{slow}}|f_{\textrm{low}})} is plotted in Fig. 3 in black. The simulated flowf_{\textrm{low}} values are shown as colored vertical lines; the uncertainty due to the finite simulated population is within the width of the lines. The null hypothesis is in tension with the data when a model, specified by flowf_{\textrm{low}}, intersects the black curve outside the indicated ±2σ\pm 2\sigma interval (see Table 4 for exact values of P(Nslow|flow){P({\leq}N_{\textrm{slow}}|f_{\textrm{low}})}).

Fig. 3(a) shows flowf_{\textrm{low}} values calculated after including low-velocity pulsars from both CCSNe and ECSNe. Model variations with flowf_{\textrm{low}} values which cross the P(Nslow|flow){P({\leq}N_{\textrm{slow}}|f_{\textrm{low}})} curve below the 2σ-2\sigma threshold over-produce low-velocity pulsars from a combination of ECSNe and CCSNe. This is the case for the Fid and K1 variations. Meanwhile, both variations which mask out ECSNe in non-interacting binaries cross well above the threshold and cannot be ruled out.

In order to distinguish the relative importance of ECSNe kicks and low-velocity CCSNe kicks, in Fig. 3(b), we consider an alternative population in which we include only EC-pulsars as low-velocity pulsars. Explicitly, we assume that all CC-pulsars are given very large kicks. Now, only the K1 model still crosses below the 2σ-2\sigma cutoff, so it is the only model that can be confidently ruled out on the basis that it over-produces low-velocity pulsars from ECSNe alone. The low-velocity EC-pulsars in this model predominately come from binaries disrupted by Blaauw kicks, though 30%{\sim}30\% are in intact, very wide binaries.

Refer to caption
(a) Including slow pulsars from CCSNe
Refer to caption
(b) Assuming fast kicks from CCSNe
Figure 3: Probability P(Nslow|flow){P({\leq}N_{\textrm{slow}}|f_{\textrm{low}})} (black curve) that the observations would contain no more than the observed number NslowN_{\textrm{slow}} of low-speed (50kms1{\leq}50\,\mathrm{\rm{km}\,\rm{s}^{-1}}) pulsars out of NP=81N_{P}{=}81, given a true fraction flowf_{\textrm{low}} of slow pulsars (see text). Also plotted are model predictions for the slow pulsar fraction flowf_{\textrm{low}} (colored, vertical lines). In (a), flowf_{\textrm{low}} includes slow pulsars from both CCSNe and ECSNe. In (b), flowf_{\textrm{low}} includes only slow EC-pulsars. Models that cross the black curve outside the ±2σ\pm 2\sigma confidence bounds are in tension with observations (though see text for caveats).

The Fid model now falls just within the 2σ2\sigma confidence interval and cannot be confidently ruled out. However, the high production of low-velocity EC-pulsars alone indicates a likely tension with observations. The two models which mask non-interacting ECSNe, NW and NW-K1, now nearly cross above the +2σ+2\sigma level, suggesting that they significantly under-produce low-velocity pulsars. Since we have intentionally removed CC-pulsars here, this merely suggests that some fraction of low-velocity pulsars may be contributed by CC-pulsars.

\toprule Model P(Nslow|flow){P({\leq}N_{\textrm{slow}}|f_{\textrm{low}})} including slow pulsars from CCSNe P(Nslow|flow){P({\leq}N_{\textrm{slow}}|f_{\textrm{low}})} excluding slow pulsars from CCSNe Merging DNS yield per 10610^{6} MM_{\odot} Variation
Fiducial (Fid) 0.0049 0.069 7.1 ±\pm 0.3
Kick: 1 kms1\rm{km}\,\rm{s}^{-1} (K1) 0.0003 0.011 8.1 ±\pm 0.3 All ECSN kicks are reduced to 1 kms1\rm{km}\,\rm{s}^{-1}
No Wide ECSNe (NW) 0.2716 0.950 7.1 ±\pm 0.3 Non-interacting ECSN progenitors are removed
No Wide ECSNe, Kick: 1 kms1\rm{km}\,\rm{s}^{-1} (NW-K1) 0.1741 0.918 7.5 ±\pm 0.3 Non-interacting ECSN progenitors are removed, other ECSN kicks are reduced to 1 kms1\rm{km}\,\rm{s}^{-1}
Table 1: List of model names and descriptions considered in this study, along with the P(Nslow|flow){P({\leq}N_{\textrm{slow}}|f_{\textrm{low}})} value derived if we include and exclude CC-pulsars, and the yield of DNSs merging in a Hubble-time per 10610^{6}M\rm{M}_{\odot} of star formation. Models with P(Nslow|flow)<0.023{P({\leq}N_{\textrm{slow}}|f_{\textrm{low}})}<0.023 over-produce slow pulsars at a rate inconsistent with observations at a 2σ2\sigma level, as indicated by the check and cross marks.

5 Discussion

We model supernova progenitors using binary population synthesis in order to self-consistently test NS natal kick models against observed pulsar transverse velocities. We find that our Fid variation over-produces low-speed, apparently isolated pulsars in comparison with observations. This discrepancy can be resolved if supernovae which produce low-speed, apparently isolated NSs are suppressed in wide binaries when the NS progenitor did not experience Roche-lobe overflow onto a companion.

If ECSNe indeed produce weak natal kicks, this provides a constraint for models of sAGB stars which might otherwise be expected to undergo ECSN. In the Fid variation, single stars with ZAMS mass in the range 7.58.1M{\approx}7.5-8.1\,\mathrm{\rm{M}_{\odot}} yield ECSNe. This constitutes 13%{\sim}13\% of NS progenitors, assuming a Kroupa (2001) initial mass function and a ZAMS mass range extending to 20 M\rm{M}_{\odot} for NS progenitors. Fig. 2 and 3 suggest that a contribution of no more than a few per cent from non-interacting EC-pulsars would be more consistent with observations. This would require a reduction in the width of the ZAMS mass range for ECSN progenitors to 0.2M{\lesssim}0.2\,\mathrm{\rm{M}_{\odot}}, or removing this possibility altogether, as in our NW and NW-K1 models. This is consistent with Doherty et al. (2017), who predict an ECSN progenitor ZAMS mass range of 9.59.7M{\approx}9.5-9.7\,\mathrm{\rm{M}_{\odot}} at Z\rm{Z}_{\odot} (and indeed a width of 0.2M{\approx}0.2\,\mathrm{\rm{M}_{\odot}} across all metallicities), as well as Tarumi et al. (2021) who find a similarly narrow mass range for ECSN progenitors from dwarf galaxy Sr abundances (Hirai et al., 2019). Our results are qualitatively similar at Z/10\rm{Z}_{\odot}/10. We do not distinguish between ECSNe and low-mass iron-core CCSNe in our models (Podsiadlowski et al., 2004b); an increased yield from the latter, if they produce comparably low kicks, would then require a proportional reduction in the former. We have not considered here the possibility that accretion-induced collapse of white dwarfs may lead to a weakly-kicked NSs, as the models for this channel remain very uncertain (Nomoto & Kondo, 1991; Ruiter et al., 2019; Wang & Liu, 2020).

Although no ECSN progenitors have been observationally confirmed, some candidate populations have been proposed which, if validated, would help to constrain the nature of ECSNe in single stars (O’Grady et al., 2020). Indeed, Hiramatsu et al. (2021) propose that SN 2018zd was an ECSN from a single sAGB star based on the low energy and chemical profile of the light curve. However, we find this to be unlikely if ECSNe are indeed very rare in single stars. Additionally, the light curves for stripped ECSNe may be very short, rendering detection especially challenging, which could explain the dearth of ECSN candidates. A possible alternative to reducing the ZAMS mass range for producing ECSNe from single stars would be reducing the observability of the remnant as a young radio pulsar.

We obtain an additional constraint on natal kicks by considering their effect on DNS merger rates. Galactic double neutron star and gravitational-wave observations indicate a local DNS merger rate of 430130+280Gpc3yr1430^{+280}_{-130}\,\mathrm{\textrm{Gpc}^{-3}\textrm{yr}^{-1}} (Pol et al., 2020) and 320240+490Gpc3yr1320^{+490}_{-240}\,\mathrm{\textrm{Gpc}^{-3}\textrm{yr}^{-1}} (Abbott et al., 2020), respectively. Given a local star formation rate of 1.5×107MGpc3yr11.5\times 10^{7}\,\mathrm{\rm{M}_{\odot}\textrm{Gpc}^{-3}\textrm{yr}^{-1}} (Madau & Dickinson, 2014), this implies a yield of 25{\sim}25 merging DNSs per 106M10^{6}\,\mathrm{\rm{M}_{\odot}} of star formation. Our models predict a lower DNS yield of 7–8 merging DNSs per 106M10^{6}\,\mathrm{\rm{M}_{\odot}} of star formation (see Table 4). However, some of the locally merging DNSs formed at higher redshifts when the star formation rate was higher, so this yield is not inconsistent with observations. Removing ECSNe in wide binaries does not reduce the merging DNS yield since such systems are very unlikely to form DNSs merging within a Hubble time.

Our analysis is limited by the size of the observational data set and by the possibility of selection effects in choosing which pulsars are followed up with VLBI. A complete VLBI follow-up within a predetermined volume could address both concerns.

Acknowledgements: We thank Derek Bingham, Giulia Cinquegrana, Dan Foreman-Mackey, Jonathan Gair, Andrei Igoshev, Philipp Podsiadlowski, Ryan Shannon, Steinn Sigurdsson, and members of Team COMPAS for useful discussions. The authors are supported by the Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence for Gravitational Wave Discovery (OzGrav), through project number CE170100004. This work made use of the OzSTAR high performance computer at Swinburne University of Technology. OzSTAR is funded by Swinburne University of Technology and the National Collaborative Research Infrastructure Strategy (NCRIS). IM and ARD are recipients of the Australian Research Council Future Fellowships (FT190100574 and FT150100415, respectively). AVG acknowledges support by the Danish National Research Foundation (DNRF132).

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