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A Unified Analytical Method to Quantify Three Types of Fast Frequency Response from Inverter-based Resources

 
Shuan Dong\ad1
   Xin Fang\ad2    Jin Tan\ad1\corr    Ningchao Gao\ad1,3    Xiaofan Cui\ad4    Anderson Hoke\ad1 [email protected] \add1Power Systems Energy Center, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Golden, U.S. \add2Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Mississippi State University, Starkville, U.S. \add3Department of Electrical & Computer Engineering, University of Denver, Denver, US \add4Department of Energy Science & Engineering, Stanford University, Stanford, U.S.
Abstract

With more inverter-based resources (IBRs), our power systems have lower frequency nadirs following N-1 contingencies, and undesired under-frequency load shedding (UFLS) can occur. To address this challenge, IBRs can be programmed to provide at least three types of fast frequency response (FFR), e.g., step response, proportional response (P/f droop response), and derivative response (synthetic inertia). However, these heterogeneous FFR challenge the study of power system frequency dynamics. Thus, this paper develops an analytical frequency nadir prediction method that allows for the consideration of all three potential forms of FFR provided by IBRs. The proposed method provides fast and accurate frequency nadir estimation after N-1 generation tripping contingencies. Our method is grounded on the closed-form solution for the frequency nadir, which is solved from the second-order system frequency response model considering the governor dynamics and three types of FFR. The simulation results in the IEEE 39-bus system with different types of FFR demonstrate that the proposed method provides an accurate and fast prediction of the frequency nadir under various disturbances.

keywords:
Fast frequency response (FFR), frequency nadir, inverter-based resources (IBRs), system frequency response model.

1 Introduction

With the increasing share of inverter-based resources (IBRs), power systems are experiencing lower frequency nadirs following disturbances, such as generation trips and large renewable power variations Gao2022tpwrs . Considering under-frequency load-shedding (UFLS) control, the lower frequency nadir might trip loads and cause a power outage. To tackle these challenges and keep the frequency nadir above the UFLS thresholds, one immediate solution is to leverage the capability of existing IBRs to provide fast frequency response (FFR). Here, FFR refers to the fast power injection in response to the frequency decline, aiming to increase the frequency nadir. Based on nerc2020ffr , IBRs can provide three main types of FFR: step response (Fig. 1(b)), proportional response (Fig. 1(c)), and derivative response (Fig. 1(d)).

With IBRs providing three types of FFR, one challenge for power system operators is how to quickly predict the frequency nadir after disturbances. This prediction method allows for determining whether power systems have enough FFR capacity to keep the frequency nadir above the UFLS threshold. Existing frequency nadir prediction methods mainly include simulation-based doherty2005frequency and analytical approaches xiong2022performance ; badesa2019simultaneous ; liu2020analytical ; guggilam2018optimizing . Among them, the simulation-based method in doherty2005frequency approximates the frequency nadir with a linear function; however, this requires creating a large database through numerous electromagnetic (EMT) simulations, which is known to be time-consuming and intractable for large-scale systems. Among analytical approaches, xiong2022performance is computationally inexpensive, but omits the dynamic details of the turbine governors of the synchronous generator (SG) and the IBR in the system model. The methods in badesa2019simultaneous and liu2020analytical approximate the output of the SG turbine governor with a parameterized ramp function and a polynomial, respectively. They allow for the formulation of a tractable frequency-constrained optimization problem. But the accuracy of this frequency nadir approximation depends on the values of the selected parameters. The method in guggilam2018optimizing considers a first-order turbine governor model and analytically characterizes frequency dynamics; however, it does not simultaneously consider the three types of FFR from IBRs. Indeed, to the best of our knowledge, few existing studies on fast frequency nadir prediction have fully considered the flexible combination of different types of FFR.

In this paper, we propose an accurate and efficient method to analytically predict the frequency nadir of power systems. The proposed method fully considers the impacts of three types of inverter-based FFR and provides a fast prediction speed, avoiding repetitive and time-consuming EMT simulation efforts.

(a) ff [Hz]Time [s]60tnadirt_{\rm nadir}fnadirf_{\rm nadir}(b) Pffr1P_{\it\rm ffr1}Time [s]t1t_{1}t2t_{2}PsusP_{\rm sus}(c) Pffr2P_{\it\rm ffr2}Time [s](d) Pffr3P_{\it\rm ffr3}Time [s]
Figure 1: Three main types of FFR provided by IBRs nerc2020ffr . (a) grid frequency, ff, (b) step response, Pffr1P_{\it\rm ffr1}, (c) proportional response, Pffr2P_{\it\rm ffr2}, (d) derivative response, Pffr3P_{\it\rm ffr3}.

2 Overview of Three Types of FFR from IBRs

The heterogeneity in FFR designs within IBRs poses a serious challenge to the studies of power system frequency dynamics. To tackle this challenge, this section first overviews the three representative types of FFRs provided by IBRs (see Fig. 1). As our first contribution, we develop the Laplace-domain models for these three types of FFRs to facilitate the system-level modeling and analysis of frequency dynamics.

We assume that the grid frequency drops as shown in Fig. 1(a) following the N-1 contingency at t=0st=0~{}\mathrm{s}. Then as illustrated in Figs. 1(b)–(d), IBRs can provide three main types of FFR, i.e., step response Pffr1P_{\rm ffr1}, proportional response Pffr2P_{\rm ffr2}, and derivative response Pffr3P_{\rm ffr3}, to contain the frequency deviation and avoid triggering UFLS. Below, we introduce these three types of FFR and propose their Laplace-domain models.

1) Step Response: As shown in Fig. 1(b), IBRs start to provide the step response after a time delay t1t_{1} following the grid frequency drop at t=0st=0~{}\mathrm{s}. Then the active power from IBRs ramps up until reaching the predefined saturation value PsusP_{\rm sus} at t=t2t=t_{2}. Here, as displayed in Fig. 2, we notice that the step response Pffr1P_{\rm ffr1} in Fig. 1(b) can be represented by the difference between two ramp functions with time delays t1t_{1} and t2t_{2}, respectively. That is, we have the following time-domain decomposition for the step response

Pffr1\displaystyle P_{\it\rm ffr1} =Psus(tt1)t2t1u(tt1)Ramp signal 1Psus(tt2)t2t1u(tt2)Ramp signal 2,\displaystyle=\underbrace{\dfrac{P_{\rm sus}(t-t_{1})}{t_{2}-t_{1}}u(t-t_{1})}_{\text{Ramp signal 1}}-\underbrace{\dfrac{P_{\rm sus}(t-t_{2})}{t_{2}-t_{1}}u(t-t_{2})}_{\text{Ramp signal 2}}, (1)

where u(t)u(t) denotes the unit step function. Taking the Laplace transform of (1), we can obtain the Laplace-domain model of the step response as below:

ΔPffr1(s)=Psus(t2t1)s2et1sPsus(t2t1)s2et2s.\displaystyle\Delta P_{\rm ffr1}(s)=\frac{P_{\rm sus}}{(t_{2}-t_{1})s^{2}}e^{-t_{1}s}-\frac{P_{\rm sus}}{(t_{2}-t_{1})s^{2}}e^{-t_{2}s}. (2)

Note that in this paper, we let Δ()\Delta(\cdot) denote the perturbations in variable ()(\cdot) after the disturbance.

Refer to caption
Figure 2: Decomposition of step response Pffr1P_{\rm ffr1} into two ramp functions with time delays t1t_{1} and t2t_{2}, respectively.

2) Proportional Response: As shown in Fig. 1(c), IBRs can also provide proportional response Pffr2P_{\rm ffr2} following a grid frequency drop. Note that the proportional response here is reminiscent of the P/f droop control or primary frequency control in that the IBR output change is proportional to the frequency deviation, as follows:

Pffr2=1Ribr(ffn),\displaystyle P_{\it\rm ffr2}=-\frac{1}{R_{\rm ibr}}(f-f_{\rm n}), (3)

where RibrR_{\rm ibr} is the IBR droop coefficient, ff is the grid frequency, and fnf_{\rm n} is the rated frequency. By taking the Laplace transform of (3), we obtain the Laplace-domain expression of the proportional response as follows:

ΔPffr2(s)=1RibrΔf(s).\displaystyle\Delta P_{\it\rm ffr2}(s)=-\frac{1}{R_{\rm ibr}}\Delta f(s). (4)

Note that we assume fnf_{\rm n} remain unchanged, and thus Δfn=0\Delta f_{\rm n}=0.

3) Derivative Response: The derivative response Pffr3P_{\rm ffr3} in Fig. 1(d) allows IBRs to provide "synthetic inertia" to power systems. To achieve this, Pffr3P_{\rm ffr3} is controlled to be proportional to the time derivative of the measured grid frequency, as follows:

Pffr3=2Hibrdfdt,\displaystyle P_{\it\rm ffr3}=-2H_{\rm ibr}\frac{df}{dt}, (5)

in which HibrH_{\rm ibr} denotes the IBR emulated inertia. In the Laplace domain, the derivative response can be expressed as

ΔPffr3(s)=2HibrsΔf(s).\displaystyle\Delta P_{\it\rm ffr3}(s)=-2H_{\rm ibr}s\Delta f(s). (6)
Remark 1.

Here, we neglect the dynamics of IBR power controllers, whether grid following (GFL) or grid forming (GFM) controllers, as they are much faster than conventional SG and governor dynamics. In addition, we do not differentiate GFL and GFM in this paper, because both can provide different types of FFR or a combination of them. \blacksquare

3 Improved System Frequency Response Model

In this section, we first improve the conventional system frequency response (SFR) model by including the three types of FFR in Section 2. Our improved second-order SFR model can accurately predict the frequency dynamics of power systems with high penetration of IBRs. Thereafter, by solving this second-order SFR model, we obtain the analytical expression of the post-disturbance system frequency. This expression of frequency nadir allows us to directly predict the post-disturbance frequency nadir without onerous simulation. In this way, we can easily see whether the current FFR settings avoid triggering the ULFS under a given disturbance.

3.1 Including FFR Into System Frequency Response Model

Refer to caption
Figure 3: SFR models. (a) Conventional SFR model. (b) Improved SFR model with three types of FFR from IBRs. (c) Simplified SFR model with three types of FFR from IBRs. Note that we combine proportional FFR and derivative FFR into the SG damping and inertia constants, respectively (by defining HΣ:=Hg+HibrH_{\Sigma}:=H_{\rm g}+H_{\rm ibr} and DΣ:=Dg+Ribr1D_{\Sigma}:=D_{\rm g}+R_{\rm ibr}^{-1}).

The conventional system frequency response (SFR) model anderson1990low enables us to analytically predict the frequency dynamics and evaluate the impacts of different key parameters. However, the conventional SFR model is developed for SG-dominated power systems, and thus it has not considered the three main types of FFR provided by IBRs. As our second contribution, we will include all three types of FFR in the SFR model while ensuring that our proposed SFR model remains analytically tractable.

The conventional SFR model in Fig. 3(a) assumes uniform frequency dynamics, omits the impact of the network, and only considers the dynamics of SG rotors and governors. Therefore, we propose an improved SFR model with three types of FFR (highlighted in red) as shown in Fig. 3(c). We obtain this improved SFR model as follows. First, in the Laplace domain, the system frequency dynamics are delineated by the swing equation (7) and the governor (8) as below:

2HgsΔf=\displaystyle 2H_{\rm g}s\Delta f= ΔPmΔPload=:ΔPd+ΔPffr1+ΔPffr2+ΔPffr3Three types of FFR\displaystyle~{}\Delta P_{\rm m}\underbrace{-\Delta P_{\rm load}}_{=:\Delta P_{d}}+\underbrace{\Delta P_{\it\rm ffr1}+\Delta P_{\it\rm ffr2}+\Delta P_{\it\rm ffr3}}_{\text{Three types of FFR}}
Dg(ΔfΔfn)Damping,\displaystyle\underbrace{-D_{\rm g}(\Delta f-\Delta f_{\rm n})}_{\text{Damping}}, (7)
ΔPm=\displaystyle\Delta P_{m}= 1+T1s1+Tgs(ΔPm1Rg(ΔfΔfn))Turbine governor output.\displaystyle~{}\underbrace{\frac{1+T_{1}s}{1+T_{g}s}\cdot\left(\Delta P_{\rm m}^{\star}-\frac{1}{R_{\rm g}}(\Delta f-\Delta f_{\rm n})\right)}_{\text{Turbine governor output}}. (8)

Note that in the SG swing dynamics, we have included three types of FFR provided by IBR. In (7) and (8), HgH_{\rm g} is the SG inertia, PmP_{\rm m} and PmP_{\rm m}^{\star} are the output of the SG turbine governor and its reference, PloadP_{\rm load} is the load, DgD_{\rm g} is the damping constant, T1T_{1} and TgT_{\rm g} are the SG governor time constants, and RgR_{g} is the SG droop coefficient. Note that we define the system disturbance as ΔPd:=ΔPload\Delta P_{d}:=-\Delta P_{\rm load}. Then we assume that the rated frequency fnf_{n} and the turbine governor reference PmP_{m}^{\star} remain unchanged, i.e., Δfn=0\Delta f_{n}=0 and ΔPm=0\Delta P_{m}^{\star}=0. By substituting (4) and (6) into (7) and (8), we have the simplified SFR model as below.

2(Hg+Hibr)=:HΣsΔf=\displaystyle 2\underbrace{(H_{\rm g}\!+\!H_{\rm ibr})}_{=:H_{\Sigma}}s\Delta f= ΔPm+ΔPd+ΔPffr1(Dg+Ribr1)=:DΣΔf,\displaystyle~{}\Delta P_{\rm m}\!+\!\Delta P_{d}\!+\!\Delta P_{\it\rm ffr1}\!-\!\underbrace{(D_{\rm g}\!+\!R_{\rm ibr}^{-1})}_{=:D_{\Sigma}}\Delta f, (9)
ΔPm=\displaystyle\Delta P_{m}= 1Rg1+T1s1+TgsΔf.\displaystyle~{}-\frac{1}{R_{\rm g}}\cdot\frac{1+T_{1}s}{1+T_{g}s}\cdot\Delta f. (10)

We note that by defining DΣ:=Dg+Ribr1D_{\Sigma}:=D_{g}+R_{\rm ibr}^{-1} and HΣ:=Hg+HibrH_{\Sigma}:=H_{\rm g}+H_{\rm ibr}, the IBR droop coefficient RibrR_{\rm ibr} and the IBR emulated inertia HibrH_{\rm ibr} are, respectively, absorbed into the total damping DΣD_{\Sigma} and the total inertia HΣH_{\Sigma}. This is clearer when we visualize the simplified SFR model (9) and (10) in Fig. 3(c).

We also highlight that our final simplified SFR model not only considers three types of FFR but also remains analytically tractable since it is still a second-order model. To show this, we treat the term (ΔPffr1+ΔPd)(\Delta P_{\rm ffr1}+\Delta P_{d}) as input and get the following Laplace-domain expression of the frequency deviation Δf(s)\Delta f(s):

Δf(s)=s+Tg1s2+2ζωns+ωn2ΔPffr1(s)+ΔPd(s)2HΣ,\displaystyle\Delta f(s)=\frac{s+T_{\rm g}^{-1}}{s^{2}+2\zeta\omega_{\rm n}s+\omega_{\rm n}^{2}}\cdot\frac{\Delta P_{\it\rm ffr1}(s)+\Delta P_{\rm d}(s)}{2H_{\Sigma}}, (11)

where the damping ratio ζ\zeta, natural frequency ωn\omega_{\rm n}, and damped natural frequency ωd\omega_{\rm d} satisfy:

ζ\displaystyle\zeta =12(12HΣ(DΣ+T1TgRg1)+1Tg)2TgHΣDΣ+Rg1\displaystyle=\dfrac{1}{2}\left(\dfrac{1}{2H_{\Sigma}}\left(D_{\Sigma}+\frac{T_{1}}{T_{g}}R_{g}^{-1}\right)+\dfrac{1}{T_{\rm g}}\right)\sqrt{\dfrac{{2T_{\rm g}H_{\Sigma}}}{D_{\Sigma}+R_{\rm g}^{-1}}}
=:cosϕ,\displaystyle=:\cos{\phi}, (12)
ωn\displaystyle\omega_{\rm n} =DΣ+Rg12TgHΣ=:ωd1ζ2.\displaystyle=\sqrt{\dfrac{D_{\Sigma}+R_{\rm g}^{-1}}{2T_{\rm g}H_{\Sigma}}}=:\frac{\omega_{\rm d}}{\sqrt{1-\zeta^{2}}}. (13)

3.2 Proposed Frequency Nadir Computation Method

With the second-order SFR model in Fig. 3(c) and (11)–(13), this section develops the analytical expression of the frequency nadir fnadirf_{\rm nadir} in this section. Our expression of frequency nadir will allow us to directly predict the post-disturbance frequency nadir without onerous simulation. In this way, we can easily see whether the current FFR settings avoid triggering the ULFS under a given disturbance.

Δf(t)\displaystyle\Delta f(t) =Psus+ΔPdDΣ+Rg1+ωn22ζTg1+Tg22HΣωn2ωd(t2t1)eζωntMsin(ωdt+α),t>t2,\displaystyle=\dfrac{P_{\rm sus}+\Delta P_{\rm d}}{D_{\Sigma}+R_{\rm g}^{-1}}+\frac{\sqrt{\vphantom{M^{2}}\omega_{\rm n}^{2}-2\zeta T_{\rm g}^{-1}+T_{\rm g}^{-2}}}{2H_{\Sigma}\omega_{\rm n}^{2}\omega_{\rm d}(t_{2}-t_{1})}\cdot e^{-\zeta\omega_{\rm n}t}M\sin{\left(\omega_{\rm d}t+\alpha\right)},~{}~{}~{}~{}~{}~{}~{}~{}~{}~{}~{}~{}t>t_{2}, (\dagger)
whereM\displaystyle\text{where}~{}M =(m(0))2+(m(π2ωd))2,α=πsin1(m(0)M),β=sin1(Tg11ζ2ωn22ζTg1+Tg2),\displaystyle=\sqrt{\left(m(0)\right)^{2}+\left(m\left(\dfrac{\pi}{2\omega_{\rm d}}\right)\right)^{2}},~{}~{}\alpha=\pi-\sin^{-1}{\left(\frac{m(0)}{M}\right)},~{}~{}\beta=\sin^{-1}{\left(\dfrac{T_{\rm g}^{-1}\sqrt{\vphantom{M^{2}}1-\zeta^{2}}}{\sqrt{\vphantom{M^{2}}\omega_{\rm n}^{2}-2\zeta T_{\rm g}^{-1}+T_{\rm g}^{-2}}}\right)},
m(t)\displaystyle m(t) =Psuseζωnt2sin(ωd(tt2)βϕ)Psuseζωnt1sin(ωd(tt1)βϕ)+ΔPdωn(t2t1)sin(ωdtβ).\displaystyle=P_{\rm sus}e^{\zeta\omega_{\rm n}t_{2}}\sin{\left(\omega_{\rm d}(t-t_{2})-\beta-\phi\right)}-P_{\rm sus}e^{\zeta\omega_{\rm n}t_{1}}\sin{\left(\omega_{\rm d}(t-t_{1})-\beta-\phi\right)}+\Delta P_{\rm d}\,\omega_{\rm n}(t_{2}-t_{1})\sin{\left(\omega_{\rm d}t-\beta\right)}.

To begin with, we recall that the input of our developed FFR model (11)–(13) is

ΔPffr1(s)+ΔPd=Psus(est1est2)(t2t1)s2+ΔPds.\displaystyle\Delta P_{\it\rm ffr1}(s)+\Delta P_{\rm d}=\dfrac{P_{\rm sus}\left(e^{-st_{1}}-e^{-st_{2}}\right)}{(t_{2}-t_{1})s^{2}}+\frac{\Delta P_{\rm d}}{s}. (14)

Substituting (14) into (11) and taking the inverse Laplace transform, we obtain the closed-form time-domain expression of the post-disturbance frequency Δf(t)\Delta f(t) as in (\dagger3.2). In (\dagger3.2), we consider only the frequency dynamics for t>t2t>t_{2} because the frequency nadir time tnadirt_{\rm nadir} in Fig. 1(a) is typically larger than the time t2t_{2} of fully implementing the step response in Fig. 1(b). Then, by taking the time derivative of Δf(t)\Delta f(t) in (\dagger3.2) and solving dΔf(t)dt=0\frac{d\Delta f(t)}{dt}=0, we get the frequency nadir time:

tnadir=π+ϕαωd.\displaystyle t_{\rm nadir}=\frac{\pi+\phi-\alpha}{\omega_{\rm d}}. (15)

Finally, setting t=tnadirt=t_{\rm nadir} in (\dagger3.2) yields the following analytical equation, which allows us to directly compute the frequency nadir:

fnadir=fn+Psus+ΔPdDΣ+Rg1TgRg12Me(αϕπ)cotϕ(t2t1)(DΣ+Rg1)32.\displaystyle f_{\rm nadir}\!=\!f_{\rm n}+\dfrac{P_{\rm sus}+\Delta P_{\rm d}}{D_{\Sigma}+R_{\rm g}^{-1}}-\dfrac{T_{\rm g}R_{\rm g}^{-\frac{1}{2}}Me^{(\alpha-\phi-\pi)\cot{\phi}}}{(t_{2}-t_{1})\left(D_{\Sigma}+R_{\rm g}^{-1}\right)^{\frac{3}{2}}}. (16)
Refer to caption
Figure 4: Modified IEEE 39-bus test system used to validate the proposed frequency nadir prediction method.
Refer to caption
Figure 5: Comparison of simulated and predicted frequency nadirs in cases I–V.

In sum, our proposed frequency nadir prediction method is as follows. First, we describe the system frequency dynamics with the conventional system frequency response model in Fig. 3(b). This step can be achieved by referring to guggilam2018optimizing ; anderson1990low ; shi2018analytical . Next, we represent the proportional response Pffr2P_{\it\rm ffr2} and the derivative response Pffr3P_{\it\rm ffr3} with the equivalent damping and inertia constants as shown in Fig. 3(c). In this way, we revise the system frequency response model to be (9) and (10). Last, under the given disturbance ΔPd\Delta P_{\rm d}, we compute the resultant frequency nadir fnadirf_{\rm nadir} directly with (16).

4 Simulation Results

This section validates both the accuracy and the efficiency of our proposed frequency nadir prediction method with the modified 39-bus test system, as shown in Fig. 4. Note that the rated capacities of the SGs or IBRs connected to buses 38 and 39 and buses 31–37 are, respectively, 15001500 and 1000MVA1000~{}\mathrm{MVA}. All SGs are equipped with DC1A exciters and the IEEEG1 steam governor model, with the parameters reported in Table 1 and sauer1998power . The IBRs can represent inverter-interfaced batteries or hybrid photovoltaic (PV) plants that combine PV and batteries. We assume that all IBRs adopt conventional GFL controllers.

Table 1: Parameters of SG IEEEG1 steam governor and three FFR
DB RgR_{g} TSR TSM K1K_{1} K2K_{2}, K3K_{3} K4K_{4}K8K_{8} T4T_{4} T5T_{5}
0 0.05 0 0.075 0.2 0.4 0 0.3 10
T6T_{6} T7T_{7} t1t_{1} [s] t2t_{2} [s] PsusP_{\rm sus} [MW] RibrR_{\rm ibr} [p.u.] HibrH_{\rm ibr} [s]
0.6 0 0.05 0.35 100 0.03 4

1) Verification of Prediction Accuracy: We consider cases I–V (summarized in Table 2) to show the accuracy of the proposed prediction method by comparing the simulated and predicted frequency nadir fnadirf_{\rm nadir}. In case I, we keep the SGs at buses 32, 33, and 36, whereas in cases II–V, we replace these three SGs with IBRs providing different combinations of FFR types (see Table 1 for FFR parameters). With these settings in place, we simulate the 39-bus system in PSCAD/EMTDC and trip the SG connected to Bus 39 at t=2st=2~{}\mathrm{s} to get the actual fnadirf_{\rm nadir} of the center-of-inertia frequency fCOIf_{\rm COI}. Also, we predict fnadirf_{\rm nadir} with our proposed method in Section 3.2. As shown in Fig. 5, the predicted fnadirf_{\rm nadir} (blue dotted trace) is close to the simulated one (red point A) in cases I–V. As reported in Table 2, all prediction errors in cases I–V are within 0.06Hz0.06~{}\mathrm{Hz}.

2) Verification of Prediction Efficiency: We further leverage cases V–XI to show the efficiency of the proposed prediction method. As reported in Table 3, our verification is achieved by comparing the simulation and prediction time in each case. Note that in cases V–XI, we have the same FFR settings but trip different SGs. Taking case XI in Table 3 as an example, when tripping the SG at Bus 38, we need 988.55 s to obtain fnadirf_{\rm nadir} via simulation in PSCAD/EMTDC, but our proposed method takes only 0.15ms0.15~{}\mathrm{ms}, and the prediction error is within 0.06Hz0.06~{}\mathrm{Hz}. This is also true for other cases in Table 3; thus, our prediction method is 10610^{6} times faster than the simulation-based method.

Table 2: Accuracy of proposed frequency nadir prediction method
Case Bus32 Bus33 Bus36
Simulated
fnadirf_{\rm nadir}
Predicted
fnadirf_{\rm nadir}
Prediction
error
I SG SG SG 59.43 Hz 59.48 Hz 0.05 Hz
II Pffr1P_{\it\rm ffr1} Pffr1P_{\it\rm ffr1} Pffr1P_{\it\rm ffr1} 59.50 Hz 59.44 Hz 0.06 Hz
III Pffr2P_{\it\rm ffr2} Pffr2P_{\it\rm ffr2} Pffr2P_{\it\rm ffr2} 59.67 Hz 59.64 Hz 0.03 Hz
IV Pffr3P_{\it\rm ffr3} Pffr3P_{\it\rm ffr3} Pffr3P_{\it\rm ffr3} 59.31 Hz 59.36 Hz 0.05 Hz
V Pffr2P_{\it\rm ffr2} Pffr3P_{\it\rm ffr3} Pffr1P_{\it\rm ffr1} 59.55 Hz 59.52 Hz 0.03 Hz

5 Concluding Remarks

This paper proposes an analytical method to predict the frequency nadir of power systems with three types of FFR provided by IBRs. The nonlinear dynamics of the turbine governor’s response and the IBR FFR following generation trip events are captured in our derivation of the nadir formulation. Our prediction method not only demonstrates high prediction accuracy but also exhibits extra-fast prediction speed compared to traditional time-domain simulations.

Compelling future directions include frequency nadir constraint formulation in generation scheduling optimization problems (e.g., unit commitment and economic dispatch), evaluation of FFR capacity adequacy from IBRs, and the application of the prediction method in real-time power system security monitoring.

Table 3: Efficiency of proposed frequency nadir prediction method
Case
Tripped
SG
Simulation
time
Prediction
time
Speed-up
Prediction
error
V Bus39 1087.13 s 0.12 ms 8.97×1068.97\!\times\!10^{6} 0.03 Hz
VI Bus30 1026.94 s 0.12 ms 8.49×1068.49\!\times\!10^{6} 0.02 Hz
VII Bus31 1063.95 s 0.18 ms 6.02×1066.02\!\times\!10^{6} 0.06 Hz
VIII Bus34 1009.02 s 0.15 ms 6.81×1066.81\!\times\!10^{6} 0.05 Hz
IX Bus35  904.28 s 0.15 ms 5.84×1065.84\!\times\!10^{6} 0.05 Hz
X Bus37  928.84 s 0.15 ms 6.26×1066.26\!\times\!10^{6} 0.03 Hz
XI Bus38  988.55 s 0.15 ms 6.62×1066.62\!\times\!10^{6} 0.06 Hz

6 Acknowledgements

This work was authored in part by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory, operated by Alliance for Sustainable Energy, LLC, for the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) under Contract No. DE-AC36-08GO28308. This material is based upon work supported by the U.S. Department of Energy’s Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE) under the Solar Energy Technologies Office Award Number 37772. The U.S. Government retains and the publisher, by accepting the article for publication, acknowledges that the U.S. Government retains a nonexclusive, paid-up, irrevocable, worldwide license to publish or reproduce the published form of this work, or allow others to do so, for U.S. Government purposes. The views expressed herein do not necessarily represent the views of the U.S. Department of Energy or the United States Government.

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